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Stefan Z. Stefanov

Publications and source records attributed to Stefan Z. Stefanov.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Prognostic Watch of the Electric Power System

A prognostic watch of the electric power system (EPS)is framed up, which detects the threat to EPS for a day ahead according to the characteristic times for a day ahead and according to the droop for a day ahead. Therefore, a prognostic analysis of the EPS development for a day ahead is carried out. Also the power grid, the electricity marker state, the grid state and the level of threat for a power grid are found for a day ahead. The accuracy of the built up prognostic watch is evaluated.

cs.SI↗

Cointegration of the Daily Electric Power System Load and the Weather

The paper makes a thermal predictive analysis of the electric power system security for a day ahead. This predictive analysis is set as a thermal computation of the expected security. This computation is obtained by cointegrating the daily electric power systen load and the weather, by finding the daily electric power system thermodynamics and by introducing tests for this thermodynamics. The predictive analysis made shows the electricity consumers' wisdom.

cs.CE↗