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Sitwala Mundia

Publications and source records attributed to Sitwala Mundia.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Can LLMs Accurately Score Medical Diagnoses and Clinical Reasoning?

Evaluating medical AI systems using expert clinician panels is costly and slow, motivating the use of large language models (LLMs) as alternative adjudicators. Here, we evaluate an LLM Jury, composed of three frontier AI models, for scoring 3334 diagnoses on 300 real-world low- and middle-income country (LMIC) hospital cases. Both LLM- and clinician-generated diagnoses are scored against expert panel diagnoses across four dimensions: diagnosis, differential diagnosis, clinical reasoning, and negative treatment risk. The LLM Jury scores are compared with expert and independent re-scoring panel scores to assess error metrics, inter-rater agreement, severe-risk errors, and the effect of post hoc calibration using isotonic regression. In our data, we find that: (i) the uncalibrated LLM Jury scores preserve ordinal agreement with the expert clinician panel scores, but are systematically lower; (ii) the probability of severe-risk errors is lower for the LLM Jury than the human expert re-score panels; (iii) the LLM Jury combined with LLM diagnoses can be used to identify diagnoses at high risk of error, enabling targeted expert review and improved panel efficiency; (iv) the calibrated LLM Jury scores and rankings of diagnosing agents show excellent agreement with those of the primary expert panels; (v) LLM Jury models show no self-preference bias, they did not score diagnoses generated by their own underlying model or models from the same vendor more (or less) favourably than those generated by other models. Together, these results provide evidence that a calibrated LLM Jury is a trustworthy and reliable proxy for expert clinician evaluation in medical AI benchmarking. Confirming these findings in other clinical settings is an important direction for future work.

cs.LG

Tone-Conditioned Curriculum Learning for Low-Resource Bantu Speech Recognition

Southern Bantu languages are spoken by over 80 million people, yet current foundation ASR models still produce zero-shot WER above 100%, which limits practical use in education and public services. We addressed this gap with a tone conditioned curriculum framework for 6 Southern Bantu languages that combined hybrid difficulty scoring, gated adapters driven by tonal statistics and staged curriculum training. We trained on a community corpus and tested transfer to NCHLT to measure robustness beyond matched evaluation. Results revealed clear interactions between architecture and language, with W2V-BERT outperforming Whisper on Nguni languages by 3 to 4 WER points whilst Whisper performed better on Sotho-Tswana languages. W2V-BERT with tone conditioning reached 28.41% average WER across datasets and 23.79% on Xitsonga transfer. No single model suited all 6 languages, so deployment should pair model selection per language with validation across corpora.

cs.CL

Swivuriso: The South African Next Voices Multilingual Speech Dataset

This paper introduces Swivuriso, a 3000-hour multilingual speech dataset developed as part of the African Next Voices project, to support the development and benchmarking of automatic speech recognition (ASR) technologies in seven South African languages. Covering agriculture, healthcare, and general domain topics, Swivuriso addresses significant gaps in existing ASR datasets. We describe the design principles, ethical considerations, and data collection procedures that guided the dataset creation. We present baseline results of training/finetuning ASR models with this data and compare to other ASR datasets for the langauges concerned.

cs.CL

Evaluating Multimodal LLMs for Inpatient Diagnosis: Real-World Performance, Safety, and Cost Across Ten Frontier Models

Background: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly proposed for diagnostic support, but few evaluations use real-world multimodal inpatient data, particularly in low and middle-income country (LMIC) public hospitals. Methods: We conducted VALID, a retrospective evaluation of 539 multimodal inpatient cases from a tertiary public hospital in South Africa. Inputs included radiology imaging (CT, MRI, CXR) and reports, laboratory results, clinical notes, and vital signs. Expert panels adjudicated 300 cases (balanced and discordant subsets) to establish ground truth diagnoses, differentials, and reasoning. Ten multimodal LLMs generated zero-shot outputs. A calibrated three-model LLM Jury scored all outputs and routine ward diagnoses across diagnostic accuracy, differential quality, reasoning, and patient safety (>10,000 evaluations). Primary outcomes were composite scores ($S_3$, $S_4$) and win rates. Results: (i) LLM performance was tightly clustered (<15% variation) despite large cost differences; low-cost models performed comparably to top models. (ii) All LLMs significantly outperformed routine ward diagnoses on average diagnostic and safety scores. (iii) Top performance was achieved by GPT-5.1, followed by Gemini models. (vi) Adding radiology reports improved performance by 6%. (v) Diagnostic and reasoning scores were highly correlated ($ρ= 0.85$). (vi) Output rates varied (65-100%) due to input constraints. Results were robust across subsets and evaluation design. Conclusions: Across a real-world LMIC dataset, multimodal LLMs showed similar diagnostic performance despite large cost differences and outperformed routine care on average safety metrics. Affordability, robustness, and deployment constraints may outweigh marginal performance differences in LMIC settings.

cs.LG

From Handwriting to Structured Data: Benchmarking AI Digitisation of Handwritten Forms

Manual digitisation of structured handwritten documents is slow and costly. We benchmark 17 leading frontier multi-modal large language models and open-source models against a very challenging real-world medical form that mixes dates; structured, printed text; hand-written responses and significant variability challenges. None of the smaller or older models perform well but the latest Google and OpenAI models reach accuracies around $85\%$ with weighted F1 scores $\simeq 90\%$ across the discrete or predefined fields despite the very challenging nature of the responses. Clear task specific strengths emerge: GPT 5.4 excels in noisy date extraction as well as reliability with the lowest hallucination rate ($6\%$). Claude Sonnet 4.6 had the best average performance across formatted fields (dates and numerical values), while Gemini 3.1 delivered the best overall performance, with the lowest free text error rates (WER = $0.50$ and CER = $0.31$) and the strongest results across discrete classification metrics. We further show that prompt optimisation dramatically improves macro precision, recall and F1 by over $60\%$, but has little impact on weighted metrics (only $\sim2-5\%$ improvement). These results provide evidence that the rapid improvements of multimodal large language models offer a compelling pathway toward fully automated digitisation of complex handwritten workflows that is particularly relevant in low- and middle-income countries.

cs.CV