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Stefan Weber

Publications and source records attributed to Stefan Weber.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Boundedly exchangeable graphs

An infinite jointly exchangeable adjacency matrix is a mixture of graphon models, and its graph is almost surely empty or dense; classical matrix exchangeability therefore excludes sparse nonempty graphs. We study a point-process alternative, graph processes, whose vertices are identified with the atoms of a locally finite point process on a Polish latent space and whose edges are drawn conditionally independently from a symmetric connection kernel $W$. For a Poisson graph process with diffuse $σ$-finite intensity, we show that its edge measure is jointly exchangeable as a random measure if and only if $W$ is essentially constant. Non-constant kernels therefore require a different exchangeability notion. We introduce bounded exchangeability, under which every nontrivial bounded restriction determines an infinite jointly exchangeable adjacency matrix that is unique in distribution, with an associated local graphon representation. We then study threshold models on homogeneous Riemannian manifolds, in which Poisson-distributed vertices are connected whenever their intrinsic distance is at most a fixed threshold. On every infinite-volume manifold in this class, the model is sparse, its empirical degree distribution converges to a Poisson law, and its limiting clustering coefficient depends on an additional geometric parameter that can vary while the limiting degree law is held fixed.

math.PR

Optically detected and radio wave-controlled spin chemistry in flavoproteins

Optically addressable spin systems, such as nitrogen-vacancy centers in diamond, have been widely studied for quantum sensing applications. In this work, we demonstrate that certain flavoproteins, specifically cryptochrome and iLOV, which generate spin correlated radical pairs upon optical excitation, also exhibit optically detected magnetic resonance (ODMR). Remarkably, the iLOV protein, commonly used in cellular imaging, displays ODMR contrast approaching 50%. We present initial applications including widefield magnetic field sensing and spatial modulation of photoluminescence using radiofrequency pulses and magnetic field gradients. Our results establish radical pairs in proteins as a novel platform for optically addressable spin systems, offering the key advantages of molecular designability and genetic encodability. Moreover, due to the spin-selective nature of radical pair chemistry, the results lay the groundwork for future radiofrequency-based manipulation of biological systems.

quant-ph

Jointly Exchangeable Collective Risk Models: Interaction, Structure, and Limit Theorems

We introduce a framework for systemic risk modeling in insurance portfolios using jointly exchangeable arrays, extending classical collective risk models to account for interactions. Joint exchangeability is a more general probabilistic symmetric than de Finetti's exchangeability, characterized by the Aldous-Hoover-Kallenberg representation. We establish central limit theorems that asymptotically capture total portfolio losses, providing a theoretical foundation for approximations in large portfolios and over long time horizons. These approximations are validated through simulation-based numerical experiments. Additionally, we analyze the impact of dependence on portfolio loss distributions, with a particular focus on tail behavior.

q-fin.RM

An Integrated Approach to Importance Sampling and Machine Learning for Efficient Monte Carlo Estimation of Distortion Risk Measures in Black Box Models

Distortion risk measures play a critical role in quantifying risks associated with uncertain outcomes. Accurately estimating these risk measures in the context of computationally expensive simulation models that lack analytical tractability is fundamental to effective risk management and decision making. In this paper, we propose an efficient important sampling method for distortion risk measures in such models that reduces the computational cost through machine learning. We demonstrate the applicability and efficiency of the Monte Carlo method in numerical experiments on various distortion risk measures and models.

q-fin.RM

Collimated $γ$-ray emission enabled by efficient direct laser acceleration

We investigate the mechanisms responsible for single-lobed versus double-lobed angular distributions of emitted $γ$-rays in laser-irradiated plasmas, focusing on how direct laser acceleration (DLA) shapes the emission profile. Using test-particle calculations, we show that the efficiency of DLA plays a central role. In the inefficient DLA regime, electrons rapidly gain and lose energy within a single laser cycle, resulting in a double-lobed emission profile heavily influenced by laser fields. In contrast, in the efficient DLA regime, electrons steadily accumulate energy over multiple laser cycles, achieving much higher energies and emitting orders of magnitude more energy. This emission is intensely collimated and results in single-lobed profiles dominated by quasi-static azimuthal magnetic fields in the plasma. Particle-in-cell simulations demonstrate that lower-density targets create favorable conditions for some electrons to enter the efficient DLA regime. These electrons can dominate the emission, transforming the overall profile from double-lobed to single-lobed, even though inefficient DLA electrons remain present. These findings provide valuable insights for optimizing laser-driven $γ$-ray sources for applications requiring high-intensity, well-collimated beams.

physics.plasm-ph

Isolated Attosecond $γ$-Ray Pulse Generation with Transverse Orbital Angular Momentum Using Intense Spatiotemporal Optical Vortex Lasers

