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Srijith Ravikumar

Publications and source records attributed to Srijith Ravikumar.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Do LLM Recommenders Know When They're Hallucinating? Auditing Confidence Calibration in Catalog Faithfulness

LLM recommenders for top-K item suggestion regularly emit titles outside the target catalog. Prior audits report a binary out-of-domain rate; none ask whether the model knew. We jointly audit hallucination rate (OOD@10) and verbalized-confidence calibration (ECE, Brier, reliability) for four zero-shot LLM recommenders from four independent vendors (Mistral Large, Llama-3.3-70B, GPT-OSS-120B, Claude Sonnet 4.6), not grounded or fine-tuned systems, across three catalogs (MovieLens-25M, Amazon Reviews 2023 Toys, Yelp Open Dataset), stratified by item popularity. Measuring catalog membership is itself the hard part: on identical outputs the reported rate moves by an order of magnitude with the string matcher used, and F1 cannot separate the candidates. We validate the instrument against 201 human judgments and select on net bias, where the adopted one is off by -0.040 against +0.144 for the common fuzzy rule. Hallucination is then strongly catalog-dependent (0.6-2.7% on MovieLens, 11.6-38.7% on Yelp, 49.3-61.0% on Amazon Toys). Each model holds a near-constant confidence level barely responsive to the catalog, while the catalog-hit rate swings 60 points, so the sign of the error is set by where a model's constant lands against a catalog's accuracy: 7 of the twelve cells are under-confident and 5 over-confident, all four under-confident on MovieLens, all four over-confident on Amazon Toys. We read this as an elicitation mismatch: "Just Ask" elicits a generic quality rating, not a catalog-membership probability. A conformal abstention threshold over verbalized confidence changes hallucination by at most 1.65 pp across four alpha levels, because the channel cannot separate correct items from hallucinations. We recommend that audits report calibration alongside OOD, validate the matcher producing the OOD number, and use catalog-anchored elicitation.

cs.IR

RAProp: Ranking Tweets by Exploiting the Tweet/User/Web Ecosystem and Inter-Tweet Agreement

The increasing popularity of Twitter renders improved trustworthiness and relevance assessment of tweets much more important for search. However, given the limitations on the size of tweets, it is hard to extract measures for ranking from the tweets' content alone. We present a novel ranking method, called RAProp, which combines two orthogonal measures of relevance and trustworthiness of a tweet. The first, called Feature Score, measures the trustworthiness of the source of the tweet. This is done by extracting features from a 3-layer twitter ecosystem, consisting of users, tweets and the pages referred to in the tweets. The second measure, called agreement analysis, estimates the trustworthiness of the content of the tweet, by analyzing how and whether the content is independently corroborated by other tweets. We view the candidate result set of tweets as the vertices of a graph, with the edges measuring the estimated agreement between each pair of tweets. The feature score is propagated over this agreement graph to compute the top-k tweets that have both trustworthy sources and independent corroboration. The evaluation of our method on 16 million tweets from the TREC 2011 Microblog Dataset shows that for top-30 precision we achieve 53% higher than current best performing method on the Dataset and over 300% over current Twitter Search. We also present a detailed internal empirical evaluation of RAProp in comparison to several alternative approaches proposed by us.

cs.IR

Model for Predicting End User Web Page Response Time

Perceived responsiveness of a web page is one of the most important and least understood metrics of web page design, and is critical for attracting and maintaining a large audience. Web pages can be designed to meet performance SLAs early in the product lifecycle if there is a way to predict the apparent responsiveness of a particular page layout. Response time of a web page is largely influenced by page layout and various network characteristics. Since the network characteristics vary widely from country to country, accurately modeling and predicting the perceived responsiveness of a web page from the end user's perspective has traditionally proven very difficult. We propose a model for predicting end user web page response time based on web page, network, browser download and browser rendering characteristics. We start by understanding the key parameters that affect perceived response time. We then model each of these parameters individually using experimental tests and statistical techniques. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of this model by conducting an experimental study with Yahoo! web pages in two countries and compare it with 3rd party measurement application.

cs.PF

Ranking Tweets Considering Trust and Relevance

The increasing popularity of Twitter and other microblogs makes improved trustworthiness and relevance assessment of microblogs evermore important. We propose a method of ranking of tweets considering trustworthiness and content based popularity. The analysis of trustworthiness and popularity exploits the implicit relationships between the tweets. We model microblog ecosystem as a three-layer graph consisting of : (i) users (ii) tweets and (iii) web pages. We propose to derive trust and popularity scores of entities in these three layers, and propagate the scores to tweets considering the inter-layer relations. Our preliminary evaluations show improvement in precision and trustworthiness over the baseline methods and acceptable computation timings.

cs.SI