arXiv subjects

Sebastien Peirani

Publications and source records attributed to Sebastien Peirani.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

The LISA Astrophysics MBHcatalogues Project: A comparison of predictions of simulated massive black hole binaries

In the hierarchical paradigm of galaxy formation, central massive black holes (MBHs) are expected to coalesce after the merger of their host galaxies. One of the main goals of the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) is to constrain the origin and growth of MBHs through their merger rates and mass distribution. Predicting MBH merger rates requires not only tracing their statistical population from large to small physical scales (kpc to sub-pc) but also modelling their formation, accretion, dynamics, mergers, and their galactic physical processes across cosmic time. This project is the result of a large collaborative effort undertaken by the LISA Astrophysics Working Group, bringing together its collective expertise on MBH formation, evolution, and modelling, to build a comprehensive understanding of MBH merger rates across cosmic time. The project compares various theoretical predictions of MBH merger rates, quantifies the spread, and evaluates the global astrophysical uncertainties of the LISA event rates. To build a unique and complete view, our work is based on about 20 semi-analytical models and cosmological simulations from the literature, all employing distinct approaches to modelling MBH and galaxy physics. To compute the merger rates, we also incorporate delays arising from the dynamical phase of MBH hardening to coalescence. We present the expected LISA merger rates given current galaxy formation models and discuss how the merger rate depends on model assumptions, such as the seeding model and the resolution of cosmological simulations.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Downsizing does not extend to dwarf galaxies: identifying the stellar mass regimes shaped by supernova and AGN feedback

We explore how the fraction of red (quenched) galaxies varies in the dwarf galaxy regime (10^7 MSun < Mstar < 10^9.5 MSun), using a mass-complete sample of ~5900 dwarfs at z<0.15, constructed using deep multi-wavelength data in the COSMOS field. The red fraction decreases steadily until Mstar ~ 10^8.5 MSun and then increases again towards lower stellar masses. This 'U' shape demonstrates that the traditional notion of 'downsizing' (i.e. that progressively lower mass galaxies maintain star formation until later epochs) is incorrect -- downsizing does not continue uninterrupted into the dwarf regime. The U shape persists regardless of environment, indicating that it is driven by internal processes rather than external environment-driven mechanisms. Our results suggest that, at Mstar < 10^8 MSun, the quenching of star formation is dominated by supernova (SN) feedback and becomes more effective with decreasing stellar mass, as the potential well becomes shallower. At Mstar > 10^9 MSun, the quenching is driven by a mix of SN feedback and AGN feedback (which becomes more effective with increasing stellar mass, as central black holes become more massive). The processes that quench star formation are least effective in the range 10^8 MSun < Mstar < 10^9 MSun, likely because the potential well is deep enough to weaken the impact of SN feedback, while the effect of AGN feedback is still insignificant. The cosmological simulations tested here do not match the details of how the red fraction varies as a function of stellar mass -- we propose that the red fraction vs stellar mass relation (particularly in the dwarf regime) is a powerful calibrator for the processes that regulate star formation in galaxy formation models.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Statistics of the projected angles between the black-hole spin and the host-galaxy rotation axes from NewHorizon

Understanding the alignment between AGN jets and their host galaxies is crucial for interpreting AGN unification models, jet feedback processes, and the co-evolution of galaxies and their central black holes (BH). In this study, we use the high-resolution cosmological zoom-in simulation NewHorizon, which self-consistently evolves BH mass and spin, to statistically examine the relationship between AGN jet orientation and host galaxy structure. Building upon our previous work, we extend the analysis of projected (2-d) alignment angles to facilitate more direct comparisons with recent observational studies. In our methodology, galaxy orientations are estimated using optical position angles derived from synthetic DESI-LS and Euclid images, while BH spin vectors serve as proxies for AGN jet directions. From a carefully selected sample of 100 BH-galaxy systems at low redshift, we generate a catalog of 5,000 mock optical images using a Monte Carlo approach that samples random viewing angles and redshifts. Our results reveal a statistically significant tendency for AGN jets to align with the orientation of their host galaxies, consistent with recent observations combining Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) and optical imaging of nearby AGNs. Furthermore, we find a slightly stronger alignment when using kinematic position angles derived from synthetic MaNGA-like stellar velocity fields. These findings underscore the importance of combining morphological, kinematic, and polarimetric information to disentangle the complex interplay between black hole spin evolution, accretion mode, and the galactic environment in shaping the direction of relativistic jets.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

