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Siyuan Wang

Publications and source records attributed to Siyuan Wang.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

RAP: Research Attention Prediction Reveals Target-Conditioned Evidence Acquisition Biases

Large language models (LLMs) increasingly act as research agents, yet their ability to track shifts in research attention is difficult to evaluate because reviews and research ideas lack uniquely verifiable outcomes. We introduce Research Attention Prediction (RAP), a rolling benchmark covering 278 AI/ML fields and 1,390 episodes. At each cut-off, an LLM agent searches a temporally restricted arXiv corpus and predicts the next six months' paper shares across eight frozen research directions. Search generally helps, but all four diagnostic models perform worse than an exact-count exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) baseline in compositional accuracy. We identify two linked bottlenecks. Under cumulative-history access, State carry-forward outperforms direct Forecast for all four diagnostic models; frozen-evidence replay links a shared component of this reversal to Forecast-oriented policies retrieving a smaller share of recent evidence. Even with exact historical activity, future-specific updating remains limited, with only GPT-5.5 plus reopened Search slightly surpassing EWMA. Fine-tuning on realised outcomes improves Qwen3-4B's forecast Spearman correlation by 0.105 on held-out fields at later origins, with gains also on change-rich episodes.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Ultra-Short-Term Photovoltaic Ramp Forecasting via Physics-Guided Generative Sky Video Prediction

Minute-scale photovoltaic (PV) ramps caused by rapidly evolving cloud occlusion pose challenges to short-timescale power balancing and require reliable advance warning. This paper develops an event-oriented ultra-short-term PV forecasting framework that predicts future cloud evolution as an intermediate representation linking sky observations to PV output. PhyDiffNet combines physics-informed cloud-motion modeling with generative video prediction, while RaPVFormer integrates observed and predicted sky states, sun-location information, and historical PV measurements to forecast PV trajectories and ramp events up to 16 minutes ahead. Evaluation on the SKIPP'D dataset shows that the proposed framework achieves a Critical Success Index of 96.2\% for ramps beginning 1--4 minutes ahead and retains 84.9\% for those beginning 13--16 minutes ahead, outperforming all deployable baselines across the evaluated lead-time intervals. At a validation-calibrated 95\% reliability target, it reduces the required fast upward reserve margin by 34.2\% relative to the Persistence Model and by 11.6\% relative to the strongest deployable baseline under the adopted reserve metric. These results show that explicit future-cloud prediction improves advance warning of PV ramps and translates forecasting gains into lower short-timescale balancing margins under a common reliability target.

eess.SY↗
arXiv2026

PRQ-KMeans: Projection Residual Quantization for Semantic ID Tokenization

Semantic identifiers (SIDs) represent entities as hierarchical token sequences for generative retrieval and recommendation. Residual-quantization tokenizers construct these sequences by selecting a codeword at each level and passing a residual to the next. We view this process as progressive commonality removal: each token captures a component shared within its group, while later tokens should model the remaining differences. This view reveals three limitations: a corpus-wide shared component can consume first-level capacity, hard assignment ignores graded similarities to nearby codewords, and full-codeword subtraction can leave variation along the selected-codeword direction in the next residual. We therefore develop our solution in the post-hoc setting, where residual construction is not constrained by input reconstruction. Specifically, we propose PRQ-KMeans, which removes the global-mean component, refines centroids with Top-k similarity-weighted updates, and replaces full-codeword subtraction with a projection residual that removes each representation's selected-centroid component. Experiments on a large-scale industrial search dataset and four public recommendation benchmarks show that PRQ-KMeans achieves the strongest overall performance among the evaluated tokenizers, including gains of up to 7.4% in HitRate and 11.8% in MRR on the industrial dataset.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

SciTrue: Reliable Scientific Claim Validation with Frontier and Open Language Models at the NTCIR SciClaimEval Task

We describe the SciTrue team's participation in both subtasks of the NTCIR-19 SciClaimEval task~\cite{sciclaimeval}, which asks systems to verify scientific claims against the tables and figures of a paper. Rather than tuning a single model, we benchmark eleven frontier and open multimodal models under one honest, per-sample protocol and combine them with light, transparent post-processing. On the official, blind test leaderboard (Section~\ref{sec:results}), SciTrue placed first by a clear margin in three of the four evidence-category/subtask combinations, and tied for first on the primary metric in the fourth. Three findings explain the result. First, strong instruction-tuned models are already competitive: Claude Opus~4.8 and Gemma-4-31B each exceed the strongest public baseline (o4-mini), and GPT-5.5 and Claude Fable~5 lead both subtasks (97.7 on Subtask~2). Second, the task's pairing structure is the largest lever: a \emph{leak-free pair prior} that recovers the Supported/Refuted pairing from the claim text alone (a visible field) and assigns Supported to the higher-confidence evidence raises Subtask-1 pair-accuracy from 72.2 to 93.5, far more than any model swap or ensemble weighting. Third, a case-by-case audit finds that most residual errors are visually-undetectable label-mapping swaps or dataset label noise, so measured accuracy understates the true ability and the fixable-by-modeling headroom is small. Controlled fine-tuning, distillation, and agentic consistency-checking support the same conclusions, and we document throughout a measurement leak---label information reaching a system through the packaging of the data rather than its content---in which the released file ordering encodes the label, including one instance that briefly misled our own pipeline.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

