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Shourya Bose

Publications and source records attributed to Shourya Bose.

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Newton's Lantern: A Reinforcement Learning Framework for Finetuning AC Power Flow Warm Start Models

Neural warm starts can sharply reduce the number of Newton-Raphson iterations required to solve the AC power flow problem, but existing supervised approaches generalize poorly on heavily loaded instances near voltage collapse. We prove a lower bound on the Newton-Raphson iteration count that depends on the direction of the warm start error rather than on its magnitude, and show as a corollary that the bound becomes vacuous as the smallest singular value of the power-flow Jacobian shrinks, identifying the failure mode of supervised regression near the saddle-node bifurcation. Motivated by this analysis, we introduce Newton's Lantern, a finetuning pipeline that combines group relative policy optimization with a learned reward model trained on perturbations of the base model's predictions, using the iteration count itself as the supervisory signal. Across IEEE 118-bus, GOC 500-bus, and GOC 2000-bus benchmarks, Newton's Lantern is the only method that converges on every test snapshot while attaining the smallest mean iteration count.

cs.LG

WARP: A Benchmark for Primal-Dual Warm-Starting of Interior-Point Solvers

Solving AC Optimal Power Flow (AC-OPF) is of central importance in electricity market operations, where interior-point methods (IPMs) such as IPOPT are the standard solvers. A growing body of work uses machine learning to predict primal warm-start iterates, reporting iteration reductions of 30-46\%. We show that these reported gains rest on an inappropriate evaluation baseline: prior methods benchmark against the flat start $V_m = 1, V_a = 0$, whereas the solver's actual default - the variable-bound midpoint $(l+u)/2$ - is near-optimal for log-barrier centrality. Against this corrected baseline, no primal-only warm-start method reduces solver iterations. We trace the failure to a geometric property of interior-point methods: primal prediction accuracy is anticorrelated with convergence speed, and providing the ground-truth optimal solution $x^*$ without dual variables causes the solver to diverge. Oracle experiments establish that the complete primal-dual-barrier state $(x^*, \lambda^*, z^*, \mu^*)$ reduces IPOPT iterations from 23 to 3 - an 85\% reduction that is structurally inaccessible to primal-only methods. To enable rigorous evaluation of warm-start methods on this task, we release a benchmark suite comprising dual-labeled AC-OPF datasets with IPOPT-extracted solutions, a corrected evaluation protocol, and WARP - a topology-conditioned encode-process-decode interaction network that predicts the full interior-point state $(\hat{x}, \hat{\lambda}, \hat{z}, \hat{\mu})$ on the heterogeneous constraint graph. WARP achieves a 76\% reduction in IPOPT iterations while natively accommodating N-1 contingency topology variations without retraining.

cs.LG

Physics-Informed Gradient Estimation for Accelerating Deep Learning based AC-OPF

The optimal power flow (OPF) problem can be rapidly and reliably solved by employing responsive online solvers based on neural networks. The dynamic nature of renewable energy generation and the variability of power grid conditions necessitate frequent neural network updates with new data instances. To address this need and reduce the time required for data preparation time, we propose a semi-supervised learning framework aided by data augmentation. In this context, ridge regression replaces the traditional solver, facilitating swift prediction of optimal solutions for the given input load demands. Additionally, to accelerate the backpropagation during training, we develop novel batch-mean gradient estimation approaches along with a reduced branch set to alleviate the complexity of gradient computation. Numerical simulations demonstrate that our neural network, equipped with the proposed gradient estimators, consistently achieves feasible and near-optimal solutions. These results underline the effectiveness of our approach for practical implementation in real-time OPF applications.

eess.SY

From RNNs to Foundation Models: An Empirical Study on Commercial Building Energy Consumption

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting for commercial buildings is crucial for smart grid operations. While smart meters and deep learning models enable forecasting using past data from multiple buildings, data heterogeneity from diverse buildings can reduce model performance. The impact of increasing dataset heterogeneity in time series forecasting, while keeping size and model constant, is understudied. We tackle this issue using the ComStock dataset, which provides synthetic energy consumption data for U.S. commercial buildings. Two curated subsets, identical in size and region but differing in building type diversity, are used to assess the performance of various time series forecasting models, including fine-tuned open-source foundation models (FMs). The results show that dataset heterogeneity and model architecture have a greater impact on post-training forecasting performance than the parameter count. Moreover, despite the higher computational cost, fine-tuned FMs demonstrate competitive performance compared to base models trained from scratch.

