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Sitabhra Sinha

Publications and source records attributed to Sitabhra Sinha.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

Modular networks emerge from multiconstraint optimization

Modular structure is ubiquitous among complex networks. We note that most such systems are subject to multiple structural and functional constraints, e.g., minimizing the average path length and the total number of links, while maximizing robustness against perturbations in node activity. We show that the optimal networks satisfying these three constraints are characterized by the existence of multiple subnetworks (modules) sparsely connected to each other. In addition, these modules have distinct hubs, resulting in an overall heterogeneous degree distribution.

physics.soc-ph↗

Collective behavior of stock price movements in an emerging market

To investigate the universality of the structure of interactions in different markets, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of stock price fluctuations in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India. We find that this emerging market exhibits strong correlations in the movement of stock prices compared to developed markets, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). This is shown to be due to the dominant influence of a common market mode on the stock prices. By comparison, interactions between related stocks, e.g., those belonging to the same business sector, are much weaker. This lack of distinct sector identity in emerging markets is explicitly shown by reconstructing the network of mutually interacting stocks. Spectral analysis of C for NSE reveals that, the few largest eigenvalues deviate from the bulk of the spectrum predicted by random matrix theory, but they are far fewer in number compared to, e.g., NYSE. We show this to be due to the relative weakness of intra-sector interactions between stocks, compared to the market mode, by modeling stock price dynamics with a two-factor model. Our results suggest that the emergence of an internal structure comprising multiple groups of strongly coupled components is a signature of market development.

q-fin.ST↗

Controlling spatiotemporal chaos and spiral turbulence in excitable media: A review

Excitable media are a generic class of models used to simulate a wide variety of natural systems including cardiac tissue. Propagation of excitation waves in this medium results in the formation of characteristic patterns such as rotating spiral waves. Instabilities in these structures may lead to spatiotemporal chaos through spiral turbulence, which has been linked to clinically diagnosed conditions such as cardiac fibrillation. Usual methods for controlling such phenomena involve very large amplitude perturbations and have several drawbacks. There have been several recent attempts to develop low-amplitude control procedures for spatiotemporal chaos in excitable media which are reviewed in this paper. The control schemes have been broadly classified by us into three types: (i) global, (ii) non-global spatially-extended and (iii) local, depending on the way the control signal is applied, and we discuss the merits and drawbacks for each.

nlin.CD↗

Self-organization of price fluctuation distribution in evolving markets

Financial markets can be seen as complex systems in non-equilibrium steady state, one of whose most important properties is the distribution of price fluctuations. Recently, there have been assertions that this distribution is qualitatively different in emerging markets as compared to developed markets. Here we analyse both high-frequency tick-by-tick as well as daily closing price data to show that the price fluctuations in the Indian stock market, one of the largest emerging markets, have a distribution that is identical to that observed for developed markets (e.g., NYSE). In particular, the cumulative distribution has a long tail described by a power law with an exponent $α\approx 3$. Also, we study the historical evolution of this distribution over the period of existence of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, which coincided with the rapid transformation of the Indian economy due to liberalization, and show that this power law tail has been present almost throughout. We conclude that the ``inverse cubic law'' is a truly universal feature of a financial market, independent of its stage of development or the condition of the underlying economy.

physics.soc-ph↗

How a "Hit" is Born: The Emergence of Popularity from the Dynamics of Collective Choice

In recent times there has been a surge of interest in seeking out patterns in the aggregate behavior of socio-economic systems. One such domain is the emergence of statistical regularities in the evolution of collective choice from individual behavior. This is manifested in the sudden emergence of popularity or "success" of certain ideas or products, compared to their numerous, often very similar, competitors. In this paper, we present an empirical study of a wide range of popularity distributions, spanning from scientific paper citations to movie gross income. Our results show that in the majority of cases, the distribution follows a log-normal form, suggesting that multiplicative stochastic processes are the basis for emergence of popular entities. This suggests the existence of some general principles of complex organization leading to the emergence of popularity. We discuss the theoretical principles needed to explain this socio-economic phenomenon, and present a model for collective behavior that exhibits bimodality, which has been observed in certain empirical popularity distributions.

physics.soc-ph↗

Uncovering the Internal Structure of the Indian Financial Market: Cross-correlation behavior in the NSE

