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Shou-Yung Yin

Publications and source records attributed to Shou-Yung Yin.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Focused Weighted-Average Least Squares Estimator

We propose a focused weighted-average least squares (FWALS) estimator that addresses the computational burden of focused model averaging. By semi-orthogonalizing auxiliary regressors, the weighting problem is reduced from $2^{k_2}$ sub-models to at most $k_2$ regressor-wise weights, yielding a tractable sub-optimal procedure. Under local-to-zero conditions, we derive the limiting distribution of FWALS for smooth focused functions and provide a plug-in AMSE criterion for data-driven weight selection. Simulations show that FWALS closely matches the focused information criterion (FIC) benchmark and delivers stable performance when focused function is designed for impulse response function. Prior-based WALS can be competitive in some settings, but its performance depends on the signal regime and the design of focused parameter. Overall, FWALS offers a practical and robust alternative with substantial computational savings.

econ.EM

Spending Behavior and Economic Impacts of Urban Digital Consumption Vouchers

This paper evaluates the Taipei Bear Vouchers 2.0 program using verified user-level survey data and a regional input-output model to assess the effectiveness of consumption vouchers as a fiscal stimulus tool. We focus on three key behavioral mechanisms: expenditure substitution, induced consumption, and the intensity of treatment through varying voucher face values. Our findings show that voucher effectiveness differs by type. Accommodation vouchers stimulate the most additional spending due to low expenditure substitution and high induced consumption effects, while sports vouchers often replace existing consumption. Increases in voucher value further enhance marginal consumption, especially when this change is a part of unexpected policy. Taking these behavioral responses into account, we find that the output multiplier of the program rises significantly, and indirect benefits extend to untargeted sectors through inter-industry linkages. These results highlight the critical role of consumer behavior in shaping policy outcomes and offer practical guidance for designing more effective and targeted consumption voucher programs.

econ.GN