cs.LG

Addressing Heterogeneity in Federated Load Forecasting with Personalization Layers

The advent of smart meters has enabled pervasive collection of energy consumption data for training short-term load forecasting models. In response to privacy concerns, federated learning (FL) has been proposed as a privacy-preserving approach for training, but the quality of trained models degrades as client data becomes heterogeneous. In this paper we propose the use of personalization layers for load forecasting in a general framework called PL-FL. We show that PL-FL outperforms FL and purely local training, while requiring lower communication bandwidth than FL. This is done through extensive simulations on three different datasets from the NREL ComStock repository.

cs.LG

Presolving Convexified Optimal Power Flow with Mixtures of Gradient Experts

Convex relaxations and approximations of the optimal power flow (OPF) problem have gained significant research and industrial interest for planning and operations in electric power networks. One approach for reducing their solve times is presolving which eliminates constraints from the problem definition, thereby reducing the burden of the underlying optimization algorithm. To this end, we propose a presolving framework for convexified optimal power flow (C-OPF) problems, which uses a novel deep learning-based architecture called MoGE (Mixture of Gradient Experts). In this framework, problem size is reduced by learning the mapping between C-OPF parameters and optimal dual variables (the latter being representable as gradients), which is then used to screen constraints that are non-binding at optimum. The validity of using this presolve framework across arbitrary families of C-OPF problems is theoretically demonstrated. We characterize generalization in MoGE and develop a post-solve recovery procedure to mitigate possible constraint classification errors. Using two different C-OPF models, we show via simulations that our framework reduces solve times by upto 34% across multiple PGLIB and MATPOWER test cases, while providing an identical solution as the full problem.

math.OC

Privacy-Preserving Load Forecasting via Personalized Model Obfuscation

The widespread adoption of smart meters provides access to detailed and localized load consumption data, suitable for training building-level load forecasting models. To mitigate privacy concerns stemming from model-induced data leakage, federated learning (FL) has been proposed. This paper addresses the performance challenges of short-term load forecasting models trained with FL on heterogeneous data, emphasizing privacy preservation through model obfuscation. Our proposed algorithm, Privacy Preserving Federated Learning (PPFL), incorporates personalization layers for localized training at each smart meter. Additionally, we employ a differentially private mechanism to safeguard against data leakage from shared layers. Simulations on the NREL ComStock dataset corroborate the effectiveness of our approach.

cs.CR

Federated Short-Term Load Forecasting with Personalization Layers for Heterogeneous Clients

The advent of smart meters has enabled pervasive collection of energy consumption data for training short-term load forecasting (STLF) models. In response to privacy concerns, federated learning (FL) has been proposed as a privacy-preserving approach for training, but the quality of trained models degrades as client data becomes heterogeneous. In this paper we alleviate this drawback using personalization layers, wherein certain layers of an STLF model in an FL framework are trained exclusively on the clients' own data. To that end, we propose a personalized FL algorithm (PL-FL) enabling FL to handle personalization layers. The PL-FL algorithm is implemented by using the Argonne Privacy-Preserving Federated Learning package. We test the forecast performance of models trained on the NREL ComStock dataset, which contains heterogeneous energy consumption data of multiple commercial buildings. Superior performance of models trained with PL-FL demonstrates that personalization layers enable classical FL algorithms to handle clients with heterogeneous data.

cs.LG

On LinDistFlow Model Congestion Pricing: Bounding the Changes in Power Tariffs

The optimal power flow (OPF) problem is an important mathematical program that aims at obtaining the best operating point of an electric power grid. The optimization problem typically minimizes the total generation cost subject to certain physical constraints of the system. The so-called linearized distribution flow (LinDistFlow) model leverages a set of linear equations to approximate the nonlinear AC power flows. In this paper, we consider an OPF problem based on the LinDistFlow model for a single-phase radial power network. We derive closed-form solutions to the marginal values of both real and reactive power demands. We also derive upper bounds on the congestion price (a.k.a. `shadow price'), which denotes the change in marginal demand prices when the apparent power flow limits of certain lines are binding at optimum. Various cases of our result are discussed while simulations are carried out on a $141$-bus radial power network.

