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Steven G. Murray

Publications and source records attributed to Steven G. Murray.

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arXiv2021

First Results from HERA Phase I: Upper Limits on the Epoch of Reionization 21 cm Power Spectrum

We report upper-limits on the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) 21 cm power spectrum at redshifts 7.9 and 10.4 with 18 nights of data ($\sim36$ hours of integration) from Phase I of the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA). The Phase I data show evidence for systematics that can be largely suppressed with systematic models down to a dynamic range of $\sim10^9$ with respect to the peak foreground power. This yields a 95% confidence upper limit on the 21 cm power spectrum of $Δ^2_{21} \le (30.76)^2\ {\rm mK}^2$ at $k=0.192\ h\ {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$ at $z=7.9$, and also $Δ^2_{21} \le (95.74)^2\ {\rm mK}^2$ at $k=0.256\ h\ {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$ at $z=10.4$. At $z=7.9$, these limits are the most sensitive to-date by over an order of magnitude. While we find evidence for residual systematics at low line-of-sight Fourier $k_\parallel$ modes, at high $k_\parallel$ modes we find our data to be largely consistent with thermal noise, an indicator that the system could benefit from deeper integrations. The observed systematics could be due to radio frequency interference, cable sub-reflections, or residual instrumental cross-coupling, and warrant further study. This analysis emphasizes algorithms that have minimal inherent signal loss, although we do perform a careful accounting in a companion paper of the small forms of loss or bias associated with the pipeline. Overall, these results are a promising first step in the development of a tuned, instrument-specific analysis pipeline for HERA, particularly as Phase II construction is completed en route to reaching the full sensitivity of the experiment.

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arXiv2021

Effects of model incompleteness on the drift-scan calibration of radio telescopes

Precision calibration poses challenges to experiments probing the redshifted 21-cm signal of neutral hydrogen from the Cosmic Dawn and Epoch of Reionization (z~30-6). In both interferometric and global signal experiments, systematic calibration is the leading source of error. Though many aspects of calibration have been studied, the overlap between the two types of instruments has received less attention. We investigate the sky based calibration of total power measurements with a HERA dish and an EDGES style antenna to understand the role of auto-correlations in the calibration of an interferometer and the role of sky in calibrating a total power instrument. Using simulations we study various scenarios such as time variable gain, incomplete sky calibration model, and primary beam model. We find that temporal gain drifts, sky model incompleteness, and beam inaccuracies cause biases in the receiver gain amplitude and the receiver temperature estimates. In some cases, these biases mix spectral structure between beam and sky resulting in spectrally variable gain errors. Applying the calibration method to the HERA and EDGES data, we find good agreement with calibration via the more standard methods. Although instrumental gains are consistent with beam and sky errors similar in scale to those simulated, the receiver temperatures show significant deviations from expected values. While we show that it is possible to partially mitigate biases due to model inaccuracies by incorporating a time-dependent gain model in calibration, the resulting errors on calibration products are larger and more correlated. Completely addressing these biases will require more accurate sky and primary beam models.

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arXiv2021

Methods of Error Estimation for Delay Power Spectra in $21\,\textrm{cm}$ Cosmology

Precise measurements of the 21 cm power spectrum are crucial for understanding the physical processes of hydrogen reionization. Currently, this probe is being pursued by low-frequency radio interferometer arrays. As these experiments come closer to making a first detection of the signal, error estimation will play an increasingly important role in setting robust measurements. Using the delay power spectrum approach, we have produced a critical examination of different ways that one can estimate error bars on the power spectrum. We do this through a synthesis of analytic work, simulations of toy models, and tests on small amounts of real data. We find that, although computed independently, the different error bar methodologies are in good agreement with each other in the noise-dominated regime of the power spectrum. For our preferred methodology, the predicted probability distribution function is consistent with the empirical noise power distributions from both simulated and real data. This diagnosis is mainly in support of the forthcoming HERA upper limit, and also is expected to be more generally applicable.

