SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Silvana Pesenti

Publications and source records attributed to Silvana Pesenti.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Discrimination-insensitive pricing

Rendering fair prices for financial, credit, and insurance products is of ethical and regulatory interest. In many jurisdictions, discriminatory covariates, such as gender and ethnicity, are prohibited from use in pricing such instruments. In this work, we propose a discrimination-insensitive pricing framework, where we require the pricing principle to be insensitive to the (exogenously determined) protected covariates, that is the sensitivity of the pricing principle to the protected covariate is zero. We formulate and solve the optimisation problem that finds the nearest (in Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence) "pricing" measure to the real world probability, such that under this pricing measure the principle is discrimination-insensitive. We call the solution the discrimination-insensitive measure and provide conditions for its existence and uniqueness. In situations when there are more than one protected covariates, the discrimination-insensitive pricing measure might not exist, and we propose a two-step procedure. First, for each protected covariate separately, we find the measure under which the pricing principle becomes insensitivity to that covariate. Second we reconcile these measures through a constrained barycentre model. We provide a close-form solution to this problem and give conditions for existence and uniqueness of the constrained barycentre pricing measure. As an intermediary result, we prove the representation, existence, and uniqueness of the KL barycentre of general probability measures, which may be of independent interest. Finally, in a numerical illustration, we compare our discrimination-insensitive premia and the constrained barycentre pricing measure with recently proposed fair premia from the actuarial literature.

q-fin.ST

Risk contributions of lambda quantiles

Risk contributions of portfolios form an indispensable part of risk adjusted performance measurement. The risk contribution of a portfolio, e.g., in the Euler or Aumann-Shapley framework, is given by the partial derivatives of a risk measure applied to the portfolio profit and loss in direction of the asset units. For risk measures that are not positively homogeneous of degree 1, however, known capital allocation principles do not apply. We study the class of lambda quantile risk measures that includes the well-known Value-at-Risk as a special case but for which no known allocation rule is applicable. We prove differentiability and derive explicit formulae of the derivatives of lambda quantiles with respect to their portfolio composition, that is their risk contribution. For this purpose, we define lambda quantiles on the space of portfolio compositions and consider generic (also non-linear) portfolio operators. We further derive the Euler decomposition of lambda quantiles for generic portfolios and show that lambda quantiles are homogeneous in the space of portfolio compositions, with a homogeneity degree that depends on the portfolio composition and the lambda function. This result is in stark contrast to the positive homogeneity properties of risk measures defined on the space of random variables which admit a constant homogeneity degree. We introduce a generalised version of Euler contributions and Euler allocation rule, which are compatible with risk measures of any homogeneity degree and non-linear but homogeneous portfolios. These concepts are illustrated by a non-linear portfolio using financial market data.

q-fin.RM

Portfolio Optimisation within a Wasserstein Ball

We study the problem of active portfolio management where an investor aims to outperform a benchmark strategy's risk profile while not deviating too far from it. Specifically, an investor considers alternative strategies whose terminal wealth lie within a Wasserstein ball surrounding a benchmark's -- being distributionally close -- and that have a specified dependence/copula -- tying state-by-state outcomes -- to it. The investor then chooses the alternative strategy that minimises a distortion risk measure of terminal wealth. In a general (complete) market model, we prove that an optimal dynamic strategy exists and provide its characterisation through the notion of isotonic projections. We further propose a simulation approach to calculate the optimal strategy's terminal wealth, making our approach applicable to a wide range of market models. Finally, we illustrate how investors with different copula and risk preferences invest and improve upon the benchmark using the Tail Value-at-Risk, inverse S-shaped, and lower- and upper-tail distortion risk measures as examples. We find that investors' optimal terminal wealth distribution has larger probability masses in regions that reduce their risk measure relative to the benchmark while preserving the benchmark's structure.

q-fin.MF

Optimizing distortion riskmetrics with distributional uncertainty

Optimization of distortion riskmetrics with distributional uncertainty has wide applications in finance and operations research. Distortion riskmetrics include many commonly applied risk measures and deviation measures, which are not necessarily monotone or convex. One of our central findings is a unifying result that allows us to convert an optimization of a non-convex distortion riskmetric with distributional uncertainty to a convex one, leading to great tractability. A sufficient condition to the unifying equivalence result is the novel notion of closedness under concentration, a variation of which is also shown to be necessary for the equivalence. Our results include many special cases that are well studied in the optimization literature, including but not limited to optimizing probabilities, Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, Yaari's dual utility, and differences between distortion risk measures, under various forms of distributional uncertainty. We illustrate our theoretical results via applications to portfolio optimization, optimization under moment constraints, and preference robust optimization.

math.OC

Robust Risk-Aware Reinforcement Learning

We present a reinforcement learning (RL) approach for robust optimisation of risk-aware performance criteria. To allow agents to express a wide variety of risk-reward profiles, we assess the value of a policy using rank dependent expected utility (RDEU). RDEU allows the agent to seek gains, while simultaneously protecting themselves against downside risk. To robustify optimal policies against model uncertainty, we assess a policy not by its distribution, but rather, by the worst possible distribution that lies within a Wasserstein ball around it. Thus, our problem formulation may be viewed as an actor/agent choosing a policy (the outer problem), and the adversary then acting to worsen the performance of that strategy (the inner problem). We develop explicit policy gradient formulae for the inner and outer problems, and show its efficacy on three prototypical financial problems: robust portfolio allocation, optimising a benchmark, and statistical arbitrage.

cs.LG