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Sebastiano Grazzi

Publications and source records attributed to Sebastiano Grazzi.

11 recordsLinked to original sources

Hamiltonian dynamics for sampling on discrete spaces

We develop a general class of non-reversible Hamiltonian Monte Carlo dynamics on discrete state spaces. The method augments the discrete state with a continuous momentum variable and does not require a continuous embedding of the discrete state space. We establish conditions for invariance of the target distribution and study the resulting processes in terms of ergodicity, exponential contractivity, asymptotic variance and relaxation time. We then derive scaling limits on increasingly fine lattices and high-dimensional hypercubes. In both settings, suitable rescalings converge to Hamiltonian dynamics in continuous space, revealing a diffusive-to-ballistic speed-up over reversible samplers, even for heterogeneous target distributions where standard non-reversible methods become diffusive. The proposed dynamics can be simulated exactly in continuous time, given access to the target distribution at all neighbours of the current state. To reduce computational cost, we provide approximation schemes based on splitting, $\tau$-leaping and gradient approximations. We illustrate the proposed framework numerically on examples involving high-dimensional hypercubes, mixture models and permutations.

math.ST

On micromodes in Bayesian posterior distributions and their implications for MCMC

We investigate the existence and severity of local modes in posterior distributions from Bayesian analyses. These are known to occur in posterior tails resulting from heavy-tailed error models such as those used in robust regression. To understand this phenomenon clearly, we consider in detail location models with Student-$t$ errors in dimension $d$ with sample size $n$. For sufficiently heavy-tailed data-generating distributions, extreme observations become increasingly isolated as $n \to \infty$. We show that each such observation induces a unique local posterior mode with probability tending to $1$. We refer to such a local mode as a micromode. These micromodes are typically small in height but their domains of attraction are large and grow polynomially with $n$. We then connect this posterior geometry to computation. We establish an Arrhenius law for the time taken by one-dimensional piecewise deterministic Monte Carlo algorithms to exit these micromodes. Our analysis identifies a phase transition where a misspecified and overly underdispersed model causes exit times to increase sharply, leading to a pronounced deterioration in sampling performance.

math.ST

On randomized step sizes in Metropolis-Hastings algorithms

The performance of Metropolis-Hastings algorithms is highly sensitive to the choice of step size, and miss-specification can lead to severe loss of efficiency. We study algorithms with randomized step sizes, considering both auxiliary-variable and marginalized constructions. We show that algorithms with a randomized step size inherit weak Poincar\'e inequalities/spectral gaps from their fixed-step-size counterparts under minimal conditions, and that the marginalized kernel should always be preferred in terms of asymptotic variance to the auxiliary-variable choice if it is implementable. In addition we show that both types of randomization make an algorithm robust to tuning, meaning that spectral gaps decay polynomially as the step size is increasingly poorly chosen. We further show that step-size randomization often preserves high-dimensional scaling limits and algorithmic complexity, while increasing the optimal acceptance rate for Langevin and Hamiltonian samplers when an Exponential or Uniform distribution is chosen to randomize the step size. Theoretical results are complemented with a numerical study on challenging benchmarks such as Poisson regression, Neal's funnel and the Rosenbrock (banana) distribution.

stat.CO

Sub-Cauchy Sampling: Escaping the Dark Side of the Moon

We introduce a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm based on Sub-Cauchy Projection, a geometric transformation that generalizes stereographic projection by mapping Euclidean space into a spherical cap of a hyper-sphere, referred to as the complement of the dark side of the moon. We prove that our proposed method is uniformly ergodic for sub-Cauchy targets, namely targets whose tails are at most as heavy as a multidimensional Cauchy distribution, and show empirically its performance for challenging high-dimensional problems. The simplicity and broad applicability of our approach open new opportunities for Bayesian modeling and computation with heavy-tailed distributions in settings where most existing methods are unreliable.

stat.CO

A discomfort-informed adaptive Gibbs sampler for finite mixture models

Finite mixture models are frequently used to uncover latent structures in high-dimensional datasets (e.g.\ identifying clusters of patients in electronic health records). The inference of such structures can be performed in a Bayesian framework, and involves the use of sampling algorithms such as Gibbs samplers aimed at deriving posterior distribution of the probabilities of observations to belong to specific clusters. Unfortunately, traditional implementations of Gibbs samplers in this context often face critical challenges, such as inefficient use of computational resources and unnecessary updates for observations that are highly likely to remain in their current cluster. This paper introduces a new adaptive Gibbs sampler that improves the convergence efficiency over existing methods. In particular, our sampler is guided by a function that, at each iteration, uses the past of the chain to focus the updating on observations potentially misclassified in the current clustering, i.e.\ those with a low probability of belonging to their current component. Through simulation studies and two real data analyses, we empirically demonstrate that, in terms of convergence time, our method tends to perform more efficiently compared to state-of-the-art approaches.

