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Sergey Samsonov

Publications and source records attributed to Sergey Samsonov.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Beyond Marginal Validity: Finite-Sample Guarantees for Localized Conformal Prediction

Conformal prediction endows arbitrary black-box predictors with finite-sample, distribution-free marginal coverage, yet marginal validity can hide severe covariate-specific miscalibration, while exact distribution-free conditional coverage is finite-sample unattainable. Randomly localized conformal prediction (RLCP) mitigates this gap by calibrating near the test point while preserving marginal coverage. Existing theory, however, lacks finite-sample guarantees for the realized localized set that jointly control conditional validity and oracle efficiency. We provide such guarantees. For any fixed score, under H\"older regularity of the conditional score CDF and standard density and kernel assumptions, we prove high-probability bounds, uniform over a realized localization neighbourhood, for the conditional-coverage gap and the length error relative to the oracle. The bounds decompose into an $O(h^\beta)$ localization bias and a calibration term decreasing with calibration size, clarifying the bandwidth bias-variance tradeoff and when RLCP tracks the oracle. We also analyze data-split learned scores: when the score targets a pivotal score, as in conformalized quantile regression, uniform local guarantees decompose into fixed-score calibration and uniform score-estimation errors, showing that improved learning sharpens localized guarantees.

stat.ML

Stop the Sampler! Classifier-Based Adaptive Stopping for Sampling Kernels

Sampling from complex, unnormalized probability densities is a fundamental challenge in Bayesian inference and probabilistic modeling. While Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide asymptotic guarantees, they often suffer from slow mixing and high computational costs due to fixed or manually tuned trajectory lengths. In this work, we propose a novel framework that treats trajectory termination as a learnable component of the sampling dynamics. By framing MCMC within the theory of non-acyclic generative flow networks (GFlowNets), we train state-dependent neural classifiers to decide when a trajectory has reached a high-density region and should terminate. We theoretically establish the connection between optimal classifiers and the target density via detailed balance conditions and introduce a multilevel training scheme to facilitate exploration in complex geometries. Experimental results across various benchmark densities demonstrate that our approach significantly reduces average trajectory lengths while improving mode coverage and mixing compared to standard MCMC baselines.

cs.LG

Bradley-Terry Rankings for Recommender Systems Across Dataset Taxonomies

The ranking of recommendation algorithms is a challenging problem since model performance is sensitive to dataset characteristics such as sparsity, sequential structure, and scale. This drives a demand for a proper methodology for fair comparison between algorithms. Naive aggregation of performance metrics (e.g., averaging NDCG over benchmarks) can yield misleading rankings, undermining practical selection. To address this problem, we introduce a novel, data-driven ranking methodology based on Bradley-Terry (BT) model. We demonstrate that the obtained ranking depends on key dataset statistics. Additionally, we propose a novel metric for evaluating ranking consistency and demonstrate robustness of our ranking to incomplete data. Finally, we introduce a dataset-specific methodology for ranking algorithms on unseen datasets without running the models, relying on extensions of the Bradley-Terry framework, including BT trees and BT models with covariates.

cs.IR

Your GFlowNet Secretly Learns an Optimal Transport Plan

Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets) are a framework for sampling structured objects via stochastic trajectories in a directed graph. In this work, we establish a theoretical connection between non-acyclic GFlowNets and optimal transport (OT). We show that fixing the initial flow distribution in a minimum-flow GFlowNet reduces its objective to a Kantorovich OT problem with graph-induced shortest path costs. At the optimum, the learned GFlowNet policy therefore encodes an optimal transport plan from the source distribution to the target distribution: we show that sampling trajectories from the minimum-flow GFlowNet recovers the corresponding optimal coupling. Our formulation enables applying the GFlowNet learning framework to OT problems on large graphs via edge flows and neural parameterization. Experiments confirm agreement with exact OT solvers and demonstrate that GFlowNets can learn high-quality transport plans.

cs.LG

Gaussian Approximation and Multiplier Bootstrap for Federated Linear Stochastic Approximation

In this paper, we establish Berry-Esseen-type bounds for federated linear stochastic approximation (LSA). Our results provide the first federated Gaussian approximations for LSA that explicitly capture communication-computation trade-offs and heterogeneity-aware error terms, quantifying the effects of local step size, number of local updates, and heterogeneity on convergence rates. We present results for both (i) constant step size regime and (ii) decreasing step size with an increasing number of local iterations, recovering the recent rates of Bonnerjee et al. [2025] as a special case. As a primary application of our results, we develop an online multiplier bootstrap procedure for inference on the last iterate, which avoids explicit estimation of the asymptotic covariance matrix, and obtain non-asymptotic validity guarantees for this procedure.

stat.ML

On Gaussian approximation for entropy-regularized Q-learning with function approximation

