arXiv subjects

Steven G Gilmour

Publications and source records attributed to Steven G Gilmour.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Orthogonal factorial designs for trials of therapist-delivered interventions: Randomising intervention-therapist combinations to patients

It is recognised that treatment-related clustering should be allowed for in the sample size and analyses of individually-randomised parallel-group trials that evaluate therapist-delivered interventions such as psychotherapy. Here, interventions are a treatment factor, but therapists are not. If the aim of a trial is to separate effects of therapists from those of interventions, we propose that interventions and therapists should be regarded as two potentially interacting treatment factors (one fixed, one random) with a factorial structure. We consider the specific design where each therapist delivers each intervention (crossed therapist-intervention design), and the resulting therapist-intervention combinations are randomised to patients. We adopt a classical Design of Experiments (DoE) approach to propose a family of orthogonal factorial designs and their associated data analyses, which allow for therapist learning and centre too. We set out the associated data analyses using ANOVA and regression and report the results of a small simulation study conducted to explore the performance of the proposed randomisation methods in estimating the intervention effect and its standard error, the between-therapist variance and the between-therapist variance in the intervention effect. We conclude that more purposeful trial design has the potential to lead to better evidence on a range of complex interventions and outline areas for further methodological research.

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arXiv2025

Pure Error REML for Analyzing Data from Multi-Stratum Designs

Since the dawn of response surface methodology, it has been recommended that designs include replicate points, so that pure error estimates of variance can be obtained and used to provide unbiased estimated standard errors of the effects of factors. In designs with more than one stratum, such as split-plot and split-split-plot designs, it is less obvious how pure error estimates of the variance components should be obtained, and no pure error estimates are given by the popular residual maximum likelihood (REML) method of estimation. We propose a method of pure error REML estimation of the variance components, using the full treatment model, obtained by treating each combination of factor levels as a discrete treatment. Our method is easy to implement using standard software and improved estimated standard errors of the fixed effects estimates can be obtained by applying the Kenward-Roger correction based on the pure error REML estimates. We illustrate the new method using several data sets and compare the performance of pure error REML with the standard REML method. The results are comparable when the assumed response surface model is correct, but the new method is considerably more robust in the case of model misspecification.

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arXiv2018

A graph-theoretic framework for algorithmic design of experiments

In this paper, we demonstrate that considering experiments in a graph-theoretic manner allows us to exploit automorphisms of the graph to reduce the number of evaluations of candidate designs for those experiments, and thus find optimal designs faster. We show that the use of automorphisms for reducing the number of evaluations required of an optimality criterion function is effective on designs where experimental units have a network structure. Moreover, we show that we can take block designs with no apparent network structure, such as one-way blocked experiments, row-column experiments, and crossover designs, and add block nodes to induce a network structure. Considering automorphisms can thus reduce the amount of time it takes to find optimal designs for a wide class of experiments.

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