arXiv subjects

Shunxing Yan

Publications and source records attributed to Shunxing Yan.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Functional linear regression from sparse to dense designs: a pooling-ridge method and minimax optimality

Functional data analysis is an important statistical field that treats data as random functions. In practice, the random functions are often not fully observed but instead measured at discrete times. While simpler problems, such as mean and covariance estimation, have been widely studied for discretely observed data, optimal estimation of linear regression for this data type has remained unsolved for over two decades. To tackle this fundamental challenge, we propose a novel approach, referred to as pooling ridge estimation, which combines the advantages of pooling strategy and RKHS-based method by incorporating the unbiased estimation of operators based on discretely observed measurements from all subjects. This unified estimation framework enables us to achieve minimax optimality in prediction risk in arbitrary sampling schemes ranging from sparse to dense designs, for both scalar-on-function and function-on-function regression models. Such methodological and theoretical advances are obtained for the first time and accurately reveal the influence of discrete sampling. For scalar-on-function regression, the phase transition occurs once, separating the convergence behavior into two distinct regimes. Remarkably, for function-on-function regression, up to three phase transitions may occur, determined by the sampling frequencies of the predictor/response functions. Finally, simulation experiments and two real data examples provide empirical support for the proposed methods.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Optimism Stabilizes Thompson Sampling for Adaptive Inference

Thompson sampling (TS) is widely used for stochastic multi-armed bandits, yet its inferential properties under adaptive data collection are subtle. Classical asymptotic theory for sample means can fail because arm-specific sample sizes are random and coupled with the rewards through the action-selection rule. We study adaptive inference for Thompson sampling with Gaussian randomized indices in $K$-armed stochastic bandits with independent sub-Gaussian reward noises, and identify \emph{optimism} as a key mechanism for restoring \emph{stability}, meaning that each arm's pull count concentrates around a deterministic scale. This stability yields asymptotically valid Wald inference despite adaptive sampling. First, we prove that variance-inflated TS is stable for any $K \ge 2$, including the challenging regime where multiple arms are optimal, with asymptotically uniform allocation over optimal arms and sharp logarithmic pull-count asymptotics for suboptimal arms. This resolves the $K$-armed extension question raised by \citet{halder2025stable}, using new winner-map and Lyapunov-drift techniques to control allocation among multiple optimal arms. Second, we analyze an alternative optimistic modification that keeps the Gaussian index variance unchanged but adds an explicit mean bonus to the index center, and establish a similar stability conclusion. In summary, suitably implemented optimism stabilizes Thompson sampling and enables asymptotically valid Wald inference in multi-armed bandits, while incurring only a mild additional regret cost.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Deep Semiparametric Partial Differential Equation Models

In many scientific fields, the generation and evolution of data are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) which are typically informed by established physical laws at the macroscopic level to describe general and predictable dynamics. However, some complex influences may not be fully captured by these laws at the microscopic level due to limited scientific understanding. This work proposes a unified framework to model, estimate, and infer the mechanisms underlying data dynamics. We introduce a general semiparametric PDE (SemiPDE) model that combines interpretable mechanisms based on physical laws with flexible data-driven components to account for unknown effects. The physical mechanisms enhance the SemiPDE model's stability and interpretability, while the data-driven components improve adaptivity to complex real-world scenarios. A deep profiling M-estimation approach is proposed to decouple the solutions of PDEs in the estimation procedure, leveraging both the accuracy of numerical methods for solving PDEs and the expressive power of neural networks. For the first time, we establish a semiparametric inference method and theory for deep M-estimation, considering both training dynamics and complex PDE models. We analyze how the PDE structure affects the convergence rate of the nonparametric estimator, and consequently, the parametric efficiency and inference procedure enable the identification of interpretable mechanisms governing data dynamics. Simulated and real-world examples demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology and support the theoretical findings.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Semiparametric M-estimation with overparameterized neural networks

We focus on semiparametric regression that has played a central role in statistics, and exploit the powerful learning ability of deep neural networks (DNNs) while enabling statistical inference on parameters of interest that offers interpretability. Despite the success of classical semiparametric method/theory, establishing the $\sqrt{n}$-consistency and asymptotic normality of the finite-dimensional parameter estimator in this context remains challenging, mainly due to nonlinearity and potential tangent space degeneration in DNNs. In this work, we introduce a foundational framework for semiparametric $M$-estimation, leveraging the approximation ability of overparameterized neural networks that circumvent tangent degeneration and align better with training practice nowadays. The optimization properties of general loss functions are analyzed, and the global convergence is guaranteed. Instead of studying the ``ideal'' solution to minimization of an objective function in most literature, we analyze the statistical properties of algorithmic estimators, and establish nonparametric convergence and parametric asymptotic normality for a broad class of loss functions. These results hold without assuming the boundedness of the network output and even when the true function lies outside the specified function space. To illustrate the applicability of the framework, we also provide examples from regression and classification, and the numerical experiments provide empirical support to the theoretical findings.

math.ST↗

arXiv2023

Deep Regression for Repeated Measurements

Nonparametric mean function regression with repeated measurements serves as a cornerstone for many statistical branches, such as longitudinal/panel/functional data analysis. In this work, we investigate this problem using fully connected deep neural network (DNN) estimators with flexible shapes. A novel theoretical framework allowing arbitrary sampling frequency is established by adopting empirical process techniques to tackle clustered dependence. We then consider the DNN estimators for H\"older target function and illustrate a key phenomenon, the phase transition in the convergence rate, inherent to repeated measurements and its connection to the curse of dimensionality. Furthermore, we study several examples with low intrinsic dimensions, including the hierarchical composition model, low-dimensional support set and anisotropic H\"older smoothness. We also obtain new approximation results and matching lower bounds to demonstrate the adaptivity of the DNN estimators for circumventing the curse of dimensionality. Simulations and real data examples are provided to support our theoretical findings and practical implications.

math.ST↗