The dwarf stellar mass function in different environments and the lack of a generic missing dwarfs problem in {\Lambda}CDM

We combine deep photometric data in the COSMOS and XMM-LSS fields with high-resolution cosmological hydrodynamical simulations to explore two key questions: (1) how does the galaxy stellar mass function, particularly in the dwarf (Mstar < 10^9.5 MSun ) regime, vary with environment, defined as distance from the large-scale structure (LSS) traced by nodes and filaments in the cosmic web? (2) is there a generic 'missing dwarfs' problem in LambdaCDM predictions when all environments - and not just satellites around Milky Way like galaxies - are considered? The depth of the observational data used here enables us to construct complete, unbiased samples of galaxies, down to Mstar ~ 10^7 MSun and out to z ~ 0.4. Strong environmental differences are found for the galaxy stellar mass function when considering distance from LSS. As we move closer to LSS, the dwarf mass function becomes progressively flatter and the knee of the mass function shifts to larger stellar masses, both of which result in a higher ratio of massive to dwarf galaxies. While the stellar mass functions from the three simulations (NewHorizon, TNG50 and FIREbox) considered here do not completely agree across the dwarf regime, there is no evidence of a generic missing dwarfs problem in the context of LambdaCDM, akin to the results of recent work that demonstrates that there is no missing satellites problem around Galactic analogues.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Born to be Starless: Revisiting the Missing Satellite Problem

The massive Local Group galaxies both host substantially fewer satellites than the subhalos expected from the cold dark matter paradigm, and the recent investigations have highlighted the interplay between baryons and dark matter. We investigate the processes that make subhalos starless, using high-resolution cosmological simulations. We found that the number of satellites around Milky Way analogs closely aligns with observations, which accords with recent studies. In our simulations, the majority of subhalos are devoid of stars, i.e., "starless." We first examined supernova feedback and the environmental effects associated with subhalos' orbital motion as candidates of origin. However, neither seems to be the main driver. Supernova feedback causes a reduction of cold gas in "starred" subhalos, but its impact is not significant. In the case of starless subhalos, supernova feedback is irrelevant because most of them do not have in-situ star formation in the first place. The orbital motion in dense environments causes gas removal in all subhalos but is not enough to remove pre-existing stars. The key is found to be the effect of reionization instead. Starless subhalos are initially born in regions that are less efficient in accreting matter. This makes them lack sufficiently dense gas to self-shield from UV background heating, preventing their gas from cooling below the star formation threshold. This indicates that starless subhalos are not made but born.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2024

Exploring lenticular galaxy formation in field environments using NewHorizon: evidence for counter-rotating gas accretion as a formation channel

The formation pathways of lenticular galaxies (S0s) in field environments remain a matter of debate. We utilize the cosmological hydrodynamic simulation, NewHorizon, to investigate the issue. We select two massive star-formation quenched S0s as our main sample. By closely tracing their physical and morphological evolution, we identify two primary formation channels: mergers and counter-rotating gas accretion. The former induces central gas inflow due to gravitational and hydrodynamic torques, triggering active central star formation which quickly depletes the gas of the galaxy. Counter-rotating gas accretion overall has a similar outcome but more exclusively through hydrodynamic collisions between the pre-existing and newly-accreted gas. Both channels lead to S0 morphology, with gas angular momentum cancellation being a crucial mechanism. These formation pathways quench star formation on a short timescale (< Gyr) compared to the timescales of environmental effects. We also discuss how counter-rotating gas accretion may explain the origin of S0s with ongoing star formation and the frequently observed gas-star misaligned kinematics in S0s.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2024

Cosmic evolution of black hole-spin and galaxy orientations: clues from the NewHorizon and Galactica simulations

