arXiv subjects

Seyyed Mostafa Nosratabadi

Publications and source records attributed to Seyyed Mostafa Nosratabadi.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Integrating Cybersecurity in Predictive Cost-Benefit Power Scheduling: A DeepStack Model with Dynamic Defense Mechanism

This paper introduces a novel, deep learning-based predictive model tailored to address wind curtailment in contemporary power systems, while enhancing cybersecurity measures through the implementation of a Dynamic Defense Mechanism (DDM). The augmented BiLSTM architecture facilitates accurate short-term predictions for wind power. In addition, a ConvGAN-driven step for stochastic scenario generation and a hierarchical, multi-stage optimization framework, which includes cases with and without Battery Energy Storage (BES), significantly minimizes operational costs. The inclusion of DDM strategically alters network reactances, thereby obfuscating the system's operational parameters to deter cyber threats. This robust solution not only integrates wind power more efficiently into power grids, leveraging BES potential to improve the economic efficiency of the system, but also boosting the cyber security of the system. Validation using the Illinois 200-bus system demonstrates the model's potential, achieving a 98% accuracy in forecasting and substantial cost reductions of over 3.8%. The results underscore the dual benefits of enhancing system reliability and security through advanced deep learning architectures and the strategic application of cybersecurity measures.

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arXiv2026

Byzantine-Resilient Federated Multi-Agent Optimization Framework for Cyber-Secure Interconnected Microgrids

The escalating digitalization of distribution networks has exposed interconnected Microgrid (MG) clusters to Stealthy False Data Injection Attacks that bypass Bad Data Detectors and propagate through tie-line couplings and shared learning channels. This paper proposes BR-FedMAPPO, a Byzantine-Resilient Federated Multi-Agent Proximal Policy Optimization framework that learns a triple-surface Moving Target Defense and an adaptive isolation strategy for cyber-secure operation. Each MG hosts a local Actor-Critic Agent whose policy is partitioned into a globally federated shared encoder and a privately retained action head, so no MG exposes the configurations, cardinality, or locations of its D-FACTS lines, Battery Energy Storage (BES) units, or tie-line capacities. The action vector perturbs D-FACTS reactances, redirects BES injections, reshapes inter-MG exchanges, and includes a continuous islanding signal. A two-stage Byzantine-resilient aggregation rule combines trimmed-mean filtering with reward-weighted updates. This scheme incorporates a detection-quality score based on the F1-score and False Positive Rate to penalize clients causing false alarms. Simulation results on four interconnected MGs based on the IEEE 30- and 118-bus test systems demonstrate effective mitigation of coordinated S-FDI attacks, containment of cascading disruptions through adaptive isolation, and protection of distributed learning channels against malicious model manipulations while maintaining cost-aware dispatch performance.

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arXiv2024

The Impact of Grid Storage on Balancing Costs and Carbon Emissions in Great Britain

Grid energy storage can help to balance supply and demand, but its financial viability and operational carbon emissions impact is poorly understood because of the complexity of grid constraints and market outcomes. We analyse the impact of several technologies (Li-ion and flow batteries, pumped hydro, hydrogen) on Great Britain balancing mechanism, the main market for supply-demand balancing and congestion management. We find that, for many locations and technologies, financially optimal operation of storage for balancing can result in higher carbon emissions. For example, the extra emissions associated with a 1 MW 2-hour duration Li-ion battery in winter vary between +230 to -71 kgCO2/h. Although storage enable higher usage of renewables, it can also unlock additional demand leading to greater use of gas. In addition, balancing services alone are presently insufficient for financial viability of storage projects. This work highlights the need for market reform aligning financial incentives with environmental impacts.

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arXiv2024

Depreciation Cost is a Poor Proxy for Revenue Lost to Aging in Grid Storage Optimization

Dispatch of a grid energy storage system for arbitrage is typically formulated into a rolling-horizon optimization problem that includes a battery aging model within the cost function. Quantifying degradation as a depreciation cost in the objective can increase overall profits by extending lifetime. However, depreciation is just a proxy metric for battery aging; it is used because simulating the entire system life is challenging due to computational complexity and the absence of decades of future data. In cases where the depreciation cost does not match the loss of possible future revenue, different optimal usage profiles result and this reduces overall profit significantly compared to the best case (e.g., by 30-50%). Representing battery degradation perfectly within the rolling-horizon optimization does not resolve this - in addition, the economic cost of degradation throughout life should be carefully considered. For energy arbitrage, optimal economic dispatch requires a trade-off between overuse, leading to high return rate but short lifetime, vs. underuse, leading to a long but not profitable life. We reveal the intuition behind selecting representative costs for the objective function, and propose a simple moving average filter method to estimate degradation cost. Results show that this better captures peak revenue, assuming reliable price forecasts are available.

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