arXiv subjects

Satoshi Tobe

Publications and source records attributed to Satoshi Tobe.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2023

Singapore's Role for ASEAN's Portfolio Investment

We investigate the elasticity of portfolio investment of ASEAN and OECD members to geographical distance in a gravity model utilizing a bilateral panel of 86 reporting and 241 counterparty countries/territories for 2007-2017. We find that the elasticity is more negative for ASEAN than OECD members. The difference is larger if we exclude Singapore. This indicates that Singapore's behavior is distinct from other ASEAN members. While Singapore tends to invest in distant OECD countries, other ASEAN members tend to invest in nearby countries. Our study sheds light on the role of a regional financial center in global finance.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2021

Does Foreign Debt Contribute to Economic Growth?

We study the relationship between foreign debt and GDP growth using a panel dataset of 50 countries from 1997 to 2015. We find that economic growth correlates positively with foreign debt and that the relationship is causal in nature by using the sovereign credit default swap spread as an instrumental variable. Furthermore, we find that foreign debt increases investment and then GDP growth in subsequent years. Our findings suggest that lower sovereign default risks lead to higher foreign debt contributing to GDP growth more in OECD than non-OECD countries.

econ.GN↗