arXiv subjects

Soumyadeep Dhar

Publications and source records attributed to Soumyadeep Dhar.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Teaching the Teacher: The Role of Teacher-Student Smoothness Alignment in Genetic Programming-based Symbolic Distillation

Obtaining human-readable symbolic formulas via genetic programming-based symbolic distillation of a deep neural network trained on the target dataset presents a promising yet underexplored path towards explainable artificial intelligence (XAI); however, the standard pipeline frequently yields symbolic models with poor predictive accuracy. We identify a fundamental misalignment in functional complexity as the primary barrier to achieving better accuracy: standard Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) often learn accurate but highly irregular functions, while Symbolic Regression typically prioritizes parsimony, often resulting in a much simpler class of models that are unable to sufficiently distill or learn from the ANN teacher. To bridge this gap, we propose a framework that actively regularizes the teacher's functional smoothness using Jacobian and Lipschitz penalties, aiming to distill better student models than the standard pipeline. We characterize the trade-off between predictive accuracy and functional complexity through a robust study involving 20 datasets and 50 independent trials. Our results demonstrate that students distilled from smoothness-regularized teachers achieve statistically significant improvements in R^2 scores, compared to the standard pipeline. We also perform ablation studies on the student model algorithm. Our findings suggest that smoothness alignment between teacher and student models is a critical factor for symbolic distillation.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

The Collaboration Paradox: Why Generative AI Requires Both Strategic Intelligence and Operational Stability in Supply Chain Management

The rise of autonomous, AI-driven agents in economic settings raises critical questions about their emergent strategic behavior. This paper investigates these dynamics in the cooperative context of a multi-echelon supply chain, a system famously prone to instabilities like the bullwhip effect. We conduct computational experiments with generative AI agents, powered by Large Language Models (LLMs), within a controlled supply chain simulation designed to isolate their behavioral tendencies. Our central finding is the "collaboration paradox": a novel, catastrophic failure mode where theoretically superior collaborative AI agents, designed with Vendor-Managed Inventory (VMI) principles, perform even worse than non-AI baselines. We demonstrate that this paradox arises from an operational flaw where agents hoard inventory, starving the system. We then show that resilience is only achieved through a synthesis of two distinct layers: high-level, AI-driven proactive policy-setting to establish robust operational targets, and a low-level, collaborative execution protocol with proactive downstream replenishment to maintain stability. Our final framework, which implements this synthesis, can autonomously generate, evaluate, and quantify a portfolio of viable strategic choices. The work provides a crucial insight into the emergent behaviors of collaborative AI agents and offers a blueprint for designing stable, effective AI-driven systems for business analytics.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

Synergy Over Spiral: A Logistics 5.0 Game-Theoretic Model for Trust-Fatigue Co-regulation in Human-Cobot Order Picking

This paper investigates the critical role of trust and fatigue in human-cobot collaborative order picking, framing the challenge within the scope of Logistics 5.0: the implementation of human-robot symbiosis in smart logistics. We propose a dynamic, leader-follower Stackelberg game to model this interaction, where utility functions explicitly account for human fatigue and trust. Through agent-based simulations, we demonstrate that while a naive model leads to a "trust death spiral," a refined trust model creates a "trust synergy cycle," increasing productivity by nearly 100 percent. Finally, we show that a cobot operating in a Trust-Recovery Mode can overcome system brittleness after a disruption, reducing trust recovery time by over 75 percent compared to a non-adaptive model. Our findings provide a framework for designing intelligent cobot behaviors that fulfill the Industry 5.0 pillars of human-centricity, sustainability, and resilience.

cs.MA↗

arXiv2025

A Stability-Driven Framework for Long-Term Hourly Electricity Demand Forecasting

Long-term electricity demand forecasting is essential for grid and operations planning, as well as for the analysis and planning of energy transition strategies. However, accurate long-term load forecasting with high temporal resolution remains challenging, as most existing approaches focus on aggregated forecasts, which require accurate prediction of numerous variables for bottom-up sectoral forecasts. In this study, we propose a parsimonious methodology that employs t-tests to verify load stability and the correlation of load with gross domestic product (GDP) to produce a long-term hourly load forecast. Applying this method to Singapore's electricity demand, analysis of multi-year historical data (2004-2022) reveals that its relative hourly load has remained statistically stable, with an overall percentage deviation of 4.24% across seasonality indices. Utilizing these stability findings, five-year-ahead total yearly forecasts were generated using GDP as a predictor, and hourly loads were forecasted using hourly seasonality index fractions. The maximum Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) across multiple experiments for six-year-ahead forecasts was 6.87%. The methodology was further applied to Belgium (an OECD country) and Bulgaria (a non-OECD country), yielding MAPE values of 6.81% and 5.64%, respectively. Additionally, stability results were incorporated into a short-term forecasting model based on exponential smoothing, demonstrating comparable or improved accuracy relative to existing machine learning-based methods. These findings indicate that parsimonious approaches can effectively produce long-term, high-resolution forecasts.

stat.ME↗