(Reduced) Using the recent cosmological high-resolution zoom-in simulations, NewHorizon and Galactica, in which the evolution of black hole spin is followed on the fly, we have tracked the cosmic history of a hundred of black holes (BHs) with a mass greater than 2x10^4 Ms. For each of them, we have studied the variations of the three dimensional angle (Psi) subtended between the BH spins and the angular momentum vectors of their host galaxies. The analysis of the individual evolution of the most massive BHs suggests that they are generally passing by three different regimes. First, for a short period after their birth, low mass BHs (<3x10^4 Ms) are rapidly spun up by gas accretion and their spin tends to be aligned with their host galaxy spin. Then follows a second phase in which the accretion of gas onto low mass BHs (<10^5 Ms) is quite chaotic and inefficient, reflecting the complex and disturbed morphologies of forming proto-galaxies at high redshifts. The variations of Psi are rather erratic during this phase and are mainly driven by the rapid changes of the direction of the galaxy angular momentum. Then, in a third and long phase, BHs are generally well settled in the center of galaxies around which the gas accretion becomes much more coherent (>10^5 Ms). In this case, the BH spins tend to be well aligned with the angular momentum of their host galaxy and this configuration is generally stable even though BH merger episodes can temporally induce misalignment. We have also derived the distributions of cos(Psi) at different redshifts and found that BHs and galaxy spins are generally aligned. Finally, based on a Monte Carlo method, we also predict statistics for the 2-d projected spin-orbit angles lambda. In particular, the distribution of lambda traces well the alignment tendency in the 3-d analysis. Such predictions provide an interesting background for future observational analyses.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2023

On the Significance of the Thick Disks of Disk Galaxies

Thick disks are a prevalent feature observed in numerous disk galaxies including our own Milky Way. Their significance has been reported to vary widely, ranging from a few to 100% of the disk mass, depending on the galaxy and the measurement method. We use the NewHorizon simulation which has high spatial and stellar mass resolutions to investigate the issue of thick disk mass fraction. We also use the NewHorizon2 simulation that was run on the same initial conditions but additionally traced nine chemical elements. Based on a sample of 27 massive disk galaxies with M* > 10^10 M_{\odot} in NewHorizon, the contribution of the thick disk was found to be 34 \pm 15% in r-band luminosity or 48 \pm 13% in mass to the overall galactic disk, which seems in agreement with observational data. The vertical profiles of 0, 22, and 5 galaxies are best fitted by 1, 2, or 3 sech2 components, respectively. The NewHorizon2 data show that the selection of thick disk stars based on a single [α/Fe] cut is severely contaminated by stars of different kinematic properties while missing a bulk of kinematically thick disk stars. Vertical luminosity profile fits recover the key properties of thick disks reasonably well. The majority of stars are born near the galactic mid-plane with high circularity and get heated with time via fluctuation in the force field. Depending on the star formation and merger histories, galaxies may naturally develop thick disks with significantly different properties.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2023

Translators of galaxy morphology indicators between observation and simulation

Based on the recent advancements in the numerical simulations of galaxy formation, we anticipate the achievement of realistic models of galaxies in the near future. Morphology is the most basic and fundamental property of galaxies, yet observations and simulations still use different methods to determine galaxy morphology, making it difficult to compare them. We hereby perform a test on the recent NewHorizon simulation which has spatial and mass resolutions that are remarkably high for a large-volume simulation, to resolve the situation. We generate mock images for the simulated galaxies using SKIRT that calculates complex radiative transfer processes in each galaxy. We measure morphological indicators using photometric and spectroscopic methods following observer's techniques. We also measure the kinematic disk-to-total ratios using the Gaussian mixture model and assume that they represent the true structural composition of galaxies. We found that spectroscopic indicators such as $V/σ$ and $λ_{R}$ closely trace the kinematic disk-to-total ratios. In contrast, photometric disk-to-total ratios based on the radial profile fitting method often fail to recover the true kinematic structure of galaxies, especially for small galaxies. We provide translating equations between various morphological indicators.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2023

LyAl-Net: A high-efficiency Lyman-$α$ forest simulation with a neural network

The inference of cosmological quantities requires accurate and large hydrodynamical cosmological simulations. Unfortunately, their computational time can take millions of CPU hours for a modest coverage in cosmological scales ($\approx (100 {h^{-1}}\,\text{Mpc})^3)$). The possibility to generate large quantities of mock Lyman-$α$ observations opens up the possibility of much better control on covariance matrices estimate for cosmological parameters inference, and on the impact of systematics due to baryonic effects. We present a machine learning approach to emulate the hydrodynamical simulation of intergalactic medium physics for the Lyman-$α$ forest called LyAl-Net. The main goal of this work is to provide highly efficient and cheap simulations retaining interpretation abilities about the gas field level, and as a tool for other cosmological exploration. We use a neural network based on the U-net architecture, a variant of convolutional neural networks, to predict the neutral hydrogen physical properties, density, and temperature. We train the LyAl-Net model with the Horizon-noAGN simulation, though using only 9% of the volume. We also explore the resilience of the model through tests of a transfer learning framework using cosmological simulations containing different baryonic feedback. We test our results by analysing one and two-point statistics of emulated fields in different scenarios, as well as their stochastic properties. The ensemble average of the emulated Lyman-$α$ forest absorption as a function of redshift lies within 2.5% of one derived from the full hydrodynamical simulation. The computation of individual fields from the dark matter density agrees well with regular physical regimes of cosmological fields. The results tested on IllustrisTNG100 showed a drastic improvement in the Lyman-$α$ forest flux without arbitrary rescaling.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Forecasts for WEAVE-QSO: 3D clustering and connectivity of critical points with Lyman-$α$ tomography

