arXiv subjects

Soonyoung Lee

Publications and source records attributed to Soonyoung Lee.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

When Summaries Distort Decisions: Information Fidelity in LLM-Compressed Financial Analysis

Financial decision-makers face more information than they can directly inspect, making context compression necessary. Yet when large language models (LLMs) compress financial source material, they can alter the investment judgment supported by the original source. We frame this problem as information fidelity: compression loses fidelity when it changes the decision induced by the source. In agentic systems, such losses may recur across intermediate steps and amplify throughout the decision process. Across financial filings and earnings-call transcripts, we find that LLM-based compression can produce fluent and factually plausible compressed contexts that nevertheless alter downstream decisions. We analyze two diagnostic patterns associated with fidelity loss: decontextualization, where salient evidence is retained but separated from the caveats and contextual qualifiers needed for correct interpretation, and model dependency, where different compressors expose different views of the same source. We then propose Agentic Context Compression, which generates multiple candidate compressions and audits their disagreements against the original source. Our results suggest that financial compression should be evaluated not only by efficiency or factuality, but also by its ability to preserve decision-relevant context.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

PCBWorld: A Benchmark Environment for Engine-Grounded PCB Design Automation

PCB routing is the task of connecting the nets of a board with copper traces under strict design rules, yet learning-based methods still lag behind rule-based routers. We introduce PCBWorld, an open-source engine-grounded PCB routing environment built on KiCad, an electronic design automation (EDA) engine. As a human engineer does, agents in PCBWorld interactively route a board through the engine's native operations, guided by its Design Rule Check (DRC) feedback. The environment supports both RL and tool-using LLM agents. Alongside the environment, PCBWorld-Bench provides three board datasets in the native .kicad_pcb format, two controllable synthetic generators and 679 real open-source boards. It scores any completed board with eight engine-checked evaluation metrics, regardless of the routing method. In our experiments, agents in PCBWorld consistently outperformed grid-action RL policies and open-loop LLM baselines, and an RL policy trained only on synthetic boards transferred zero-shot to real boards, approaching rule-based routers. PCBWorld and PCBWorld-Bench are available at https://github.com/LGAI-Research/PCBWorld.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Explaining Time Series Forecasting with Horizon-Resolved Attribution

Recent advances in explaining time series (TS) models have produced methods that identify which past values a prediction depends on. However, most existing methods return a single importance vector, assuming that every predicted step depends on the same past values. In this paper, we show that this assumption does not hold, as different forecast steps depend on different past values. Motivated by this observation, we propose Horizon-Resolved eXplanation (HRX), which adds a horizon axis to the explanation, so that every forecast step receives its own importance map. HRX is a simple yet effective plug-in framework with three components: 1) an estimator that reads these maps out of any differentiable forecaster without modifying the TS backbone, 2) an evaluation protocol that validates the horizon axis by measuring how much a single forecast step changes when the inputs an importance map ranks highest are removed, and 3) a rank criterion that predicts in advance whether the axis is worth resolving on a given TS. We further show that this step-wise dependence is low-dimensional, as the explanations of all steps are built from a few shared maps whose number does not grow with the forecast length. Extensive experiments across various backbones and datasets show that the improvement comes from the horizon axis and holds for estimators of previous explanation methods. Code is available at https://github.com/seunghan96/HRX.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

EXAONE Finance 1.0: An Attention-free Time Series Foundation Model for Financial Time Series

This technical report presents EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance), a financial time series foundation model (TSFM) tailored to financial forecasting. While recent TSFMs achieve strong zero-shot performance through large-scale pretraining, they are primarily developed for general-domain time series and largely rely on self-attention backbones whose computational cost grows quadratically with sequence length and variate count. Moreover, they assume fully observed inputs and are pretrained on corpora that fail to adequately capture the unique dynamics of financial markets. These limitations hinder their applicability to finance, where long, many-channel, intermittently observed panels are common. To address these challenges, EXAONE Finance adopts an attention-free architecture, replacing self-attention with two simple yet effective linear-time operators: (1) a causal 1D convolution for temporal mixing and (2) a group-aware pooling multi-layer perceptron (MLP) for variate mixing. Furthermore, a masked-context augmentation exposes the model to contiguous missing spans during training, improving robustness to the missingness pervasive in financial markets. EXAONE Finance is pretrained on a synthetic financial corpus whose generative process is designed to reproduce the properties of financial series such as heavy tails, volatility clustering, jumps, regime shifts, and cross-asset dependence, combined with a domain-agnostic synthetic source. On FinVerse, a financial forecasting benchmark covering diverse asset classes, EXAONE Finance attains state-of-the-art performance, ranking first across all three evaluation tiers: point-forecast accuracy, cross-sectional asset ranking, and portfolio profitability.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

