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Shangda Yang

Publications and source records attributed to Shangda Yang.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Accelerating Look-ahead in Bayesian Optimization: Multilevel Monte Carlo is All you Need

We leverage multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) to improve the performance of multi-step look-ahead Bayesian optimization (BO) methods that involve nested expectations and maximizations. Often these expectations must be computed by Monte Carlo (MC). The complexity rate of naive MC degrades for nested operations, whereas MLMC is capable of achieving the canonical MC convergence rate for this type of problem, independently of dimension and without any smoothness assumptions. Our theoretical study focuses on the approximation improvements for twoand three-step look-ahead acquisition functions, but, as we discuss, the approach is generalizable in various ways, including beyond the context of BO. Our findings are verified numerically and the benefits of MLMC for BO are illustrated on several benchmark examples. Code is available at https://github.com/Shangda-Yang/MLMCBO .

stat.ML

A randomized multi-index sequential Monte Carlo method

We consider the problem of estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution with an unknown normalizing constant, and where even the unnormalized target needs to be approximated at finite resolution. Under such an assumption, this work builds upon a recently introduced multi-index Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) ratio estimator, which provably enjoys the complexity improvements of multi-index Monte Carlo (MIMC) and the efficiency of SMC for inference. The present work leverages a randomization strategy to remove bias entirely, which simplifies estimation substantially, particularly in the MIMC context, where the choice of index set is otherwise important. Under reasonable assumptions, the proposed method provably achieves the same canonical complexity of MSE$^{-1}$ as the original method (where MSE is mean squared error), but without discretization bias. It is illustrated on examples of Bayesian inverse and spatial statistics problems.

math.NA

Exponential Concentration in Stochastic Approximation

We analyze the behavior of stochastic approximation algorithms where iterates, in expectation, progress towards an objective at each step. When progress is proportional to the step size of the algorithm, we prove exponential concentration bounds. These tail-bounds contrast asymptotic normality results, which are more frequently associated with stochastic approximation. The methods that we develop rely on a geometric ergodicity proof. This extends a result on Markov chains due to Hajek (1982) to the area of stochastic approximation algorithms. We apply our results to several different Stochastic Approximation algorithms, specifically Projected Stochastic Gradient Descent, Kiefer-Wolfowitz and Stochastic Frank-Wolfe algorithms. When applicable, our results prove faster $O(1/t)$ and linear convergence rates for Projected Stochastic Gradient Descent with a non-vanishing gradient.

stat.ML

Multi-index Sequential Monte Carlo ratio estimators for Bayesian Inverse problems

We consider the problem of estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution with an unknown normalizing constant, and where even the unnormalized target needs to be approximated at finite resolution. This setting is ubiquitous across science and engineering applications, for example in the context of Bayesian inference where a physics-based model governed by an intractable partial differential equation (PDE) appears in the likelihood. A multi-index Sequential Monte Carlo (MISMC) method is used to construct ratio estimators which provably enjoy the complexity improvements of multi-index Monte Carlo (MIMC) as well as the efficiency of Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) for inference. In particular, the proposed method provably achieves the canonical complexity of MSE$^{-1}$, while single level methods require MSE$^{-\xi}$ for $\xi>1$. This is illustrated on examples of Bayesian inverse problems with an elliptic PDE forward model in $1$ and $2$ spatial dimensions, where $\xi=5/4$ and $\xi=3/2$, respectively. It is also illustrated on a more challenging log Gaussian process models, where single level complexity is approximately $\xi=9/4$ and multilevel Monte Carlo (or MIMC with an inappropriate index set) gives $\xi = 5/4 + \omega$, for any $\omega > 0$, whereas our method is again canonical.

math.NA