The upcoming WEAVE-QSO survey will target a high density of quasars over a large area, enabling the reconstruction of the 3D density field through Lyman-$α$ tomography over unprecedented volumes smoothed on intermediate scales ($\approx$ 16 Mpc/$h$). We produce mocks of the Lyman-$α$ forest using LyMAS, and reconstruct the 3D density field between sightlines through Wiener filtering in a configuration compatible with the future WEAVE-QSO observations. The fidelity of the reconstruction is assessed by measuring one- and two-point statistics from the distribution of critical points in the cosmic web. In addition, initial Lagrangian statistics are predicted from first principles, and measurements of the connectivity of the cosmic web are performed. The reconstruction captures well the expected features in the auto- and cross-correlations of the critical points. This remains true after a realistic noise is added to the synthetic spectra, even though sparsity of sightlines introduces systematics, especially in the cross-correlations of points with mixed signature. Specifically, for walls and filaments, the most striking clustering features could be measured with up to 4 sigma of significance with a WEAVE-QSO-like survey. Moreover, the connectivity of each peak identified in the reconstructed field is globally consistent with its counterpart in the original field, indicating that the reconstruction preserves the geometry of the density field not only statistically, but also locally. Hence the critical points relative positions within the tomographic reconstruction could be used as standard rulers for dark energy by WEAVE-QSO and similar surveys.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

Exploring the origin of thick disks using the NewHorizon and Galactica simulations

Ever since a thick disk was proposed to explain the vertical distribution of the Milky Way disk stars, its origin has been a recurrent question. We aim to answer this question by inspecting 19 disk galaxies with stellar mass greater than $10^{10}\,\rm M_\odot$ in recent cosmological high-resolution zoom-in simulations: Galactica and NewHorizon. The thin and thick disks are reasonably reproduced by the simulations with scale heights and luminosity ratios as observed. We then spatially classify the thin and thick disks and find that the thick disk stars are older, metal-poorer, kinematically-hotter, and higher in accreted star fraction, while both disks are dominated by the stars formed in situ. Half of the in-situ stars in the thick disks are formed before the galaxies develop their disks, and the rest are formed in spatially and kinematically thinner disks and then thickened with time by heating. However, the 19 galaxies have various properties and evolutionary routes, highlighting the need for statistically-large samples to draw general conclusions. We conclude from our simulations that the thin and thick disk components are not entirely distinct in terms of formation processes, but rather markers of the evolution of galactic disks. Moreover, as the combined result of the thickening of the existing disk stars and the continued formation of young thin-disk stars, the vertical distribution of stars does not change much after the disks settle, pointing to the modulation of both orbital diffusion and star formation by the same confounding factor: the proximity of galaxies to marginal stability.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2020

Black hole mergers from dwarf to massive galaxies with the NewHorizon and Horizon-AGN simulations

Massive black hole (MBH) coalescences are powerful sources of low-frequency gravitational waves. To study these events in the cosmological context we need to trace the large-scale structure and cosmic evolution of a statistical population of galaxies, from dim dwarfs to bright galaxies. To cover such a large range of galaxy masses, we analyse two complementary simulations: Horizon-AGN with a large volume and low resolution which tracks the high-mass (> 1e7 Msun) MBH population, and NewHorizon with a smaller volume but higher resolution that traces the low-mass (< 1e7 Msun) MBH population. While Horizon-AGN can be used to estimate the rate of inspirals for Pulsar Timing Arrays, NewHorizon can investigate MBH mergers in a statistical sample of dwarf galaxies for LISA, which is sensitive to low-mass MBHs. We use the same method to analyse the two simulations, post-processing MBH dynamics to account for time delays mostly determined by dynamical friction and stellar hardening. In both simulations, MBHs typically merge long after the galaxies do, so that the galaxy morphology at the time of the MBH merger is no longer determined by the galaxy merger from which the MBH merger originated. These time delays cause a loss of high-z MBH coalescences, shifting the peak of the MBH merger rate to z~1-2. This study shows how tracking MBH mergers in low-mass galaxies is crucial to probing the MBH merger rate for LISA and investigate the properties of the host galaxies.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2020