EXAONE Tabular 1.0 : Technical Report

EXAONE Tabular is a compact tabular foundation model family for classification and regression via in-context learning, producing predictions without dataset-specific gradient updates. Pretrained exclusively on a synthetic structural-causal-model (SCM) prior, its central contribution is an architecture-centered redesign of tabular in-context learning. Rather than compressing features into a fixed row embedding before a separate row-level learner, EXAONE Tabular interleaves feature-axis attention within each item with support-conditioned item-axis attention within each feature at every Transformer layer, mediated by item-summary and feature-summary tokens. Across four public benchmarks, EXAONE Tabular combines strong predictive performance with high efficiency. On TabArena, its 20.81M-parameter classification model ranks first overall, surpassing tuned ensembles and 4-hour AutoML pipelines, while regression reaches the performance regime of the 1.64B-parameter TabFM at roughly 1/11 the inference cost. On BCCO and TALENT, EXAONE Tabular ranks second in classification and first in regression. On ScoringBench, it achieves the best mean rank for both point-estimation and predictive-distribution quality, leading the $R^2$, RMSE, and CRPS evaluations. Together, these results establish EXAONE Tabular as a state-of-the-art compact tabular foundation model family, combining strong predictive performance across classification, point regression, and probabilistic regression with an efficient model design.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

FinSTaR: Towards Financial Reasoning with Time Series Reasoning Models

Time series (TS) reasoning models (TSRMs) have shown promising capabilities in general domains, yet they consistently fail on financial domain, which exhibit unique characteristics. We propose a general 2 x 2 capability taxonomy for TSRMs by crossing 1) single-entity vs. multi-entity analysis with 2) assessment of the current state vs. prediction of future behavior. We instantiate this taxonomy in the financial domain---where the distinction between deterministic assessment and stochastic prediction is particularly critical---as ten financial reasoning tasks, forming the FinTSRBench benchmark based on S&P stocks. To this end, we propose FinSTaR (Financial Time Series Thinking and Reasoning), trained on FinTSR-Bench with distinct chain-of-thought (CoT) strategies tailored to each category. For assessment, which is deterministic, we employ Compute-in-CoT, a programmatic CoT that enables models to derive answers directly from raw prices. For prediction, which is inherently stochastic, we adopt Scenario-Aware CoT, which generates diverse scenarios before making a judgment, mirroring how financial analysts reason under uncertainty. FinSTaR achieves 78.9% average accuracy on FinTSRBench, substantially outperforming LLM and TSRM baselines. Furthermore, we show that the four capability categories are complementary and mutually reinforcing through joint training. Code is publicly available at: https://github.com/seunghan96/FinSTaR.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

FinVerse: Financial Time-Series Benchmark

As time-series foundation models have emerged, the need for benchmarks that can evaluate their forecasting ability in meaningful ways has become increasingly important. Existing time-series forecasting benchmarks provide useful standardized comparisons, but they often evaluate heterogeneous series with uniform error-based metrics. Strong performance under such metrics does not necessarily imply that a model's forecasts will support the best real-world decisions across domains. For example, in stock forecasting, correctly predicting whether a price will rise or fall can be more directly relevant to realized returns than minimizing point-wise forecast error alone. To this end, we introduce FinVerse, a finance-domain time-series forecasting benchmark that takes a first step toward more realistic evaluation. The released FinVerse data artifact contains 116,897 financial time series with 171.1M observations, of which 60,232 series with 17.4M observations are selected as evaluated targets based on their economic relevance to financial decisions. Unlike generic forecasting benchmarks that primarily emphasize uniform point-forecast or probabilistic accuracy, FinVerse defines 11 metric families comprising 78 evaluation metrics and assigns the most appropriate evaluation metrics to each individual time series based on its underlying economic meaning. Our analysis of 43 public time-series forecasting foundation models shows that strong performance under generic forecasting criteria does not necessarily translate into useful financial forecasts. This finding highlights the need for domain-aware benchmarks that evaluate models under objectives closer to real-world decision making.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Traceable Multi-Agent System for Knowledge-Based Forecasting

