SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Samuel N. Stechmann

Publications and source records attributed to Samuel N. Stechmann.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Power laws in the sea ice floe size distribution: a stochastic theory

Sea ice is a complex system, and observations have shown that ice segments (i.e., floes) have a wide range of sizes, with a floe size distribution that follows a power law. However, a theory for the power law and its exponent have remained elusive. Here, floe-resolving numerical simulations are investigated with a discrete element model, in order to gain further information by gathering statistics of fracture and welding events. Then, based on the insights from the floe-resolving simulations, a stochastic fragmentation-coagulation theory is proposed. Exact solutions are found with a power law. The power-law exponent can take a variety of values, and it depends on the fracture and welding rates. Such behavior is reminiscent of seasonal changes in the power-law exponent, which have been reported in past analyses of observational data.

physics.ao-ph

Simulation and Data Assimilation in an Idealized Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Sea Ice Floe Model with Cloud Effects

Sea ice plays a crucial role in the climate system, particularly in the Marginal Ice Zone (MIZ), a transitional area consisting of fragmented ice between the open ocean and consolidated pack ice. As the MIZ expands, understanding its dynamics becomes essential for predicting climate change impacts. However, the role of clouds in these processes has been largely overlooked. This paper addresses that gap by developing an idealized coupled atmosphere-ocean-ice model incorporating cloud and precipitation effects, tackling both forward (simulation) and inverse (data assimilation) problems. Sea ice dynamics are modeled using the discrete element method, which simulates floes driven by atmospheric and oceanic forces. The ocean is represented by a two-layer quasi-geostrophic (QG) model, capturing mesoscale eddies and ice-ocean drag. The atmosphere is modeled using a two-layer saturated precipitating QG system, accounting for variable evaporation over sea surfaces and ice. Cloud cover affects radiation, influencing ice melting. The idealized coupled modeling framework allows us to study the interactions between atmosphere, ocean, and sea ice floes. Specifically, it focuses on how clouds and precipitation affect energy balance, melting, and freezing processes. It also serves as a testbed for data assimilation, which allows the recovery of unobserved floe trajectories and ocean fields in cloud-induced uncertainties. Numerical results show that appropriate reduced-order models help improve data assimilation efficiency with partial observations, allowing the skillful inference of missing floe trajectories and lower atmospheric winds. These results imply the potential of integrating idealized models with data assimilation to improve our understanding of Arctic dynamics and predictions.

physics.geo-ph

Element learning: a systematic approach of accelerating finite element-type methods via machine learning, with applications to radiative transfer

In this paper, we propose a systematic approach for accelerating finite element-type methods by machine learning for the numerical solution of partial differential equations (PDEs). The main idea is to use a neural network to learn the solution map of the PDEs and to do so in an element-wise fashion. This map takes input of the element geometry and the PDEs' parameters on that element, and gives output of two operators -- (1) the in2out operator for inter-element communication, and (2) the in2sol operator (Green's function) for element-wise solution recovery. A significant advantage of this approach is that, once trained, this network can be used for the numerical solution of the PDE for any domain geometry and any parameter distribution without retraining. Also, the training is significantly simpler since it is done on the element level instead on the entire domain. We call this approach element learning. This method is closely related to hybridizbale discontinuous Galerkin (HDG) methods in the sense that the local solvers of HDG are replaced by machine learning approaches. Numerical tests are presented for an example PDE, the radiative transfer equation, in a variety of scenarios with idealized or realistic cloud fields, with smooth or sharp gradient in the cloud boundary transition. Under a fixed accuracy level of $10^{-3}$ in the relative $L^2$ error, and polynomial degree $p=6$ in each element, we observe an approximately 5 to 10 times speed-up by element learning compared to a classical finite element-type method.

math.NA

Beyond Linear Decomposition: a Nonlinear Eigenspace Decomposition for a Moist Atmosphere with Clouds