In this paper, we derive rates of convergence in the high-dimensional central limit theorem for Polyak--Ruppert averaged iterates generated by entropy-regularized asynchronous Q-learning with linear function approximation and a polynomial stepsize $k^{-\omega}$, $\omega \in (1/2,1)$. Assuming that the sequence of observed triples $(s_k,a_k,s_{k+1})_{k \geq 0}$ forms a uniformly geometrically ergodic Markov chain, and under suitable regularity conditions for the projected soft Bellman equation, we establish a Gaussian approximation bound in the convex distance with rate of order $n^{-1/4}$, up to polylogarithmic factors in $n$, where $n$ is the number of samples used by the algorithm. To obtain this result, we combine a linearization of the soft Bellman recursion with a Gaussian approximation for the leading martingale term. Finally, we derive high-order moment bounds for the algorithm's last iterate, which might be of independent interest.

stat.ML

Revisiting the Constant Stepsize Stochastic Approximation with Decision-Dependent Markovian Noise

We revisit the convergence analysis of constant stepsize stochastic approximation (SA) with decision-dependent Markovian noise, with a focus on characterizing the stationary bias against the root of the mean-field equation. We first establish the finite-time $p$-th moment bounds for the SA iterates in a general decision-dependent setting, which serve as a stability foundation for the subsequent analysis. Building on this foundation, and leveraging a local regularity condition termed Poisson--Gateaux differentiability (WD$^\ast$) for the solution to Poisson equation induced by the decision-dependent Markov kernel, we show that the stationary bias is of the order $\mathcal{O}(\alpha)$ for a broad class of decision-dependent settings. Additionally, we establish geometric weak convergence of the joint SA process towards a unique stationary distribution, and a functional central limit theorem. Our relaxed regularity condition enables us to cover cases of non-smooth kernels such as acceptance--rejection mechanisms, projected Langevin dynamics, and clipped state dynamics.

math.OC

Gaussian Approximation for Asynchronous Q-learning

In this paper, we derive rates of convergence in the high-dimensional central limit theorem for Polyak-Ruppert averaged iterates generated by the asynchronous Q-learning algorithm with a polynomial stepsize $k^{-\omega},\, \omega \in (1/2, 1]$. Assuming that the sequence of state-action-next-state triples $(s_k, a_k, s_{k+1})_{k \geq 0}$ forms a uniformly geometrically ergodic Markov chain, we establish a rate of order up to $n^{-1/6} \log^{4} (nS A)$ over the class of hyper-rectangles, where $n$ is the number of samples used by the algorithm and $S$ and $A$ denote the numbers of states and actions, respectively. To obtain this result, we prove a high-dimensional central limit theorem for sums of martingale differences, which may be of independent interest. Finally, we present bounds for high-order moments for the algorithm's last iterate.

stat.ML

Learning Shortest Paths with Generative Flow Networks

In this paper, we present a novel learning framework for finding shortest paths in graphs utilizing Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets). First, we examine theoretical properties of GFlowNets in non-acyclic environments in relation to shortest paths. We prove that, if the total flow is minimized, forward and backward policies traverse the environment graph exclusively along shortest paths between the initial and terminal states. Building on this result, we show that the pathfinding problem in an arbitrary graph can be solved by training a non-acyclic GFlowNet with flow regularization. We experimentally demonstrate the performance of our method in pathfinding in permutation environments and in solving Rubik's Cubes. For the latter problem, our approach shows competitive results with state-of-the-art machine learning approaches designed specifically for this task in terms of the solution length, while requiring smaller search budget at test-time.

cs.LG

Statistical analysis of Inverse Entropy-regularized Reinforcement Learning

Inverse reinforcement learning aims to infer the reward function that explains expert behavior observed through trajectories of state--action pairs. A long-standing difficulty in classical IRL is the non-uniqueness of the recovered reward: many reward functions can induce the same optimal policy, rendering the inverse problem ill-posed. In this paper, we develop a statistical framework for Inverse Entropy-regularized Reinforcement Learning that resolves this ambiguity by combining entropy regularization with a least-squares reconstruction of the reward from the soft Bellman residual. This combination yields a unique and well-defined so-called least-squares reward consistent with the expert policy. We model the expert demonstrations as a Markov chain with the invariant distribution defined by an unknown expert policy $\pi^\star$ and estimate the policy by a penalized maximum-likelihood procedure over a class of conditional distributions on the action space. We establish high-probability bounds for the excess Kullback--Leibler divergence between the estimated policy and the expert policy, accounting for statistical complexity through covering numbers of the policy class. These results lead to non-asymptotic minimax optimal convergence rates for the least-squares reward function, revealing the interplay between smoothing (entropy regularization), model complexity, and sample size. Our analysis bridges the gap between behavior cloning, inverse reinforcement learning, and modern statistical learning theory.

stat.ML

gfnx: Fast and Scalable Library for Generative Flow Networks in JAX

In this paper, we present gfnx, a fast and scalable package for training and evaluating Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets) written in JAX. gfnx provides an extensive set of environments and metrics for benchmarking, accompanied with single-file implementations of core objectives for training GFlowNets. We include synthetic hypergrids, multiple sequence generation environments with various editing regimes and particular reward designs for molecular generation, phylogenetic tree construction, Bayesian structure learning, and sampling from the Ising model energy. Across different tasks, gfnx achieves significant wall-clock speedups compared to Pytorch-based benchmarks (such as torchgfn library) and author implementations. For example, gfnx achieves up to 55 times speedup on CPU-based sequence generation environments, and up to 80 times speedup with the GPU-based Bayesian network structure learning setup. Our package provides a diverse set of benchmarks and aims to standardize empirical evaluation and accelerate research and applications of GFlowNets. The library is available on GitHub (https://github.com/d-tiapkin/gfnx) and on pypi (https://pypi.org/project/gfnx/). Documentation is available on https://gfnx.readthedocs.io.

