arXiv subjects

Stephan G. Heinemann

Publications and source records attributed to Stephan G. Heinemann.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Coronal Mass Ejection and Heliospheric Current Sheet Interaction Causing a Long-Duration Magnetic Field Sector Transition

We present a study that combines remote-sensing and in-situ observations of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) interacting with the nearby heliospheric current sheet (HCS). The sequence of eruptive events under study culminates in the largest directly observed flare of solar cycle 25 on 3 October 2024, producing a fast halo CME. Their source region can be linked to a so-called nested active region (or active longitude) that persisted over several solar rotations. Such long-lived regions reflect deep-seated magnetic structures that shape the global magnetic field configuration. By applying the drag-based CME propagation model, we connect the near-Sun observations from several CMEs during that activity period with in-situ measurements. While one of the CMEs propagated on the opposite side of the HCS from Earth, and therefore did not produce in-situ signatures near Earth, we detect, over the period October 5-10, 2024, a complex of HCS and CME structures propagating together with a shock ahead of them. The HCS seems to be locally replaced by the CME signatures, leading to a long-duration sector reversal of more than 48 hours. This event highlights the intrinsic connection between solar surface structures, the global magnetic field, and the evolution of complex eruptive events.

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arXiv2026

Investigating the Relationship Between Physical Properties and Spatial Irregularities at Coronal Hole Boundaries

Coronal hole boundaries are the interfaces between closed and open magnetic field regions in the solar atmosphere. Many fundamental processes take place at these regions, including magnetic reconnection that is responsible for solar wind release and restructuring of the solar magnetic field. In this paper, we present a case study in which we investigate the physical properties of the boundary of a large low-latitude coronal hole. Differential Emission Measure analysis is used to derive the plasma properties of these regions. We also apply correlation dimension mapping analysis to measure the irregularities of the coronal hole boundary. We find that the leading boundary of this coronal hole has a slightly higher average plasma temperature, is associated with a stronger and more unipolar magnetic field, and has a smoother boundary line than the trailing counterpart. These differences are hypothesised to be direct consequences of the local magnetic field configurations of the coronal hole boundary: the leading boundary corresponds to large, well-organised coronal loops, and the trailing boundary corresponds to more dispersed, randomly orientated small magnetic bipoles. Hence, we suggest that the surrounding magnetic field structure and the nature of magnetic reconnection influence the properties of coronal hole boundaries.

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arXiv2026

Early Evolution of Earth-Directed Coronal Mass Ejections in the Vicinity of Coronal Holes

We investigate the deflection and rotation behavior of 49 Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) spanning the period from 2010 to 2020 aiming to understand the potential influence of coronal holes (CHs) on their trajectories. We perform the GCS reconstruction in multiple time steps and we consider the difference in the longitude, latitude, and inclination between the first and last GCS reconstructions as possible signatures of deflection/rotation. Furthermore, we examine the presence of nearby CHs at the time of eruption and employ the Collection of Analysis Tools for Coronal Holes (CATCH) to estimate relevant CH parameters. To assess the potential influence of CHs on the deflection and rotation of CMEs, we calculate the Coronal Hole Influence Parameter (CHIP) for each event and analyse its relationship with their trajectories. A statistically significant difference is observed between CHIP force and the overall change in a CME's direction in the lower corona. The overall change in a CME's direction accounts cumulatively for the change in latitude, longitude, and rotation. This suggests that the CHIP force in the low corona has a significant influence on the overall change in the direction of Earth-directed CMEs. However, as the CME evolves outward, the CHIP force becomes less effective in causing deflection or rotation at greater distances. Additionally, we observe a negative correlation between the deflection rate of the CMEs and their velocity, suggesting that higher velocities are associated with lower deflection rates. Hence, the velocity of a CME, along with the magnetic-field from CHs, appears to play a significant role in the deflection of CMEs.