Enterprise forecasting increasingly relies on autonomous agents that interpret documents, search for data, generate code, and revise models. While this autonomy helps build adaptive forecasting pipelines, it also makes it difficult for practitioners to inspect why a forecast changed, which evidence supported the change, and how data and modeling choices were revised. We present TraceMAS, an interactive demo system for traceable multi-agent forecasting. TraceMAS organizes agent outputs around two causal-loop representations: an Ideal Causal Loop Diagram (Ideal CLD), which captures key factors and their causal relations extracted from domain documents, and a Data-Grounded Causal Loop Diagram (Data-Grounded CLD), which links those factors to internal variables, external data, or documented proxies. The Data-Grounded CLD guides feature construction and model design while preserving the connection between textual evidence, data choices, and model revisions. We demonstrate TraceMAS on crude oil price forecasting. The demo interface allows users to compare forecasting iterations, inspect agent-level revisions, explore causal maps, review feature-data mappings and model architecture, and connect scenario forecasts to market narratives. This demonstration shows how autonomous forecasting agents can retain flexibility while making the evidence-to-forecast process inspectable.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Beyond Magnitude and Shape: A Direction-Aware Loss for Time Series Forecasting

The direction of change --- whether a series will move up or down --- is often as important as its exact value in decisiondriven applications such as risk management and financial forecasting. However, most forecasting losses optimize either point magnitude or shape and frequency structure, and none explicitly targets the direction of change. In this paper, we find that MSE-trained forecasters fail on the direction of small moves. To address this, we propose CosDir, a simple yet effective direction-aware loss that aligns the difference vectors of the prediction and the target via cosine similarity. Being scale-invariant, CosDir keeps a directional gradient on small moves, re-injecting learning signal exactly where MSE neglects it. CosDir is a lightweight, plug-in term that attaches to any backbone without architectural modification. Since the best ratio for mixing the directional and magnitude terms differs across datasets, we further propose CosDir-UW, an extension that makes this ratio adaptive by learning it during training, matching a per-dataset tuned weight with no hyperparameter. We conduct over 100K experiments, demonstrating that our method consistently and significantly improves directional accuracy while preserving magnitude accuracy, and that it outperforms various loss functions. Code is available at: https://github.com/seunghan96/cosdir.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

ReasonCast: Towards Explainable Time Series Forecasting with Reasoning

Most time series (TS) models are specialized for a single task, either understanding (i.e., returning text answers about a TS) or generation (i.e., returning a numeric forecast). Only recently have unified models begun to handle the two within a single architecture. Even these models, however, produce the two outputs as task-separated paths and cannot predict a series and explain why that prediction arises within a single coherent response. In this paper, we argue for a task-fused model that jointly produces 1) prediction (generation) and 2) selfexplanation (understanding), thereby integrating 1) numerical TS forecasting and 2) interpretable text reasoning within a single response. To enable the systematic study of this capability, we present both a benchmark and a recipe that jointly address the two tasks. The benchmark, ReasonTS-Bench, identifies five fundamental patterns underlying TS and enables the joint evaluation of both tasks. ReasonCast, our recipe for finetuning any LLM to perform both tasks jointly, yields a model that generates a reasoning chain and a forecast together in a single autoregressive pass. Extensive experiments show that ReasonCast outperforms both LLMs and TS models on prediction accuracy while producing verifiable, causal reasoning. Code is available at: https://github.com/seunghan96/reasoncast.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Channel-wise Retrieval for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Multivariate time series forecasting often struggles to capture long-range dependencies due to fixed lookback windows. Retrieval-augmented forecasting addresses this by retrieving historical segments from memory, but existing approaches rely on a channel-agnostic strategy that applies the same references to all variables. This neglects inter-variable heterogeneity, where different channels exhibit distinct periodicities and spectral profiles. We propose CRAFT (Channel-wise retrieval-augmented forecasting), a novel framework that performs retrieval independently for each channel. To ensure efficiency, CRAFT adopts a two-stage pipeline: a sparse relation graph constructed in the time domain prunes irrelevant candidates, and spectral similarity in the frequency domain ranks references, emphasizing dominant periodic components while suppressing noise. Experiments on seven public benchmarks demonstrate that CRAFT outperforms state-of-the-art forecasting baselines, achieving superior accuracy with practical inference efficiency.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

