arXiv subjects
Publications and source records attributed to Sergio Scarlatti.
Recently [LT; Theorem 3.1] showed an extension of Walker's inequality [W] based on $N=3$ random variables. In this note we prove that extension is just a particular three-dimensional instance of a general family of second order mixed moment inequalities based on Gram matrices of arbitrary random vectors. We also discuss some implications of these inequalities on Cramer-Rao lower bound for biased estimators.
We propose a credit risk model for portfolios composed of green and brown loans, extending the ASRF framework via a two-factor copula structure. Systematic risk is modeled using potentially skewed distributions, allowing for asymmetric creditworthiness effects, while idiosyncratic risk remains Gaussian. Under a non-uniform exposure setting, we establish convergence in quadratic mean of the portfolio loss to a limit reflecting the distinct characteristics of the two loan segments. Numerical results confirm the theoretical findings and illustrate how value-at-risk is affected by portfolio granularity, default probabilities, factor loadings, and skewness. Our model accommodates differential sensitivity to systematic shocks and offers a tractable basis for further developments in credit risk modeling, including granularity adjustments, CDO pricing, and empirical analysis of green loan portfolios.
In this note we first review the concept of D-function, closely connected with Cauchy-Schwarz inequality, and then introduce the notion of P-covariance on a Hilbert space, where $P$ is an orthogonal projection. We show that when P is specialized to be one-dimensional many well-known inequalities such as Buzano, Richard and Walker inequalities are simple consequences of P-covariance inequalities and their relation with D-functions. By means of these concepts enhancements of the previous mentioned inequalities are also established with minimum effort. A more thorough analysis of Walker inequality is presented jointly with some novel financial considerations as well as a new refinement of Holder inequality.
We present a general refinement of the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality over complete inner product spaces and show that it can be of interest for some statistical applications. This generalizes and simplifies previous results on the same subject.
In this work we present a general representation formula for the price of a vulnerable European option, and the related CVA in stochastic (either rough or not) volatility models for the underlying's price, when admitting correlation with the default event. We specialize it for some volatility models and we provide price approximations, based on the representation formula. We study numerically their accuracy, comparing the results with Monte Carlo simulations, and we run a theoretical study of the error. We also introduce a seminal study of roughness influence on the claim's price.
We consider the problem of computing the Value Adjustment of European contingent claims when default of either party is considered, possibly including also funding and collateralization requirements. As shown in Brigo et al. (\cite{BLPS}, \cite{BFP}), this leads to a more articulate variety of Value Adjustments ({XVA}) that introduce some nonlinear features. When exploiting a reduced-form approach for the default times, the adjusted price can be characterized as the solution to a possibly nonlinear Backward Stochastic Differential Equation (BSDE). The expectation representing the solution of the BSDE is usually quite hard to compute even in a Markovian setting, and one might resort either to the discretization of the Partial Differential Equation characterizing it or to Monte Carlo Simulations. Both choices are computationally very expensive and in this paper we suggest an approximation method based on an appropriate change of numeraire and on a Taylor's polynomial expansion when intensities are represented by means of affine processes correlated with the asset's price. The numerical discussion at the end of this work shows that, at least in the case of the CIR intensity model, even the simple first-order approximation has a remarkable computational efficiency.
In this paper we present a simple, but new, approximation methodology for pricing a call option in a Black \& Scholes market characterized by stochastic interest rates. The method, based on a straightforward Gaussian moment matching technique applied to a conditional Black \& Scholes formula, is quite general and it applies to various models, whether affine or not. To check its accuracy and computational time, we implement it for the CIR interest rate model correlated with the underlying, using the Monte Carlo simulations as a benchmark. The method's performance turns out to be quite remarkable, even when compared with analogous results obtained by the affine approximation technique presented in Grzelak and Oosterlee (2011) and by the expansion formula introduced in Kim and Kunimoto (1999), as we show in the last section.
In this work we want to provide a general principle to evaluate the CVA (Credit Value Adjustment) for a vulnerable option, that is an option subject to some default event, concerning the solvability of the issuer. CVA is needed to evaluate correctly the contract and it is particularly important in presence of WWR (Wrong Way Risk), when a credit deterioration determines an increase of the claim's price. In particular, we are interested in evaluating the CVA in stochastic volatility models for the underlying's price (which often fit quite well the market's prices) when admitting correlation with the default event. By cunningly using Ito's calculus, we provide a general representation formula applicable to some popular models such as SABR, Hull \& White and Heston, which explicitly shows the correction in CVA due to the processes correlation. Later, we specialize this formula and construct its approximation for the three selected models. Lastly, we run a numerical study to test the formula's accuracy, comparing our results with Monte Carlo simulations.
We consider the problem of computing the Credit Value Adjustment ({CVA}) of a European option in presence of the Wrong Way Risk ({WWR}) in a default intensity setting. Namely we model the asset price evolution as solution to a linear equation that might depend on different stochastic factors and we provide an approximate evaluation of the option's price, by exploiting a correlation expansion approach, introduced in \cite{AS}. We compare the numerical performance of such a method with that recently proposed by Brigo et al. (\cite{BR18}, \cite{BRH18}) in the case of a call option driven by a GBM correlated with the CIR default intensity. We additionally report some numerical evaluations obtained by other methods.
We introduce a natural generalization of the forward-starting options, first discussed by M. Rubinstein. The main feature of the contract presented here is that the strike-determination time is not fixed ex-ante, but allowed to be random, usually related to the occurrence of some event, either of financial nature or not. We will call these options {\bf Random Time Forward Starting (RTFS)}. We show that, under an appropriate "martingale preserving" hypothesis, we can exhibit arbitrage free prices, which can be explicitly computed in many classical market models, at least under independence between the random time and the assets' prices. Practical implementations of the pricing methodologies are also provided. Finally a credit value adjustment formula for these OTC options is computed for the unilateral counterparty credit risk.
We address the problem of simulating efficiently from the posterior distribution over the parameters of a particular class of nonlinear regression models using a Langevin-Metropolis sampler. It is shown that as the number N of parameters increases, the proposal variance must scale as N{-1/3} in order to converge to a diffusion. This generalizes previous results of Roberts and Rosenthal [J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B Stat. Methodol. 60 (1998) 255-268] for the i.i.d. case, showing the robustness of their analysis.
In this paper we discuss trace properties of $d^+$-summable $K$-cycles considered by A.Connes in [\rfr(Conn4)]. More precisely we give a proof of a trace theorem on the algebra $\A$ of a $K$--cycle stated in [\rfr(Conn4)], namely we show that a natural functional on $\A$ is a trace functional. Then we discuss whether this functional gives a trace on the whole universal graded differential algebra $\Q(\A)$. On the one hand we prove that the regularity conditions on $K$-cycles considered in [\rfr(Conn4)] imply the trace property on $\Q(\A)$. On the other hand, by constructing an explicit counterexample, we remark that the sole $K$-cycle assumption is not sufficient for such a property to hold.