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arXiv2026

Magnetic Topology and Loop Statistics in Observed Coronal Holes Using Potential Field Modeling

Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) models are widely used to study the solar corona and form the basis for solar wind forecasting, yet often fail to reproduce observed properties of coronal holes. We analyze 702 observed coronal holes between 2010 and 2019 and compute corresponding PFSS magnetic field extrapolations to examine their magnetic topology and loop statistics, comparing them with quiet Sun regions. Our goal is to determine how observed coronal holes are represented in a PFSS model and to identify sources of known discrepancies. We find that low-lying loops covering the weak, balanced background field in coronal holes are statistically smaller and narrower than in quiet Sun regions, with a median height strongly correlated to the coronal holes mean magnetic flux density (cc_Pearson = 0.81). This suggests that at low altitudes, the coronal hole magnetic topology is primarily governed by its flux density, unlike in quiet Sun regions. Coronal holes also contain loops extending much higher into the corona than typical quiet Sun loops, although it is unclear if these are truly closed or reflect source surface height limitations. Overall, differences in modeled magnetic structures of coronal holes and quiet Sun regions are evident, even when the PFSS model does not indicate any open fields. These results suggest that observed coronal holes correspond to distinct photospheric magnetic structures, and that discrepancies with PFSS models reflect modeling limitations rather than the absence of coronal holes.

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arXiv2025

Evaluating Solar Wind Forecast Using Magnetic Maps That Include Helioseismic Far-Side Information

To model the structure and dynamics of the heliosphere well enough for high-quality forecasting, it is essential to accurately estimate the global solar magnetic field used as inner boundary condition in solar wind models. However, our understanding of the photospheric magnetic field topology is inherently constrained by the limitation of systematically observing the Sun from only one vantage point, Earth. To address this challenge, we introduce global magnetic field maps that assimilate far-side active regions derived from helioseismology into solar wind modeling. Through a comparative analysis between the combined surface flux transport and helioseismic Far-side Active Region Model (FARM) magnetic maps and the base surface flux transport model without far-side active regions (SFTM), we assess the feasibility and efficacy of incorporating helioseismic far-side information in space weather forecasting. We are employing the Wang-Sheeley-Arge Solar Wind (WSA) model for statistical evaluation and leveraging the EUropean Heliospheric FOrecasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA), a three-dimensional heliospheric MHD model, to analyze a case study. Using the WSA model, we show that including far-side magnetic data improves solar wind forecasts for 2013-2014 by up to 50% in correlation and 3% in root mean square error and mean absolute error, especially near Earth and Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory - Ahead (STEREO-A). Additionally, our 3D modeling shows significant localized differences in heliospheric structure that can be attributed to the presence or absence of active regions in the magnetic maps used as input boundaries. This highlights the importance of including far-side information to more accurately model and predict space weather effects caused by solar wind, solar transients, and geomagnetic disturbances.

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arXiv2025

Oscillations of the solar photospheric magnetic field caused by the m = 1 high-latitude inertial mode

Periodic oscillations at 338 nHz in the Earth frame are observed at high latitudes in direct Doppler velocity measurements. These oscillations correspond to the $m=1$ high-latitude global mode of inertial oscillation. In this study, we investigate the signature of this mode in the photospheric magnetic field using long-term series of line-of-sight magnetograms from the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) and the Global Oscillation Network Group (GONG). Through direct observations and spectral analysis, we detect periodic magnetic field oscillations at high latitudes ($65^\circ$--$70^\circ$) with a frequency of 338 nHz in the Earth frame, matching the known frequency of the $m = 1$ high-latitude inertial mode. The observed line-of-sight magnetic field oscillations are predominantly symmetric across the equator. We find a peak magnetic oscillation amplitude of up to $0.2$~gauss and a distinct spatial pattern, both consistent with simplified model calculations in which the radial component of the magnetic field is advected by the mode's horizontal flow field.

