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Shi Zhou

Publications and source records attributed to Shi Zhou.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Preference Is Not Intervention: The Structure and Stability Boundaries of Reader-Specific Evidence Utility

ML systems increasingly condition decisions on downstream model identity, but this is useful only if model-specific differences form reusable structure rather than input-local interactions. We test this in retrieval-augmented generation (RAG), where evidence utility can be measured under controlled interventions. Holding query, evidence, task, scoring, and intervention fixed, nine readers disagree on effect sign in 33\% of jointly affected cells; reader$\times$query interaction explains 29.8\% of utility variance versus an 8.4\% permutation null; and self-selected evidence improves F1 by $+0.031$ ($t=3.39$). We then ask the sharper question: \emph{which components of this heterogeneity are stable reader properties across queries?} Separating three measurable objects---evidence \emph{activity}, \emph{ordinal preference}, and \emph{conditional signed direction}---we find ordinal reader geometry stable across four independent settings (split-half $\rho=0.60$--$0.83$): leave-one-out interventions, PRISM preferences, RAMDocs, and RAGuard. Signed geometry is task-bounded: weak in open-ended QA (0.14, 0.35), especially for misleading and irrelevant evidence, but strong in binary fact-checking (0.75) with no significant ordinal gap, though still below its sparsity-matched ceiling. Sparsity, decoding noise, and metric artifacts do not explain the main ordinal--signed gap. Finally, stable ordinal similarity fails to predict cross-reader intervention transfer (oracle-distance $\rho=-0.27$; regret reliability $-0.28$). Reader-specific utility exists, but preference is not intervention: stable ranking similarity does not license transfer of help/harm decisions.

cs.CL

The Significance of User Characteristics for Reposting Prediction on X: A Comparative Analysis Under Distribution Shift

Understanding information diffusion on X (formerly Twitter) requires accurate modelling of reposting behaviour. Most existing work predicts reposting under in-distribution settings, where training and test data cover the same topics. This paper addresses a more realistic and challenging scenario: out-of-distribution prediction, i.e., forecasting reposting behaviour for new, previously unseen topics. We formulate the task at the individual level - predicting whether a specific user will repost a given post - and systematically compare the predictive power of post-related features, user-related features, and their combination across four representative models: Decision Tree, Multi-Layer Perceptron, BERT, and Qwen. Our experiments show that while post-related features perform well in-distribution, their performance declines drastically for unseen topics, with F1 scores falling to approximately 0.12. In contrast, user-related features - including user profiles, social relations, and historical behaviour - deliver strong and transferable performance, raising the F1 score to over 0.70. These results demonstrate that reposting decisions are largely content-agnostic: they are driven more by stable user characteristics than by the specific content of a post. Our findings highlight the value of user modelling for building robust prediction systems and provide new insights into the mechanisms that enable information to spread across different topics.

cs.SI

Genetic Analysis of Prostate Cancer with Computer Science Methods

Metastatic prostate cancer is one of the most common cancers in men. In the advanced stages of prostate cancer, tumours can metastasise to other tissues in the body, which is fatal. In this thesis, we performed a genetic analysis of prostate cancer tumours at different metastatic sites using data science, machine learning and topological network analysis methods. We presented a general procedure for pre-processing gene expression datasets and pre-filtering significant genes by analytical methods. We then used machine learning models for further key gene filtering and secondary site tumour classification. Finally, we performed gene co-expression network analysis and community detection on samples from different prostate cancer secondary site types. In this work, 13 of the 14,379 genes were selected as the most metastatic prostate cancer related genes, achieving approximately 92% accuracy under cross-validation. In addition, we provide preliminary insights into the co-expression patterns of genes in gene co-expression networks. Project code is available at https://github.com/zcablii/Master_cancer_project.

cs.IR

Tuning the Interlayer Microstructure and Residual Stress of Buffer-Free Direct Bonding GaN/Si Heterostructures