A linear decomposition of states underpins many classical systems. This is the case of the Helmholtz decomposition, used to split vector fields into divergence-free and potential components, and of the dry Boussinesq system in atmospheric dynamics, where identifying the slow and fast components of the flow can be viewed as a decomposition. The dry Boussinesq system incorporates two leading ingredients of mid-latitude atmospheric motion: rotation and stratification. In both cases the leading order dynamics are linear so we can rely on an eigendecomposition to decompose states. Here we study the extension of dry Boussinesq to incorporate another important ingredient in the atmosphere: moisture and clouds. The key challenge with this system is that nonlinearities are present at leading order due to phase boundaries at cloud edge. Therefore standard tools of linear algebra, relying on eigenvalues and eigenvectors, are not applicable. The question we address in this paper is this: in spite of the nonlinearities, can we find a decomposition for this moist Boussinesq system? We identify such a decomposition adapted to the nonlinear balances arising from water phase boundaries. This decomposition combines perspectives from partial differential equations (PDEs), the geometry, and the conserved energy. Moreover it sheds light on two aspects of previous work. First, this decomposition shows that the nonlinear elliptic PDE used for potential vorticity and moisture inversion can be used outside the limiting system where it was first derived. Second, we are able to rigorously justify, and interpret geometrically, an existing numerical method for this elliptic PDE. This decomposition may be important in applications because, like its linear counterparts, it may be used to analyze observational data. Moreover, by contrast with previous decompositions, it may be used even in the presence of clouds.

physics.flu-dyn

A nonlinear elliptic PDE from atmospheric science: well-posedness and regularity at cloud edge

The precipitating quasi-geostrophic equations go beyond the (dry) quasi-geostrophic equations by incorporating the effects of moisture. This means that both precipitation and phase changes between a water-vapour phase (outside a cloud) and a water-vapour-plus-liquid phase (inside a cloud) are taken into account. In the dry case, provided that a Laplace equation is inverted, the quasi-geostrophic equations may be formulated as a nonlocal transport equation for a single scalar variable (the potential vorticity). In the case of the precipitating quasi-geostrophic equations, inverting the Laplacian is replaced by a more challenging adversary known as potential-vorticity-and-moisture inversion. The PDE to invert is nonlinear and piecewise elliptic with jumps in its coefficients across the cloud edge. However, its global ellipticity is a priori unclear due to the dependence of the phase boundary on the unknown itself. This is a free boundary problem where the location of the cloud edge is one of the unknowns. Potential vorticity-and-moisture inversion differs from oft-studied free-boundary problems in the literature, and here we present the first rigorous analysis of this PDE. Introducing a variational formulation of the inversion, we use tools from the calculus of variations to deduce existence and uniqueness of solutions and de Giorgi techniques to obtain sharp regularity results. In particular, we show that the gradient of the unknown pressure or streamfunction is Hölder continuous at cloud edge.

math.AP

LEMDA: A Lagrangian-Eulerian Multiscale Data Assimilation Framework

Lagrangian trajectories are widely used as observations for recovering the underlying flow field via Lagrangian data assimilation (DA). However, the strong nonlinearity in the observational process and the high dimensionality of the problems often cause challenges in applying standard Lagrangian DA. In this paper, a Lagrangian-Eulerian multiscale DA (LEMDA) framework is developed. It starts with exploiting the Boltzmann kinetic description of the particle dynamics to derive a set of continuum equations, which characterize the statistical quantities of particle motions at fixed grids and serve as Eulerian observations. Despite the nonlinearity in the continuum equations and the processes of Lagrangian observations, the time evolutions of the posterior distribution from LEMDA can be written down using closed analytic formulae. This offers an exact and efficient way of carrying out DA, which avoids using ensemble approximations and the associated tunings. The analytically solvable properties also facilitate the derivation of an effective reduced-order Lagrangian DA scheme that further enhances computational efficiency. The Lagrangian DA within the framework has advantages when a moderate number of particles is used, while the Eulerian DA can effectively save computational costs when the number of particle observations becomes large. The Eulerian DA is also valuable when particles collide, such as using sea ice floe trajectories as observations. LEMDA naturally applies to multiscale turbulent flow fields, where the Eulerian DA recovers the large-scale structures, and the Lagrangian DA efficiently resolves the small-scale features in each grid cell via parallel computing. Numerical experiments demonstrate the skilful results of LEMDA and its two components.

physics.flu-dyn

Estimating the time-evolving refractivity of a turbulent medium using optical beam measurements: a data assimilation approach

