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Silvia Ferrari

Publications and source records attributed to Silvia Ferrari.

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Heuristic Satisficing Inferential Decision Making in Human and Robot Active Perception

Inferential decision-making algorithms typically assume that an underlying probabilistic model of decision alternatives and outcomes may be learned a priori or online. Furthermore, when applied to robots in real-world settings they often perform unsatisfactorily or fail to accomplish the necessary tasks because this assumption is violated and/or they experience unanticipated external pressures and constraints. Cognitive studies presented in this and other papers show that humans cope with complex and unknown settings by modulating between near-optimal and satisficing solutions, including heuristics, by leveraging information value of available environmental cues that are possibly redundant. Using the benchmark inferential decision problem known as ``treasure hunt", this paper develops a general approach for investigating and modeling active perception solutions under pressure. By simulating treasure hunt problems in virtual worlds, our approach learns generalizable strategies from high performers that, when applied to robots, allow them to modulate between optimal and heuristic solutions on the basis of external pressures and probabilistic models, if and when available. The result is a suite of active perception algorithms for camera-equipped robots that outperform treasure-hunt solutions obtained via cell decomposition, information roadmap, and information potential algorithms, in both high-fidelity numerical simulations and physical experiments. The effectiveness of the new active perception strategies is demonstrated under a broad range of unanticipated conditions that cause existing algorithms to fail to complete the search for treasures, such as unmodelled time constraints, resource constraints, and adverse weather (fog).

cs.RO

Split Happens! Imprecise and Negative Information in Gaussian Mixture Random Finite Set Filtering

In object tracking and state estimation problems, ambiguous evidence such as imprecise measurements and the absence of detections can contain valuable information and thus be leveraged to further refine the probabilistic belief state. In particular, knowledge of a sensor's bounded field-of-view can be exploited to incorporate evidence of where an object was not observed. This paper presents a systematic approach for incorporating knowledge of the field-of-view geometry and position and object inclusion/exclusion evidence into object state densities and random finite set multi-object cardinality distributions. The resulting state estimation problem is nonlinear and solved using a new Gaussian mixture approximation based on recursive component splitting. Based on this approximation, a novel Gaussian mixture Bernoulli filter for imprecise measurements is derived and demonstrated in a tracking problem using only natural language statements as inputs. This paper also considers the relationship between bounded fields-of-view and cardinality distributions for a representative selection of multi-object distributions, which can be used for sensor planning, as is demonstrated through a problem involving a multi-Bernoulli process with up to one-hundred potential objects.

eess.SP

Synthetic Sonar Image Simulation with Various Seabed Conditions for Automatic Target Recognition

We propose a novel method to generate underwater object imagery that is acoustically compliant with that generated by side-scan sonar using the Unreal Engine. We describe the process to develop, tune, and generate imagery to provide representative images for use in training automated target recognition (ATR) and machine learning algorithms. The methods provide visual approximations for acoustic effects such as back-scatter noise and acoustic shadow, while allowing fast rendering with C++ actor in UE for maximizing the size of potential ATR training datasets. Additionally, we provide analysis of its utility as a replacement for actual sonar imagery or physics-based sonar data.

cs.CV

Cell Multi-Bernoulli (Cell-MB) Sensor Control for Multi-object Search-While-Tracking (SWT)

Information-driven control can be used to develop intelligent sensors that can optimize their measurement value based on environmental feedback. In object tracking applications, sensor actions are chosen based on the expected reduction in uncertainty also known as information gain. Random finite set (RFS) theory provides a formalism for quantifying and estimating information gain in multi-object tracking problems. However, estimating information gain in these applications remains computationally challenging. This paper presents a new tractable approximation of the RFS expected information gain applicable to sensor control for multi-object search and tracking. Unlike existing RFS approaches, the information gain approximation presented in this paper considers the contributions of non-ideal noisy measurements, missed detections, false alarms, and object appearance/disappearance. The effectiveness of the information-driven sensor control is demonstrated through two multi-vehicle search-while-tracking experiments using real video data from remote terrestrial and satellite sensors.

eess.SP

The Role of Bounded Fields-of-View and Negative Information in Finite Set Statistics (FISST)

The role of negative information is particularly important to search-detect-track problems in which the number of objects is unknown a priori, and the size of the sensor field-of-view is far smaller than that of the region of interest. This paper presents an approach for systematically incorporating knowledge of the field-of-view geometry and position and object inclusion/exclusion evidence into object state densities and random finite set multi-object cardinality distributions. The approach is derived for a representative set of multi-object distributions and demonstrated through a sensor planning problem involving a multi-Bernoulli process with up to one-hundred potential targets.

eess.SP

Rumor-robust Decentralized Gaussian Process Learning, Fusion, and Planning for Modeling Multiple Moving Targets