GeoGR: Enabling Spatio-Temporal Aware Industrial-scale Generative POI Recommendations

Next Point-of-Interest (POI) prediction is a fundamental task in location-based services (LBS), especially critical for large-scale navigation platforms such as AMAP that serve billions of users in diverse lifestyle scenarios. Although recent POI recommendation approaches based on SIDs have achieved promising performance, they struggle in complex, sparse real-world environments due to two key limitations: (1) inadequate modeling of high-quality SIDs that capture cross-category spatio-temporal collaborative relationships, and (2) poor alignment between large language models (LLMs) and the POI recommendation task. To this end, we propose GeoGR, a geographic generative recommendation framework tailored for navigation-based LBS like AMAP, which perceives changes in users' contextual states and enables spatio-temporal aware POI recommendation. GeoGR features a two-stage design: (i) a geo-aware SID tokenization pipeline that explicitly learns spatio-temporal collaborative semantic representations via geographically constrained co-visited POI pairs, contrastive semantic representation learning, and iterative refinement; and (ii) a multi-stage LLM training strategy that aligns non-native SID tokens through continued pre-training with multiple prompt templates and enables autoregressive POI generation via supervised fine-tuning. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world datasets demonstrate GeoGR superiority over state-of-the-art baselines. Moreover, the deployment on the large-scale AMAP platform over three months, serving millions of users and delivering significant online gains of +2.91% in WINRATE and +5.55% in PV_CTR, confirms its practical effectiveness and scalability in production.

cs.IR↗
arXiv2026

ST-EVO: Towards Generative Spatio-Temporal Evolution of Multi-Agent Communication Topologies

LLM-powered Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) have emerged as an effective approach towards collaborative intelligence, and have attracted wide research interests. Among them, ``self-evolving'' MAS, treated as a more flexible and powerful technical route, can construct task-adaptive workflows or communication topologies, instead of relying on a predefined static structue template. Current self-evolving MAS mainly focus on Spatial Evolving or Temporal Evolving paradigm, which only considers the single dimension of evolution and does not fully incentivize LLMs' collaborative capability. In this work, we start from a novel Spatio-Temporal perspective by proposing ST-EVO, which supports dialogue-wise communication scheduling with a compact yet powerful flow-matching based Scheduler. To make precise Spatio-Temporal scheduling, ST-EVO can also perceive the uncertainty of MAS, and possesses self-feedback ability to learn from accumulated experience. Extensive experiments on nine benchmarks demonstrate the state-of-the-art performance of ST-EVO, achieving about 5%--25% accuracy improvement.

cs.MA↗
arXiv2026

CrossTracer: Cross-Embodiment Navigation via VLA Model Reasoning and Trace Residuals Adapting

Vision-language-action (VLA) models provide strong semantic priors for robot navigation, but they often ignore embodiment-specific mobility constraints. A path that is semantically plausible for one robot may be physically infeasible for another. We propose CrossTracer, a hierarchical framework for cross-embodiment navigation through adaptive trace residuals. CrossTracer represents navigation plans as normalized image-plane waypoints, forming a unified pixel-space interface between semantic reasoning and physical grounding. First, Vision-Language Trace Proposer (VL-Tracer) adapts a pretrained VLA model to predict an initial navigation trace from egocentric observations and flexible goal specifications. Second, CE-Adapter refines this trace by predicting embodiment-conditioned residual corrections from visual traversability cues, robot identity, and the initial trace. To train the refinement module without costly manual annotation, Cross-Embodiment RRT* (CE-RRT*) converts panoptic segmentation into robot-conditioned traversability cost maps and generates cost-minimizing pixel-space traces. We evaluate CrossTracer on the NaviTrace benchmark, which tests whether a model can generate embodiment-consistent navigation traces from egocentric observations, language instructions, and robot embodiment types. CrossTracer achieves a total score of 45.68, outperforming the strongest evaluated general-purpose baseline, Gemini-2.5-Pro, by 10.01 points, corresponding to a 28.1% relative improvement. Real-world deployment on wheeled and legged robots further shows improved navigation success and execution efficiency.