CADO: From Imitation to Cost Minimization for Heatmap-based Solvers in Combinatorial Optimization

Heatmap-based solvers have emerged as a promising paradigm for Combinatorial Optimization (CO). However, we argue that the dominant Supervised Learning (SL) training paradigm suffers from a fundamental objective mismatch: minimizing imitation loss (e.g., cross-entropy) does not guarantee solution cost minimization. We dissect this mismatch into two deficiencies: Decoder-Blindness (being oblivious to the non-differentiable decoding process) and Cost-Blindness (prioritizing structural imitation over solution quality). We empirically demonstrate that these intrinsic flaws impose a hard performance ceiling. To overcome this limitation, we propose CADO (Cost-Aware Diffusion models for Optimization), a streamlined Reinforcement Learning fine-tuning framework that formulates the diffusion denoising process as an MDP to directly optimize the post-decoded solution cost. We introduce Label-Centered Reward, which repurposes ground-truth labels as unbiased baselines rather than imitation targets, and Hybrid Fine-Tuning for parameter-efficient adaptation. CADO achieves state-of-the-art performance across diverse benchmarks, validating that objective alignment is essential for unlocking the full potential of heatmap-based solvers.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

ReTabAD: A Benchmark for Restoring Semantic Context in Tabular Anomaly Detection

In tabular anomaly detection (AD), textual semantics often carry critical signals, as the definition of an anomaly is closely tied to domain-specific context. However, existing benchmarks provide only raw data points without semantic context, overlooking rich textual metadata such as feature descriptions and domain knowledge that experts rely on in practice. This limitation restricts research flexibility and prevents models from fully leveraging domain knowledge for detection. ReTabAD addresses this gap by restoring textual semantics to enable context-aware tabular AD research. We provide (1) 20 carefully curated tabular datasets enriched with structured textual metadata, together with implementations of state-of-the-art AD algorithms including classical, deep learning, and LLM-based approaches, and (2) a zero-shot LLM framework that leverages semantic context without task-specific training, establishing a strong baseline for future research. Furthermore, this work provides insights into the role and utility of textual metadata in AD through experiments and analysis. Results show that semantic context improves detection performance and enhances interpretability by supporting domain-aware reasoning. These findings establish ReTabAD as a benchmark for systematic exploration of context-aware AD.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

FinTexTS: Financial Text-Paired Time-Series Dataset via Semantic-Based and Multi-Level Pairing

The financial domain involves a variety of important time-series problems. Recently, time-series analysis methods that jointly leverage textual and numerical information have gained increasing attention. Accordingly, numerous efforts have been made to construct text-paired time-series datasets in the financial domain. However, financial markets are characterized by complex interdependencies, in which a company's stock price is influenced not only by company-specific events but also by events in other companies and broader macroeconomic factors. Existing approaches that pair text with financial time-series data based on simple keyword matching often fail to capture such complex relationships. To address this limitation, we propose a semantic-based and multi-level pairing framework. Specifically, we extract company-specific context for the target company from SEC filings and apply an embedding-based matching mechanism to retrieve semantically relevant news articles based on this context. Furthermore, we classify news articles into four levels (macro-level, sector-level, related company-level, and target company-level) using large language models (LLMs), enabling multi-level pairing of news articles with the target company. Applying this framework to publicly-available news datasets, we construct FinTexTS, a new large-scale text-paired stock price dataset. Experimental results on FinTexTS demonstrate the effectiveness of our semantic-based and multi-level pairing strategy in stock price forecasting. In addition to publicly-available news underlying FinTexTS, we show that applying our method to proprietary yet carefully curated news sources leads to higher-quality paired data and improved stock price forecasting performance.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