In applications such as free-space optical communication, a signal is often recovered after propagation through a turbulent medium. In this setting, it is common to assume that limited information is known about the turbulent medium, such as a space- and time-averaged statistic (e.g., root-mean-square), but without information about the state of the spatial variations. It could be helpful to gain more information if the state of the turbulent medium can be characterized with the spatial variations and evolution in time described. Here, we propose to investigate the use of data assimilation techniques for this purpose. A computational setting is used with the paraxial wave equation, and the extended Kalman filter is used to conduct data assimilation using intensity measurements. To reduce computational cost, the evolution of the turbulent medium is modeled as a stochastic process. Following some past studies, the process has only a small number of Fourier wavelengths for spatial variations. The results show that the spatial and temporal variations of the medium are recovered accurately in many cases. In some time windows in some cases, the error is larger for the recovery. Finally we discuss the potential use of the spatial variation information for aiding the recovery of the transmitted signal or beam source.

physics.optics

Non-conservation and conservation for different formulations of moist potential vorticity

Potential vorticity (PV) is one of the most important quantities in atmospheric science. The PV of each fluid parcel is known to be conserved in the case of a dry atmosphere. However, a parcel's PV is not conserved if clouds or phase changes of water occur. Recently, PV conservation laws were derived for a cloudy atmosphere, where each parcel's PV is not conserved but parcel-integrated PV is conserved, for integrals over certain volumes that move with the flow. Hence a variety of different statements are now possible for moist PV conservation and non-conservation, and in comparison to the case of a dry atmosphere, the situation for moist PV is more complex. Here, in light of this complexity, several different definitions of moist PV are compared for a cloudy atmosphere. Numerical simulations are shown for a rising thermal, both before and after the formation of a cloud. These simulations include the first computational illustration of the parcel-integrated, moist PV conservation laws. The comparisons, both theoretical and numerical, serve to clarify and highlight the different statements of conservation and non-conservation that arise for different definitions of moist PV.

physics.ao-ph

Particle-Continuum Multiscale Modeling of Sea Ice Floes

Sea ice profoundly influences the polar environment and the global climate. Traditionally, Sea ice has been modeled as a continuum under Eulerian coordinates to describe its large-scale features, using, for instance, viscous-plastic rheology. Recently, Lagrangian particle models, also known as the discrete element method (DEM) models, have been utilized for characterizing the motion of individual sea ice fragments (called floes) at scales of 10 km and smaller, especially in marginal ice zones. This paper develops a multiscale model that couples the particle and the continuum systems to facilitate an effective representation of the dynamical and statistical features of sea ice across different scales. The multiscale model exploits a Boltzmann-type system that links the particle movement with the continuum equations. For the small-scale dynamics, it describes the motion of each sea ice floe. Then, as the large-scale continuum component, it treats the statistical moments of mass density and linear and angular velocities. The evolution of these statistics affects the motion of individual floes, which in turn provides bulk feedback that adjusts the large-scale dynamics. Notably, the particle model characterizing the sea ice floes is localized and fully parallelized, in a framework that is sometimes called superparameterization, which significantly improves computation efficiency. Numerical examples demonstrate the effective performance of the multiscale model. Additionally, the study demonstrates that the multiscale model has a linear-order approximation to the truth model.

math.NA

Systematic assessment of the effects of space averaging and time averaging on weather forecast skill

Intuitively, one would expect a more skillful forecast if predicting weather averaged over one week instead of the weather averaged over one day, and similarly for different spatial averaging areas. However, there are few systematic studies of averaging and forecast skill with modern forecasts, and it is therefore not clear how much improvement in forecast performance is produced via averaging. Here we present a direct investigation of averaging effects, based on data from operational numerical weather forecasts. Data is analyzed for precipitation and surface temperature, for lead times of roughly 1 to 7 days, and for time- and space-averaging diameters of 1 to 7 days and 100 to 4500 km, respectively. For different geographic locations, the effects of time- or space-averaging can be different, and while no clear geographical pattern is seen for precipitation, a clear spatial pattern is seen for temperature. For temperature, in general, time averaging is most effective near coastlines, also effective over land, and least effective over oceans. Based on all locations globally, time averaging was less effective than one might expect. To help understand why time averaging may sometimes be minimally effective, a stochastic model is analyzed as a synthetic weather time series, and analytical formulas are presented for the decorrelation time. In effect, while time averaging creates a time series that is visually smoother, it does not necessarily cause a substantial increase in the predictability of the time series.

