arXiv subjects

Simon Wu

Publications and source records attributed to Simon Wu.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

FIDES: A Concordance Protocol for LLM-Generated Trading Strategies

An LLM asked for a trading strategy returns three artifacts at once: a natural-language rationale, an executable implementation, and once run, a track record. Whether these are the same object is rarely checked. We present FIDES, a measurement protocol that treats them as three views to be reconciled rather than one deliverable to be graded. Through dual delivery, a single model call returns both a natural-language strategy with an explicit claimed edge and a self-contained strategy(df) function. FIDES executes the code in a sandbox against a lag-one out-of-sample backtest and scores three concordance gaps: say to do, do to real, and say to result. On 8 liquid US ETFs across four models plus a two-stage elicitation arm, 40 strategies, 2023 to 2024 out-of-sample, three findings stand out. First, concordance does not predict profit: only 2 of 40 strategies beat buy-and-hold, and a plain sma(50,200) rule outperforms every model's mean Sharpe. Second, self-assessment is badly calibrated: 32 of 40 strategies claim to beat buy-and-hold and exactly one does. Third, swapping the language-code judge for a second model flips say to do on more than half of items. Injecting Close.shift(-1) drops do to real by 0.33 on average, while our runtime future-information probe fired on neither clean nor injected code. We frame FIDES as a protocol for measurement fidelity, not a claim about market performance.

cs.CR↗

arXiv2026

SFGA: A Statistics-First Gating Architecture with Adjudicative Escalation for Trustworthy SFT Data Procurement

Procuring supervised fine-tuning (SFT) data forces a buyer to decide, before any downstream training, whether a candidate corpus is worth acquiring. We present \sys{}, a statistics-first gating architecture that treats procurement as a cost-aware routing problem over three intrinsic quality axes -- diversity, utility, and redundancy. Cheap blind measurements are summarised into per-axis estimates with confidence intervals; a gate accepts a decision only when intervals are tight, sample sizes are adequate, and the axes agree, otherwise it escalates the case to an adjudicative debate between a buy-advocate and a reject-advocate judge, resolved by a presiding verdict. On a controlled benchmark of 12 datasets ($2{\times}3{\times}2$ grid over the three axes) with 5 seeds, the gate reaches 0.90 accuracy and 0.83 $F_1$ at \$0.017 per unit, sitting between an always-verify baseline (0.75) and an oracle upper bound (0.98) while spending less than always-escalate (\$0.020). We further report honest negative diagnostics of the debate path: a con-side win rate of 0.80 ($p\approx3{\times}10^{-6}$) and a 52\% position-flip rate under advocate swapping expose negativity and positional biases that a naive LLM-judge would hide. We frame the injected-knob evaluation explicitly as a controlled synthetic benchmark for measurement fidelity and routing calibration, and delimit external validity as future work.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

PoQ-Judge: A Multi-Architecture Evaluation Framework for Cost-Aware Proof-of-Quality in Decentralized LLM Inference

Decentralized LLM inference networks need lightweight, reference-free quality evaluation for Proof of Quality (PoQ). We present PoQ-Judge, a framework that trains dedicated judge models to score query-output pairs without ground-truth references. We study three architectures across the quality-cost tradeoff: a TextCNN judge, a MiniLM cross-encoder, and a DeBERTa judge. Using two-stage training on UltraFeedback plus GPT-labeled in-domain data, the best model reaches 0.747 Pearson correlation with the ground-truth proxy on a held-out test set, outperforming reference-based evaluators from prior work. As a reference-free component in composite scoring, it achieves 0.645 Pearson correlation, matching the best single reference-based evaluator while removing the need for reference answers. We also show that online calibration identifies semantic quality as the dominant dimension and that cascade evaluation reduces cost by 72.7 percent with only modest quality loss. Results are much stronger on QA than summarization, pointing to proxy quality as the main remaining limitation.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

A Multi-Dimensional Quality Scoring Framework for Decentralized LLM Inference with Proof of Quality

Decentralized large language model (LLM) inference networks can pool heterogeneous compute to scale serving, but they require lightweight and incentive-compatible mechanisms to assess output quality. Prior work introduced cost-aware Proof of Quality (PoQ) and adaptive robust PoQ to allocate rewards under evaluator heterogeneity and adversarial behavior. In this paper, we focus on the quality signal itself and propose a multi-dimensional quality scoring framework that decomposes output quality into modular dimensions, including model and cost priors, structure quality, semantic quality, query-output alignment, and agreement/uncertainty. Using logged outputs from QA and summarization tasks, we systematically audit dimension reliability and show that seemingly reasonable dimensions can be task-dependent and even negatively correlated with reference quality without calibration. While the default composite underperforms a strong single semantic evaluator, ablations reveal that removing unreliable dimensions and re-normalizing weights yields a calibrated composite that matches or exceeds the best single- evaluator and consensus baselines. Finally, we integrate the composite score as a drop-in quality signal in PoQ and demonstrate complementary benefits with robust aggregation and adaptive trust weighting under adversarial evaluator attacks.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Adaptive and Robust Cost-Aware Proof of Quality for Decentralized LLM Inference Networks

Decentralized large language model inference networks require lightweight mechanisms to reward high quality outputs under heterogeneous latency and cost. Proof of Quality provides scalable verification by sampling evaluator nodes that score candidate outputs, then aggregating their scores into a consensus signal that determines rewards. However, evaluator heterogeneity and malicious score manipulation can distort consensus and inflate payouts, which weakens incentive alignment in open participation settings. This paper extends a cost-aware Proof of Quality mechanism by adding adversary-resilient consensus formation. We study robust aggregation rules, including median and trimmed mean, and an adaptive trust-weighted consensus that updates evaluator weights from deviation signals. Using question answering and summarization workloads with a ground truth proxy for offline analysis, we quantify evaluator reliability and show strong variance across evaluators, including task-dependent misalignment that can invert correlations. We then evaluate robustness under four adversarial strategies, including noise injection, boosting, sabotage, and intermittent manipulation, across a sweep of malicious ratios and evaluator sample sizes. Our results show that robust aggregation improves consensus alignment with the ground truth proxy and reduces sensitivity to noisy and strategic attacks compared with simple averaging. We further characterize the operational trade-off introduced by evaluator sampling, where larger evaluator sets reduce evaluator rewards and increase payoff variance while inference rewards remain relatively stable in our configuration. These findings motivate robust consensus as a default component for cost-aware Proof of Quality and provide practical guidance for selecting evaluator sampling parameters under adversarial risk and resource constraints.

cs.CR↗