SDSS-IV MaNGA: The Nature of an Off-galaxy H$α$ Blob -- A Multi-wavelength View of Offset Cooling in a Merging Galaxy Group

Galaxies in dense environments, such as groups and clusters, experience various processes by which galaxies gain and lose gas. Using data from the SDSS-IV MaNGA survey, we previously reported the discovery of a giant (6 -- 8 kpc in diameter) H$α$ blob, Totoro, about 8 kpc away from a pair of galaxies (Satsuki and Mei) residing in a galaxy group which is experiencing a group-group merger. Here, we combine interferometric $^{12}$CO(1--0) molecular gas data, new wide-field H$α$, $u$-band data, and published X-ray data to determine the origin of the blob. Several scenarios are discussed to account for its multi-wavelength properties, including (1) H$α$ gas being stripped from galaxy Satsuki by ram-pressure; (2) a separated low-surface-brightness galaxy; (3) gas being ejected or ionized by an active galactic nucleus (AGN); and (4) a cooling intra-group medium (IGM). Scenarios (1) and (2) are less favored by the present data. Scenario (3) is also less likely as there is no evidence for an active ongoing AGN in the host galaxy. We find that the CO (cold) and H$α$ (warm) gas coexist with X-ray (hot) structures; moreover, the derived cooling time is within the regime where molecular and H$α$ gas are expected. The coexistence of gas with different temperatures also agrees with that of cooling gas in other systems. Our multi-wavelength results strongly suggest that the CO and H$α$ gas are the product of cooling from the IGM at its current location, i.e., cooling has occurred, and may be ongoing, well outside the host-galaxy core.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2020

The impact of AGN feedback on galaxy intrinsic alignments in the Horizon simulations

The intrinsic correlations of galaxy shapes and orientations across the large-scale structure of the Universe are a known contaminant to weak gravitational lensing. They are known to be dependent on galaxy properties, such as their mass and morphologies. The complex interplay between alignments and the physical processes that drive galaxy evolution remains vastly unexplored. We assess the sensitivity of intrinsic alignments (shapes and angular momenta) to Active Galactic Nuclei -AGN- feedback by comparing galaxy alignment in twin runs of the cosmological hydrodynamical Horizon simulation, which do and do not include AGN feedback respectively. We measure intrinsic alignments in three dimensions and in projection at z=0 and z=1. We find that the projected alignment signal of all galaxies with resolved shapes with respect to the density field in the simulation is robust to AGN feedback, thus giving similar predictions for contamination to weak lensing. The relative alignment of galaxy shapes around galaxy positions is however significantly impacted, especially when considering high-mass ellipsoids. Using a sample of galaxy "twins" across simulations, we determine that AGN changes both the galaxy selection and their actual alignments. Finally, we measure the alignments of angular momenta of galaxies with their nearest filament. Overall, these are more significant in the presence of AGN as a result of the higher abundance of massive pressure-supported galaxies.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2019

On the number density of "direct collapse" black hole seeds

Supermassive black holes (BHs) of millions solar masses and above reside in the center of most local galaxies, but they also power active galactic nuclei and quasars, detected up to z=7. This observational evidence puts strong constraints on the BH growth and the mass of the first BH seeds. The scenario of "direct collapse" is very appealing as it leads to the formation of large mass BH seeds in the range 10^4-10^6 Msun, which eases explaining how quasars at z=6-7 are powered by BHs with masses >10^9 Msun. Direct collapse, however, appears to be rare, as the conditions required by the scenario are that gas is metal-free, the presence of a strong photo-dissociating Lyman-Werner flux, and large inflows of gas at the center of the halo, sustained for 10-100 Myr. We performed several cosmological hydrodynamical simulations that cover a large range of box sizes and resolutions, thus allowing us to understand the impact of several physical processes on the distribution of direct collapse BHs. We identify halos where direct collapse can happen, and derive the number density of BHs. We also investigate the discrepancies between hydrodynamical simulations, direct or post-processed, and semi-analytical studies. We find that for direct collapse to account for BHs in normal galaxies, the critical Lyman-Werner flux required for direct collapse must be much less than predicted by 3D simulations that include detailed chemical models. However, when supernova feedback is relatively weak, enough direct collapse BHs to explain z=6-7 quasars can be obtained for more realistic values of the critical Lyman Werner flux.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2019