The direct integration of GaN with Si can boost great potential for low-cost, large-scale, and high-power device applications. However, it is still challengeable to directly grow GaN on Si without using thick strain relief buffer layers due to their large lattice and thermal-expansion-coefficient mismatches. In this work, a GaN/Si heterointerface without any buffer layer is successfully fabricated at room temperature via surface activated bonding (SAB). The residual stress states and interfacial microstructures of GaN/Si heterostructures were systematically investigated through micro-Raman spectroscopy and transmission electron microscopy. Compared to the large compressive stress that existed in GaN layers grown-on-Si by MOCVD, a significantly relaxed and uniform small tensile stress was observed in GaN layers bonded-to-Si by SAB; this is mainly ascribed to the amorphous layer formed at the bonding interface. In addition, the interfacial microstructure and stress states of bonded GaN/Si heterointerfaces was found can be significantly tuned by appropriate thermal annealing. This work moves an important step forward directly integrating GaN to the present Si CMOS technology with high quality thin interfaces, and brings great promises for wafer-scale low-cost fabrication of GaN electronics.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci

BGP-Multipath Routing in the Internet

BGP-Multipath (BGP-M) is a multipath routing technique for load balancing. Distinct from other techniques deployed at a router inside an Autonomous System (AS), BGP-M is deployed at a border router that has installed multiple inter-domain border links to a neighbour AS. It uses the equal-cost multi-path (ECMP) function of a border router to share traffic to a destination prefix on different border links. Despite recent research interests in multipath routing, there is little study on BGP-M. Here we provide the first measurement and a comprehensive analysis of BGP-M routing in the Internet. We extracted information on BGP-M from query data collected from Looking Glass (LG) servers. We revealed that BGP-M has already been extensively deployed and used in the Internet. A particular example is Hurricane Electric (AS6939), a Tier-1 network operator, which has implemented >1,000 cases of BGP-M at 69 of its border routers to prefixes in 611 of its neighbour ASes, including many hyper-giant ASes and large content providers, on both IPv4 and IPv6 Internet. We examined the distribution and operation of BGP-M. We also ran traceroute using RIPE Atlas to infer the routing paths, the schemes of traffic allocation, and the delay on border links. This study provided the state-of-the-art knowledge on BGP-M with novel insights into the unique features and the distinct advantages of BGP-M as an effective and readily available technique for load balancing.

cs.NI

Reliable and Broad-range Layer Identification of Au-assisted Exfoliated Large Area MoS$_2$ and WS$_2$ Using Reflection Spectroscopic Fingerprints

The emerging Au-assisted exfoliation technique provides a wealth of large-area and high-quality ultrathin two-dimensional (2D) materials compared with traditional tape-based exfoliation. Fast, damage-free, and reliable determination of the layer number of such 2D films is essential to study layer-dependent physics and promote device applications. Here, an optical method has been developed for simple, high throughput, and accurate determination of the layer number for Au-assisted exfoliated MoS$_2$ and WS$_2$ films in a broad thickness range. The method is based on quantitative analysis of layer-dependent white light reflection spectra, revealing that the reflection peak intensity can be used as a clear indicator for determining the layer number. The simple yet robust method will facilitate the fundamental study on layer-dependent optical, electrical, and thermal properties and device applications of 2D materials. The technique can also be readily combined with photoluminescence and Raman spectroscopies to study other layer-dependent physical properties of 2D materials.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci

Investigation of Deformation and Fracture Mechanisms in Two-dimensional Gallium Telluride Multilayers Using Nanoindentation

