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Severin Field

Publications and source records attributed to Severin Field.

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AI Researchers' Views on Automating AI R&D and Intelligence Explosions

Many leading AI researchers expect AI development to exceed the transformative impact of all previous technological revolutions. This belief is based on the idea that AI will be able to automate the process of AI research itself, leading to a positive feedback loop. In August and September of 2025, we interviewed 25 leading researchers from frontier AI labs and academia, including participants from Google DeepMind, OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, UC Berkeley, Princeton, and Stanford to understand researcher perspectives on these scenarios. Though AI systems have not yet been able to recursively improve, 20 of the 25 researchers interviewed identified automating AI research as one of the most severe and urgent AI risks. Participants converged on predictions that AI agents will become more capable at coding, math and eventually AI development, gradually transitioning from `assistants' or `tools' to `autonomous AI developers,' after which point, predictions diverge. While researchers agreed upon the possibility of recursive improvement, they disagreed on basic questions of timelines or appropriate governance mechanisms. For example, an epistemic divide emerged between frontier lab researchers and academic researchers, the latter of which expressed more skepticism about explosive growth scenarios. Additionally, 17/25 participants expected AI systems with advanced coding or R&D capabilities to be increasingly reserved for internal use at AI companies or governments, unseen by the public. Participants were split as to whether setting regulatory ``red lines" was a good idea, though almost all favored transparency-based mitigations.

cs.CY

Why do Experts Disagree on Existential Risk and P(doom)? A Survey of AI Experts

The development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) is likely to be one of humanity's most consequential technological advancements. Leading AI labs and scientists have called for the global prioritization of AI safety citing existential risks comparable to nuclear war. However, research on catastrophic risks and AI alignment is often met with skepticism, even by experts. Furthermore, online debate over the existential risk of AI has begun to turn tribal (e.g. name-calling such as "doomer" or "accelerationist"). Until now, no systematic study has explored the patterns of belief and the levels of familiarity with AI safety concepts among experts. I surveyed 111 AI experts on their familiarity with AI safety concepts, key objections to AI safety, and reactions to safety arguments. My findings reveal that AI experts cluster into two viewpoints -- an "AI as controllable tool" and an "AI as uncontrollable agent" perspective -- diverging in beliefs toward the importance of AI safety. While most experts (78%) agreed or strongly agreed that "technical AI researchers should be concerned about catastrophic risks", many were unfamiliar with specific AI safety concepts. For example, only 21% of surveyed experts had heard of "instrumental convergence," a fundamental concept in AI safety predicting that advanced AI systems will tend to pursue common sub-goals (such as self-preservation). The least concerned participants were the least familiar with concepts like this, suggesting that effective communication of AI safety should begin with establishing clear conceptual foundations in the field.

cs.CY

What Features in Prompts Jailbreak LLMs? Investigating the Mechanisms Behind Attacks

Jailbreaks have been a central focus of research regarding the safety and reliability of large language models (LLMs), yet the mechanisms underlying these attacks remain poorly understood. While previous studies have predominantly relied on linear methods to detect jailbreak attempts and model refusals, we take a different approach by examining both linear and non-linear features in prompts that lead to successful jailbreaks. First, we introduce a novel dataset comprising 10,800 jailbreak attempts spanning 35 diverse attack methods. Leveraging this dataset, we train linear and non-linear probes on hidden states of open-weight LLMs to predict jailbreak success. Probes achieve strong in-distribution accuracy but transfer is attack-family-specific, revealing that different jailbreaks are supported by distinct internal mechanisms rather than a single universal direction. To establish causal relevance, we construct probe-guided latent interventions that systematically shift compliance in the predicted direction. Interventions derived from non-linear probes produce larger and more reliable effects than those from linear probes, indicating that features linked to jailbreak success are encoded non-linearly in prompt representations. Overall, the results surface heterogeneous, non-linear structure in jailbreak mechanisms and provide a prompt-side methodology for recovering and testing the features that drive jailbreak outcomes.

cs.CR

Meta-Models: An Architecture for Decoding LLM Behaviors Through Interpreted Embeddings and Natural Language

As Large Language Models (LLMs) become increasingly integrated into our daily lives, the potential harms from deceptive behavior underlie the need for faithfully interpreting their decision-making. While traditional probing methods have shown some effectiveness, they remain best for narrowly scoped tasks while more comprehensive explanations are still necessary. To this end, we investigate meta-models-an architecture using a "meta-model" that takes activations from an "input-model" and answers natural language questions about the input-model's behaviors. We evaluate the meta-model's ability to generalize by training them on selected task types and assessing their out-of-distribution performance in deceptive scenarios. Our findings show that meta-models generalize well to out-of-distribution tasks and point towards opportunities for future research in this area. Our code is available at https://github.com/acostarelli/meta-models-public .

cs.LG

Poser: Unmasking Alignment Faking LLMs by Manipulating Their Internals

Like a criminal under investigation, Large Language Models (LLMs) might pretend to be aligned while evaluated and misbehave when they have a good opportunity. Can current interpretability methods catch these 'alignment fakers?' To answer this question, we introduce a benchmark that consists of 324 pairs of LLMs fine-tuned to select actions in role-play scenarios. One model in each pair is consistently benign (aligned). The other model misbehaves in scenarios where it is unlikely to be caught (alignment faking). The task is to identify the alignment faking model using only inputs where the two models behave identically. We test five detection strategies, one of which identifies 98% of alignment-fakers.

cs.CL