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Shangtong Zhang

Publications and source records attributed to Shangtong Zhang.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

OR-Transformer: Scaling Real-Time Decision-Making to 1,000 Items

Modern supply chain operations can require coordinating replenishment across thousands of heterogeneous items under correlated stochastic demand, heterogeneous lead times, and shared fixed ordering costs, yielding observation spaces exceeding $10^4$ dimensions. At this scale, rolling-horizon stochastic mixed-integer linear programs (MILPs) become prohibitively slow, while standard reinforcement learning (RL) methods face increasingly challenging credit assignment in high-dimensional action spaces. We introduce OR-Transformer, a deep reinforcement learning framework for joint replenishment under stochastic demand, with an item-permutation-equivariant Transformer architecture and pathwise-gradient training through the inventory dynamics. Across problem sizes up to 1,024 inventory items, OR-Transformer increasingly outperforms learning-based and rolling-horizon MILP baselines as scale grows. It also reduces online decision-making time by over 4 million times relative to MILP solvers, enabling real-time, large-scale deep RL in supply chain operations.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Robust Data-Collection Policy Learning for Low-Variance Online Policy Evaluation

In reinforcement learning policy evaluation, classic on-policy methods often suffer from high variance when estimating policy performance. To mitigate this issue, behavior policy search has been proposed to learn data-collecting policies tailored to reduce online evaluation variance. However, these approaches do not account for uncertainties in the transition functions. In practice, simulator transitions often differ from the real world due to modeling errors or approximation limitations. As a result, behavior policies trained in simulation may still yield high variance when deployed in real environments, leading to costly reliance on real-world evaluation samples. In this work, we propose a double-loop gradient-based algorithm for learning behavior policies that are both efficient and robust to transition uncertainty. Theoretically, we derive novel transition-variance gradient expressions and establish global convergence guarantees for the algorithm. Numerically, we demonstrate that our method is less sensitive to transition perturbations than existing approaches, providing supportive evidence for its practical utility.

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arXiv2026

Reward Machines for Signal Temporal Logic

Signal temporal logic (STL) provides a formal language for specifying real-time properties of real-valued observations, along with a quantitative robustness score for monitoring satisfaction. Control synthesis from STL specifications is of interest since manual controller design becomes infeasible as real-world systems grow in complexity. Moreover, many modern autonomous and AI-enabled systems lack accurate and complete system models, which makes optimization-based synthesis approaches unsuitable and motivates learning-based control. Prior work uses STL robustness scores as rewards in reinforcement learning (RL) to obtain control policies satisfying given specifications; however, robustness depends on execution history, leading to intractable state space expansion for general long-horizon specifications with arbitrarily nested temporal operators. This work introduces a novel automata-based approach that provides an efficient memory mechanism and associated Markovian rewards suitable for RL frameworks. Our approach constructs a timed alternating automaton from the given STL specifications, augments the state space with automaton locations and clock valuations, and derives rewards from the automaton acceptance condition. We empirically demonstrate that our approach learns policies that achieve higher robustness scores and satisfaction rates than those learned by existing approaches using robustness-based rewards.

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arXiv2026

Active Offline-to-Online Reinforcement Learning

Background: Offline reinforcement learning (RL) enables effective policies to be trained from large, previously collected datasets and subsequently improved through limited online interaction. This offline-to-online RL (O2O-RL) paradigm is particularly promising in nonstationary domains where interaction is costly or potentially hazardous. Standard O2O-RL pipelines train multiple candidate policies offline, evaluate them using off-policy or online evaluation, and then deploy and fine-tune the policy with the highest estimated value. However, as in offline pretraining, fine-tuning performance is highly sensitive to the choice of algorithm and hyperparameters, making it risky to commit to a single policy. Objectives: We study active policy selection for fine-tuning under a limited interaction budget in O2O-RL settings. To our knowledge, this is the first work to address this problem. Methods: We formulate the problem by identifying a fundamental trade-off between allocating online interactions to policy evaluation, which helps identify high-performing policies, and allocating them to fine-tuning, which improves policy performance. We then propose an approach that balances this trade-off by actively selecting policies for fine-tuning based on upper-confidence bounds on their future performance. These bounds are derived from locally linear performance forecasts fitted to observations obtained through online evaluation. Results: Across a diverse range of experiments, the proposed approach consistently outperforms existing O2O-RL baselines. Conclusions: Actively selecting and fine-tuning policies uses limited online interaction budgets more effectively than either committing to a single policy or dividing the budget equally among all policies. Our framework also advances offline RL toward practical deployment in real-world systems where online interaction is costly or risky.

