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Simon Demers

Publications and source records attributed to Simon Demers.

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The Duration of Optimal Stopping Problems

Optimal stopping problems give rise to random distributions describing how many applicants the decision-maker will sample or interview before choosing one, a quantity sometimes referred to as the search time or process duration. This research note surveys several variants of optimal stopping problems, extends earlier results in various directions, and shows how many interviews are expected to be conducted in various settings. The focus is on problems that require a decision-maker to choose a candidate from a pool of sequential applicants with no recall, in the vein of previously studied Cayley-Moser, Secretary and Sultan's Dowry problems.

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Canadian Crime Rates in the Penalty Box

Over the 1962 to 2016 period, the Canadian violent crime rate has remained strongly correlated with National Hockey League (NHL) penalties. The Canadian property crime rate was similarly correlated with stolen base attempts in the Major League Baseball (MLB). Of course, correlation does not imply causation or prove association. It is simply presented here as an observation. Curious readers might be tempted to conduct additional research and ask questions in order to enhance the conversation, transition away from a state of confusion, clarify the situation, prevent false attribution, and possibly solve a problem that economists call identification.

stat.OT