cs.RO↗
arXiv2026

Knowledge-guided Disentanglement with Atomic Actions for Action Recognition

Action recognition in complex scenes often involves multiple concurrent fine-grained actions, making it challenging to model internal action structures. Most existing methods rely on holistic representations, which are insufficient for capturing subtle interactions and fine-grained semantics. While recent prompt-based approaches introduce disentanglement, they lack explicit semantic guidance, and methods based solely on visual or structured cues remain coarse-grained. In this paper, we propose Knowledge-guided Disentanglement with Atomic Actions (KDA), which leverages fine-grained semantic knowledge to enhance action representations and enable more precise disentanglement. Specifically, we use Large Language Models (LLMs) to decompose action labels into atomic actions, providing explicit spatial-temporal semantics. A Knowledge Injection Module (KIM) first integrates atomic action knowledge into video features. Based on this enhanced representation, a Knowledge Disentanglement Module (KDM) further disentangles atomic action knowledge to produce more precise semantic guidance for action disentanglement. A Knowledge Disentanglement Loss (KD Loss) is introduced to encourage clearer disentanglement of knowledge components within KDM. Extensive experiments demonstrate that KDA improves feature discriminability and achieves state-of-the-art performance on multi-label action recognition benchmarks. Moreover, KIM and KDM can be readily integrated into other methods, demonstrating strong generality.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

Anyon Condensation In Symmetry-Enriched Topological Phases: $G$-Grading of Multifusion Categories

Although anyon condensation is a standard mechanism for relating topological orders, anyon condensation in symmetry-enriched topological (SET) phases is more intricate because the condensate must also be compatible with the global symmetry. We study symmetry-preserving anyon condensation in SET phases described by the enlarged Hu-Geer-Wu (HGW) string-net model with multifusion-category input data. We show that a $G$-preserving condensation is characterized by a compatible grading of the input multifusion category, and that this grading constructs the multifusion-category input of the child SET phase. To make this construction concrete, we consider the case where the relevant data come from a finite group extension $E$ of $G$ by $N$: an $E$-graded fusion category induces a $G$-SET input by passing to the quotient symmetry $G$, and the resulting input naturally carries a compatible $N$-grading that implements the further condensation inside the SET phase while preserving $G$. We illustrate the construction using three quantum-double examples: the trivial extension $\mathbb{Z}_2\times\mathbb{Z}_2$, the non-Abelian semidirect product $S_3$, and the nontrivial central extension $\mathbb{Z}_4$. The $\mathbb{Z}_4$ example further shows that symmetry fractionalized anyons do not obstruct symmetry-preserving condensation once the condensate is treated as a physical coherent state.

cond-mat.str-el↗
arXiv2026

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for V2X Resource Allocation: Disentangling MARL Challenges Through Benchmarking

Radio resource allocation (RRA) is a critical function in cellular vehicle-to-everything (C-V2X) networks, where vehicles must share limited wireless resources to support safety-critical communications. Multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) has emerged as a promising approach for this problem. However, key MARL challenges, including non-stationarity, coordination difficulty, large action space, partial observability, and limited robustness and generalization, are often intertwined, making it difficult to assess their individual impact on performance in vehicular environments. Moreover, existing studies primarily focus on developing new algorithms, while systematic benchmarking and comparative analyses remain limited. To address this gap, we formulate C-V2X RRA as a hierarchy of multi-agent interference games that progressively introduce key MARL challenges. Based on this framework, we develop a suite of benchmark learning tasks and construct training and testing datasets from SUMO-generated highway traces with diverse vehicular topologies and interference conditions. Using the proposed benchmark, we evaluate representative MARL algorithms spanning value-based, actor-critic, Independent Learning (IL), and Centralized Training with Decentralized Execution (CTDE) paradigms. The results identify robustness and generalization across diverse vehicular topologies as the dominant challenge among those considered in this work, reducing average normalized return by up to 59 percentage points, and show that, on the most challenging task, the best actor-critic method outperforms the best value-based method by 42\%. By revealing the relative strengths and limitations of different MARL paradigms and open-sourcing the code, datasets, and benchmark suite, this work provides a systematic and reproducible foundation for evaluating and advancing MARL algorithms in vehicular networks.

cs.MA↗
arXiv2026

MECoBench: A Systematic Study of Multimodal Agent Collaboration in Embodied Environments