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arXiv2026

Convergence of Two-Timescale Markovian Stochastic Approximations with Applications in Reinforcement Learning

This work studies the convergence of two-timescale stochastic approximations (SA), a class of iterative algorithms that update two sets of parameters in fast and slow timescales respectively. Notable examples of two-timescale SA in reinforcement learning (RL) include temporal difference learning with gradient correction (TDC) and actor-critic methods. Previously, the stability (i.e., boundedness) and convergence of two-timescale SA were only established under i.i.d. noise. This work instead establishes the stability and convergence of two-timescale SA under Markovian noise, a setup that is more realistic in RL. Notably, we do not need to use any projection operator and the noise does not need to live in a compact space. Our key technical novelty is to control the fast timescale parameter with the running max of the slow timescale parameter, instead of with the current slow timescale parameter, as most prior works do. As a key application, we establish the first almost sure convergence of TDC with eligibility traces under off-policy learning with linear function approximation.

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arXiv2026

Latent Q-Barrier Shielding for Safe In-Context Reinforcement Learning

Safe in-context reinforcement learning (ICRL) adapts online from interaction history without test-time parameter updates while controlling episode cost under a safety budget. Under out-of-distribution (OOD) deployment shifts, pretraining-only safe ICRL can give poor reward-safety tradeoffs because the remaining budget affects behavior only through frozen policy conditioning, not an explicit action-level check against predicted future cost. We propose a latent Q-Barrier shield that learns a context representation, latent dynamics, and an ensemble cost critic before deployment. Without parameter updates, the shield infers context from history and filters or softly reweights candidate actions using the remaining budget and predicted future cost. We prove a conditional, error-decomposed barrier-margin result: a Q-Barrier-satisfying action leaves the next latent-budget state with an approximately budget-safe continuation under the learned critic, up to Bellman and latent-prediction errors. Across five safe ICRL benchmarks, the shield improves deployment-time reward-safety tradeoffs over a strong safe-ICRL baseline: after a short context window, it achieves higher return in four of five benchmarks while matching or lowering average episode cost in all five.

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arXiv2026

Predicting Plasticity in Deep Continual Learning: A Theoretical Perspective

Deep continual learning requires models to adapt to new tasks without retraining from scratch. However, neural networks can lose their ability to adapt to new tasks after training on previous ones, a phenomenon known as loss of plasticity. There have been several explanations and diagnostics proposed for plasticity loss. Motivated by the philosophy that "all models are wrong, but some are useful", we ask: can existing diagnostics predict a neural network's plasticity? In this work, we take a practical view to interpret plasticity as trainability, i.e., a neural network's future optimization gain on a target task. We first take a theoretical approach, showing, by constructing a few counterexamples, that some widely adopted diagnostics of plasticity, including representation rank and neural tangent kernel rank, can fail to predict the loss of trainability in both regression and classification settings. We instead propose a novel metric, called optimization readiness, which combines gradient strength and gradient reliability. We prove that optimization readiness lower bounds one-step optimization gain under standard smoothness assumptions, providing a theoretical guarantee for its predictive power. Empirically, we show that across commonly used deep continual learning settings, such as Slowly-Changing Regression and Permuted MNIST, optimization readiness more reliably ranks checkpoints by trainability than prior diagnostics, even with substantially fewer samples.