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arXiv2021

Validation of the HERA Phase I Epoch of Reionization 21 cm Power Spectrum Software Pipeline

We describe the validation of the HERA Phase I software pipeline by a series of modular tests, building up to an end-to-end simulation. The philosophy of this approach is to validate the software and algorithms used in the Phase I upper limit analysis on wholly synthetic data satisfying the assumptions of that analysis, not addressing whether the actual data meet these assumptions. We discuss the organization of this validation approach, the specific modular tests performed, and the construction of the end-to-end simulations. We explicitly discuss the limitations in scope of the current simulation effort. With mock visibility data generated from a known analytic power spectrum and a wide range of realistic instrumental effects and foregrounds, we demonstrate that the current pipeline produces power spectrum estimates that are consistent with known analytic inputs to within thermal noise levels (at the 2 sigma level) for k > 0.2 h/Mpc for both bands and fields considered. Our input spectrum is intentionally amplified to enable a strong `detection' at k ~0.2 h/Mpc -- at the level of ~25 sigma -- with foregrounds dominating on larger scales, and thermal noise dominating at smaller scales. Our pipeline is able to detect this amplified input signal after suppressing foregrounds with a dynamic range (foreground to noise ratio) of > 10^7. Our validation test suite uncovered several sources of scale-independent signal loss throughout the pipeline, whose amplitude is well-characterized and accounted for in the final estimates. We conclude with a discussion of the steps required for the next round of data analysis.

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arXiv2021

Extracting HI Astrophysics from Interferometric Intensity Mapping

We present a new halo model of neutral hydrogen (HI) calibrated to galaxy formation simulations at redshifts $z\sim0.1$ and $z\sim1.0$ that we employ to investigate the constraining power of interferometric HI intensity mapping on HI astrophysics. We demonstrate that constraints on the small-scale HI power spectrum can break the degeneracy between the HI density $Ω_{\rm HI}$ and the HI bias $b_{\rm HI}$. For $z\sim0.1$, we forecast that an accurate measurement of $Ω_{\rm HI}$ up to 6% level precision and the large-scale HI bias $b_{\rm HI}^0$ up to 1% level precision can be achieved using Square Kilometre Array (SKA) pathfinder data from MeerKAT and Australian SKA Pathfinder (ASKAP). We also propose a new description of the HI shot noise in the halo model framework in which a scatter of the relation between the HI mass of galaxies and their host halo mass is taken into account. Furthermore, given the number density of HI galaxies above a certain HI mass threshold, future surveys will also be able to constrain the HI mass function using only the HI shot noise. This will lead to constraints at the 10% level using the standard Schechter function. This technique will potentially provide a new way of measuring the HI Mass Function, independent from existing methods. We predict that the SKA will be able to further improve the low-redshift constraints by a factor of 3, as well as pioneering measurements of HI astrophysics at higher redshifts.

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arXiv2021

Validation of EDGES Low-Band Antenna Beam Model

The response of the antenna is a source of uncertainty in measurements with the Experiment to Detect the Global EoR Signature (EDGES). We aim to validate the beam model of the low-band (50-100 MHz) dipole antenna with comparisons between models and against data. We find that simulations of a simplified model of the antenna over an infinite perfectly conducting ground plane are, with one exception, robust to changes of numerical electromagnetic solver code or algorithm. For simulations of the antenna with the actual finite ground plane and realistic soil properties, we find that two out of three numerical solvers agree well. Applying our analysis pipeline to a simulated driftscan observation from an early EDGES low-band instrument that had a 10 m $\times$ 10 m ground plane, we find residual levels after fitting and removing a five-term foreground model to data binned in Local Sidereal Time (LST) average about 250 mK with $\pm$40 mK variation between numerical solvers. A similar analysis of the primary 30 m $\times$ 30 m sawtooth ground plane reduced the LST-averaged residuals to about 90 mK with $\pm$10 mK between the two viable solvers. More broadly we show that larger ground planes generally perform better than smaller ground planes. Simulated data have a power which is within 4$\%$ of real observations, a limitation of net accuracy of the sky and beam models. We observe that residual spectral structures after foreground model fits match qualitatively between simulated data and observations, suggesting that the frequency dependence of the beam is reasonably represented by the models. We find that soil conductivity of 0.02 Sm$^{-1}$ and relative permittivity of 3.5 yield good agreement between simulated spectra and observations. This is consistent with the soil properties reported by Sutinjo et al. (2015) for the Murchison Radio-astronomy Observatory, where EDGES is located.