Recent multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have strong potential as embodied agents, but their ability to collaborate in visually grounded environments remains underexplored. To address this gap, we introduce MECoBench, a multimodal embodied cooperation benchmark with an evaluation platform spanning diverse real-world tasks, two cooperation structures, and three collaboration modes. Through extensive experiments across various MLLMs, we summarize three key findings: (i) Collaboration generally improves embodied task completion, but its benefits depend on balancing collaborative gains against coordination complexity. (ii) Communication is essential to collaboration gains, while the best collaboration mode depends on team size and model capability. (iii) Moreover, collaboration improves robustness under noisy priors and exploration conditions. Generally, MECoBench provides a systematic testbed for understanding the mechanisms and limits of multimodal embodied collaboration. Code and dataset are available at https://github.com/q-i-n-g/MECoBench.

cs.MA↗
arXiv2026

Uncovering Salience-Driven Dynamics in Consumer Confidence with Generative Social Simulation

Consumer confidence is typically modeled as a persistent macroeconomic index, yet its movements arise from households that interpret economic information through heterogeneous constraints, exposures, prior beliefs, and attention. We introduce ConsumerSim, a generative Human--Environment response framework that reconstructs Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) dynamics from a microdata-calibrated synthetic population, time-stamped macroeconomic, financial, policy, and news signals, survey-like response generation, post-stratified belief expansion, and behavioral inertia alignment. Across U.S., EU27, and Japanese official CCI target series, ConsumerSim ranks first among persistence, time-series, regression, and information-augmented baselines on the reported reconstruction metrics, with clear gains around high-salience shocks. Its reconstructed signal also improves short-horizon prediction of real activity, most consistently for housing outcomes. Mechanism analyses show that CCI movements concentrate around salient events; subgroup trajectories often align in direction while differing in magnitude; and signal sensitivity varies across income, homeownership, education, and political-alignment groups. Population-expansion and ablation results indicate that representative aggregation, situational signals, persona heterogeneity, and inertia are necessary for both accuracy and diagnosis. The findings support a behavioral view of consumer confidence as an interpretable Human--Environment response process rather than a purely aggregate time series.

cs.CY↗
arXiv2026

Bridging Vision and Language Concepts through Optimal Transport Semantic Flow

Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) promise transparent reasoning by predicting through human-interpretable concepts, yet their effectiveness fundamentally depends on how well visual and textual representations are aligned or matched. Existing vision-language CBMs often rely on pre-aligned encoders or global cosine similarity, which obscures fine-grained concept localization and fails to reflect true semantic geometry. In this work, we rethink concept alignment as a dynamic cross-modal transport process instead of static projection and propose the Optimal Transport Flow Concept Bottleneck Model (OTF-CBM). It first learns a data-driven semantic cost via Inverse Optimal Transport to measure cross-modal distances, and then performs unbalanced optimal-transport-based flow matching to model semantic transitions between visual patches and textual concepts. With velocity-based concept activation, OTF-CBM captures interpretable geometric relations without ODE integration. Experiments further show that OTF-CBM achieves superior classification accuracy and concept faithfulness, offering a new geometric and dynamical perspective for interpretable cross-modal reasoning.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

OneRetrieval: Unifying Multi-Branch E-commerce Retrieval with an Editable Generative Model

Industrial e-commerce search serves hundreds of millions of items through a multi-branch retrieval stage fused by hand-tuned merging without joint optimization. Generative retrieval (GR) raises the prospect of collapsing this stage into a single model, yet unification is gated by more than retrieval quality: the inverted-index branch converts below the platform average yet persists because it is almost the only branch where operations can inject a new term within hours without any model update; a one-model substitute must preserve this real-time editability. Existing GR methods structurally lack it: closed-codebook methods fix each slot to a quantized embedding at training, while open-vocabulary methods leave new-term routing to model generalization. We present OneRetrieval, a one-model GR framework built on Keyword-Aligned Encoding (KAE), which ties each identifier position to an interpretable attribute word, pairing competitive recall quality with the editability of the inverted index -- to our knowledge the first editable generative retrieval method. An information-theoretic merging organizes 18 attribute categories into six codebook groups with non-uniform capacity; reserved slots in each codebook can be bound to new words after deployment without retraining; and a four-stage fine-tuning pipeline secures quality and editability jointly. On five million real-traffic requests, OneRetrieval matches the deep recall of the strongest generative baseline, with an intervention hit rate over an order of magnitude above closed-codebook encodings. Online, replacing the inverted-index branch significantly lifts order volume; extending to nearly the entire stage holds conversion while improving CTR. The system is deployed at Kuaishou, serving hundreds of millions of PVs daily.

cs.IR↗
arXiv2026

SCAN: Enhance Time Series Anomaly Detection via Multi-Scale Neighborhood-Centered Clustering