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arXiv2026

Almost Sure Convergence Rates of Stochastic Approximation and Reinforcement Learning via a Poisson-Moreau Drift

Establishing almost sure convergence rates for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning under Markovian noise is a fundamental theoretical challenge. We make progress towards this challenge for a class of stochastic approximation algorithms whose expected updates are contractive, a setting that arises in many reinforcement learning algorithms such as $Q$-learning and linear temporal difference learning. Specifically, for a power-law learning rate $O(n^{-\eta})$ with $\eta \in (1/2, 1)$, we obtain an almost sure convergence rate arbitrarily close to $o(n^{1 - 2\eta})$. For a harmonic learning rate $O(n^{-1})$, we obtain an almost sure convergence rate arbitrarily close to $o(n^{-1})$, which we argue is a strong result because it is close to the optimal rate $O(n^{-1}\log\log n)$ given by the law of the iterated logarithm (for a special case of i.i.d. noise). Key to our analysis is a novel Lyapunov drift construction that applies a Poisson-equation based correction for Markovian noise to the well-established Moreau-envelope smoothing for the contractive mapping.

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arXiv2026

Convergence and Emergence of In-Context Reinforcement Learning with Chain of Thought

In-context reinforcement learning (ICRL) refers to the ability of RL agents to adapt to new tasks at inference time without parameter updates by conditioning on additional context. Recent empirical studies further demonstrate that Chain-of-Thought (CoT) generation can amplify this ICRL capability. This paper is the first to provide a theoretical understanding on how CoT interacts with ICRL. We conduct our analysis in a policy evaluation setup with linear Transformer. We prove that with specific Transformer parameters, the CoT generation process is equivalent to repeatedly executing temporal difference learning updates. Additionally, we provide finite sample convergence analysis showing that the policy evaluation error decreases geometrically with CoT length and eventually saturates at a statistical floor determined by the context length. We also prove that the desired Transformer parameters are a global minimizer of the pretraining loss, providing a theoretical understanding on the empirical emergence of those parameters.

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arXiv2026

MathlibPR: Pull Request Merge-Readiness Benchmark for Formal Mathematical Libraries

The ecosystem of Lean and Mathlib has become the de facto standard for large language model (LLM) assisted formal reasoning with remarkable successes in recent years. Those successes, however, only consume Mathlib as an essential dependency but do not directly contribute to it. In the meantime, the growth of Mathlib has recently been bottlenecked by the review process, which requires human reviewers to judge whether proposed pull requests (PRs) follow the Mathlib's conventions and are worth integrating as part of a shared mathematical infrastructure. This leads to our central question: can LLMs help review Mathlib PRs? To this end, we introduce MathlibPR, a benchmark built from real Mathlib4 PR histories. We further propose a staged evaluation protocol and use it to evaluate both LLM models (e.g., DeepSeek, Qwen, Goedel, and Kimina) and LLM agents (e.g., Codex and Claude Code). Surprisingly, both LLM models and LLM agents struggle to distinguish merge-ready PRs from build-passing PRs that were revised or never merged. By turning Mathlib PR histories into a supervised signal, MathlibPR provides a step toward reviewer assistants and reward models that could help evaluate PRs and steer LLMs toward producing merge-ready Mathlib contributions.

cs.LO↗
arXiv2026

Beyond Linear Attention: Softmax Transformers Implement In-Context Reinforcement Learning

In-context reinforcement learning (ICRL) studies agents that, after pretraining, adapt to new tasks by conditioning on additional context without parameter updates. Existing theoretical analyses of ICRL largely rely on linear attention, which replaces the softmax function in the standard attention with an identity mapping. This paper provides the first theoretical understanding of ICRL without making the unrealistic linear attention simplification. In particular, we consider the standard softmax attention used in practice. We show that, with certain parameters, the layerwise forward pass of a Transformer with such softmax attention is equivalent to iterative updates of a weighted softmax temporal difference (TD) learning algorithm. Here, weighted softmax TD is a new RL algorithm that performs policy evaluation in kernel space and adopts both linear TD and tabular TD as special cases. We also prove that under a certain contraction condition, the policy evaluation error decays as the number of layers grows, with the identified parameters above. Finally, we prove that those parameters are a global minimizer of a pretraining loss, explaining their emergence in our numerical experiments.