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arXiv2020

Absolute Calibration of Diffuse Radio Surveys at 45 and 150 MHz

We use EDGES measurements to determine scale and zero-level corrections to the diffuse radio surveys by Guzmán et al. at $45$ MHz and Landecker & Wielebinski at $150$ MHz. We find that the Guzmán et al. map requires a scale correction of $1.076 \pm 0.034$ ($2σ$) and a zero-level correction of $-160 \pm 78$ K ($2σ$) to best-fit the EDGES data. For the Landecker & Wielebinski map, the scale correction is $1.112 \pm 0.023$ ($2σ$) and the zero-level correction is $0.7 \pm 6.0$ K ($2σ$). The correction uncertainties are dominated by systematic effects, of which the most significant are uncertainty in the calibration of the EDGES receivers, antenna pointing, and tropospheric and ionospheric effects. We propagate the correction uncertainties to estimate the uncertainties in the corrected maps themselves and find that the $2σ$ uncertainty in the map brightness temperature is in the range $3.2-7.5\%$ for the Guzmán et al. map and $2.1-9.0\%$ for the Landecker & Wielebinski map, with the largest percent uncertainties occurring at high Galactic latitudes. The corrected maps could be used to improve existing diffuse low-frequency radio sky models, which are essential tools in analyses of cosmological $21$ cm observations, as well as to investigate the existence of a radio monopole excess above the cosmic microwave background and known Galactic and extragalactic contributions.

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arXiv2020

21cmFAST v3: A Python-integrated C code forgenerating 3D realizations of the cosmic 21cm signal

This brief code paper presents a new Python-wrapped version of the popular 21cm cosmology simulator, 21cmFAST. The new version, v3+, maintains the same core functionality of previous versions of 21cmFAST, but features a simple and intuitive interface, and a great deal more flexibility. This evolution represents the work of a formalized collaboration, and the new version, available publicly on GitHub, provides a single point-of-reference for all future upgrades and community-added features. In this paper, we describe simple usage of 21cmFAST, some of its new features, and provide a simple performance benchmark.

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arXiv2020

Absolute Calibration Strategies for the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array and Their Impact on the 21 cm Power Spectrum

We discuss absolute calibration strategies for Phase I of the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA), which aims to measure the cosmological 21 cm signal from the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). HERA is a drift-scan array with a 10 degree wide field of view, meaning bright, well-characterized point source transits are scarce. This, combined with HERA's redundant sampling of the uv plane and the modest angular resolution of the Phase I instrument, make traditional sky-based and self-calibration techniques difficult to implement with high dynamic range. Nonetheless, in this work we demonstrate calibration for HERA using point source catalogues and electromagnetic simulations of its primary beam. We show that unmodeled diffuse flux and instrumental contaminants can corrupt the gain solutions, and present a gain smoothing approach for mitigating their impact on the 21 cm power spectrum. We also demonstrate a hybrid sky and redundant calibration scheme and compare it to pure sky-based calibration, showing only a marginal improvement to the gain solutions at intermediate delay scales. Our work suggests that the HERA Phase I system can be well-calibrated for a foreground-avoidance power spectrum estimator by applying direction-independent gains with a small set of degrees of freedom across the frequency and time axes.

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arXiv2019

Mitigating Internal Instrument Coupling II: A Method Demonstration with the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array

We present a study of internal reflection and cross coupling systematics in Phase I of the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA). In a companion paper, we outlined the mathematical formalism for such systematics and presented algorithms for modeling and removing them from the data. In this work, we apply these techniques to data from HERA's first observing season as a method demonstration. The data show evidence for systematics that, without removal, would hinder a detection of the 21 cm power spectrum for the targeted EoR line-of-sight modes in the range 0.2 < k_parallel < 0.5\ h^-1 Mpc. After systematic removal, we find we can recover these modes in the power spectrum down to the integrated noise-floor of a nightly observation, achieving a dynamic range in the EoR window of 10^-6 in power (mK^2 units) with respect to the bright galactic foreground signal. In the absence of other systematics and assuming the systematic suppression demonstrated here continues to lower noise levels, our results suggest that fully-integrated HERA Phase I may have the capacity to set competitive upper limits on the 21 cm power spectrum. For future observing seasons, HERA will have upgraded analog and digital hardware to better control these systematics in the field.

