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Shiyin Du

Publications and source records attributed to Shiyin Du.

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Adaptive Kernel Regression for Constrained Route Alignment: Theory and Iterative Data Sharpening

Route alignment design in surveying and transportation engineering frequently involves fixed waypoint constraints, where a path must precisely traverse specific coordinates. While existing literature primarily relies on geometric optimization or control-theoretic spline frameworks, there is a lack of systematic statistical modeling approaches that balance global smoothness with exact point adherence. This paper proposes an Adaptive Nadaraya-Watson (ANW) kernel regression estimator designed to address the fixed waypoint problem. By incorporating waypoint-specific weight tuning parameters, the ANW estimator decouples global smoothing from local constraint satisfaction, avoiding the "jagged" artifacts common in naive local bandwidth-shrinking strategies. To further enhance estimation accuracy, we develop an iterative data sharpening algorithm that systematically reduces bias while maintaining the stability of the kernel framework. We establish the theoretical foundation for the ANW estimator by deriving its asymptotic bias and variance and proving its convergence properties under the internal constraint model. Numerical case studies in 1D and 2D trajectory planning demonstrate that the method effectively balances root mean square error (RMSE) and curvature smoothness. Finally, we validate the practical utility of the framework through empirical applications to railway and highway route planning. In sum, this work provides a stable, theoretically grounded, and computationally efficient solution for complex, constrained alignment design problems.

stat.ME

Are Large Language Models Good Statisticians?

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities across a range of scientific tasks including mathematics, physics, and chemistry. Despite their successes, the effectiveness of LLMs in handling complex statistical tasks remains systematically under-explored. To bridge this gap, we introduce StatQA, a new benchmark designed for statistical analysis tasks. StatQA comprises 11,623 examples tailored to evaluate LLMs' proficiency in specialized statistical tasks and their applicability assessment capabilities, particularly for hypothesis testing methods. We systematically experiment with representative LLMs using various prompting strategies and show that even state-of-the-art models such as GPT-4o achieve a best performance of only 64.83%, indicating significant room for improvement. Notably, while open-source LLMs (e.g. LLaMA-3) show limited capability, those fine-tuned ones exhibit marked improvements, outperforming all in-context learning-based methods (e.g. GPT-4o). Moreover, our comparative human experiments highlight a striking contrast in error types between LLMs and humans: LLMs primarily make applicability errors, whereas humans mostly make statistical task confusion errors. This divergence highlights distinct areas of proficiency and deficiency, suggesting that combining LLM and human expertise could lead to complementary strengths, inviting further investigation into their collaborative potential. Our source code and data are available at https://statqa.github.io/.

cs.CL