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Shota Shibasaki

Publications and source records attributed to Shota Shibasaki.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Incorporating the underuse problem in the tragedy of the commons

The tragedy of the commons has traditionally been framed as a problem of resource overuse driven by self-interested exploitation. In contrast, growing empirical evidence shows that insufficient use or abandonment of natural resources, known as underuse, can also lead to ecological degradation and loss of ecosystem services. Despite its relevance, underuse has rarely been examined within evolutionary theories of resource use. Here, we develop a simple eco-evolutionary model that integrates both provisioning and non-provisioning ecosystem services to analyze the evolution of resource-use strategies. Using adaptive dynamics, we investigate how individual resource use evolves while altering resource abundance. The model shows that overuse and underuse arise naturally as alternative evolutionary outcomes of the same underlying process, alongside intermediate use and evolutionary branching. We derive analytical conditions for the existence, number, and stability of evolutionarily singular strategies, and show that the qualitative evolutionary fate is primarily determined by the shape of provisioning benefits. Only when provisioning benefits increase in a concave manner does evolutionary dynamics converge to a unique intermediate strategy that is continuously stable. In contrast, convex increasing benefits generate a broader range of outcomes: overuse, underuse, bi-stability, and evolutionary branching. By explicitly comparing the continuously stable strategy with the socially optimal strategy, we further quantify how their deviations depend on the valuation of non-provisioning services. Our results provide a theoretical framework for viewing the common-pool resource dilemmas as intrinsically two-sided evolutionary problems, and offer a baseline for future studies exploring interventions to address overuse and underuse simultaneously.

q-bio.PE

Exclusion of the fittest predicts microbial community diversity in fluctuating environments

Microorganisms live in environments that inevitably fluctuate between mild and harsh conditions. As harsh conditions may cause extinctions, the rate at which fluctuations occur can shape microbial communities and their diversity, but we still lack an intuition on how. Here, we build a mathematical model describing two microbial species living in an environment where substrate supplies randomly switch between abundant and scarce. We then vary the rate of switching as well as different properties of the interacting species, and measure the probability of the weaker species driving the stronger one extinct. We find that this probability increases with the strength of demographic noise under harsh conditions and peaks at either low, high, or intermediate switching rates depending on both species' ability to withstand the harsh environment. This complex relationship shows why finding patterns between environmental fluctuations and diversity has historically been difficult. In parameter ranges where the fittest species was most likely to be excluded, however, the beta diversity in larger communities also peaked. In sum, how environmental fluctuations affect interactions between a few species pairs predicts their effect on the beta diversity of the whole community.

q-bio.PE