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Siting Lin

Publications and source records attributed to Siting Lin.

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Efficient LLM Reasoning via Variational Posterior Guidance with Efficiency Awareness

Although large language models rely on chain-of-thought for complex reasoning, the overthinking phenomenon severely degrades inference efficiency. Existing reinforcement learning methods compress reasoning chains by designing elaborate reward functions, which renders high-quality samples extremely sparse in the exploration space and creates a sampling bottleneck for the prior policy. Inspired by cognitive science, we theoretically prove that a posterior distribution guided by reference answers achieves higher expected utility than the prior distribution, thus capable of breaking through the sampling bottleneck of high-quality samples. However, the posterior distribution is unavailable during inference. To this end, we formalize efficient reasoning as a variational inference problem and introduce an efficiency-aware evidence lower bound as the theoretical foundation. Based on this, we propose the VPG-EA framework. It adopts a parameter-shared dual-stream architecture to instantiate both the posterior distribution and the prior policy; after filtering out pseudo-efficient paths via cross-view evaluation, it unidirectionally transfers the posterior's efficient patterns to the prior policy through variational distillation. Experiments on DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-1.5B and 7B scales demonstrate that VPG-EA improves the comprehensive efficiency metric epsilon cubed by 8.73% and 12.37% over the strongest baselines on each model size, respectively.

cs.LG

ForLion: An R Package for Finding Optimal Experimental Designs with Mixed Factors

Optimal design is crucial for experimenters to maximize the information collected from experiments and estimate the model parameters most accurately. ForLion algorithms have been proposed to find D-optimal designs for experiments with mixed types of factors. In this paper, we introduce the ForLion package which implements the ForLion algorithm to construct locally D-optimal designs and the Expected Weighted (EW) ForLion algorithm to generate robust EW D-optimal designs, which maximize the determinant of the expected Fisher information matrix under parameter uncertainty. The package supports experiments under linear models (LM), generalized linear models (GLM), and multinomial logistic models (MLM) with continuous, discrete, or mixed-type factors. It provides both optimal approximate designs and an efficient function converting approximate designs into exact designs with integer-valued allocations of experimental units. Tutorials are included to show the package's usage across different scenarios.

stat.CO

Expected Weighted D-optimal Designs for Experiments with Mixed Factors

Optimal designs can help experimenters obtain more accurate parameter estimates with reduced experimental time and cost. In this paper, we characterize the Expected Weighted (EW) D-optimal designs as robust designs against unknown parameter values for experiments under a general parametric model with discrete and continuous factors. When a pilot study is available, we recommend sample-based EW D-optimal designs for subsequent experiments. Otherwise, we recommend EW D-optimal designs under a prior distribution for model parameters. We propose an EW ForLion algorithm for finding EW D-optimal designs with mixed factors, and justify that the designs found by our algorithm are EW D-optimal. To facilitate potential users in practice, we also develop a rounding algorithm that converts an approximate design with mixed factors to exact designs with prespecified grid points and the total number of experimental units. By applying our algorithms for real experiments under multinomial logistic models or generalized linear models, we show that our designs are highly efficient with respect to locally D-optimal designs and more robust against parameter value misspecifications.

stat.ME