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arXiv2025

Formation of a Coronal Hole by a quiet-Sun Filament Eruption

A coronal hole formed as a result of a quiet-Sun filament eruption close to the solar disk center on 2014 June 25. We studied this formation using images from the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA), magnetograms from the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI), and a differential emission measure (DEM) analysis derived from the AIA images. The coronal hole developed in three stages: (1) formation, (2) migration, and (3) stabilization. In the formation phase, the emission measure (EM) and temperature started to decrease six hours before the filament erupted. Then, the filament erupted and a large coronal dimming formed over the following three hours. Subsequently, in a phase lasting $15.5$~hours, the coronal dimming migrated by 150" from its formation site to a location where potential field source surface extrapolations indicate the presence of open magnetic field lines, marking the transition into a coronal hole. During this migration, the coronal hole drifted across quasi-stationary magnetic elements in the photosphere, implying the occurrence of magnetic interchange reconnection at the boundaries of the coronal hole. In the stabilization phase, the magnetic properties and area of the coronal hole became constant. The EM of the coronal hole decreased, which we interpret as a reduction in plasma density due to the onset of plasma outflow into interplanetary space. As the coronal hole rotated towards the solar limb, it merged with a nearby pre-existing coronal hole. At the next solar rotation, the coronal hole was still apparent, indicating a lifetime of >1 solar rotation.

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arXiv2025

Quantifying Uncertainties in Solar Wind Forecasting Due to Incomplete Solar Magnetic Field Information

Solar wind forecasting plays a crucial role in space weather prediction, yet significant uncertainties persist due to incomplete magnetic field observations of the Sun. Isolating the solar wind forecasting errors due to these effects is difficult. This study investigates the uncertainties in solar wind models arising from these limitations. We simulate magnetic field maps with known uncertainties, including far-side and polar field variations, as well as resolution and sensitivity limitations. These maps serve as input for three solar wind models: the Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA), the Heliospheric Upwind eXtrapolation (HUXt), and the European Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA). We analyze the discrepancies in solar wind forecasts, particularly the solar wind speed at Earth's location, by comparing the results of these models to a created "ground truth" magnetic field map, which is derived from a synthetic solar rotation evolution using the Advective Flux Transport (AFT) model. The results reveal significant variations within each model with a RMSE ranging from 59-121 km/s. Further comparison with the thermodynamic Magnetohydrodynamic Algorithm outside a Sphere (MAS) model indicates that uncertainties in the magnetic field data can lead to even larger variations in solar wind forecasts compared to those within a single model. However, predicting a range of solar wind velocities based on a cloud of points around Earth can help mitigate uncertainties by up to 20-77%.

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arXiv2024

Combined Surface Flux Transport and Helioseismic Far-side Active Region Model (FARM)

Maps of the magnetic field at the Sun's surface are commonly used as boundary conditions in space-weather modeling. However, continuous observations are only available from the Sun's Earth-facing side. One commonly used approach to mitigate the lack of far-side information is to apply a surface flux transport (SFT) model to model the evolution of the magnetic field as the Sun rotates. Helioseismology can image active regions on the far side using acoustic oscillations, and hence has the potential to improve the modeled surface magnetic field. In this study, we propose a novel approach for estimating magnetic fields of active regions on the Sun's far side based on seismic measurements, and then include them into a SFT model. To calibrate seismic signal to magnetic field, we apply our SFT model to line-of-sight magnetograms from SDO/HMI to obtain reference maps of global magnetic fields. The resulting maps are compared with seismic maps on the Sun's far side computed using helioseismic holography. The spatial structure of the magnetic field within an active region is reflected in the spatial structure of seismic phase shifts. We assign polarities to the unipolar magnetic-field concentrations based on Hale's law and require approximate flux balance between the two polarities. From 2010 to 2024, we modeled 859 active regions, with an average total unsigned flux of $7.84\cdot 10^{21}$ Mx and an average area of $4.48\cdot 10^{10}$ km$^{2}$. Approximately $4.2\%$ of the active regions were found to have an anti-Hale configuration, which we manually corrected. Comparisons between modeled open-field areas and EUV observations reveal a substantial improvement in agreement when far-side active regions are included. This proof of concept study demonstrates the potential of the ``combined surface flux transport and helioseismic Far-side Active Region Model'' (FARM) to improve space-weather modeling.

