arXiv subjects

Shania Nichols

Publications and source records attributed to Shania Nichols.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Impacts of Customized Chromatic Noise Models on Gravitational Wave Analyses

We report updated nHz gravitational wave (GW) significance, characterization, and interpretations using the customized chromatic-noise models (CNMs) developed in Larsen, Baier et al. (2026). for the NANOGrav 15-year data set. We find increased evidence for the Hellings-Downs (HD) correlation signature of the stochastic gravitational wave background (GWB), with a Bayes factor of $1571\pm14$ for HD-correlations over a common uncorrelated red-noise process using a power-law model with $14$ Fourier modes. We find this $\sim8\times$ increase in Bayes factor from Agazie et al. (2023a) is a result of improved noise mitigation. Assuming an analytic null distribution for the frequentist interpulsar correlation statistic, this corresponds to a slightly more significant measurement from $3.16\sigma$ to $3.32\sigma$ against the no-correlation scenario. Spectral inference with CNMs brings the power-law GWB amplitude down to $A_{\rm GWB} = 2.1^{+0.6}_{-0.5}\times10^{-15}$ at fixed $\gamma_{\rm GWB} = 13/3$. In a varied-$\gamma$ analysis, the spectral index increases to $\gamma_{\rm GWB}=3.5^{+0.7}_{-0.6}$. We report updates on an all-sky continuous gravitational wave (CW) search as well as select targeted searches and calculate a $3.2\times$ larger detection volume for the NANOGrav detector. With CNMs, we find reduced evidence for a non-Einsteinian, scalar-transverse mode of gravity. Finally, we reinterpret the GWB first with the assumption of an astrophysical background sourced by SMBHBs and then assuming the more exotic origins of cosmic inflation, a first-order cosmological phase transition, and stable cosmic strings. Under both the SMBHB hypothesis and the cosmological hypotheses, we see only marginal shifts in model parameter posteriors which are consistent with the slightly quieter and steeper power-law GWB spectrum.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

ArchGEM: an Advanced Data Analysis Tool for Analyzing Scattered Light Noise in LIGO

Scattered light is one of the most common sources of non-stationary noise at low frequencies in Advanced LIGO detectors. It appears as arch-like features in time-frequency spectrograms, produced when stray light reflects from moving surfaces and recombines with the main interferometer beam. In this study, we present ArchGEM, an automated framework for identifying and characterizing these arches and recovering the physical properties of the scattering surfaces. ArchGEM combines a prominence-based peak-finding method with a Gaussian Mixture Model clustering approach to capture a range of scattered-light morphologies across different detector conditions. We apply ArchGEM to scattered light glitches across Advanced LIGO observing runs O3 (2019--2020) and O4 (2023--2024). We find that the average frequency distributions of this noise span 15--25 Hz in O3a and O4, but increase to 20--40 Hz during O3b. Typical inferred surface velocities are 0.2--0.5 $\mu$m/s, and inferred surface displacements are 0.1--0.3 $\mu$m. The Gaussian Mixture Model performs most consistently for complex or overlapping features, with mean frequency offsets within 5 Hz of the Gravity Spy baseline. Our results show that ArchGEM provides a practical tool for detector characterization by linking observed spectrogram features to the motion of scattering surfaces and helping guide future mitigation of scattered light noise in current and next-generation interferometers. By quantifying the temporal and spectral behavior of scattered light, ArchGEM provides a robust framework for diagnosing noise sources and guiding targeted mitigation strategies in future detector upgrades.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2026

The NANOGrav 15 yr and 20 yr Datasets: Timing Events and Pulse Shape Changes

The average pulse shape of a pulsar is typically stable over decadal timescales, enabling estimation of pulse times of arrival to better than a small fraction of the pulse width using matched filtering techniques. However, in North American Nanohertz Observatory for Gravitational Waves (NANOGrav) observations of PSR J1713+0747, three discrete timing events that depart from the prevailing timing model have been seen in the last 20 yr. All three correspond to morphological changes in pulse shape. Using principal component analysis, we analyze the pulse profiles of nine NANOGrav pulsars, including seven with profiles from the 15 yr dataset and two with additional profiles from the forthcoming 20 yr dataset. We recover the three known pulse shape change events in PSR J1713+0747 and another previously known event in PSR J1643$-$1224. We implement a ranking metric for candidate events and address four highly ranked candidates in this nine-pulsar sample. We also recover known slow pulse shape variations in PSR J1643$-$1224, PSR J1903+0327, and PSR B1937+21 and report an unexpected recurrence after ~10 yr of one such variation in PSR B1937+21.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Gravitational Wave Measurement of the $M_\mathrm{BH}$-$M_\mathrm{bulge}$ Intrinsic Scatter at High Redshift

The observed GWB spectrum is higher in amplitude than model predictions by a factor of 2-3. Using a semi-analytic model, we evaluate the effect of a high-scatter supermassive black hole (SMBH) scaling relation ($M_\mathrm{BH}$-$M_\mathrm{bulge}$) on models of the nanohertz gravitational wave background (GWB). By implementing an intrinsic scatter of the $M_\mathrm{BH}$-$M_\mathrm{bulge}$ relation, which is larger at higher redshift, but matches local observations, we find that the amplitude of GWB models increases to be consistent with the low-frequency end of the GWB spectrum. This amplitude increase is not uniform across frequencies, a strongly evolving scatter preferentially increases the number density of the most massive SMBHs which, in the GWB spectrum, minimizes the strength of the low-frequency turnover. Our models with positively evolving intrinsic scatter can reproduce the electromagnetically observed overmassive SMBHs at $4 < z < 6$ without changing the $M_\mathrm{BH}$-$M_\mathrm{bulge}$ normalization though we find that including moderate normalization evolution marginally improves fits to the GWB data. We conclude that the $M_\mathrm{BH}$-$M_\mathrm{bulge}$ relation which best describes the available GWB and electromagnetic data sets has intrinsic scatter that evolves as $\varepsilon(z) = \varepsilon_0 + (0.56 \pm 0.4) \log_{10}(1 + z)$ and normalization that evolves as $\alpha(z) = \alpha_0 (1 + z)^{0.84 \pm 0.35}$. The results of this work imply that the $M_\mathrm{BH}$-$M_\mathrm{bulge}$ relation we see today is not universal throughout cosmic time and that a diversity of seeding models and growth mechanisms may be at play in the early stages of SMBH-galaxy evolution.

astro-ph.HE↗