The cross-correlations between price fluctuations of 201 frequently traded stocks in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India are analyzed in this paper. We use daily closing prices for the period 1996-2006, which coincides with the period of rapid transformation of the market following liberalization. The eigenvalue distribution of the cross-correlation matrix, $\mathbf{C}$, of NSE is found to be similar to that of developed markets, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE): the majority of eigenvalues fall within the bounds expected for a random matrix constructed from mutually uncorrelated time series. Of the few largest eigenvalues that deviate from the bulk, the largest is identified with market-wide movements. The intermediate eigenvalues that occur between the largest and the bulk have been associated in NYSE with specific business sectors with strong intra-group interactions. However, in the Indian market, these deviating eigenvalues are comparatively very few and lie much closer to the bulk. We propose that this is because of the relative lack of distinct sector identity in the market, with the movement of stocks dominantly influenced by the overall market trend. This is shown by explicit construction of the interaction network in the market, first by generating the minimum spanning tree from the unfiltered correlation matrix, and later, using an improved method of generating the graph after filtering out the market mode and random effects from the data. Both methods show, compared to developed markets, the relative absence of clusters of co-moving stocks that belong to the same business sector. This is consistent with the general belief that emerging markets tend to be more correlated than developed markets.

q-fin.ST↗

Spiral-wave Dynamics Depends Sensitively on nhomogeneities in Mathematical Models of Ventricular Tissue

Every sixth death in industrialised countries occurs because of cardiac arrhythmias like ventricular tachycardia (VT) and ventricular fibrillation (VF). There is growing consensus that VT is associated with an unbroken spiral wave of electrical activation on cardiac tissue but VF with broken waves, spiral turbulence, spatiotemporal chaos and rapid, irregular activation. Thus spiral-wave activity in cardiac tissue has been studied extensively. Nevertheless many aspects of such spiral dynamics remain elusive because of the intrinsically high-dimensional nature of the cardiac-dynamical system. In particular, the role of tissue heterogeneities in the stability of cardiac spiral waves is still being investigated. Experiments with conduction blocks in cardiac tissue yield a variety of results: some suggest that blocks can eliminate VF partially or completely, leading to VT or quiescence, but others show that VF is unaffected by obstacles. We propose theoretically that this variety of results is a natural manifestation of a fractal boundary that must separate the basins of the attractors associated, respectively, with VF and VT. We substantiate this with extensive numerical studies of Panfilov and Luo-Rudy I models, where we show that the suppression of VF depends sensitively on the position, size, and nature of the inhomogeneity.

nlin.PS↗

Economic Inequality: Is it Natural?

Mounting evidences are being gathered suggesting that income and wealth distribution in various countries or societies follow a robust pattern, close to the Gibbs distribution of energy in an ideal gas in equilibrium, but also deviating significantly for high income groups. Application of physics models seem to provide illuminating ideas and understanding, complimenting the observations.

physics.soc-ph↗

The Mathematical Modelling of Inhomogeneities in Ventricular Tissue

Cardiac arrhythmias such as ventricular tachycardia (VT) or ventricular fibrillation (VF) are the leading cause of death in the industrialised world. There is a growing consensus that these arrhythmias arise because of the formation of spiral waves of electrical activation in cardiac tissue; unbroken spiral waves are associated with VT and broken ones with VF. Several experimental studies have been carried out to determine the effects of inhomogeneities in cardiac tissue on such arrhythmias. We give a brief overview of such experiments, and then an introduction to partial-differential-equation models for ventricular tissue. We show how different types of inhomogeneities can be included in such models, and then discuss various numerical studies, including our own, of the effects of these inhomogeneities on spiral-wave dynamics. The most remarkable qualitative conclusion of our studies is that the spiral-wave dynamics in such systems depends very sensitively on the positions of these inhomogeneities.

nlin.PS↗

Emergence of self-sustained patterns in small-world excitable media

Motivated by recent observations that long-range connections (LRC) play a role in various brain phenomena, we have observed two distinct dynamical transitions in the activity of excitable media where waves propagate both between neighboring regions and through LRC. When LRC density $p$ is low, single or multiple spiral waves are seen to emerge and cover the entire system. This state is self-sustaining and robust against perturbations. At $p=p_c^l$ the spirals are suppressed and there is a transition to a spatially homogeneous, temporally periodic state. Finally, above $p=p_c^u$, activity ceases after a brief transient.

cond-mat.dis-nn↗

Market Polarization in Presence of Individual Choice Volatility

Financial markets are subject to long periods of polarized behavior, such as bull-market or bear-market phases, in which the vast majority of market participants seem to almost exclusively choose one action (between buying or selling) over the other. From the point of view of conventional economic theory, such events are thought to reflect the arrival of ``external news'' that justifies the observed behavior. However, empirical observations of the events leading up to such market phases, as well events occurring during the lifetime of such a phase, have often failed to find significant correlation between news from outside the market and the behavior of the agents comprising the market. In this paper, we explore the alternative hypothesis that the occurrence of such market polarizations are due to interactions amongst the agents in the market, and not due to any influence external to it. In particular, we present a model where the market (i.e., the aggregate behavior of all the agents) is observed to become polarized even though individual agents regularly change their actions (buy or sell) on a time-scale much shorter than that of the market polarization phase.

