arXiv subjects

Stefano Goria

Publications and source records attributed to Stefano Goria.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

ClosureBench: A Constructive Benchmark for Compositional Graph Reasoning

Large language models fail on multi-step compositional reasoning, but measuring that failure is hard, because new models are trained on the benchmarks used to evaluate them. A fixed test set becomes a memorisation check soon after release. Constructive benchmarks avoid this by generating instances on demand. We introduce ClosureBench, a constructive benchmark for graph-relational logical reasoning. Each task is built from explicit primitives (reachability, degree, set operations, connectivity, aggregation), and its reference answer is computed by executing code that implements that logic exactly. Ground truth is therefore verified, and the supply of fresh instances is unlimited. The benchmark spans 26 task categories at three compositional levels, with three independent difficulty axes: graph size, edge density, and query depth. We evaluate models from 1.5B open weights to frontier systems (o3, GPT-4.1, Gemini 2.5, Claude Sonnet 4). Accuracy falls as graph size and query depth increase, and the two axes interact. The difficulty does not lie in the surface form, since it persists when the graph is given as a JSON edge list or an adjacency matrix rather than prose, nor in the reasoning rule, which models state correctly. It lies in carrying that rule out over the graph across many steps. A 4B model fine-tuned to emit verified programs instead of answers stays nearly flat across compositional levels, while every frontier model degrades. o3 falls from 96% on atomic queries to 82% on the most compositional; the 4B model holds at 93% at a fraction of the token cost. The program offloads multi-step execution to a runtime, and the model's remaining errors are almost entirely misread edges. Constructive generation also supports a direct memorisation check, comparing accuracy on seen and fresh instances.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Synthetic Speech, Real Signal: Paralinguistic Preservation and Cross-Lingual Augmentation via Voice Cloning

Synthetic data augmentation in speech is common practice for linguistic tasks like ASR, but has seen far less work for paralinguistic ones, especially clinical tasks where labelled data is expensive and some patient groups are underrepresented. Voice cloning is one such augmentation approach, but is typically evaluated on speech intelligibility (WER) or speaker similarity (SS) rather than on downstream performance, and it remains unclear whether these preserve the paralinguistic signal such tasks depend on. We benchmark eight voice cloning models on five paralinguistic tasks across public and clinical datasets, showing most preserve signal with modest degradation. We then clone English clinical speech into Japanese and find that training on cloned data outperforms raw cross-lingual transfer for depression and anxiety detection on real Japanese speech, suggesting voice cloning is a promising direction for augmenting clinical speech data in low-resource languages.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Random-Bridges as Stochastic Transports for Generative Models

This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two probability distributions when appropriately initialized, and can display either Markovian or non-Markovian, and either continuous, discontinuous or hybrid patterns depending on the driving process. We show how one can start from general probabilistic statements and then branch out into specific representations for learning and simulation algorithms in terms of information processing. Our empirical results, built on Gaussian random bridges, produce high-quality samples in significantly fewer steps compared to traditional approaches, while achieving competitive Frechet inception distance scores. Our analysis provides evidence that the proposed framework is computationally cheap and suitable for high-speed generation tasks.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

A multimodal Bayesian Network for symptom-level depression and anxiety prediction from voice and speech data

During psychiatric assessment, clinicians observe not only what patients report, but important nonverbal signs such as tone, speech rate, fluency, responsiveness, and body language. Weighing and integrating these different information sources is a challenging task and a good candidate for support by intelligence-driven tools - however this is yet to be realized in the clinic. Here, we argue that several important barriers to adoption can be addressed using Bayesian network modelling. To demonstrate this, we evaluate a model for depression and anxiety symptom prediction from voice and speech features in large-scale datasets (30,135 unique speakers). Alongside performance for conditions and symptoms (for depression, anxiety ROC-AUC=0.842,0.831 ECE=0.018,0.015; core individual symptom ROC-AUC>0.74), we assess demographic fairness and investigate integration across and redundancy between different input modality types. Clinical usefulness metrics and acceptability to mental health service users are explored. When provided with sufficiently rich and large-scale multimodal data streams and specified to represent common mental conditions at the symptom rather than disorder level, such models are a principled approach for building robust assessment support tools: providing clinically-relevant outputs in a transparent and explainable format that is directly amenable to expert clinical supervision.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Meta-Learning Approaches for Speaker-Dependent Voice Fatigue Models