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arXiv2026

On the Divergence of Differential Temporal Difference Learning without Local Clocks

Learning rate is a critical component of reinforcement learning (RL). This work uses global and local clocks to distinguish two types of learning rates. The former is of the standard form $\alpha_t$ that depends only on the time step $t$ (i.e., a global clock). The latter is of the form $\alpha_{\nu(S_t, t)}$, where $\nu(s, t)$ counts the number of visits to state $s$ until time $t$ (i.e., a local clock). In discounted RL, an RL algorithm that is convergent with a local clock is always also convergent with a global clock, and vice versa. We are not aware of any counterexample. The key contribution of this work is to show that this nice correspondence breaks down in average-reward RL. Specifically, we construct a counterexample showing that although differential temporal difference learning is convergent with a local clock, it can diverge with a global clock. This counterexample closes the open problem in Wan et al. [2021], Blaser et al. [2026].

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arXiv2026

Adaptive Policy Selection and Fine-Tuning under Interaction Budgets for Offline-to-Online Reinforcement Learning

In offline-to-online reinforcement learning (O2O-RL), policies are first safely trained offline using previously collected datasets and then further fine-tuned for tasks via limited online interactions. In a typical O2O-RL pipeline, candidate policies trained with offline RL are evaluated via either off-policy evaluation (OPE) or online evaluation (OE). The policy with the highest estimated value is then deployed and continually fine-tuned. However, this setup has two main issues. First, OPE can be unreliable, making it risky to deploy a policy based solely on those estimates, whereas OE may identify a viable policy with substantial online interaction, which could have been used for fine-tuning. Second--and more importantly--it is also often not possible to determine a priori whether a pretrained policy will improve with post-deployment fine-tuning, especially in non-stationary environments. As a result, procedures committing to a single deployed policy are impractical in many real-world settings. Moreover, a naive remedy that exhaustively fine-tunes all candidates would violate interaction budget constraints and is likewise infeasible. In this paper, we propose a novel adaptive approach for policy selection and fine-tuning under online interaction budgets in O2O-RL. Following the standard pipeline, we first train a set of candidate policies with different offline RL algorithms and hyperparameters; we then perform OPE to obtain initial performance estimates. We next adaptively select and fine-tune the policies based on their predicted performance via an upper-confidence-bound approach thereby making efficient use of online interactions. We demonstrate that our approach improves upon O2O-RL baselines with various benchmarks.

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arXiv2026

Almost Sure Convergence of Differential Temporal Difference Learning for Average Reward Markov Decision Processes

The average reward is a fundamental performance metric in reinforcement learning (RL) focusing on the long-run performance of an agent. Differential temporal difference (TD) learning algorithms are a major advance for average reward RL as they provide an efficient online method to learn the value functions associated with the average reward in both on-policy and off-policy settings. However, existing convergence guarantees require a local clock in learning rates tied to state visit counts, which practitioners do not use and does not extend beyond tabular settings. We address this limitation by proving the almost sure convergence of on-policy $n$-step differential TD for any $n$ using standard diminishing learning rates without a local clock. We then derive three sufficient conditions under which off-policy $n$-step differential TD also converges without a local clock. These results strengthen the theoretical foundations of differential TD and bring its convergence analysis closer to practical implementations.

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arXiv2026

MathlibLemma: Folklore Lemma Generation and Benchmark for Formal Mathematics

While the ecosystem of Lean and Mathlib has enjoyed celebrated success in formal mathematical reasoning with the help of large language models (LLMs), the absence of many folklore lemmas in Mathlib remains a persistent barrier that limits Lean's usability as an everyday tool for mathematicians like \LaTeX{} or Maple. To address this, we introduce MathlibLemma, a modular LLM-based pipeline for automated folklore-lemma mining: the discovery, formalization, and proving of reusable intermediate facts that mathematicians often take for granted but that are not always present in formal libraries. At its core, MathlibLemma proactively mines the missing connective tissue of mathematics. The pipeline produces a verified library of folklore-style lemmas, including 1,506 Lean-checked proofs that pass a proof-bypass screen; a small curated pilot subset has also been merged into Mathlib, providing external evidence that selected outputs can meet expert library standards. Leveraging this pipeline, we further construct the MathlibLemma benchmark, a suite of 4,028 non-trivial type-checked Lean statements spanning a broad range of mathematical domains. By transforming the role of LLMs from passive consumers to active contributors, this work takes a step toward AI-assisted expansion of formal mathematical libraries.