Two-dimensional (2D) materials possess great potential for flexible devices, ascribing to their outstanding electrical, optical, and mechanical properties. However, their mechanical deformation property and fracture mechanism, which are inescapable in many applications like flexible optoelectronics, are still unclear or not thoroughly investigated due methodology limitations. In light of this, such mechanical properties and mechanisms are explored on example of gallium telluride (GaTe), a promising optoelectronic candidate with an ultrahigh photo-responsibility and a high plasticity within 2D family. Considering the driving force insufficient in atomic force microscopy (AFM)-based nanoindentation method, here the mechanical properties of both substrate-supported and suspended GaTe multilayers were systematically investigated through full-scale Berkovich-tip nanoindentation, micro-Raman spectroscopy, AFM, and scanning electron microscopy. An unusual concurrence of multiple pop-in and load-drop events in loading curve was observed. By further correlating to molecular dynamics calculations, this concurrence was unveiled originating from the interlayer sliding mediated layers-by-layers fracture mechanism within GaTe multilayers. The van der Waals force between GaTe multilayers and substrates was revealed much stronger than that between GaTe interlayers, resulting in the easy sliding and fracture of multilayers within GaTe. This work provides new insights into the deformation and fracture mechanisms of GaTe and other similar 2D multilayers in flexible applications.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci

Discord in the voter model for complex networks

Online social networks have become primary means of communication. As they often exhibit undesirable effects such as hostility, polarisation or echo chambers, it is crucial to develop analytical tools that help us better understand them. In this paper, we are interested in the evolution of discord in social networks. Formally, we introduce a method to calculate the probability of discord between any two agents in the multi-state voter model with and without zealots. Our work applies to any directed, weighted graph with any finite number of possible opinions, allows for various update rates across agents, and does not imply any approximation. Under certain topological conditions, their opinions are independent and the joint distribution can be decoupled. Otherwise, the evolution of discord probabilities is described by a linear system of ordinary differential equations. We prove the existence of a unique equilibrium solution, which can be computed via an iterative algorithm. The classical definition of active links density is generalized to take into account long-range, weighted interactions. We illustrate our findings on real-life and synthetic networks. In particular, we investigate the impact of clustering on discord, and uncover a rich landscape of varied behaviors in polarised networks. This sheds lights on the evolution of discord between, and within, antagonistic communities.

cs.SI

Towards control of opinion diversity by introducing zealots into a polarised social group

We explore a method to influence or even control the diversity of opinions within a polarised social group. We leverage the voter model in which users hold binary opinions and repeatedly update their beliefs based on others they connect with. Stubborn agents who never change their minds ("zealots") are also disseminated through the network, which is modelled by a connected graph. Building on earlier results, we provide a closed-form expression for the average opinion of the group at equilibrium. This leads us to a strategy to inject zealots into a polarised network in order to shift the average opinion towards any target value. We account for the possible presence of a backfire effect, which may lead the group to react negatively and reinforce its level of polarisation in response. Our results are supported by numerical experiments on synthetic data.

cs.SI

Forecasting elections results via the voter model with stubborn nodes

In this paper we propose a novel method to forecast the result of elections using only official results of previous ones. It is based on the voter model with stubborn nodes and uses theoretical results developed in a previous work of ours. We look at popular vote shares for the Conservative and Labour parties in the UK and the Republican and Democrat parties in the US. We are able to perform time-evolving estimates of the model parameters and use these to forecast the vote shares for each party in any election. We obtain a mean absolute error of 4.74\%. As a side product, our parameters estimates provide meaningful insight on the political landscape, informing us on the proportion of voters that are strong supporters of each of the considered parties.

cs.SI

Performance Analysis of Multipath BGP

Multipath BGP (M-BGP) allows a BGP router to install multiple 'equally-good' paths, via parallel inter-domain border links, to a destination prefix. M-BGP differs from the multipath routing techniques in many ways, e.g. M-BGP is only implemented at border routers of Autonomous Systems (ASes); and while it shares traffic to different IP addresses in a destination prefix via different border links, any traffic to a given destination IP always follows the same border link. Recently we studied Looking Glass data and reported the wide deployment of M-BGP in the Internet; in particular, Hurricane Electric (AS6939) has implemented over 1,000 cases of M-BGP to hundreds of its peering ASes. In this paper, we analyzed the performance of M-BGP. We used RIPE Atlas to send traceroute probes to a series of destination prefixes through Hurricane Electric's border routers implemented with M-BGP. We examined the distribution of Round Trip Time to each probed IP address in a destination prefix and their variation during the measurement. We observed that the deployment of M-BGP can guarantee stable routing between ASes and enhance a network's resilience to traffic changes. Our work provides insights into the unique characteristics of M-BGP as an effective technique for load balancing.