Speaker-dependent modelling can substantially improve performance in speech-based health monitoring applications. While mixed-effect models are commonly used for such speaker adaptation, they require computationally expensive retraining for each new observation, making them impractical in a production environment. We reformulate this task as a meta-learning problem and explore three approaches of increasing complexity: ensemble-based distance models, prototypical networks, and transformer-based sequence models. Using pre-trained speech embeddings, we evaluate these methods on a large longitudinal dataset of shift workers (N=1,185, 10,286 recordings), predicting time since sleep from speech as a function of fatigue, a symptom commonly associated with ill-health. Our results demonstrate that all meta-learning approaches tested outperformed both cross-sectional and conventional mixed-effects models, with a transformer-based method achieving the strongest performance.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Path Signature Representation of Patient-Clinician Interactions as a Predictor for Neuropsychological Tests Outcomes in Children: A Proof of Concept

This research report presents a proof-of-concept study on the application of machine learning techniques to video and speech data collected during diagnostic cognitive assessments of children with a neurodevelopmental disorder. The study utilised a dataset of 39 video recordings, capturing extensive sessions where clinicians administered, among other things, four cognitive assessment tests. From the first 40 minutes of each clinical session, covering the administration of the Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children (WISC-V), we extracted head positions and speech turns of both clinician and child. Despite the limited sample size and heterogeneous recording styles, the analysis successfully extracted path signatures as features from the recorded data, focusing on patient-clinician interactions. Importantly, these features quantify the interpersonal dynamics of the assessment process (dialogue and movement patterns). Results suggest that these features exhibit promising potential for predicting all cognitive tests scores of the entire session length and for prototyping a predictive model as a clinical decision support tool. Overall, this proof of concept demonstrates the feasibility of leveraging machine learning techniques for clinical video and speech data analysis in order to potentially enhance the efficiency of cognitive assessments for neurodevelopmental disorders in children.

cs.HC↗

arXiv2023

Bayesian Networks for the robust and unbiased prediction of depression and its symptoms utilizing speech and multimodal data

Predicting the presence of major depressive disorder (MDD) using behavioural and cognitive signals is a highly non-trivial task. The heterogeneous clinical profile of MDD means that any given speech, facial expression and/or observed cognitive pattern may be associated with a unique combination of depressive symptoms. Conventional discriminative machine learning models potentially lack the complexity to robustly model this heterogeneity. Bayesian networks, however, may instead be well-suited to such a scenario. These networks are probabilistic graphical models that efficiently describe the joint probability distribution over a set of random variables by explicitly capturing their conditional dependencies. This framework provides further advantages over standard discriminative modelling by offering the possibility to incorporate expert opinion in the graphical structure of the models, generating explainable model predictions, informing about the uncertainty of predictions, and naturally handling missing data. In this study, we apply a Bayesian framework to capture the relationships between depression, depression symptoms, and features derived from speech, facial expression and cognitive game data collected at thymia.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Speech and the n-Back task as a lens into depression. How combining both may allow us to isolate different core symptoms of depression

Embedded in any speech signal is a rich combination of cognitive, neuromuscular and physiological information. This richness makes speech a powerful signal in relation to a range of different health conditions, including major depressive disorders (MDD). One pivotal issue in speech-depression research is the assumption that depressive severity is the dominant measurable effect. However, given the heterogeneous clinical profile of MDD, it may actually be the case that speech alterations are more strongly associated with subsets of key depression symptoms. This paper presents strong evidence in support of this argument. First, we present a novel large, cross-sectional, multi-modal dataset collected at Thymia. We then present a set of machine learning experiments that demonstrate that combining speech with features from an n-Back working memory assessment improves classifier performance when predicting the popular eight-item Patient Health Questionnaire depression scale (PHQ-8). Finally, we present a set of experiments that highlight the association between different speech and n-Back markers at the PHQ-8 item level. Specifically, we observe that somatic and psychomotor symptoms are more strongly associated with n-Back performance scores, whilst the other items: anhedonia, depressed mood, change in appetite, feelings of worthlessness and trouble concentrating are more strongly associated with speech changes.

cs.SD↗

arXiv2012

The Higgs Boson Lineshape

The current searches for a heavy Higgs boson assume on-shell (stable) Higgs-boson production. The Higgs-boson production cross section is then sampled with a Breit-Wigner distribution (with fixed-width or running-width) and implemented in MonteCarlo simulations. Therefore the question remains of what is the limitation of the narrow Higgs-width approximation. The main focus of this work is on the description of the Standard Model Higgs--boson-lineshape in the heavy Higgs region, typically $\MH$ above $600\UGeV$. The framework discussed in this paper is general enough and can be used for all processes and for all kinematical regions. Numerical results are shown for the gluon-fusion process. Issues of gauge invariance and residual theoretical uncertainties are also discussed. Limitations due to a breakdown of the perturbative expansion are comprehensively discussed, including a discussion of th equivalence theorem for (off-shell) virtual vector-bosons. Analytic continuation in a theory with unstable particles is thoroughly discussed.

hep-ph↗