Adaptive Information Routing for Multimodal Time Series Forecasting

Time series forecasting is a critical task for artificial intelligence with numerous real-world applications. Traditional approaches primarily rely on historical time series data to predict the future values. However, in practical scenarios, this is often insufficient for accurate predictions due to the limited information available. To address this challenge, multimodal time series forecasting methods which incorporate additional data modalities, mainly text data, alongside time series data have been explored. In this work, we introduce the Adaptive Information Routing (AIR) framework, a novel approach for multimodal time series forecasting. Unlike existing methods that treat text data on par with time series data as interchangeable auxiliary features for forecasting, AIR leverages text information to dynamically guide the time series model by controlling how and to what extent multivariate time series information should be combined. We also present a text-refinement pipeline that employs a large language model to convert raw text data into a form suitable for multimodal forecasting, and we introduce a benchmark that facilitates multimodal forecasting experiments based on this pipeline. Experiment results with the real world market data such as crude oil price and exchange rates demonstrate that AIR effectively modulates the behavior of the time series model using textual inputs, significantly enhancing forecasting accuracy in various time series forecasting tasks.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

EXAONE Path 2.5: Pathology Foundation Model with Multi-Omics Alignment

Cancer progression arises from interactions across multiple biological layers, especially beyond morphological and across molecular layers that remain invisible to image-only models. To capture this broader biological landscape, we present EXAONE Path 2.5, a pathology foundation model that jointly models histologic, genomic, epigenetic and transcriptomic modalities, producing an integrated patient representation that reflects tumor biology more comprehensively. Our approach incorporates three key components: (1) multimodal SigLIP loss enabling all-pairwise contrastive learning across heterogeneous modalities, (2) a fragment-aware rotary positional encoding (F-RoPE) module that preserves spatial structure and tissue-fragment topology in WSI, and (3) domain-specialized internal foundation models for both WSI and RNA-seq to provide biologically grounded embeddings for robust multimodal alignment. We evaluate EXAONE Path 2.5 against six leading pathology foundation models across two complementary benchmarks: an internal real-world clinical dataset and the Patho-Bench benchmark covering 80 tasks. Our framework demonstrates high data and parameter efficiency, achieving on-par performance with state-of-the-art foundation models on Patho-Bench while exhibiting the highest adaptability in the internal clinical setting. These results highlight the value of biologically informed multimodal design and underscore the potential of integrated genotype-to-phenotype modeling for next-generation precision oncology.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Robust Multi-Omics Integration from Incomplete Modalities Significantly Improves Prediction of Alzheimer's Disease

Multi-omics data capture complex biomolecular interactions and provide insights into metabolism and disease. However, missing modalities hinder integrative analysis across heterogeneous omics. To address this, we present MOIRA (Multi-Omics Integration with Robustness to Absent modalities), an early integration method enabling robust learning from incomplete omics data via representation alignment and adaptive aggregation. MOIRA leverages all samples, including those with missing modalities, by projecting each omics dataset onto a shared embedding space where a learnable weighting mechanism fuses them. Evaluated on the Religious Order Study and Memory and Aging Project (ROSMAP) dataset for Alzheimer's Disease (AD), MOIRA outperformed existing approaches, and further ablation studies confirmed modality-wise contributions. Feature importance analysis revealed AD-related biomarkers consistent with prior literature, highlighting the biological relevance of our approach.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

EXAONE Path 2.0: Pathology Foundation Model with End-to-End Supervision

In digital pathology, whole-slide images (WSIs) are often difficult to handle due to their gigapixel scale, so most approaches train patch encoders via self-supervised learning (SSL) and then aggregate the patch-level embeddings via multiple instance learning (MIL) or slide encoders for downstream tasks. However, patch-level SSL may overlook complex domain-specific features that are essential for biomarker prediction, such as mutation status and molecular characteristics, as SSL methods rely only on basic augmentations selected for natural image domains on small patch-level area. Moreover, SSL methods remain less data efficient than fully supervised approaches, requiring extensive computational resources and datasets to achieve competitive performance. To address these limitations, we present EXAONE Path 2.0, a pathology foundation model that learns patch-level representations under direct slide-level supervision. Using only 37k WSIs for training, EXAONE Path 2.0 achieves state-of-the-art average performance across 10 biomarker prediction tasks, demonstrating remarkable data efficiency.

cs.CV↗