physics.soc-ph↗

The Apparent Madness of Crowds: Irrational collective behavior emerging from interactions among rational agents

Standard economic theory assumes that agents in markets behave rationally. However, the observation of extremely large fluctuations in the price of financial assets that are not correlated to changes in their fundamental value, as well as the extreme instance of financial bubbles and crashes, imply that markets (at least occasionally) do display irrational behavior. In this paper, we briefly outline our recent work demonstrating that a market with interacting agents having bounded rationality can display price fluctuations that are {\em quantitatively} similar to those seen in real markets.

physics.soc-ph↗

The Power (Law) of Indian Markets: Analysing NSE and BSE trading statistics

The nature of fluctuations in the Indian financial market is analyzed in this paper. We have looked at the price returns of individual stocks, with tick-by-tick data from the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and daily closing price data from both NSE and the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), the two largest exchanges in India. We find that the price returns in Indian markets follow a fat-tailed cumulative distribution, consistent with a power law having exponent $α\sim 3$, similar to that observed in developed markets. However, the distributions of trading volume and the number of trades have a different nature than that seen in the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Further, the price movement of different stocks are highly correlated in Indian markets.

physics.soc-ph↗

Robust Emergent Activity in Dynamical Networks

We study the evolution of a random weighted network with complex nonlinear dynamics at each node, whose activity may cease as a result of interactions with other nodes. Starting from a knowledge of the micro-level behaviour at each node, we develop a macroscopic description of the system in terms of the statistical features of the subnetwork of active nodes. We find the asymptotic characteristics of this subnetwork to be remarkably robust: the size of the active set is independent of the total number of nodes in the network, and the average degree of the active nodes is independent of both the network size and its connectivity. These results suggest that very different networks evolve to active subnetworks with the same characteristic features. This has strong implications for dynamical networks observed in the natural world, notably the existence of a characteristic range of links per species across ecological systems.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗

Assortative mixing by degree makes a network more unstable

We investigate the role of degree correlation among nodes on the stability of complex networks, by studying spectral properties of randomly weighted matrices constructed from directed Erdös-Rényi and scale-free random graph models. We focus on the behaviour of the largest real part of the eigenvalues, $λ_\text{max}$, that governs the growth rate of perturbations about an equilibrium (and hence, determines stability). We find that assortative mixing by degree, where nodes with many links connect preferentially to other nodes with many links, reduces the stability of networks. In particular, for sparse scale-free networks with $N$ nodes, $λ_\text{max}$ scales as $N^α$ for highly assortative networks, while for disassortative graphs, $λ_\text{max}$ scales logarithmically with $N$. This difference may be a possible reason for the prevalence of disassortative networks in nature.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗

Emergence of two-phase behavior in markets through interaction and learning in agents with bounded rationality

Phenomena which involves collective choice of many agents who are interacting with each other and choosing one of several alternatives, based on the limited information available to them, frequently show switching between two distinct phases characterized by a bimodal and an unimodal distribution respectively. Examples include financial markets, movie popularity and electoral behavior. Here we present a model for this biphasic behavior and argue that it arises from interactions in a local neighborhood and adaptation & learning based on information about the effectiveness of past choices.

physics.soc-ph↗

Evidence of universality for the May-Wigner stability theorem for random networks with local dynamics

We consider a random network of nonlinear maps exhibiting a wide range of local dynamics, with the links having normally distributed interaction strengths. The stability of such a system is examined in terms of the asymptotic fraction of nodes that persist in a non-zero state. Scaling results show that the probability of survival in the steady state agrees remarkably well with the May-Wigner stability criterion derived from linear stability arguments. This suggests universality of the complexity-stability relation for random networks with respect to arbitrary global dynamics of the system.

nlin.AO↗

The Rich Are Different!: Pareto Law from asymmetric interactions in asset exchange models

It is known that asset exchange models with symmetric interaction between agents show either a Gibbs/log-normal distribution of assets among the agents or condensation of the entire wealth in the hands of a single agent, depending upon the rules of exchange. Here we explore the effects of introducing asymmetry in the interaction between agents with different amounts of wealth (i.e., the rich behave differently from the poor). This can be implemented in several ways: e.g., (1) in the net amount of wealth that is transferred from one agent to another during an exchange interaction, or (2) the probability of gaining vs. losing a net amount of wealth from an exchange interaction. We propose that, in general, the introduction of asymmetry leads to Pareto-like power law distribution of wealth.

physics.soc-ph↗