This paper presents a decentralized Gaussian Process (GP) learning, fusion, and planning (RESIN) formalism for mobile sensor networks to actively learn target motion models. RESIN is characterized by both computational and communication efficiency, and the robustness to rumor propagation in sensor networks. By using the weighted exponential product rule and the Chernoff information, a rumor-robust decentralized GP fusion approach is developed to generate a globally consistent target trajectory prediction from local GP models. A decentralized information-driven path planning approach is then proposed for mobile sensors to generate informative sensing paths. A novel, constant-sized information sharing strategy is developed for path coordination between sensors, and an analytical objective function is derived that significantly reduces the computational complexity of the path planning. The effectiveness of RESIN is demonstrated in various numerical simulations.

eess.SY

Adaptive Online Distributed Optimal Control of Very-Large-Scale Robotic Systems

This paper presents an adaptive online distributed optimal control approach that is applicable to optimal planning for very-large-scale robotics systems in highly uncertain environments. This approach is developed based on the optimal mass transport theory. It is also viewed as an online reinforcement learning and approximate dynamic programming approach in the Wasserstein-GMM space, where a novel value functional is defined based on the probability density functions of robots and the time-varying obstacle map functions describing the changing environmental information. The proposed approach is demonstrated on the path planning problem of very-largescale robotic systems where the approximated layout of obstacles in the workspace is incrementally updated by the observations of robots, and compared with some existing state-of-the-art approaches. The numerical simulation results show that the proposed approach outperforms these approaches in aspects of the average traveling distance and the energy cost.

cs.MA

Random Finite Set Theory and Centralized Control of Large Collaborative Swarms

Controlling large swarms of robotic agents presents many challenges including, but not limited to, computational complexity due to a large number of agents, uncertainty in the functionality of each agent in the swarm, and uncertainty in the swarm's configuration. This work generalizes the swarm state using Random Finite Set (RFS) theory and solves a centralized control problem with a Quasi-Newton optimization through the use of Model Predictive Control (MPC) to overcome the aforementioned challenges. This work uses the RFS formulation to control the distribution of agents assuming an unknown or unspecified number of agents. Computationally efficient solutions are also obtained via the MPC version of the Iterative Linear Quadratic Regulator (ILQR), a variant of Differential Dynamic Programming (DDP). Information divergence is used to define the distance between the swarm RFS and the desired swarm configuration through the use of the modified $L_2^2$ distance. Simulation results using MPC and ILQR show that the swarm intensity converges to the desired intensity. Additionally, the RFS control formulation is shown to be very flexible in terms of the number of agents in the swarm and configuration of the desired Gaussian mixtures. Lastly, the ILQR and the Gaussian Mixture Probability Hypothesis Density filter are used in conjunction to solve a spacecraft relative motion problem with imperfect information to show the viability of centralized RFS control for this real-world scenario.

eess.SY

An Information Value Function for Nonparametric Gaussian Processes

This paper presents a novel information value function that can be used in online sensor planning to monitor a spatial phenomenon in which the spatial phenomenon is modeled by nonparametric Gaussian processes. The information value function is derived from the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence and represents the information value brought by sensor decision. The sensor decision at every time step is to select the sensing location that maximizes the information value function associated with the measurement taken. Gaussian processes (GPs) are employed to obtain the posterior distribution of the spatial phenomenon given a number of sensor measurements, because GPs have sufficient flexibilities to adopt the complexity from data. Furthermore, a greedy algorithm is designed based on the information value function. By comparing the greedy algorithm with the random algorithm, it is shown that the error decreases faster defined as the difference between the estimated posterior distribution and the true distribution of the spatial phenomenon via the greedy algorithm.

cs.IT

The local power of the gradient test

The asymptotic expansion of the distribution of the gradient test statistic is derived for a composite hypothesis under a sequence of Pitman alternative hypotheses converging to the null hypothesis at rate $n^{-1/2}$, $n$ being the sample size. Comparisons of the local powers of the gradient, likelihood ratio, Wald and score tests reveal no uniform superiority property. The power performance of all four criteria in one-parameter exponential family is examined.

math.ST

Size and power properties of some tests in the Birnbaum-Saunders regression model

The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution has been used quite effectively to model times to failure for materials subject to fatigue and for modeling lifetime data. In this paper we obtain asymptotic expansions, up to order $n^{-1/2}$ and under a sequence of Pitman alternatives, for the nonnull distribution functions of the likelihood ratio, Wald, score and gradient test statistics in the Birnbaum-Saunders regression model. The asymptotic distributions of all four statistics are obtained for testing a subset of regression parameters and for testing the shape parameter. Monte Carlo simulation is presented in order to compare the finite-sample performance of these tests. We also present an empirical application.

stat.ME