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Sreekar Vadlamani

Publications and source records attributed to Sreekar Vadlamani.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

Mesh Invariant Infinite Dimensional Adaptive MCMC for Latent Gaussian Processes

We introduce mesh-invariant adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for Gaussian-process posteriors arising in infinite-dimensional Bayesian inference. In function-space MCMC, posterior distributions are defined by a change of measure with respect to a Gaussian prior, making absolute continuity essential for valid proposal construction. Standard adaptive schemes that modify means or scales in the full discretized space can destroy this property, leading to proposal measures that become singular in the infinite-dimensional limit. To avoid this, we adapt only an active finite-dimensional subspace of the Gaussian-process representation while preserving the prior dynamics on inactive coordinates. This yields two adaptive proposals, pCNLV and pCNMV, which extend preconditioned Crank--Nicolson and Crank--Nicolson Langevin methods by learning posterior scale, and in pCNMV also posterior mean structure, on the data-informed subspace without introducing discretization-dependent Gaussian density ratios. The resulting samplers retain the mesh robustness of function-space methods while improving efficiency through local adaptation. Experiments on a Darcy-flow inverse problem and Bayesian logistic regression demonstrate consistent efficiency gains, including an approximately fourfold improvement in effective sampling efficiency for Darcy flow.

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Extreme Geometric Quantiles Under Minimal Assumptions, with a Connection to Tukey Depth

Geometric (also known as spatial) quantiles, introduced by Chaudhury and representing one of the three principal approaches to defining multivariate quantiles, have been well studied in the literature. In this work, we focus on the extremal behaviour of these quantiles. We establish new extremal properties, namely general lower and upper bounds for the norm of extreme geometric quantiles, free of any moment conditions. We discuss the impact of such results on the characterization of distribution behaviour. Importantly, the lower bound can be directly linked to univariate quantiles and to halfspace (Tukey) depth central regions, highlighting a novel connection between these two fundamental notions of multivariate quantiles.

math.ST↗

Discriminating Tail Behavior Using Halfspace Depths: Population and Empirical Perspectives

We study the empirical version of halfspace depths with the objective of establishing a connection between the rates of convergence and the tail behaviour of the corresponding underlying distributions. The intricate interplay between the sample size and the parameter driving the tail behaviour forms one of the main results of this analysis. The chosen approach is mainly based on weighted empirical processes indexed by sets by Alexander (1987), which leads to relatively direct and elegant proofs, regardless of the nature of the tail. This method is further enriched by our findings on the population version, which also enable us to distinguish between light and heavy tails. These results lay the foundation for our subsequent analysis of the empirical versions. Building on these theoretical insights, we propose a methodology to assess the tail behaviour of the underlying multivariate distribution of a sample, which we illustrate on simulated data. The study concludes with an application to a real-world dataset.

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Comparing Multivariate Distributions: A Novel Approach Using Optimal Transport-based Plots

Quantile-Quantile (Q-Q) plots are widely used for assessing the distributional similarity between two datasets. Traditionally, Q-Q plots are constructed for univariate distributions, making them less effective in capturing complex dependencies present in multivariate data. In this paper, we propose a novel approach for constructing multivariate Q-Q plots, which extend the traditional Q-Q plot methodology to handle high-dimensional data. Our approach utilizes optimal transport (OT) and entropy-regularized optimal transport (EOT) to align the empirical quantiles of the two datasets. Additionally, we introduce another technique based on OT and EOT potentials which can effectively compare two multivariate datasets. Through extensive simulations and real data examples, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach in capturing multivariate dependencies and identifying distributional differences such as tail behaviour. We also propose two test statistics based on the Q-Q and potential plots to compare two distributions rigorously.

stat.ME↗

Extremal behaviour and convergence rates for sample--based geometric quantiles and half space depths

We consider the empirical versions of geometric quantile and halfspace depth, and study their extremal behaviour as a function of the sample size. The objective of this study is to establish connection between the rates of convergence and tail behaviour of the corresponding underlying distributions. The intricate interplay between the sample size and the parameter driving the extremal behaviour forms the main result of this analysis. In the process, we also fill certain gaps in the understanding of population versions of geometric quantile and halfspace depth.

math.ST↗

Component sizes for large quantum erdos renyi graph near criticality

The $N$ vertices of a quantum random graph are each a circle independently punctured at Poisson points of arrivals, with parallel connections derived through for each pair of these punctured circles by yet another independent Poisson process. Considering these graphs at their critical parameters, we show that the joint law of the re-scaled by $N^{2/3}$ and ordered sizes of their connected components, converges to that of the ordered lengths of excursions above zero for a reflected Brownian motion with drift. Thereby, this work forms the first example of an inhomogeneous random graph, beyond the case of effectively rank-1 models, which is rigorously shown to be in the Erdős-Rényi graphs universality class in terms of Aldous's results.