cs.LG

Scalable LinUCB: Low-Rank Design Matrix Updates for Recommenders with Large Action Spaces

In this paper, we introduce PSI-LinUCB, a scalable variant of LinUCB that enables efficient training, inference, and memory usage by representing the inverse regularized design matrix as a sum of a diagonal matrix and low-rank correction. We derive numerically stable rank-1 and batched updates that maintain the inverse without explicitly forming the matrix. To control memory growth, we employ a projector-splitting integrator for dynamical low-rank approximation, yielding an average per-step update cost and memory usage of $O(dr)$ for approximation rank $r$. The inference complexity of the proposed algorithm is $O(dr)$ per action evaluation. Experiments on recommender system datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithm.

cs.LG

Improved Central Limit Theorem and Bootstrap Approximations for Linear Stochastic Approximation

In this paper, we refine the Berry-Esseen bounds for the multivariate normal approximation of Polyak-Ruppert averaged iterates arising from the linear stochastic approximation (LSA) algorithm with decreasing step size. We consider the normal approximation by the Gaussian distribution with covariance matrix predicted by the Polyak-Juditsky central limit theorem and establish the rate up to order $n^{-1/3}$ in convex distance, where $n$ is the number of samples used in the algorithm. We also prove a non-asymptotic validity of the multiplier bootstrap procedure for approximating the distribution of the rescaled error of the averaged LSA estimator. We establish approximation rates of order up to $1/\sqrt{n}$ for the latter distribution, which significantly improves upon the previous results obtained by Samsonov et al. (2024).

stat.ML

On the Rate of Gaussian Approximation for Linear Regression Problems

In this paper, we consider the problem of Gaussian approximation for the online linear regression task. We derive the corresponding rates for the setting of a constant learning rate and study the explicit dependence of the convergence rate upon the problem dimension $d$ and quantities related to the design matrix. When the number of iterations $n$ is known in advance, our results yield the rate of normal approximation of order $\sqrt{\log{n}/n}$, provided that the sample size $n$ is large enough.

stat.ML

Gaussian Approximation for Two-Timescale Linear Stochastic Approximation

In this paper, we establish non-asymptotic bounds for accuracy of normal approximation for linear two-timescale stochastic approximation (TTSA) algorithms driven by martingale difference or Markov noise. Focusing on both the last iterate and Polyak-Ruppert averaging regimes, we derive bounds for normal approximation in terms of the convex distance between probability distributions. Our analysis reveals a non-trivial interaction between the fast and slow timescales: the normal approximation rate for the last iterate improves as the timescale separation increases, while it decreases in the Polyak-Ruppert averaged setting. We also provide the high-order moment bounds for the error of linear TTSA algorithm, which may be of independent interest.

stat.ML

High-Order Error Bounds for Markovian LSA with Richardson-Romberg Extrapolation

In this paper, we study the bias and high-order error bounds of the Linear Stochastic Approximation (LSA) algorithm with Polyak-Ruppert (PR) averaging under Markovian noise. We focus on the version of the algorithm with constant step size $\alpha$ and propose a novel decomposition of the bias via a linearization technique. We analyze the structure of the bias and show that the leading-order term is linear in $\alpha$ and cannot be eliminated by PR averaging. To address this, we apply the Richardson-Romberg (RR) extrapolation procedure, which effectively cancels the leading bias term. We derive high-order moment bounds for the RR iterates and show that the leading error term aligns with the asymptotically optimal covariance matrix of the vanilla averaged LSA iterates.

stat.ML

Matrix-Free Two-to-Infinity and One-to-Two Norms Estimation

In this paper, we propose new randomized algorithms for estimating the two-to-infinity and one-to-two norms in a matrix-free setting, using only matrix-vector multiplications. Our methods are based on appropriate modifications of Hutchinson's diagonal estimator and its Hutch++ version. We provide oracle complexity bounds for both modifications. We further illustrate the practical utility of our algorithms for Jacobian-based regularization in deep neural network training on image classification tasks. We also demonstrate that our methodology can be applied to mitigate the effect of adversarial attacks in the domain of recommender systems.

cs.LG

On the Upper Bounds for the Matrix Spectral Norm

We consider the problem of estimating the spectral norm of a matrix using only matrix-vector products. We propose a new Counterbalance estimator that provides upper bounds on the norm and derive probabilistic guarantees on its underestimation. Compared to standard approaches such as the power method, the proposed estimator produces significantly tighter upper bounds in both synthetic and real-world settings. Our method is especially effective for matrices with fast-decaying spectra, such as those arising in deep learning and inverse problems.

math.NA