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arXiv2024

On the Origin of the sudden Heliospheric Open Magnetic Flux Enhancement during the 2014 Pole Reversal

Coronal holes are recognized as the primary sources of heliospheric open magnetic flux (OMF). However, a noticeable gap exists between in-situ measured OMF and that derived from remote sensing observations of the Sun. In this study, we investigate the OMF evolution and its connection to solar structures throughout 2014, with special emphasis on the period from September to October, where a sudden and significant OMF increase was reported. By deriving the OMF evolution at 1au, modeling it at the source surface, and analyzing solar photospheric data, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the observed phenomenon. First, we establish a strong correlation between the OMF increase and the solar magnetic field derived from a Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) model ($cc_{\mathrm{Pearson}}=0.94$). Moreover, we find a good correlation between the OMF and the open flux derived from solar coronal holes ($cc_{\mathrm{Pearson}}=0.88$), although the coronal holes only contain $14-32\%$ of the Sun's total open flux. However, we note that while the OMF evolution correlates with coronal hole open flux, there is no correlation with the coronal hole area evolution ($cc_{\mathrm{Pearson}}=0.0$). The temporal increase in OMF correlates with the vanishing remnant magnetic field at the southern pole, caused by poleward flux circulations from the decay of numerous active regions months earlier. Additionally, our analysis suggests a potential link between the OMF enhancement and the concurrent emergence of the largest active region in solar cycle 24. In conclusion, our study provides insights into the strong increase in OMF observed during September to October 2014.

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arXiv2024

Classification of Enhanced Geoeffectiveness Resulting from High-Speed Solar Wind Streams Compressing Slower Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections

High-speed solar wind streams (HSSs) interact with the preceding ambient solar wind to form Stream Interaction Regions (SIRs), which are a primary source of recurrent geomagnetic storms. However, HSSs may also encounter and subsequently interact with Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections (ICMEs). In particular, the impact of the interaction between slower ICMEs and faster HSSs, represents an unexplored area that requires further in-depth investigation. This specific interaction can give rise to unexpected geomagnetic storm signatures, diverging from the conventional expectations of individual SIR events sharing similar HSS properties. Our study presents a comprehensive analysis of solar wind data spanning from 1996 to 2020, capturing 23 instances where such encounters led to geomagnetic storms ($SymH$ $< -30$ nT). We determined that interaction events between preceding slower ICMEs and faster HSSs possess the potential to induce substantial storm activity, statistically nearly doubling the geoeffective impact in comparison to SIR storm events. The increase in the amplitude of the $SymH$ index appears to result from heightened dynamic pressure, often coupled with the concurrent amplification of the CMEs rearward $|B|$ and/or $B_z$ components.

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arXiv2023

Coronal Models and Detection of Open Magnetic Field

A plethora of coronal models, from empirical to more complex magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) ones, are being used for reconstructing the coronal magnetic field topology and estimating the open magnetic flux. However, no individual solution fully agrees with coronal hole observations and in situ measurements of open flux at 1~AU, as there is a strong deficit between model and observations contributing to the known problem of the missing open flux. In this paper we investigate the possible origin of the discrepancy between modeled and observed magnetic field topology by assessing the effect on the simulation output by the choice of the input boundary conditions and the simulation set up, including the choice of numerical schemes and the parameter initialization. In the frame of this work, we considered four potential field source surface based models and one fully MHD model, different types of global magnetic field maps and model initiation parameters. After assessing the model outputs using a variety of metrics, we conclude that they are highly comparable regardless of the differences set at initiation. When comparing all models to coronal hole boundaries extracted by extreme ultraviolet (EUV) filtergrams we find that they do not compare well. This miss-match between observed and modeled regions of open field is a candidate contributing to the open flux problem.

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arXiv2023

On the short term stability and tilting motion of a well-observed low-latitude solar coronal hole