An isolated attosecond vortex $γ$-ray pulse is generated by using a relativistic spatiotemporal optical vortex (STOV) laser in particle-in-cell simulations. A $\sim$ 300-attosecond electron slice with transverse orbital angular momentum (TOAM) is initially selected and accelerated by the central spatiotemporal singularity of the STOV laser. This slice then collides with the laser's reflected Gaussian-like front from a planar target, initiating nonlinear Compton scattering and resulting in an isolated, attosecond ($\sim$ 300 as), highly collimated ($\sim$ 4$\degree$), ultra-brilliant ($\sim 5\times 10^{24}$ photons/s/mm$^2$/mrad$^2$/0.1\%BW at 1 MeV) $γ$-ray pulse. This STOV-driven approach overcomes the significant beam divergence and complex two-laser requirements of prior Gaussian-based methods while introducting TOAM to the attosecond $γ$-ray pulse, which opens avenues for ultrafast imaging, nuclear excitation, and detection applications.

physics.plasm-ph

Multinomial Backtesting of Distortion Risk Measures

We extend the scope of risk measures for which backtesting models are available by proposing a multinomial backtesting method for general distortion risk measures. The method relies on a stratification and randomization of risk levels. We illustrate the performance of our methods in numerical case studies.

q-fin.RM

Impact of electron trapping on stimulated Raman scattering under incoherent broadband laser light in homogeneous plasma

Backward stimulated Raman scattering is a three-wave coupling instability requiring the matching of an incoming pump light wave to a scattered light wave and electron plasma wave. It can be harmful to laser-driven inertial confinement fusion because of the reflection of a part of incident laser flux and the generation of suprathermal electrons that preheat the fuel. It is believed that by increasing the laser bandwidth one can suppress the excitation of Raman scattering and mitigate its detrimental effects. It is demonstrated in this paper that using a broad bandwidth laser has little effect on stimulated Raman scattering in the kinetic inflation regime where Landau damping dominates, as the additional bandwidth allows the electron plasma wave to match a wider range of laser frequencies. As a result, plasma wave saturation and Raman backscattering levels remain high even when the laser bandwidth is much larger than the effective instability growth rate.

physics.plasm-ph

Coherent radiation of an electron bunch colliding with an intense laser pulse

We study the conditions for coherent radiation of an electron bunch driven by a counterpropagating strong pulsed electromagnetic plane wave. We derive the spectrum of the coherent radiation and show that it is emitted backwards with respect to the laser propagation direction and has a very narrow angular spread. We demonstrate that for a solid density plasma coherent radiation extends to frequencies up to hundreds of keV thereby enhancing the low-frequency part of the spectrum by many orders of magnitude. Our analytical findings are tested with 3D particle-in-cell simulations of an electron bunch passing through a laser pulse, clearly demonstrating how the coherence can essentially modify the observed radiation spectrum.

physics.plasm-ph

Signatures of vacuum birefringence in low-power flying focus pulses

Vacuum birefringence produces a differential phase between orthogonally polarized components of a weak electromagnetic probe in the presence of a strong electromagnetic field. Despite representing a hallmark prediction of quantum electrodynamics, vacuum birefringence remains untested in pure light configurations due to the extremely large electromagnetic fields required for a detectable phase difference. Here, we exploit the programmable focal velocity and extended focal range of a flying focus laser pulse to substantially lower the laser power required for detection of vacuum birefringence. In the proposed scheme, a linearly polarized x-ray probe pulse counter-propagates with respect to a flying focus pulse, whose focus moves at the speed of light in the same direction as the x-ray probe. The peak intensity of the flying focus pulse overlaps the probe over millimeter-scale distances and induces a polarization ellipticity on the order of $10^{-10}$, which lies within the detection sensitivity of existing x-ray polarimeters.

hep-ph

Microscopic Traffic Models, Accidents, and Insurance Losses

The paper develops a methodology to enable microscopic models of transportation systems to be accessible for a statistical study of traffic accidents. Our approach is intended to permit an understanding not only of historical losses, but also of incidents that may occur in altered, potential future systems. Through such a counterfactual analysis, it is possible, from an insurance, but also from an engineering perspective, to assess the impact of changes in the design of vehicles and transport systems in terms of their impact on road safety and functionality. Structurally, we characterize the total loss distribution approximatively as a mean-variance mixture. This also yields valuation procedures that can be used instead of Monte Carlo simulation. Specifically, we construct an implementation based on the open-source traffic simulator SUMO and illustrate the potential of the approach in counterfactual case studies.

stat.AP

Building Resilience in Cybersecurity -- An Artificial Lab Approach

Based on classical contagion models we introduce an artificial cyber lab: the digital twin of a complex cyber system in which possible cyber resilience measures may be implemented and tested. Using the lab, in numerical case studies, we identify two classes of measures to control systemic cyber risks: security- and topology-based interventions. We discuss the implications of our findings on selected real-world cybersecurity measures currently applied in the insurance and regulation practice or under discussion for future cyber risk control. To this end, we provide a brief overview of the current cybersecurity regulation and emphasize the role of insurance companies as private regulators. Moreover, from an insurance point of view, we provide first attempts to design systemic cyber risk obligations and to measure the systemic risk contribution of individual policyholders.

