arXiv subjects

Simon Tweed

Publications and source records attributed to Simon Tweed.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Day-Ahead Forecasting of Largest Single Infeed/Outfeed on the Irish Power Grid: A Generative Artificial Intelligence Approach

This paper presents a generative artificial intelligence (Gen AI) approach for forecasting, at a day-ahead stage, the largest single infeed (LSI) and largest single outfeed (LSO) on the Irish power system to assist in reserve dimensioning. Developed collaboratively between EirGrid, the electric transmission system operator (TSO) for Ireland, and GridZero.ai using the GridZero.ai platform, the system delivers accurate forecasts up to 38 hours ahead of real-time using limited data available before the day-ahead and intra-day energy market gate closure timings. Initial performance demonstrates an accuracy with a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) that is only 1.1\% higher than the results possible using full market data (8-hours ahead). Thus, if this approach is integrated into operational systems and such high levels of accuracy are maintained, reserve procurement costs could be significantly reduced. The results also demonstrate the practicality and extensibility of AI-powered resource planning for TSOs.

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arXiv2024

Emerging Challenges of Integrating Solar PV in the Ireland and Northern Ireland Power Systems

This paper discusses emerging operational challenges associated with the integration of solar photovoltaic (PV) in the All-Island power system (AIPS) of Ireland and Northern Ireland. These include the impact of solar PV on: (i) dispatch down levels; (ii) long-term frequency deviations; (iii) voltage magnitude variations; and (iv) operational demand variations. A case study based on actual data from the AIPS is used to analyze the above challenges. It is shown that despite its (still) relatively low penetration compared to wind power penetration, solar PV is challenging the real-time operation of the AIPS, e.g., maintaining frequency within operational limits. EirGrid and SONI, the transmission system operators (TSOs) of the AIPS, are working toward addressing all the above challenges.

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arXiv2024

Stability Assessment of Low-Inertia Power Systems: A System Operator Perspective

This paper discusses the stability assessment of low-inertia power systems through a real-world large-scale low-inertia system, namely, the All-Island power system (AIPS) of Ireland and Northern Ireland. This system currently accommodates world-record levels of system non-synchronous penetration namely 75% (planning to increase to 80% next year). The paper discusses one-month results obtained with the state-of-the-art stability tool called look-ahead security assessment (LSAT). This tool carries out rotor-angle, frequency and voltage stability analyses and is implemented in the control centres of the transmission system operators (TSOs). The paper shows that, at the time of writing, the main binding stability constraint of the AIPS is related to the limits on the rate of change of frequency (RoCoF).

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arXiv2023

Analysis of Wind Energy Curtailment in the Ireland and Northern Ireland Power Systems

The All-Island power system (AIPS) of Ireland and Northern Ireland currently accommodates up to 75% of system non-synchronous penetration (SNSP) (e.g., wind). These unprecedented levels of renewable penetration challenge the operation of the power system. The AIPS is not always able to accommodate all of the available renewable generation due to binding operational and technical constraints. In this context, this paper analyses wind energy curtailment in the AIPS using actual data. It is found that there is a positive correlation between the installed wind capacity and curtailment levels, and that the trend is that these levels increase. The paper also shows that the main driver for curtailment in AIPS during 2020-2021 was the operational constraint that imposes a minimum number of conventional units online (MUON) (80% of the time), with the SNSP limit accounting for less than 20%. Other system-wide limits, such as rate of change of frequency (RoCoF) and inertia are found to have a negligible impact on wind curtailment.

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arXiv2023

Frequency Quality in Low-Inertia Power Systems

This paper analyses the issue of frequency quality in low-inertia power systems. The analysis is based on a real-world large-scale low-inertia power system namely, the All-Island transmission system (AITS) of Ireland and Northern Ireland currently accommodating up to 75% of non-synchronous generation. The paper is motivated by a recent trend of some frequency quality parameters such as the standard frequency deviation and the slow frequency restoration. The paper first discusses the frequency control services currently in place to ensure frequency quality in the AITS. An analysis of the frequency quality parameters of the AITS is then presented based on actual data. The paper also discusses, through an illustrative example, the effectiveness of automatic generation control as a potential approach to keep frequency within the operational range.

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