arXiv subjects

Sebastian R. van der Voort

Publications and source records attributed to Sebastian R. van der Voort.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Towards Trustworthy AI for Glioma Diagnosis: A Task-Aware Evaluation of Uncertainty Quantification

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a key requirement for trustworthy AI in high-stakes medical image analysis. In this work, we evaluate UQ in a multi-task Deep Learning framework for MRI-based glioma diagnosis that performs tumor segmentation and predicts IDH mutation status, 1p/19q co-deletion status, and tumor grade. Monte Carlo Dropout (MCD) is used for a detailed task-aware analysis of predictive, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty. We assess MC sample convergence, calibration, error detection, selective prediction, associations with segmentation performance, and the effect of voxel-wise uncertainty aggregation on case-level reliability. We also compare MCD with Deep Ensembles (DE) and Monte Carlo Deep Ensembles (MCDE), examine interactions between segmentation quality and classification, and evaluate a composite trust score integrating segmentation and classification uncertainty. Across tasks, uncertainty estimates supported meaningful error detection, while calibration depended on the dropout rate, with moderate rates yielding the most reliable probabilities. Uncertainty decomposition provided task-dependent interpretability but did not consistently improve error detection over predictive uncertainty alone. DE and MCDE showed comparable operational utility, with no method consistently dominating across tasks and metrics. The composite trust score did not consistently outperform classification uncertainty for selective prediction. Overall, our results provide a task-aware evaluation strategy and practical guidance for the development of trustworthy AI for glioma diagnosis.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

An automated machine learning framework to optimize radiomics model construction validated on twelve clinical applications

Predicting clinical outcomes from medical images using quantitative features (``radiomics'') requires many method design choices, Currently, in new clinical applications, finding the optimal radiomics method out of the wide range of methods relies on a manual, heuristic trial-and-error process. We introduce a novel automated framework that optimizes radiomics workflow construction per application by standardizing the radiomics workflow in modular components, including a large collection of algorithms for each component, and formulating a combined algorithm selection and hyperparameter optimization problem. To solve it, we employ automated machine learning through two strategies (random search and Bayesian optimization) and three ensembling approaches. Results show that a medium-sized random search and straight-forward ensembling perform similar to more advanced methods while being more efficient. Validated across twelve clinical applications, our approach outperforms both a radiomics baseline and human experts. Concluding, our framework improves and streamlines radiomics research by fully automatically optimizing radiomics workflow construction. To facilitate reproducibility, we publicly release six datasets, software of the method, and code to reproduce this study.

eess.IV↗

arXiv2022

Computer-aided diagnosis and prediction in brain disorders

Computer-aided methods have shown added value for diagnosing and predicting brain disorders and can thus support decision making in clinical care and treatment planning. This chapter will provide insight into the type of methods, their working, their input data - such as cognitive tests, imaging and genetic data - and the types of output they provide. We will focus on specific use cases for diagnosis, i.e. estimating the current 'condition' of the patient, such as early detection and diagnosis of dementia, differential diagnosis of brain tumours, and decision making in stroke. Regarding prediction, i.e. estimation of the future 'condition' of the patient, we will zoom in on use cases such as predicting the disease course in multiple sclerosis and predicting patient outcomes after treatment in brain cancer. Furthermore, based on these use cases, we will assess the current state-of-the-art methodology and highlight current efforts on benchmarking of these methods and the importance of open science therein. Finally, we assess the current clinical impact of computer-aided methods and discuss the required next steps to increase clinical impact.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Evaluating glioma growth predictions as a forward ranking problem

The problem of tumor growth prediction is challenging, but promising results have been achieved with both model-driven and statistical methods. In this work, we present a framework for the evaluation of growth predictions that focuses on the spatial infiltration patterns, and specifically evaluating a prediction of future growth. We propose to frame the problem as a ranking problem rather than a segmentation problem. Using the average precision as a metric, we can evaluate the results with segmentations while using the full spatiotemporal prediction. Furthermore, by separating the model goodness-of-fit from future predictive performance, we show that in some cases, a better fit of model parameters does not guarantee a better the predictive power.

eess.IV↗

arXiv2020

WHO 2016 subtyping and automated segmentation of glioma using multi-task deep learning

Accurate characterization of glioma is crucial for clinical decision making. A delineation of the tumor is also desirable in the initial decision stages but is a time-consuming task. Leveraging the latest GPU capabilities, we developed a single multi-task convolutional neural network that uses the full 3D, structural, pre-operative MRI scans to can predict the IDH mutation status, the 1p/19q co-deletion status, and the grade of a tumor, while simultaneously segmenting the tumor. We trained our method using the largest, most diverse patient cohort to date containing 1508 glioma patients from 16 institutes. We tested our method on an independent dataset of 240 patients from 13 different institutes, and achieved an IDH-AUC of 0.90, 1p/19q-AUC of 0.85, grade-AUC of 0.81, and a mean whole tumor DICE score of 0.84. Thus, our method non-invasively predicts multiple, clinically relevant parameters and generalizes well to the broader clinical population.

eess.IV↗