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Srijata Samanta

Publications and source records attributed to Srijata Samanta.

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Spatial causal inference in the presence of unmeasured confounding and interference

This manuscript unites causal inference and spatial statistics, presenting novel insights for causal inference in spatial data analysis, and drawing from tools in spatial statistics to estimate causal effects. We introduce spatial causal graphs to highlight that spatial confounding and interference can be entangled, in that investigating the presence of one can lead to wrongful conclusions in the presence of the other. Moreover, we show that spatial dependence in the exposure variable can render standard analyses invalid. To remedy these issues, we propose a Bayesian parametric approach based on tools commonly-used in spatial statistics. This approach simultaneously accounts for interference and mitigates bias from local and neighborhood unmeasured spatial confounding. From a Bayesian perspective, we show that incorporating an exposure model is necessary. Under a specific model formulation, we prove that all parameters are identifiable including the causal effects, even in the presence of unmeasured confounding. We illustrate the approach with a simulation study. We evaluate the effect of local and neighboring sulfur dioxide emissions from power plants on county-level cardiovascular mortality from observational spatial data in the United States, where unmeasured spatial confounding and interference might be present simultaneously.

stat.ME

A generalized likelihood based Bayesian approach for scalable joint regression and covariance selection in high dimensions

The paper addresses joint sparsity selection in the regression coefficient matrix and the error precision (inverse covariance) matrix for high-dimensional multivariate regression models in the Bayesian paradigm. The selected sparsity patterns are crucial to help understand the network of relationships between the predictor and response variables, as well as the conditional relationships among the latter. While Bayesian methods have the advantage of providing natural uncertainty quantification through posterior inclusion probabilities and credible intervals, current Bayesian approaches either restrict to specific sub-classes of sparsity patterns and/or are not scalable to settings with hundreds of responses and predictors. Bayesian approaches which only focus on estimating the posterior mode are scalable, but do not generate samples from the posterior distribution for uncertainty quantification. Using a bi-convex regression based generalized likelihood and spike-and-slab priors, we develop an algorithm called Joint Regression Network Selector (JRNS) for joint regression and covariance selection which (a) can accommodate general sparsity patterns, (b) provides posterior samples for uncertainty quantification, and (c) is scalable and orders of magnitude faster than the state-of-the-art Bayesian approaches providing uncertainty quantification. We demonstrate the statistical and computational efficacy of the proposed approach on synthetic data and through the analysis of selected cancer data sets. We also establish high-dimensional posterior consistency for one of the developed algorithms.

stat.ME

Estimation and false discovery control for the analysis of environmental mixtures

The analysis of environmental mixtures is of growing importance in environmental epidemiology, and one of the key goals in such analyses is to identify exposures and their interactions that are associated with adverse health outcomes. Typical approaches utilize flexible regression models combined with variable selection to identify important exposures and estimate a potentially nonlinear relationship with the outcome of interest. Despite this surge in interest, no approaches to date can identify exposures and interactions while controlling any form of error rates with respect to exposure selection. We propose two novel approaches to estimating the health effects of environmental mixtures that simultaneously 1) Estimate and provide valid inference for the overall mixture effect, and 2) identify important exposures and interactions while controlling the false discovery rate. We show that this can lead to substantial power gains to detect weak effects of environmental exposures. We apply our approaches to a study of persistent organic pollutants and find that our approach is able to identify more interactions than existing approaches.

stat.ME