math.PR↗

Asymptotic Properties of Linear Filter for Noise Free Dynamical System

It is known that Kalman-Bucy filter is stable with respect to initial conditions under the conditions of uniform complete controllability and uniform complete observability (Bishop et. al 2017, Ocone et. al 1996). In this paper, we prove the stability of Kalman-Bucy filter for the case of noise free dynamical system. The earlier stability results cannot be applied for this case, as the system is not controllable at all. We further show that the optimal linear filter for certain class of non-Gaussian initial conditions is asymptotically proximal to Kalman-Bucy filter. It is also shown that the filter corresponding to non-zero system noise in the limit of small system noise approaches the filter corresponding to zero system noise in the case of Gaussian initial conditions.

math.OC↗

A Discrete View of the Indian Monsoon to Identify Spatial Patterns of Rainfall

We propose a representation of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall in terms of a probabilistic model based on a Markov Random Field, consisting of discrete state variables representing low and high rainfall at grid-scale and daily rainfall patterns across space and in time. These discrete states are conditioned on observed daily gridded rainfall data from the period 2000-2007. The model gives us a set of 10 spatial patterns of daily monsoon rainfall over India, which are robust over a range of user-chosen parameters as well as coherent in space and time. Each day in the monsoon season is assigned precisely one of the spatial patterns, that approximates the spatial distribution of rainfall on that day. Such approximations are quite accurate for nearly 95% of the days. Remarkably, these patterns are representative (with similar accuracy) of the monsoon seasons from 1901 to 2000 as well. Finally, we compare the proposed model with alternative approaches to extract spatial patterns of rainfall, using empirical orthogonal functions as well as clustering algorithms such as K-means and spectral clustering.

stat.AP↗

Spatio-temporal Patterns of Indian Monsoon Rainfall

The primary objective of this paper is to analyze a set of canonical spatial patterns that approximate the daily rainfall across the Indian region, as identified in the companion paper where we developed a discrete representation of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall using state variables with spatio-temporal coherence maintained using a Markov Random Field prior. In particular, we use these spatio-temporal patterns to study the variation of rainfall during the monsoon season. Firstly, the ten patterns are divided into three families of patterns distinguished by their total rainfall amount and geographic spread. These families are then used to establish `active' and `break' spells of the Indian monsoon at the all-India level. Subsequently, we characterize the behavior of these patterns in time by estimating probabilities of transition from one pattern to another across days in a season. Patterns tend to be `sticky': the self-transition is the most common. We also identify most commonly occurring sequences of patterns. This leads to a simple seasonal evolution model for the summer monsoon rainfall. The discrete representation introduced in the companion paper also identifies typical temporal rainfall patterns for individual locations. This enables us to determine wet and dry spells at local and regional scales. Lastly, we specify sets of locations that tend to have such spells simultaneously, and thus come up with a new regionalization of the landmass.

stat.AP↗

Central limit theorem for exponentially quasi-local statistics of spin models on Cayley graphs

Central limit theorems for linear statistics of lattice random fields (including spin models) are usually proven under suitable mixing conditions or quasi-associativity. Many interesting examples of spin models do not satisfy mixing conditions, and on the other hand, it does not seem easy to show central limit theorem for local statistics via quasi-associativity. In this work, we prove general central limit theorems for local statistics and exponentially quasi-local statistics of spin models on discrete Cayley graphs with polynomial growth. Further, we supplement these results by proving similar central limit theorems for random fields on discrete Cayley graphs and taking values in a countable space but under the stronger assumptions of α-mixing (for local statistics) and exponential α-mixing (for exponentially quasi-local statistics). All our central limit theorems assume a suitable variance lower bound like many others in the literature. We illustrate our general central limit theorem with specific examples of lattice spin models and statistics arising in computational topology, statistical physics and random networks. Examples of clustering spin models include quasi-associated spin models with fast decaying covariances like the off-critical Ising model, level sets of Gaussian random fields with fast decaying covariances like the massive Gaussian free field and determinantal point processes with fast decaying kernels. Examples of local statistics include intrinsic volumes, face counts, component counts of random cubical complexes while exponentially quasi-local statistics include nearest neighbour distances in spin models and Betti numbers of sub-critical random cubical complexes.