math.OC

Unsupervised Deep Learning for AC Optimal Power Flow via Lagrangian Duality

Non-convex AC optimal power flow (AC-OPF) is a fundamental optimization problem in power system analysis. The computational complexity of conventional solvers is typically high and not suitable for large-scale networks in real-time operation. Hence, deep learning based approaches have gained intensive attention to conduct the time-consuming training process offline. Supervised learning methods may yield a feasible AC-OPF solution with a small optimality gap. However, they often need conventional solvers to generate the training dataset. This paper proposes an end-to-end unsupervised learning based framework for AC-OPF. We develop a deep neural network to output a partial set of decision variables while the remaining variables are recovered by solving AC power flow equations. The fast decoupled power flow solver is adopted to further reduce the computational time. In addition, we propose using a modified augmented Lagrangian function as the training loss. The multipliers are adjusted dynamically based on the degree of constraint violation. Extensive numerical test results corroborate the advantages of our proposed approach over some existing methods.

eess.SY

Co-optimization of Battery Routing and Load Restoration for Microgrids with Mobile Energy Storage Systems

Mobile energy storage systems (MESS) offer great operational flexibility to enhance the resiliency of distribution systems in an emergency condition. The optimal placement and sizing of those units are pivotal for quickly restoring the curtailed loads. In this paper, we propose a model for load restoration in a microgrid while concurrently optimizing the MESS routes required for the same. The model is formulated as a mixed integer second order cone program by considering the state of charge and evolution of the lower and upper bounds of battery capacities. Simulation results tested on the IEEE 123- bus benchmark system demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed model.

eess.SY

Differentially Private Load Restoration for Microgrids with Distributed Energy Storage

Distributed energy storage systems (ESSs) can be efficiently leveraged for load restoration (LR) for a microgrid (MG) in island mode. When the ESSs are owned by third parties rather than the MG operator (MGO), the ESS operating setpoints may be considered as private information of their respective owners. Therefore, efforts must be put forth to avoid the disclosure through adversarial analysis of load setpoints. In his paper, we consider a scenario where LR takes place in a MG by determining load and ESS power injections through the solution of an AC optimal power flow (AC-OPF) problem. Since the charge/discharge mode at any given time is assumed to be private, we develop a differentially-private mechanism which restores load while maintaining privacy of ESS mode data. The performance of the proposed mechanism is demonstrated for a 33-bus MG.

eess.SY

Load Restoration in Islanded Microgrids: Formulation and Solution Strategies

Adverse circumstances such as extreme weather events can cause significant disruptions to normal operation of electric distribution systems (DS), which includes isolating parts of the DS due to damaged transmission equipment. In this paper, we consider the problem of load restoration in a microgrid (MG) that is islanded from the upstream DS. The MG contains sources of distributed generation such as microturbines and renewable energy sources, as well as energy storage systems (ESS). We formulate the load restoration task as a non-convex optimization problem. This problem embodies the physics of the MG by leveraging a branch flow model, while incorporating salient phenomenon in islanded MGs such as the need for internal frequency regulation, and complementarity requirements arising in ESS operations. Since the formulated optimization problem is non-convex, we introduce a convex relaxation which can be solved through model predictive control as a baseline method. However, in order to solve the problem considering its full non-convexity, we leverage a policy-learning method called constrained policy optimization, a tailored version of which is used as our proposed algorithm. The aforementioned approaches, along with an additional deep learning method are compared through extensive simulations.

eess.SY

Control Under Action-Dependent Markov Packet Drops: An Event-Triggered Approach

In this paper, we consider the problem of second moment stabilization of a scalar linear plant with process noise. We assume that the sensor must communicate with the controller over an unreliable channel, whose state evolves according to a Markov chain, with the transition matrix on a timestep depending on whether there is a transmission or not on that timestep. Under such a setting, we propose an event-triggered transmission policy which meets the objective of exponential convergence of the second moment of the plant state to an ultimate bound. Furthermore, we provide upper bounds on the transmission fraction of the proposed policy. The guarantees on performance and transmission fraction are verified using simulations.

eess.SY