SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Sarah Lumpp

Publications and source records attributed to Sarah Lumpp.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Identifiability in Graphical Discrete Lyapunov Models

In this paper, we study discrete Lyapunov models, which consist of steady-state distributions of first-order vector autoregressive models. The parameter matrix of such a model encodes a directed graph whose vertices correspond to the components of the random vector. This combinatorial framework naturally allows for cycles in the graph structure. We focus on the fundamental problem of identifying the entries of the parameter matrix. In contrast to the classical setting, we assume non-Gaussian error terms, which allows us to use the higher-order cumulants of the model. In this setup, we show generic identifiability for directed acyclic graphs with self-loops at each vertex and show how to express the parameters as a rational function of the cumulants. Furthermore, we establish local identifiability for all directed graphs containing self loops at each vertex and no isolated vertices. Finally, we provide first results on the defining equations of the models, showing model equivalence for certain graphs and paving the way towards structure learning.

math.ST

Efficient Learning of Stationary Diffusions with Stein-type Discrepancies

Learning a stationary diffusion amounts to estimating the parameters of a stochastic differential equation whose stationary distribution matches a target distribution. We build on the recently introduced kernel deviation from stationarity (KDS), which enforces stationarity by evaluating expectations of the diffusion's generator in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Leveraging the connection between KDS and Stein discrepancies, we introduce the Stein-type KDS (SKDS) as an alternative formulation. We prove that a vanishing SKDS guarantees alignment of the learned diffusion's stationary distribution with the target. Furthermore, under broad parametrizations, SKDS is convex with an empirical version that is $\epsilon$-quasiconvex with high probability. Empirically, learning with SKDS attains comparable accuracy to KDS while substantially reducing computational cost and yields improvements over the majority of competitive baselines.

stat.ML

On weak convergence of Gaussian conditional distributions

Weak convergence of joint distributions generally does not imply convergence of conditional distributions. In particular, conditional distributions need not converge when joint Gaussian distributions converge to a singular Gaussian limit. Algebraically, this is due to the fact that at singular covariance matrices, Schur complements are not continuous functions of the matrix entries. Our results lay out special conditions under which convergence of Gaussian conditional distributions nevertheless occurs, and we exemplify how this allows one to reason about conditional independence in a new class of graphical models.

math.ST

Conditional Independence in Stationary Diffusions

Stationary distributions of multivariate diffusion processes have recently been proposed as probabilistic models of causal systems in statistics and machine learning. Motivated by these developments, we study stationary multivariate diffusion processes with a sparsely structured drift. Our main result gives a characterization of the conditional independence relations that hold in a stationary distribution. The result draws on a graphical representation of the drift structure and pertains to conditional independence relations that hold generally as a consequence of the drift's sparsity pattern.

math.ST