math.PR↗

Kinematic Formula for Heterogeneous Gaussian Related Fields

We provide a generalization of the Gaussian Kinematic Formula (GKF) in Taylor(2006) for multivariate, heterogeneous Gaussian-related fields. The fields under consideration are non-Gaussian fields built out of smooth, independent Gaussian fields with heterogeneity in distribution amongst the individual building blocks. Our motivation comes from potential applications in the analysis of Cosmological Data (CMB). Specifically, future CMB experiments will be focusing on polarization data, typically modeled as isotropic vector-valued Gaussian related fields with independent, but non-identically distributed Gaussian building blocks; this necessitates such a generalization. Extending results of Taylor(2006) to these more general Gaussian relatives with distributional heterogeneity, we present a generalized Gaussian Kinematic Formula (GKF). The GKF in this paper decouples the expected Euler characteristic of excursion sets into Lipschitz Killing Curvatures (LKCs) of the underlying manifold and certain Gaussian Minkowski Functionals (GMFs). These GMFs arise from Gaussian volume expansions of ellipsoidal tubes as opposed to the usual tubes in the Euclidean volume of classical tube formulae. The GMFs form a main contribution of this work that identifies this tubular structure and a corresponding volume of tubes expansion in which the GMFs appear.

math.PR↗

CLT for Lipschitz-Killing curvatures of excursion sets of Gaussian fields

Our interest in this paper is to explore limit theorems for various geometric functionals of excursion sets of isotropic Gaussian random fields. In the past, limit theorems have been proven for various geometric functionals of excursion sets/sojourn times. Most recently a CLT for Euler-Poincaré characteristic of the excursions set of a Gaussian random field has been proven under appropriate conditions. In this paper, we shall obtain a central limit theorem for some global geometric functionals, called the Lipschitz-Killing curvatures of excursion sets of Gaussian random fields in an appropriate setting.

math.PR↗

High-frequency asymptotics for Lipschitz-Killing curvatures of excursion sets on the sphere

In this paper, we shall be concerned with geometric functionals and excursion probabilities for some nonlinear transforms evaluated on Fourier components of spherical random fields. In particular, we consider both random spherical harmonics and their smoothed averages, which can be viewed as random wavelet coefficients in the continuous case. For such fields, we consider smoothed polynomial transforms; we focus on the geometry of their excursion sets, and we study their asymptotic behaviour, in the high-frequency sense. We focus on the analysis of Euler-Poincaré characteristics, which can be exploited to derive extremely accurate estimates for excursion probabilities. The present analysis is motivated by the investigation of asymmetries and anisotropies in cosmological data. The statistics we focus on are also suitable to deal with spherical random fields which can only be partially observed, the canonical example being provided by the masking effect of the Milky Way on Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) radiation data.

math.PR↗

A Note on Global Suprema of Band-Limited Spherical Random Functions

In this note, we investigate the behaviour of suprema for band-limited spherical random fields. We prove upper and lower bound for the expected values of these suprema, by means of metric entropy arguments and discrete approximations; we then exploit the Borell-TIS inequality to establish almost sure upper and lower bounds for their fluctuations. Band limited functions can be viewed as restrictions on the sphere of random polynomials with increasing degrees, and our results show that fluctuations scale as the square root of the logarithm of these degrees.

math.PR↗

Random fields and the geometry of Wiener space

In this work we consider infinite dimensional extensions of some finite dimensional Gaussian geometric functionals called the Gaussian Minkowski functionals. These functionals appear as coefficients in the probability content of a tube around a convex set $D\subset\mathbb{R}^k$ under the standard Gaussian law $N(0,I_{k\times k})$. Using these infinite dimensional extensions, we consider geometric properties of some smooth random fields in the spirit of [Random Fields and Geometry (2007) Springer] that can be expressed in terms of reasonably smooth Wiener functionals.

math.PR↗

Correlated Drainage Model

In this article we present an example of a random oriented tree model on d-dimensional lattice, that is a forest in d=3 with positive probability. This is in contrast with the other random tree models in the literature which are a forest only when d strictly greater than 3.

math.PR↗

Fractional Brownian flows

We consider stochastic flow on n-dimensional Euclidean space driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H greater than half, and study tangent flow and the growth of the Hausdorff measure of sub-manifolds of the ambient n-dimensional Euclidean space, as they evolve under the flow. The main result is a bound on the rate of (global) growth in terms of the (local) Holder norm of the flow.

math.PR↗

Global geometry under isotropic Brownian flows

We consider global geometric properties of a codimension one manifold embedded in Euclidean space, as it evolves under an isotropic and volume preserving Brownian flow of diffeomorphisms. In particular, we obtain expressions describing the expected rate of growth of the Lipschitz-Killing curvatures, or intrinsic volumes, of the manifold under the flow. These results shed new light on some of the intriguing growth properties of flows from a global perspective, rather than the local perspective, on which there is a much larger literature.

math.PR↗