cs.LO↗
arXiv2026

Multi-agent DRL-based Lane Change Decision Model for Cooperative Platooning in Mixed Traffic

Connected automated vehicles (CAVs) possess the ability to communicate and coordinate with one another, enabling cooperative platooning that enhances both energy efficiency and traffic flow. However, during the initial stage of CAV deployment, the sparse distribution of CAVs among human-driven vehicles reduces the likelihood of forming effective cooperative platoons. To address this challenge, this study proposes a hybrid multi-agent lane change decision model aimed at increasing CAV participation in cooperative platooning and maximizing its associated benefits. The proposed model employs the QMIX framework, integrating traffic data processed through a convolutional neural network (CNN-QMIX). This architecture addresses a critical issue in dynamic traffic scenarios by enabling CAVs to make optimal decisions irrespective of the varying number of CAVs present in mixed traffic. Additionally, a trajectory planner and a model predictive controller are designed to ensure smooth and safe lane-change execution. The proposed model is trained and evaluated within a microsimulation environment under varying CAV market penetration rates. The results demonstrate that the proposed model efficiently manages fluctuating traffic agent numbers, significantly outperforming the baseline rule-based models. Notably, it enhances cooperative platooning rates up to 26.2\%, showcasing its potential to optimize CAV cooperation and traffic dynamics during the early stage of deployment.

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arXiv2025

Prompt-Driven Domain Adaptation for End-to-End Autonomous Driving via In-Context RL

Despite significant progress and advances in autonomous driving, many end-to-end systems still struggle with domain adaptation (DA), such as transferring a policy trained under clear weather to adverse weather conditions. Typical DA strategies in the literature include collecting additional data in the target domain or re-training the model, or both. Both these strategies quickly become impractical as we increase scale and complexity of driving. These limitations have encouraged investigation into few-shot and zero-shot prompt-driven DA at inference time involving LLMs and VLMs. These methods work by adding a few state-action trajectories during inference to the prompt (similar to in-context learning). However, there are two limitations of such an approach: $(i)$ prompt-driven DA methods are currently restricted to perception tasks such as detection and segmentation and $(ii)$ they require expert few-shot data. In this work, we present a new approach to inference-time few-shot prompt-driven DA for closed-loop autonomous driving in adverse weather condition using in-context reinforcement learning (ICRL). Similar to other prompt-driven DA methods, our approach does not require any updates to the model parameters nor does it require additional data collection in adversarial weather regime. Furthermore, our approach advances the state-of-the-art in prompt-driven DA by extending to closed driving using general trajectories observed during inference. Our experiments using the CARLA simulator show that ICRL results in safer, more efficient, and more comfortable driving policies in the target domain compared to state-of-the-art prompt-driven DA baselines.

cs.RO↗
arXiv2025

Towards Formalizing Reinforcement Learning Theory: A Robbins-Siegmund Approach

In this paper, we formalize the almost sure convergence of $Q$-learning and linear temporal difference (TD) learning with Markovian samples using the Lean 4 theorem prover based on the Mathlib library. $Q$-learning and linear TD are among the earliest and most influential reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms. The investigation of their convergence properties is not only a major research topic during the early development of the RL field but also receives significant attention nowadays. This paper formally verifies their almost sure convergence in a unified framework based on the Robbins-Siegmund theorem. The framework developed in this work can potentially be extended to convergence rates and other modes of convergence. This work thus makes an important step towards fully formalizing convergent RL results. The code is available at https://github.com/ShangtongZhang/rl-theory-in-lean.

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