arXiv subjects

Sebastián Bouzat

Publications and source records attributed to Sebastián Bouzat.

10 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Analysis of non pharmaceutical interventions with SIR epidemic models: decreasing the infection peak vs. minimizing the epidemic size

This study investigates the influence of different types of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on epidemic progression using SIR compartmental models. We analyze the optimization of two distinct targets: the final epidemic size and the infection peak, particularly how they respond to variations in the initiation time of the NPIs. We derive analytical approximations for the critical points of the infection curve of the standard mean-field SIR model with NPIs, and for the epidemic size, enabling a systematic comparison. The analytical results reveal the existence of six different allowed scenarios for the evolution of the epidemic with a single NPI. Furthermore, by employing degree-based mean-field network models, we distinguish between NPIs that decrease the transmission rate (individual and environmental measures) and those that reduce social contacts (lock down measures). We find that, when assuming equal effects on the reproductive number, the former are more efficient in reducing the final epidemic size. Meanwhile, the effectivities of both types of NPIs differ in reducing primary and secondary peaks. The results for all models consistently confirm that minimizing the infection peak requires earlier implementation of the NPI than minimizing the epidemic size, offering new insights for strategic public health timing.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2024

Pedestrian evacuations with imitation of cooperative behavior

We analyze the dynamics of room evacuation for mixed populations that include both competitive and cooperative individuals through numerical simulations using the social force model. Cooperative agents represent well-trained individuals who know how to behave in order to reduce risks within high-density crowds. We consider that competitive agents can imitate cooperative behavior when they are in close proximity to cooperators. We study the effects of the imitation of cooperative behavior on the duration and safety of evacuations, analyzing evacuation time and other quantities of interest for varying parameters such as the proportions of mixing, the aspect ratio of the room, and the parameters characterizing individual behaviors. Our main findings reveal that the addition of a relatively small number of cooperative agents into a crowd can reduce evacuation time and the density near the exit door, making the evacuation faster and safer despite an increase in the total number of agents. In particular, for long spaces such as corridors, a small number of added cooperative agents can significantly facilitate the evacuation process. We compare our results with those of systems without imitation and also study the general role of cooperation, providing further analysis for homogeneous populations. Our main conclusions emphasize the potential relevance of training people how to behave in high-density crowds

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2021

On the use of magnetic particles to enhance the flow of vibrated grains through narrow apertures

The flow of grains through narrow apertures posses an extraordinary challenge: clogging. Strategies to alleviate the effect of clogging, such as the use of external vibration, are always part of the design of machinery for the handling of bulk materials. It has recently been shown that one way to reduce clogging is to use a small fraction of small particles as an additive. Besides, several works reported that self-repelling magnetic grains can flow through narrow apertures with little clogging, which suggest these are excellent candidates as "lubricating" additives for other granular materials. In this work, we study the effect of adding self-repelling magnetic particles to a sample of grains in two-dimensions. We find that, in contrast with intuition, the added magnetic grains not necessarily aid the flow of the original species.

cond-mat.soft↗

arXiv2021

Enhancement of the flow of vibrated grains through narrow apertures by addition of small particles

We analyze the flow and clogging of circular grains passing through a small aperture under vibration in two dimensions. Via Discrete Element Method simulations, we show that when grains smaller than the original ones are introduced in the system as an additive, the net flow of the original species can be significantly increased. Moreover, there is an optimal radius of the additive particles that maximizes the effect. This finding may constitute the basis for technological applications not only concerning the flow of granular materials but also regarding active matter, including pedestrian evacuation.

cond-mat.soft↗

arXiv2018

A counterintuitive way to speed up pedestrian and granular bottleneck flows prone to clogging: Can 'more' escape faster?

Dense granular flows through constrictions, as well as competitive pedestrian evacuations, are hindered by a propensity to form clogs. We usesimulations of model pedestrians and experiments with granular disks to explore an original strategy to speed up these flows, which consists in including contact-averse entities in the assembly. On the basis of a minimal cellular automaton and a continuous agent-based model for pedestrian evacuation dynamics, we find that the inclusion of polite pedestrians amid a given competitive crowd fails to reduce the evacuation time when the constriction (the doorway) is acceptably large. This is not surprising, because adding agents makes the crowd larger. In contrast, when the door is so narrow that it can accommodate at most one or two agents at a time, our strategy succeeds in substantially curbing long-lived clogs and speeding up the evacuation. A similar effect is seen experimentally in a vibrated two-dimensional hopper flow with an opening narrower than 3 disk diameters. Indeed, by adding to the initial collection of neutral disks a large fraction of magnetic ones, interacting repulsively, we observe a shortening of the time intervals between successive egresses of neutral disks, as reflected by the study of their probability distribution. On a more qualitative note, our study suggests that the much discussed analogy between pedestrian flows and granular flows could be extended to some behavioural traits of individual pedestrians.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2018