physics.ao-ph

Conservation laws for potential vorticity in a salty ocean or cloudy atmosphere

One of the most important conservation laws in atmospheric and oceanic science is conservation of potential vorticity. The original derivation is approximately a century old, in the work of Rossby and Ertel, and it is related to the celebrated circulation theorems of Kelvin and Bjerknes. However, the laws apply to idealized fluids, and extensions to more realistic scenarios have been problematic. Here, these laws are extended to hold with additional fundamental complexities, including salinity in the ocean, or moisture and clouds in the atmosphere. In the absence of these additional complexities, it is known that potential vorticity is conserved following each fluid parcel; here, for a salty ocean or cloudy atmosphere, the general conserved quantity is potential vorticity integrated over certain pancake-shaped volumes. Furthermore, the conservation laws are also related to a symmetry in the Lagrangian, which brings a connection to the symmetry-conservation relationships seen in other areas of physics.

physics.ao-ph

Hamilton's Principle with Phase Changes and Conservation Principles for Moist Potential Vorticity

Many definitions of moist potential vorticity (PV) have been proposed to extend the dry theory of Ertel PV. None of the moist PV definitions seem to have all of the desirable properties of the dry Ertel PV. For instance, dry PV is not only a globally conserved quantity, but also a material invariant that is conserved along fluid parcel trajectories. Therefore, an open question remains: is there a moist PV that is a material invariant, if clouds and phase changes of water are present? In prior studies, definitions of moist PV have been proposed based on physical and mathematical intuition. Here, a systematic approach is used. In particular, a particle relabeling symmetry is devised for a moist atmosphere and then Noether's theorem is employed to arrive at the associated conservation laws for moist PV. A priori, it is not clear whether this systematic approach will be viable, since it relies on variational derivatives in Hamilton's principle, and phase changes introduce singularities that could potentially prevent derivatives at cloud edge. However, it is shown that the energy and the Lagrangian density are sufficiently smooth to allow variational derivatives, in a moist Boussinesq system with reversible phase transitions between water vapor and liquid cloud water.. From the particle relabeling symmetry, a moist Kelvin circulation theorem is found, along with a moist PV conservation law that applies not for each individual parcel but for parcel-integrated PV, integrated over certain local volumes.

physics.ao-ph

Superfloe Parameterization with Physics Constraints for Uncertainty Quantification of Sea Ice Floes

The discrete element method (DEM) is providing a new modeling approach for describing sea ice dynamics. It exploits particle-based methods to characterize the physical quantities of each sea ice floe along its trajectory under Lagrangian coordinates. One major challenge in applying the DEM models is the heavy computational cost when the number of floes becomes large. In this paper, an efficient Lagrangian parameterization algorithm is developed, which aims at reducing the computational cost of simulating the DEM models while preserving the key features of the sea ice. The new parameterization takes advantage of a small number of artificial ice floes, named the superfloes, to effectively approximate a considerable number of the floes, where the parameterization scheme satisfies several important physics constraints. The physics constraints guarantee the superfloe parameterized system will have similar short-term dynamical behavior as the full system. These constraints also allow the superfloe parameterized system to accurately quantify the long-range uncertainty, especially the non-Gaussian statistical features, of the full system. In addition, the superfloe parameterization facilitates a systematic noise inflation strategy that significantly advances an ensemble-based data assimilation algorithm for recovering the unobserved ocean field underneath the sea ice. Such a new noise inflation method avoids ad hoc tunings as in many traditional algorithms and is computationally extremely efficient. Numerical experiments based on an idealized DEM model with multiscale features illustrate the success of the superfloe parameterization in quantifying the uncertainty and assimilating both the sea ice and the associated ocean field.

math.NA

Convergence of Rain Process Models to Point Processes

A moisture process with dynamics that switch after hitting a threshold gives rise to a rainfall process. This rainfall process is characterized by its random holding times for dry and wet periods. On average, the holding times for the wet periods are much shorter than the dry. Here convergence is shown for the rain fall process to a point process that is a spike train. The underlying moisture process for the point process is a threshold model with a teleporting boundary condition. This approximation allows simplification of the model with many exact formulas for statistics. The convergence is shown by a Fokker-Planck derivation, convergence in mean-square with respect to continuous functions, of the moisture process, and convergence in mean-square with respect to generalized functions, of the rain process.

