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Sarafa Iyaniwura

Publications and source records attributed to Sarafa Iyaniwura.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

A multiscale framework integrating within-host infection kinetics with airborne transmission dynamics

Coupling within-host infection dynamics with population-level transmission remains a major challenge in infectious disease modeling, especially for airborne pathogens with potential to spread indoor. The frequent emergence of such diseases highlight the need for integrated frameworks that capture both individual-level infection kinetics and between-host transmission. While analytical models for each scale exist, tractable approaches that link them remain limited. In this study, we present a novel multiscale mathematical framework that integrates within-host infection kinetics with airborne transmission dynamics. The model represents each host as a patch and couples a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) describing in-host infection kinetics with a diffusion-based partial differential equation (PDE) for airborne pathogen movement in enclosed spaces. These scales are linked through boundary conditions on each patch boundary, representing viral shedding and inhalation. Using matched asymptotic analysis in the regime of intermediate diffusivity, we derived a nonlinear ODE model from the coupled ODE-PDE system that retains spatial heterogeneity through Neumann Green's functions. We established the existence, uniqueness, and boundedness of solutions to the reduced model and analyzed within-host infection kinetics as functions of the airborne pathogen diffusion rate and host spatial configuration. In the well-mixed limit, the model recovers the classical target cell limited viral dynamics framework. Overall, the proposed multiscale modeling approach enables the simultaneous study of transient within-host infection dynamics and population-level disease spread, providing a tractable yet biologically grounded framework for investigating airborne disease transmission in indoor environments.

math.AP↗

Simulation and Optimization of Mean First Passage Time Problems in 2-D using Numerical Embedded Methods and Perturbation Theory

We develop novel numerical methods and perturbation approaches to determine the mean first passage time (MFPT) for a Brownian particle to be captured by either small stationary or mobile traps inside a bounded 2-D confining domain. Of particular interest is to identify optimal arrangements of small absorbing traps that minimize the average MFPT. Although the MFPT, and the associated optimal trap arrangement problem, has been well-studied for disk-shaped domains, there are very few analytical or numerical results available for general star-shaped domains or for thin domains with large aspect ratio. Analytical progress is challenging owing to the need to determine the Neumann Green's function for the Laplacian, while the numerical challenge results from a lack of easy-to-use and fast numerical tools for first computing the MFPT and then optimizing over a class of trap configurations. In this direction, and for the stationary trap problem, we develop a simple embedded numerical method, based on the Closest Point Method (CPM), to perform MFPT simulations on elliptical and star-shaped domains. For periodic mobile trap problems, we develop a robust CPM method to compute the average MFPT. Optimal trap arrangements are identified numerically through either a refined discrete sampling approach or from a particle-swarm optimization procedure. To confirm some of the numerical findings, novel perturbation approaches are developed to approximate the average MFPT and identify optimal trap configurations for a class of near-disk confining domains or for an arbitrary thin domain of large aspect ratio.

math.NA↗