Inertial movements of the iris as the origin of post-saccadic oscillations

The use of eye-tracking techniques is becoming rapidly extended because of its relevance for acquiring information about cognition and behavior. Recent studies indicate that a correct characterization of the motion of the pupil inside the eyeball is needed, because this motion influences the eye-tracking results. In this work we face this problem and we develop a model that reproduces several findings of recent experiments on saccadic movements. In particular, the dependence of the amplitude and period of the post saccadic oscillations on the saccade size, as well as that of the peak velocity. Our results suggest that post saccadic oscillations could obey mainly to inertial phenomena experimented by the inner part of the iris when the eyeball rotates.

physics.bio-ph↗

arXiv2017

Pedestrian flows through a narrow doorway: Effect of individual behaviours on the global flow and microscopic dynamics

We study the dynamics of pedestrian evacuations through a narrow doorway by means of controlled experiments. The influence of the pedestrians' behaviours is investigated by prescribing a selfish attitude to a fraction c\_s of the participants, while the others behave politely. Thanks to an original setup enabling the re-injection of egressed participants into the room, the analysis is conducted in a (macroscopically) quasi-stationary regime. We find that, as c\_s is increased, the flow rate J rises, interpolating between published values for egresses in normal conditions and measurements for competitive evacuations. The dependence of several flow properties on the pedestrian density $ρ$ at the door, independently of c\_s , suggests that macroscopically the behavioural aspects could be subsumed under the density, at least in our specific settings with limited crowd pressure. In particular, under these conditions, J grows monotonically with $ρ$ up to "close-packing" ($ρ$ $\approx$ 9 pers/m${}^2$). The flow is then characterised microscopically. Among other quantities, the time lapses between successive escapes, the pedestrians' waiting times in front of the door, and their angles of incidence are analysed statistically. In a nutshell, our main results show that the flow is orderly for polite crowds, with narrowly distributed time lapses between egresses, while for larger c\_s the flow gets disorderly and vanishing time lapses emerge. For all c\_s , we find an alternation between short and long time lapses, which we ascribe to a generalised zipper effect. The average waiting time in the exit zone increases with its occupancy. The disorder in the flow and the pressure felt by participants are also assessed.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2016

Influence of selfish and polite behaviours on a pedestrian evacuation through a narrow exit: A quantitative characterisation

We study the influence of selfish vs. polite behaviours on the dynamics of a pedestrian evacuation through a narrow exit. To this end, experiments involving about 80 participants with distinct prescribed behaviours are performed; reinjection of participants into the setup allowed us to improve the statistics. Notwithstanding the fluctuations in the instantaneous flow rate, we find that a stationary regime is almost immediately reached. The average flow rate increases monotonically with the fraction c\_s of vying (selfish) pedestrians, which corresponds to a "faster-is-faster" effect in our experimental conditions; it is also positively correlated with the average density of pedestrians in front of the door, up to nearly close-packing. At large c\_s , the flow displays marked intermittency, with bursts of quasi-simultaneous escapes. In addition to these findings, we wonder whether the effect of cooperation is specific to systems of intelligent beings, or whether it can be reproduced by a purely mechanical surrogate. To this purpose, we consider a bidimensional granular flow through an orifice in which some grains are made "cooperative" by repulsive magnetic interactions which impede their mutual collisions.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2016

Effects of individual attitudes and motion decisions in room evacuation models

In this work we present a model for the evacuation of pedestrians from an enclosure considering a continuous space substrate and discrete time. We analyze the influence of behavioral features that affect the use of the empty space, that can be linked to the attitudes or characters of the pedestrians. We study how the interaction of different behavioral profiles affects the needed time to evacuate completely a room and the occurrence of clogging. We find that neither fully egotistic nor fully cooperative attitudes are optimal from the point of view of the crowd. In contrast, intermediate behaviors provide lower evacuation times. This lead us to identify some phenomena closely analogous to the {\em faster-is-slower} effect. The proposed model enables for the introduction of Game Theory elements to solve conflicts between pedestrians which try to occupy the same space. Moreover, it allows for distinguishing between the role of the attitudes in the search for empty space and the attitudes in the conflicts. In the present version we only focus on the first of these instances.

nlin.CG↗

arXiv2016

Statistical fluctuations in pedestrian evacuation times and the effect of social contagion

Mathematical models of pedestrian evacuation and the associated simulation software have become essential tools for the assessment of the safety of public facilities and buildings. While a variety of models are now available, their calibration and test against empirical data are generally restricted to global, averaged quantities, the statistics compiled from the time series of individual escapes (" microscopic " statistics) measured in recent experiments are thus overlooked. In the same spirit, much research has primarily focused on the average global evacuation time, whereas the whole distribution of evacuation times over some set of realizations should matter. In the present paper we propose and discuss the validity of a simple relation between this distribution and the " microscopic " statistics, which is theoretically valid in the absence of correlations. To this purpose, we develop a minimal cellular automaton, with novel features that afford a semi-quantitative reproduction of the experimental " microscopic " statistics. We then introduce a process of social contagion of impatient behavior in the model and show that the simple relation under test may dramatically fail at high contagion strengths, the latter being responsible for the emergence of strong correlations in the system. We conclude with comments on the potential practical relevance for safety science of calculations based on " microscopic " statistics.

nlin.CG↗