Time series anomaly detection plays a crucial role in a wide range of real-world applications. Reconstruction-based methods have become the mainstream paradigm, but they suffer from over-generalization and under-generalization problems, which are challenging to balance. To address this, we introduce multi-scale clustering to enhance reconstruction-based methods. At the representation level, we integrate the cluster center representations of normal patterns to constrain the model to target representative normal patterns for reconstruction, preventing dominance of powerful capacity and representation capability. At the anomaly criterion level, we derive anomaly confidence score based on cluster membership probability and combine it with reconstruction error, providing dual criteria for detection. Furthermore, the effectiveness of the cluster center representations and anomaly confidence score depends on the clustering performance. Accordingly, we extract neighborhood-centered representations for multi-view clustering to improve clustering performance. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world datasets from diverse application domains demonstrate the state-of-the-art performance of SCAN.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

LIBERO-Occ: Evaluating and Improving Vision-Language-Action Models under Scene-Induced Occlusion via Viewpoint Imagination

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models achieve strong performance on standard manipulation benchmarks, but most evaluations assume that task-relevant objects are fully visible. This assumption often fails in realistic settings, where occlusion makes manipulation partially observable. In this paper, we study \textit{scene-induced occlusion} as a fundamental challenge for VLA models and introduce \textbf{LIBERO-Occ}, an occlusion-oriented extension of LIBERO. Experiments show that state-of-the-art VLAs suffer substantial performance degradation under occlusion. To address this issue, we propose \textbf{Viewpoint Imagination (VIM)}, which generates a complementary view from an occluded primary observation and conditions action prediction on both observed and imagined evidence. VIM improves robustness across task suites, occlusion types, and severity levels without requiring additional cameras at deployment time, suggesting that viewpoint imagination is an promising mechanism for perception completion in partially observable manipulation. Our benchmark and corresponding code are available at: \href{https://github.com/litsh/Libero-Occ}{https://github.com/litsh/Libero-Occ}.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

Can Agents Read the Room? Benchmarking Visual Social Intelligence in Multimodal Simulation

Social interaction depends on both language and visible social signals, such as facial expressions, posture, gaze, and emotional shifts. Yet existing social-agent benchmarks are largely text-based and rarely test whether multimodal agents can use visual cues to guide interaction. We introduce \textsc{\benchmarkname{}}, a benchmark evaluating visual social intelligence in multimodal social simulation. It contains 240 scenarios, 585 role instances, and 2,340 role-task instances, combining aligned textual-visual evidence, structured role profiles, and four role-level tasks: expression task, characteristic task, interaction regulation task, and interaction outcome task. Evaluating seven recent MLLMs under verbalized-vision and direct-vision reveals a clear gap between local role enactment and interaction management: role-specific expression and conflict handling are near saturation, whereas interaction regulation and visually grounded outcome achievement remain substantially more difficult. The code is released at https://github.com/JunsWan/AgentViSS, and the dataset is available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/JunsWan/AgentViSS.

cs.CL↗
arXiv2026

LiAuto-GeoX: Efficient Grounded Driving Transformer

Dense 3D reconstruction has demonstrated immense potential for spatial understanding, yet its viability as a real-time, onboard representation for autonomous driving remains an open challenge. Existing large-scale visual geometry models typically require substantial computational resources and lack the long-range geometric fidelity, surround-view consistency, and real-time efficiency demanded by dynamic driving environments. To bridge this gap, we present \textbf{LiAuto-GeoX}, an efficient grounded driving transformer designed for deployable, ego-centric 3D scene understanding. Our approach begins by learning a high-capacity driving geometry model from large-scale surround-view data, utilizing sparse LiDAR priors to provide robust geometric grounding in distant, ambiguous, or structure-sparse regions. We then instantiate this capability into a highly compact 155M-parameter onboard model through a novel geometry-preserving distillation framework. This framework employs mask-guided depth-aware distillation to retain fine-grained metric structures by emphasizing geometrically informative regions, and relative-pose relational distillation to enforce cross-view spatial consistency through pose-induced geometric relations. Extensive evaluations reveal that \textbf{LiAuto-GeoX} runs at 220 FPS on KITTI while maintaining high-fidelity dense reconstruction, enabling real-time deployment. The learned geometry transfers seamlessly to downstream autonomy tasks, achieving 90.6 PDMS in trajectory prediction, 24.63 mIoU in occupancy prediction, and 47.67 IoU in future-frame prediction. These all demonstrate that efficient dense 3D reconstruction can transcend its traditional role as a perception target to serve as a scalable, foundational geometric representation for next-generation autonomous driving.

cs.CV↗