cs.NI

Anatomy of Multipath BGP Deployment in a Large ISP Network

Multipath routing is useful for networks to achieve load sharing among multiple routing paths. Multipath BGP (MBGP) is a technique to realize inter-domain multipath routing by enabling a BGP router to install multiple equally-good routes to a destination prefix. Most of previous works did not distinguish between intra-domain and inter-domain multipath routing. In this paper, we present a measurement study on the deployment of M-BGP in a large Internet service provider (ISP) network. Our method combines control-plane BGP measurements using Looking Glasses (LG), and data-plane traceroute measurements using RIPE Atlas. We focus on Hurricane Electric (AS6939) because it is a global ISP that connects with hundreds of major exchange points and exchanges IP traffic with thousands of different networks. And more importantly, we find that this ISP has by far the largest number of M-BGP deployments among autonomous systems with LG servers. Specifically, Hurricane Electric has deployed M-BGP with 512 of its peering ASes at 58 PoPs around the world, including many top ASes and content providers. We also observe that most of its M-BGP deployments involve IXP interconnections. Our work provides insights into the latest deployment of M-BGP in a major ISP network and it highlights the characteristics and effectiveness of M-BGP as a means to realize load sharing.

cs.NI

Mining the Automotive Industry: A Network Analysis of Corporate Positioning and Technological Trends

The digital transformation is driving revolutionary innovations and new market entrants threaten established sectors of the economy such as the automotive industry. Following the need for monitoring shifting industries, we present a network-centred analysis of car manufacturer web pages. Solely exploiting publicly-available information, we construct large networks from web pages and hyperlinks. The network properties disclose the internal corporate positioning of the three largest automotive manufacturers, Toyota, Volkswagen and Hyundai with respect to innovative trends and their international outlook. We tag web pages concerned with topics like e-mobility and environment or autonomous driving, and investigate their relevance in the network. Sentiment analysis on individual web pages uncovers a relationship between page linking and use of positive language, particularly with respect to innovative trends. Web pages of the same country domain form clusters of different size in the network that reveal strong correlations with sales market orientation. Our approach maintains the web content's hierarchical structure imposed by the web page networks. It, thus, presents a method to reveal hierarchical structures of unstructured text content obtained from web scraping. It is highly transparent, reproducible and data driven, and could be used to gain complementary insights into innovative strategies of firms and competitive landscapes, which would not be detectable by the analysis of web content alone.

cs.SI

LOBO -- Evaluation of Generalization Deficiencies in Twitter Bot Classifiers

Botnets in online social networks are increasingly often affecting the regular flow of discussion, attacking regular users and their posts, spamming them with irrelevant or offensive content, and even manipulating the popularity of messages and accounts. Researchers and cybercriminals are involved in an arms race, and new and updated botnets designed to defeat current detection systems are constantly developed, rendering such detection systems obsolete. In this paper, we motivate the need for a generalized evaluation in Twitter bot detection and propose a methodology to evaluate bot classifiers by testing them on unseen bot classes. We show that this methodology is empirically robust, using bot classes of varying sizes and characteristics and reaching similar results, and argue that methods trained and tested on single bot classes or datasets might not able to generalize to new bot classes. We train one such classifier on over 200,000 data points and show that it achieves over 97% accuracy. The data used to train and test this classifier includes some of the largest and most varied collections of bots used in literature. We then test this theoretically sound classifier using our methodology, highlighting that it does not generalize well to unseen bot classes. Finally, we discuss the implications of our results, and reasons why some bot classes are easier and faster to detect than others.