The understanding of the solar magnetic coronal structure is tightly linked to the shape of open field regions, specifically coronal holes. A dynamically evolving coronal hole coincides with the local restructuring of open to closed magnetic field, which leads to changes in the interplanetary solar wind structure. By investigating the dynamic evolution of a fast-tilting coronal hole, we strive to uncover clues about what processes may drive its morphological changes, which are clearly visible in EUV filtergrams. Using combined 193A and 195A EUV observations by AIA/SDO and EUVI/STEREO_A, in conjunction with line-of-sight magnetograms taken by HMI/SDO, we track and analyze a coronal hole over 12 days to derive changes in morphology, area and magnetic field. We complement this analysis by potential field source surface modeling to compute the open field structure of the coronal hole. We find that the coronal hole exhibits an apparent tilting motion over time that cannot solely be explained by solar differential rotation. It tilts at a mean rate of ~3.2°/day that accelerates up to ~5.4°/day. At the beginning of May, the area of the coronal hole decreases by more than a factor of three over four days (from ~13 * 10^9 km^2 to ~4 * 10^9 km^2), but its open flux remains constant (~2 * 10^20 Mx). Further, the observed evolution is not reproduced by modeling that assumes the coronal magnetic field to be potential. In this study, we present a solar coronal hole that tilts at a rate that has yet to be reported in literature. The rate exceeds the effect of the coronal hole being advected by either photospheric or coronal differential rotation. Based on the analysis we find it likely that this is due to morphological changes in the coronal hole boundary caused by ongoing interchange reconnection and the interaction with a newly emerging ephemeral region in its vicinity.

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arXiv2022

Influence of coronal hole morphology on the solar wind speed at Earth

It has long been known that the high-speed stream (HSS) peak velocity at Earth directly depends on the area of the coronal hole (CH) on the Sun. Different degrees of association between the two parameters have been shown by many authors. In this study, we revisit this association in greater detail for a sample of 45 nonpolar CHs during the minimum phase of solar cycle 24. The aim is to understand how CHs of different properties influence the HSS peak speeds observed at Earth and draw from this to improve solar wind modeling. The characteristics of the CHs of our sample were extracted based on the Collection of Analysis Tools for Coronal Holes (CATCH) which employs an intensity threshold technique applied to extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) filtergrams. We first examined all the correlations between the geometric characteristics of the CHs and the HSS peak speed and duration at Earth, for the entire sample. The CHs were then categorized in different groups based on morphological criteria, such as the aspect ratio, the orientation angle and the geometric complexity, a parameter which is often neglected when the formation of the fast solar wind at Earth is studied. Our results, confirmed also by the bootstrapping technique, show that all three aforementioned morphological criteria play a major role in determining the HSS peak speed at 1 AU. Therefore, they need to be taken into consideration for empirical models that aim to forecast the fast solar wind at Earth based on the observed CH solar sources.

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arXiv2022

How the area of solar coronal holes affects the properties of high-speed solar wind streams near Earth -- An analytical model

We derive a simple analytical model for the propagation of HSSs from the Sun to Earth and thereby show how the area of coronal holes and the size of their boundary regions affect the HSS velocity, temperature, and density near Earth. We presume that velocity, temperature, and density profiles form across the HSS cross section close to the Sun and that these spatial profiles translate into corresponding temporal profiles in a given radial direction due to the solar rotation. These temporal distributions drive the stream interface to the preceding slow solar wind plasma and disperse with distance from the Sun. The HSS properties at 1 AU are then given by all HSS plasma parcels launched from the Sun that did not run into the stream interface at Earth distance. We show that the velocity plateau region of HSSs as seen at 1 AU, if apparent, originates from the center region of the HSS close to the Sun, whereas the velocity tail at 1 AU originates from the trailing boundary region. The peak velocity of HSSs at Earth further depends on the longitudinal width of the HSS close to the Sun. The temperature and density of HSS plasma parcels at Earth depend on their radial expansion from the Sun to Earth. The radial expansion is determined by the velocity gradient across the HSS boundary region close to the Sun and gives the velocity-temperature and density-temperature relationships at Earth their specific shape. When considering a large number of HSSs, the presumed correlation between the HSS velocities and temperatures close to the Sun degrades only slightly up to 1 AU, but the correlation between the velocities and densities is strongly disrupted up to 1 AU due to the radial expansion. Finally, we show how the number of particles of the piled-up slow solar wind in the stream interaction region depends on the velocities and densities of the HSS and preceding slow solar wind plasma.