stat.ME

Parallel computations for Metropolis Markov chains with Picard maps

We develop parallel algorithms for simulating zeroth-order (aka gradient-free) Metropolis Markov chains based on the Picard map. For Random Walk Metropolis Markov chains targeting log-concave distributions $\pi$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, our algorithm generates samples close to $\pi$ in $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{d})$ parallel iterations with $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{d})$ processors, therefore speeding up the convergence of the corresponding sequential implementation by a factor $\sqrt{d}$. Furthermore, a modification of our algorithm generates samples from an approximate measure $ \pi_r$ in $\mathcal{O}(1)$ parallel iterations and $\mathcal{O}(d)$ processors. We empirically assess the performance of the proposed algorithms in high-dimensional regression problems, an epidemic model where the gradient is unavailable and a real-word application in precision medicine. Our algorithms are straightforward to implement and may constitute a useful tool for practitioners seeking to sample from a prescribed distribution $\pi$ using only point-wise evaluations of $\log\pi$ and parallel computing.

stat.CO

Stochastic Gradient Piecewise Deterministic Monte Carlo Samplers

Recent work has suggested using Monte Carlo methods based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) to sample from target distributions of interest. PDMPs are non-reversible continuous-time processes endowed with momentum, and hence can mix better than standard reversible MCMC samplers. Furthermore, they can incorporate exact sub-sampling schemes which only require access to a single (randomly selected) data point at each iteration, yet without introducing bias to the algorithm's stationary distribution. However, the range of models for which PDMPs can be used, particularly with sub-sampling, is limited. We propose approximate simulation of PDMPs with sub-sampling for scalable sampling from posterior distributions. The approximation takes the form of an Euler approximation to the true PDMP dynamics, and involves using an estimate of the gradient of the log-posterior based on a data sub-sample. We thus call this class of algorithms stochastic-gradient PDMPs. Importantly, the trajectories of stochastic-gradient PDMPs are continuous and can leverage recent ideas for sampling from measures with continuous and atomic components. We show these methods are easy to implement, present results on their approximation error and demonstrate numerically that this class of algorithms has similar efficiency to, but is more robust than, stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics.

stat.ML

Methods and applications of PDMP samplers with boundary conditions

We extend Monte Carlo samplers based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP samplers) by formally defining different boundary conditions such as sticky floors, soft and hard walls and teleportation portals. This allows PDMP samplers to target measures with piecewise-smooth densities relative to mixtures of Dirac and continuous components and measures supported on disconnected regions or regions which are difficult to reach with continuous paths. This is achieved by specifying the transition kernel which governs the behaviour of standard PDMPs when reaching a boundary. We determine a sufficient condition for the kernel at the boundary in terms of the skew-detailed balance condition and give concrete examples. The probabilities to cross a boundary can be tuned by introducing a piecewise constant speed-up function which modifies the velocity of the process upon crossing the boundary without extra computational cost. We apply this new class of processes to two illustrative applications in epidemiology and statistical mechanics.

stat.CO

Sticky PDMP samplers for sparse and local inference problems

We construct a new class of efficient Monte Carlo methods based on continuous-time piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) suitable for inference in high dimensional sparse models, i.e. models for which there is prior knowledge that many coordinates are likely to be exactly $0$. This is achieved with the fairly simple idea of endowing existing PDMP samplers with 'sticky' coordinate axes, coordinate planes etc. Upon hitting those subspaces, an event is triggered during which the process sticks to the subspace, this way spending some time in a sub-model. This results in non-reversible jumps between different (sub-)models. While we show that PDMP samplers in general can be made sticky, we mainly focus on the Zig-Zag sampler. Compared to the Gibbs sampler for variable selection, we heuristically derive favourable dependence of the Sticky Zig-Zag sampler on dimension and data size. The computational efficiency of the Sticky Zig-Zag sampler is further established through numerical experiments where both the sample size and the dimension of the parameter space are large.

stat.CO

The Boomerang Sampler

This paper introduces the Boomerang Sampler as a novel class of continuous-time non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. The methodology begins by representing the target density as a density, $e^{-U}$, with respect to a prescribed (usually) Gaussian measure and constructs a continuous trajectory consisting of a piecewise elliptical path. The method moves from one elliptical orbit to another according to a rate function which can be written in terms of $U$. We demonstrate that the method is easy to implement and demonstrate empirically that it can out-perform existing benchmark piecewise deterministic Markov processes such as the bouncy particle sampler and the Zig-Zag. In the Bayesian statistics context, these competitor algorithms are of substantial interest in the large data context due to the fact that they can adopt data subsampling techniques which are exact (ie induce no error in the stationary distribution). We demonstrate theoretically and empirically that we can also construct a control-variate subsampling boomerang sampler which is also exact, and which possesses remarkable scaling properties in the large data limit. We furthermore illustrate a factorised version on the simulation of diffusion bridges.

stat.CO

A piecewise deterministic Monte Carlo method for diffusion bridges

We introduce the use of the Zig-Zag sampler to the problem of sampling conditional diffusion processes (diffusion bridges). The Zig-Zag sampler is a rejection-free sampling scheme based on a non-reversible continuous piecewise deterministic Markov process. Similar to the L\'evy-Ciesielski construction of a Brownian motion, we expand the diffusion path in a truncated Faber-Schauder basis. The coefficients within the basis are sampled using a Zig-Zag sampler. A key innovation is the use of the fully local Algorithm for the Zig-Zag sampler that allows to exploit the sparsity structure implied by the dependency graph of the coefficients and by the subsampling technique to reduce the complexity of the algorithm. We illustrate the performance of the proposed methods in a number of examples.

math.ST