New Horizon: On the origin of the stellar disk and spheroid of field galaxies at $z=0.7$

The origin of the disk and spheroid of galaxies has been a key open question in understanding their morphology. Using the high-resolution cosmological simulation, New Horizon, we explore kinematically decomposed disk and spheroidal components of 144 field galaxies with masses greater than $\rm 10^9\,M_{\odot}$ at $z=0.7$. The origins of stellar particles are classified according to their birthplace (in situ or ex situ) and their orbits at birth. Before disk settling, stars form mainly through chaotic mergers between proto-galaxies and become part of the spheroidal component. When disk settling starts, we find that more massive galaxies begin to form disk stars from earlier epochs; massive galaxies commence to develop their disks at $z\sim1-2$, while low-mass galaxies do after $z\sim1$. The formation of disks is affected by accretion as well, as mergers can trigger gas turbulence or induce misaligned gas infall that prevents galaxies from forming co-rotating disk stars. The importance of accreted stars is greater in more massive galaxies, especially in developing massive spheroids. A significant fraction of the spheroids comes from the disk stars that are perturbed, which becomes more important at lower redshifts. Some ($\sim12.5\%$) of our massive galaxies develop counter-rotating disks from the gas infall misaligned with the existing disk plane, which can last for more than a Gyr until they become the dominant component, and flip the angular momentum of the galaxy in the opposite direction. The final disk-to-total ratio of a galaxy needs to be understood in relation to its stellar mass and accretion history. We quantify the significance of the stars with different origins and provide them as guiding values.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2019

UV Background Fluctuations and Three-Point Correlations in the Large Scale Clustering of the Lyman-alpha Forest

Using the Ly$α$ mass assignment scheme (LyMAS), we make theoretical predictions for the 3-dimensional 3-point correlation function (3PCF) of the Ly$α$ forest at redshift $z=2.3$. We bootstrap results from the (100 $h^{-1} \mbox{ Mpc}$)$^3$ Horizon hydrodynamic simulation to a (1 $h^{-1}$ Gpc)$^3$ $N$-body simulation, considering both a uniform UV background (UVB) and a fluctuating UVB sourced by quasars with a comoving $n_q \approx 10^{-5}$ $h^3$ Mpc$^{-3}$ placed either in massive halos or randomly. On scales of $10-30$ $h^{-1} \mbox{ Mpc}$, the flux 3PCF displays hierarchical scaling with the square of the 2PCF, but with an unusual value of $Q \equiv ζ_{123}/(ξ_{12} ξ_{13} + ξ_{12} ξ_{23} + ξ_{13} ξ_{23}) \approx -4.5$ that reflects the low bias of the Ly$α$ forest and the anti-correlation between mass density and transmitted flux. For halo-based quasars and an ionizing photon mean free path of $λ= 300$ $h^{-1} \mbox{ Mpc}$ comoving, UVB fluctuations moderately depress the 2PCF and 3PCF, with cancelling effects on $Q$. For $λ= 100$ $h^{-1} \mbox{ Mpc}$ or 50 $h^{-1} \mbox{ Mpc}$, UVB fluctuations substantially boost the 2PCF and 3PCF on large scales, shifting the hierarchical ratio to $Q \approx -3$. We scale our simulation results to derive rough estimate of the 3PCF detectability in observational data sets for the redshift range $z=2.1 - 2.6$. At $r = 10$ $h^{-1} \mbox{ Mpc}$ and 20 $h^{-1} \mbox{ Mpc}$, we predict a signal-to-noise (SNR) of $\sim$ 9 and $\sim$ 7, respectively, for both BOSS and eBOSS, and $\sim$ 37 and $\sim$ 25 for DESI. At $r = 40$ $h^{-1} \mbox{ Mpc}$ the predicted SNR is lower by $\sim$ 3$-$5 times. Measuring the flux 3PCF would be a novel test of the conventional paradigm of the Ly$α$ forest and help separate the contributions of UVB fluctuations and density fluctuations to Ly$α$ forest clustering.

astro-ph.CO↗