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arXiv2022

Identification of Coronal Holes on AIA/SDO images using unsupervised Machine Learning

Through its magnetic activity, the Sun governs the conditions in Earth's vicinity, creating space weather events, which have drastic effects on our space- and ground-based technology. One of the most important solar magnetic features creating the space weather is the solar wind, that originates from the coronal holes (CHs). The identification of the CHs on the Sun as one of the source regions of the solar wind is therefore crucial to achieve predictive capabilities. In this study, we used an unsupervised machine learning method, $k$-means, to pixel-wise cluster the passband images of the Sun taken by the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly on {\it the Solar Dynamics Observatory} (AIA/SDO) in 171 Å, 193 Å\,, and 211 Å\,in different combinations. Our results show that the pixel-wise $k$-means clustering together with systematic pre- and post-processing steps provides compatible results with those from complex methods, such as CNNs. More importantly, our study shows that there is a need for a CH database that a consensus about the CH boundaries are reached by observers independently. This database then can be used as the "ground truth", when using a supervised method or just to evaluate the goodness of the models.

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arXiv2021

How to Estimate the Far-Side Open Flux using STEREO Coronal Holes

Global magnetic field models use as input synoptic data, which usually show "aging effects" as the longitudinal 360° information is not obtained simultaneously. Especially during times of increased solar activity, the evolution of the magnetic field may yield large uncertainties. A significant source of uncertainty is the Sun's magnetic field on the side of the Sun that is not visible to the observer. Various methods have been used to complete the picture: synoptic charts, flux-transport models, and far side helioseismology. In this study, we present a new method to estimate the far-side open flux within coronal holes using STEREO EUV observations. First, we correlate the structure of the photospheric magnetic field as observed with the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager on board the Solar Dynamics Observatory (HMI/SDO) with features in the transition region. From the 304A intensity distribution, which we found to be specific to coronal holes, we derive an empirical estimate for the open flux. Then we use a large sample of 313 SDO coronal hole observations to verify this relation. Finally, we perform a cross-instrument calibration from SDO to STEREO data to enable the estimation of the open flux at solar longitudes not visible from Earth. We find that the properties of strong, unipolar magnetic elements in the photosphere, which determine the coronal hole's open flux, can be approximated by open fields in the transition region. We find that structures below a threshold of 78% (STEREO) or 94% (SDO) of the solar disk median intensity as seen in 304A filtergrams are reasonably well correlated with the mean magnetic flux density of coronal holes (cc = 0.59). Using the area covered by these structures (A_of) and the area of the coronal hole (A_ch), we model the open magnetic flux of a coronal hole as |Phi_ch| = 0.25 A_ch exp(0.032 A_of) with an estimated uncertainty of 40 to 60%.

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arXiv2021

Statistical Approach on Differential EmissionMeasure of Coronal Holes using the CATCH Catalog

Coronal holes are large-scale structures in the solar atmosphere that feature a reduced temperature and density in comparison to the surrounding quiet Sun and are usually associated with open magnetic fields. We perform a differential emission measure analysis on the 707 non-polar coronal holes collected in the Collection of Analysis Tools for Coronal Holes (CATCH) catalog to derive and statistically analyze their plasma properties (i.e. temperature, electron density, and emission measure). We use intensity filtergrams of the six coronal EUV filters from the \textit{Atmospheric Imaging Assembly} onboard of the \textit{Solar Dynamics Observatory}, which cover a temperature range from $ \approx 10^{5.5}$ to $10^{7.5}$\,K. Correcting the data for stray and scattered light, we find that all coronal holes have very similar plasma properties with an average temperature of $0.94 \pm 0.18$ MK, a mean electron density of $(2.4 \pm 0.7) \times 10^{8}$\,cm$^{-3}$, and a mean emission measure of $(2.8 \pm 1.6) \times 10^{26}$\,cm$^{-5}$. The temperature distribution within the coronal hole was found to be largely uniform, whereas the electron density shows a $40\,\%$ linear decrease from the boundary towards the inside of the coronal hole. At distances greater than \SI{20}{\arcsecond} ($\approx 15$\,Mm) from the nearest coronal hole boundary, the density also becomes statistically uniform. The coronal hole temperature may show a weak solar cycle dependency, but no statistically significant correlation of plasma properties to solar cycle variations could be determined throughout the observed time period between 2010 and 2019.

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