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Sorin Solomon

Publications and source records attributed to Sorin Solomon.

45 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Power Laws and Cities Population

We study a few dynamical systems composed of many components whose sizes evolve according to multiplicative stochastic rules. We compare them with respect to the emergence of power laws in the size distribution of their components. We show that the details specifying and enforcing the smallest size of the components are crucial as well as the rules for creating new components. In the systems where the power law holds, one obtains for the exponent alpha the experimentally measured value 1 for a wide range of parameters.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗

The Importance of Being Discrete - Life Always Wins on the Surface

Many systems in chemistry, biology, finance and social sciences present emerging features which are not easy to guess from the elementary interactions of their microscopic individual components. In the past, the macroscopic behavior of such systems was modeled by assuming that the collective dynamics of microscopic components can be effectively described collectively by equations acting on spatially continuous density distributions. It turns out that quite contrary, taking into account the actual individual/discrete character of the microscopic components of these systems is crucial for explaining their macroscopic behavior. In fact, we find that in conditions in which the continuum approach would predict the extinction of all the population (respectively the vanishing of the invested capital or of the concentration of a chemical substance, etc), the microscopic granularity insures the emergence of macroscopic localized sub-populations with collective adaptive properties which allow their survival and development. In particular it is found that in 2 dimensions "life" (the localized proliferating phase) always prevails.

adap-org↗

Social Percolation

We introduce the simplest model which relates the emergence of collective social/economic phenomena to the existence of a (possibly self-organized) percolation transition. We suggest a series of extensions to financial, economic, political systems.

adap-org↗

Power-law distributions and Levy-stable intermittent fluctuations in stochastic systems of many autocatalytic elements

A generic model of stochastic autocatalytic dynamics with many degrees of freedom $w_i$ $i=1,...,N$ is studied using computer simulations. The time evolution of the $w_i$'s combines a random multiplicative dynamics $w_i(t+1) = λw_i(t)$ at the individual level with a global coupling through a constraint which does not allow the $w_i$'s to fall below a lower cutoff given by $c \cdot \bar w$, where $\bar w$ is their momentary average and $0<c<1$ is a constant. The dynamic variables $w_i$ are found to exhibit a power-law distribution of the form $p(w) \sim w^{-1-α}$. The exponent $α(c,N)$ is quite insensitive to the distribution $Π(λ)$ of the random factor $λ$, but it is non-universal, and increases monotonically as a function of $c$. The "thermodynamic" limit, N goes to infty and the limit of decoupled free multiplicative random walks c goes to 0, do not commute: $α(0,N) = 0$ for any finite $N$ while $ α(c,\infty) \ge 1$ (which is the common range in empirical systems) for any positive $c$. The time evolution of ${\bar w (t)} $ exhibits intermittent fluctuations parametrized by a (truncated) Lévy-stable distribution $L_α(r)$ with the same index $α$. This non-trivial relation between the distribution of the $w_i$'s at a given time and the temporal fluctuations of their average is examined and its relevance to empirical systems is discussed.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗

Generalized Lotka-Volterra (GLV) Models and Generic Emergence of Scaling Laws in Stock Markets

This is a pedagogical review of the the Generalized Lotka-Volterra (GLV) model: w_i(t+1) = lambda * w_i(t) + a * W (t) - c * W (t) * w_i(t) where i=1, >......, N and W= (w_1 + w_2 + ...w_N)/N is the average of the w_i's. The GLV models provide a generic method to simulate, analyze and understand a wide class of phenomena which are characterized by (truncated) power-law probability distributions: P(w) dw ~ w**(-1 -alpha) dw and (truncated) Levy flights fluctuations L_alpha (W). The implications and the interpretation of the model in the stock markets are discussed.

cond-mat↗

Towards Behaviorly Realistic Simulations of the Stock Market (Traders with a Soul)

The price fluctuations in the financial markets are the result of the individual operations by many individual investors. However for many decades the finacial theory did not use directly this "microscopic representation". The difficulties preventing it were multiple but the main two are being solved recently with the advent of modern computer technology: - massive detailed data on the individual market operations became available. - "microscopic simulations" of the stock markets in terms of their individual participating agents allow a very realistic treatment of the problem. Consequently, we are now able to confront real market data with the results of simulating "microscopic" realistic models which include any desired features in the investors behavior: departures from rationality, herding effects, heterogenous investor-specific trading strategies etc. In this way we propose to understand, explain and may be predict the macroscopic market behavior.

adap-org↗

Stochastic Lotka-Volterra Systems of Competing Auto-Catalytic Agents Lead Generically to Truncated Pareto Power Wealth Distribution, Truncated Levy Distribution of Market Returns, Clustered Volatility, Booms and Craches

We give a microscopic representation of the stock-market in which the microscopic agents are the individual traders and their capital. Their basic dynamics consists in the auto-catalysis of the individual capital and in the global competition/cooperation between the agents mediated by the total wealth invested in the stock (which we identify with the stock-index). We show that such systems lead generically to (truncated) Pareto power-law distribution of the individual wealth. This, in turn, leads to intermittent market (short time) returns parametrized by a (truncated) Levy distribution. We relate the truncation in the Levy distribution to the (truncation in the Pareto Power Law i.e. to the) fact that at each moment no trader can own more than the current total wealth invested in the stock. In the cases where the system is dominated by the largest traders, the dynamics looks similar to noisy low-dimensional chaos. By introducing traders memory and/or feedback between individual and collective wealth fluctuations (the later identified with the stock returns), one obtains clustered "volatility" as well as market booms and crashes. The basic feedback loop consists in: - computing the market price of the stock as the sum of the individual wealths invested in the stock by the traders and - determining the time variation of the individual trader wealth as his/her previous wealth multiplied by the stock return (i.e. the variation of the stock price).

cond-mat.dis-nn↗

Generic Emergence of Power Law Distributions and Lévy-Stable Intermittent Fluctuations in Discrete Logistic Systems

The dynamics of generic stochastic Lotka-Volterra (discrete logistic) systems of the form \cite{Solomon96a} $w_i (t+1) = λ(t) w_i (t) + a {\bar w (t)} - b w_i (t) {\bar w(t)}$ is studied by computer simulations. The variables $w_i$, $i=1,...N$, are the individual system components and ${\bar w (t)} = {1\over N} \sum_i w_i (t)$ is their average. The parameters $a$ and $b$ are constants, while $λ(t)$ is randomly chosen at each time step from a given distribution. Models of this type describe the temporal evolution of a large variety of systems such as stock markets and city populations. These systems are characterized by a large number of interacting objects and the dynamics is dominated by multiplicative processes. The instantaneous probability distribution $P(w,t)$ of the system components $w_i$, turns out to fulfill a (truncated) Pareto power-law $P(w,t) \sim w^{-1-α}$. The time evolution of ${\bar w (t)} $ presents intermittent fluctuations parametrized by a truncated Lévy distribution of index $α$, showing a connection between the distribution of the $w_i$'s at a given time and the temporal fluctuations of their average.

adap-org↗

The Microscopic Representation of Complex Macroscopic Phenomena (Critical Slowing Down - A Blessing in Disguise)

Many complex systems are representable as macroscopic set of elements which interact by simple rules. The complex macroscopically relevant phenomena are then the result of the generic emergence of a space-time multi-scale dynamics. Critical Slowing Down labels the emerging global features and describes their complex collective evolution. This paradigm is quite universal and extends to a very wide range of systems and disciplines.

hep-lat↗