cs.CR

Second-Order Assortative Mixing in Social Networks

In a social network, the number of links of a node, or node degree, is often assumed as a proxy for the node's importance or prominence within the network. It is known that social networks exhibit the (first-order) assortative mixing, i.e. if two nodes are connected, they tend to have similar node degrees, suggesting that people tend to mix with those of comparable prominence. In this paper, we report the second-order assortative mixing in social networks. If two nodes are connected, we measure the degree correlation between their most prominent neighbours, rather than between the two nodes themselves. We observe very strong second-order assortative mixing in social networks, often significantly stronger than the first-order assortative mixing. This suggests that if two people interact in a social network, then the importance of the most prominent person each knows is very likely to be the same. This is also true if we measure the average prominence of neighbours of the two people. This property is weaker or negative in non-social networks. We investigate a number of possible explanations for this property. However, none of them was found to provide an adequate explanation. We therefore conclude that second-order assortative mixing is a new property of social networks.

physics.soc-ph

Discovery of the Twitter Bursty Botnet

Many Twitter users are bots. They can be used for spamming, opinion manipulation and online fraud. Recently we discovered the Star Wars botnet, consisting of more than 350,000 bots tweeting random quotations exclusively from Star Wars novels. The bots were exposed because they tweeted uniformly from any location within two rectangle-shaped geographic zones covering Europe and the USA, including sea and desert areas in the zones. In this paper, we report another unusual behaviour of the Star Wars bots, that the bots were created in bursts or batches, and they only tweeted in their first few minutes since creation. Inspired by this observation, we discovered an even larger Twitter botnet, the Bursty botnet with more than 500,000 bots. Our preliminary study showed that the Bursty botnet was directly responsible for a large-scale online spamming attack in 2012. Most bot detection algorithms have been based on assumptions of `common' features that were supposedly shared by all bots. Our discovered botnets, however, do not show many of those features; instead, they were detected by their distinct, unusual tweeting behaviours that were unknown until now.

cs.SI

Discovery, Retrieval, and Analysis of 'Star Wars' botnet in Twitter

It is known that many Twitter users are bots, which are accounts controlled and sometimes created by computers. Twitter bots can send spam tweets, manipulate public opinion and be used for online fraud. Here we report the discovery, retrieval, and analysis of the `Star Wars' botnet in Twitter, which consists of more than 350,000 bots tweeting random quotations exclusively from Star Wars novels. The botnet contains a single type of bot, showing exactly the same properties throughout the botnet. It is unusually large, many times larger than other available datasets. It provides a valuable source of ground truth for research on Twitter bots. We analysed and revealed rich details on how the botnet was designed and created. As of this writing, the Star Wars bots are still alive in Twitter. They have survived since their creation in 2013, despite the increasing efforts in recent years to detect and remove Twitter bots.We also reflect on the `unconventional' way in which we discovered the Star Wars bots, and discuss the current problems and future challenges of Twitter bot detection.

cs.SI

Hybrid spreading mechanisms and T cell activation shape the dynamics of HIV-1 infection

HIV-1 can disseminate between susceptible cells by two mechanisms: cell-free infection following fluid-phase diffusion of virions and by highly-efficient direct cell-to-cell transmission at immune cell contacts. The contribution of this hybrid spreading mechanism, which is also a characteristic of some important computer worm outbreaks, to HIV-1 progression in vivo remains unknown. Here we present a new mathematical model that explicitly incorporates the ability of HIV-1 to use hybrid spreading mechanisms and evaluate the consequences for HIV-1 pathogenenesis. The model captures the major phases of the HIV-1 infection course of a cohort of treatment naive patients and also accurately predicts the results of the Short Pulse Anti-Retroviral Therapy at Seroconversion (SPARTAC) trial. Using this model we find that hybrid spreading is critical to seed and establish infection, and that cell-to-cell spread and increased CD4+ T cell activation are important for HIV-1 progression. Notably, the model predicts that cell-to-cell spread becomes increasingly effective as infection progresses and thus may present a considerable treatment barrier. Deriving predictions of various treatments' influence on HIV-1 progression highlights the importance of earlier intervention and suggests that treatments effectively targeting cell-to-cell HIV-1 spread can delay progression to AIDS. This study suggests that hybrid spreading is a fundamental feature of HIV infection, and provides the mathematical framework incorporating this feature with which to evaluate future therapeutic strategies.

q-bio.PE