cs.CR

Stochastic Cell Transmission Models of Traffic Networks

We introduce a rigorous framework for stochastic cell transmission models for general traffic networks. The performance of traffic systems is evaluated based on preference functionals and acceptable designs. The numerical implementation combines simulation, Gaussian process regression, and a stochastic exploration procedure. The approach is illustrated in two case studies.

cs.LG

Charging of dielectric surfaces in contact with aqueous electrolyte -- the influence of CO$_2$

The charge state of dielectric surfaces in aqueous environments is of fundamental and technological importance. Here, we study the influence of dissolved molecular CO$_2$ on the charging of three, chemically different surfaces (SiO$_2$, Polystyrene, Perfluorooctadecyltrichlorosilane). We determine their charge state from electrokinetic experiments. We compare an ideal, CO$_2$-free reference system to a system equilibrated against ambient CO$_2$ conditions. In the reference system, the salt-dependence is weakened for SiO$_2$ and inverted for the organic surfaces. We show that screening and pH-driven charge regulation alone cannot explain the observed effects. As additional cause, we tentatively suggest dielectric regulation of surface charges due to a diffusively adsorbed thin layer of molecular CO$_2$. The formation of such a dynamic layer even at the hydrophilic and partially ionized silica surfaces is supported by a minimal theoretical model and results from molecular simulations.

cond-mat.soft

Robust portfolio selection under Recovery Average Value at Risk

We study mean-risk optimal portfolio problems where risk is measured by Recovery Average Value at Risk, a prominent example in the class of recovery risk measures. We establish existence results in the situation where the joint distribution of portfolio assets is known as well as in the situation where it is uncertain and only assumed to belong to a set of mixtures of benchmark distributions (mixture uncertainty) or to a cloud around a benchmark distribution (box uncertainty). The comparison with the classical Average Value at Risk shows that portfolio selection under its recovery version enables financial institutions to exert better control on the recovery on liabilities while still allowing for tractable computations.

q-fin.PM

Modeling and Pricing Cyber Insurance -- Idiosyncratic, Systematic, and Systemic Risks

The paper provides a comprehensive overview of modeling and pricing cyber insurance and includes clear and easily understandable explanations of the underlying mathematical concepts. We distinguish three main types of cyber risks: idiosyncratic, systematic, and systemic cyber risks. While for idiosyncratic and systematic cyber risks, classical actuarial and financial mathematics appear to be well-suited, systemic cyber risks require more sophisticated approaches that capture both network and strategic interactions. In the context of pricing cyber insurance policies, issues of interdependence arise for both systematic and systemic cyber risks; classical actuarial valuation needs to be extended to include more complex methods, such as concepts of risk-neutral valuation and (set-valued) monetary risk measures.

q-fin.RM

A Lightweight Encryption Scheme for IoT Devices in the Fog

The Internet of Things (IoT) is the collection of everyday smart devices which connect to the Cloud, often through Fog nodes, to transmit and receive information. These everyday devices are distinct from traditional computers because they typically have notable constraints on their RAM, flash memory, and computational power. Due to these constraints, we believe that many of the proposed encryption schemes are too heavyweight to be employed in the IoT. In this paper we present a lightweight, flexible encryption scheme that relies on the one-way information loss property of a secure hash function. Our scheme imposes minimal computational and storage requirements, and imposes no non-negligible burdens on the encrypting device, except for the hash itself. We find that the encryption algorithm is particularly lightweight, and holds up strongly in terms of its speed and memory efficiency.

cs.CR

High-Order Curvilinear Finite Element Magneto-Hydrodynamics I: A Conservative Lagrangian Scheme

Magneto-hydrodynamics is one of the foremost models in plasma physics with applications in inertial confinement fusion, astrophysics and elsewhere. Advanced numerical methods are needed to get an insight into the complex physical phenomena. The classical Lagrangian methods are typically limited to the low orders of convergence and suffer from violation of the divergence-free condition for magnetic field or conservation of the invariants. This paper is the first part of a new series about high-order non-ideal magneto-hydrodynamics, where a multi-dimensional conservative Lagrangian method based on curvilinear finite elements is presented. The condition on zero divergence of magnetic field and conservation of mass, momentum, magnetic flux and the total energy are satisfied exactly. The curvilinear elements prevent entangling of the computational mesh and its imprinting into the solution. A high-order conservative time integration is applied, where an arbitrary order of convergence is attained for problems of ideal magneto-hydrodynamics. The resistive magnetic field diffusion is solved by an implicit scheme. Description of the method is given and multiple test problems demonstrating properties of the scheme are performed. The construction of the method and possible future directions of development are discussed.

physics.comp-ph