math.PR

Nonlinear traveling waves for the skeleton of the Madden-Julian oscillation

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is the dominant component of intraseasonal (30-90 days) variability in the tropical atmosphere. Here, traveling wave solutions are presented for the MJO skeleton model of Majda and Stechmann. The model is a system of nonlinear partial differential equations that describe the evolution of the tropical atmosphere on planetary (10,000-40,000 km) spatial scales. The nonlinear traveling waves come in four types, corresponding to the four types of linear wave solutions, one of which has the properties of the MJO. In the MJO traveling wave, the convective activity has a pulse-like shape, with a narrow region of enhanced convection and a wide region of suppressed convection. Furthermore, an amplitude-dependent dispersion relation is derived, and it shows that the nonlinear MJO has a lower frequency and slower propagation speed than the linear MJO. By taking the small-amplitude limit, an analytic formula is also derived for the dispersion relation of linear waves. To derive all of these results, a key aspect is the model's conservation of energy, which holds even in the presence of forcing. In the limit of weak forcing, it is shown that the nonlinear traveling waves have a simple sech-squared waveform.

physics.ao-ph

Multiscale Asymptotics for the Skeleton of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Tropical-Extratropical Interactions

A new model is derived and analyzed for tropical-extratropical interactions involving the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO). The model combines (i) the tropical dynamics of the MJO and equatorial baroclinic waves and (ii) the dynamics of barotropic Rossby waves with significant extratropical structure, and the combined system has a conserved energy. The method of multiscale asymptotics is applied to systematically derive a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) for three-wave resonant interactions. Two novel features are (i) a degenerate auxiliary problem with overdetermined equations due to a compatibility condition (meridional geostrophic balance) and (ii) cubic self-interaction terms that are not typically found in three-wave resonance ODEs. Several examples illustrate applications to MJO initiation and termination, including cases of (i) the MJO, equatorial baroclinic Rossby waves, and barotropic Rossby waves interacting, and (ii) the MJO, baroclinic Kelvin waves, and barotropic Rossby waves interacting. Resonance with the Kelvin wave is not possible here if only dry variables are considered, but it occurs in the moist model here through interactions with water vapor and convective activity.

physics.ao-ph

Reduced Singular Solutions of EPDiff Equations on Manifolds with Symmetry

The EPDiff equation governs geodesic flow on the diffeomorphisms with respect to a chosen metric, which is typically a Sobolev norm on the tangent space of vector fields. EPDiff admits a remarkable ansatz for its singular solutions, called ``diffeons,'' whose momenta are supported on embedded subspaces of the ambient space. Diffeons are true solitons for some choices of the norm. The diffeon solution ansatz is a momentum map. Consequently. the diffeons evolve according to canonical Hamiltonian equations. We examine diffeon solutions on Einstein spaces that are "mostly" symmetric, i.e., whose quotient by a subgroup of the isometry group is 1-dimensional. An example is the two-sphere, whose isometry group $\SO{3}$ contains $S^1$. In this situation, the singular diffeons (called ``Puckons'') are supported on latitudes (``girdles'') of the sphere. For this $S^1$ symmetry of the two-sphere, the canonical Hamiltonian dynamics for Puckons reduces from integral partial differential equations to a dynamical system of ordinary differential equations for their colatitudes. Explicit examples are computed numerically for the motion and interaction of the Puckons on the sphere with respect to the $H^1$ norm. We analyse this case and several other 2-dimensional examples. From consideration of these 2-dimensional spaces, we outline the theory for reduction of diffeons on a general manifold possessing a metric equivalent to the warped product of the line with the bi-invariant metric of a Lie group.

nlin.PS

Hasimoto Transformation and Vortex Soliton Motion Driven by Fluid Helicity

Vorticity filament motions with respect to the Dirac bracket of Rasetti and Regge [1975] are known to be related to the nonlinear Schrödinger equation by the Hasimoto transformation (HT), when the Hamiltonian is the Local Induction Approximation (LIA) of the kinetic energy. We show that when the Hamiltonian is the LIA of Euler-fluid helicity $\int\mathbf{u}\cdot {\rm curl} \mathbf{u}$, the vorticity filament equation of motion under the Rasetti-Regge Dirac bracket is mapped by HT to the integrable complex modified Korteweg-de Vries (cmKdV) equation, the second equation in the nonlinear Schrödinger hierarchy.

nlin.SI