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arXiv2019

A Roadmap for Astrophysics and Cosmology with High-Redshift 21 cm Intensity Mapping

In this white paper, we lay out a US roadmap for high-redshift 21 cm cosmology (30 < z < 6) in the 2020s. Beginning with the currently-funded HERA and MWA Phase II projects and advancing through the decade with a coordinated program of small-scale instrumentation, software, and analysis projects targeting technology development, this roadmap incorporates our current best understanding of the systematics confronting 21 cm cosmology into a plan for overcoming them, enabling next-generation, mid-scale 21 cm arrays to be proposed late in the decade. Submitted for consideration by the Astro2020 Decadal Survey Program Panel for Radio, Millimeter, and Submillimeter Observations from the Ground as a Medium-Sized Project.

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arXiv2019

hankel: A Python library for performing simple and accurate Hankel transformations

This paper presents \textsc{hankel}, a pure-python code for solving Hankel-type integrals and transforms. Such transforms are common in the physical sciences, especially appearing as the radial solution to angularly symmetric Fourier Transforms in arbitrary dimensions. The code harnesses the advantages of solving such transforms via the one-dimensional Hankel transform -- an increase in conceptual simplicity and efficiency -- and implements them in the user-friendly and flexible Python language. We discuss several limitations of the adopted method, and point to the code's extensive documentation for further examples.

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arXiv2018

The effect of baseline layouts on the EoR foreground wedge: a semi-analytical approach

The 2D power spectrum is a cornerstone of the modern toolkit for analysis of the low-frequency radio interferometric observations of the 21 cm signal arising from the early Universe. Its familiar form disentangles a great deal of systematic information concerning both the sky and telescope, and displays as a foreground-dominated `brick' and `wedge' on large line-of-sight scales, and a complementary `window' on smaller scales. This paper builds on many previous works in the literature which seek to elucidate the varied instrumental and foreground factors which contribute to these familiar structures in the 2D power spectrum. In particular, we consider the effects of $uv$-sampling on the emergence of the wedge. Our results verify the expectation that arbitrarily dense instrument layouts in principal restore the missing information that leads to mode-mixing, and can therefore mitigate the wedge feature. We derive rule-of-thumb estimates for the required baseline density for complete wedge mitigation, showing that these will be unachievable in practice. We also discuss the optimal shape of the layout, showing that logarithmic regularity in the radial separation of baselines is favourable. While complete suppression of foreground leakage into the wedge is practically unachievable, we find that designing layouts which promote radial density and regularity is able to reduce the amplitude of foreground power by 1-3 orders of magnitude.

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arXiv2018

An Empirical Mass Function Distribution

The halo mass function, encoding the comoving number density of dark matter halos of a given mass, plays a key role in understanding the formation and evolution of galaxies. As such, it is a key goal of current and future deep optical surveys to constrain the mass function down to mass scales which typically host $L_\star$ galaxies. Motivated by the proven accuracy of Press-Schechter-type mass functions, we introduce a related but purely empirical form consistent with standard formulae to better than 4\% in the medium-mass regime, $10^{10}-10^{13} h^{-1}M_\odot$. In particular, our form consists of 4 parameters, each of which has a simple interpretation, and can be directly related to parameters of the galaxy distribution, such as $L_\star$. Using this form within a hierarchical Bayesian likelihood model, we show how individual mass-measurement errors can be successfully included in a typical analysis whilst accounting for Eddington bias. We apply our form to a question of survey design in the context of a semi-realistic data model, illustrating how it can be used to obtain optimal balance between survey depth and angular coverage for constraints on mass function parameters. Open-source {\tt Python} and {\tt R} codes to apply our new form are provided at \url{http://mrpy.readthedocs.org} and \url{https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/tggd/index.html} respectively.

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arXiv2017

Eddington's Demon: Inferring Galaxy Mass Functions and other Distributions from Uncertain Data

We present a general modified maximum likelihood (MML) method for inferring generative distribution functions from uncertain and biased data. The MML estimator is identical to, but easier and many orders of magnitude faster to compute than the solution of the exact Bayesian hierarchical modelling of all measurement errors. As a key application, this method can accurately recover the mass function (MF) of galaxies, while simultaneously dealing with observational uncertainties (Eddington bias), complex selection functions and unknown cosmic large-scale structure. The MML method is free of binning and natively accounts for small number statistics and non-detections. Its fast implementation in the R-package "dftools" is equally applicable to other objects, such as haloes, groups and clusters, as well as observables other than mass. The formalism readily extends to multi-dimensional distribution functions, e.g. a Choloniewski function for the galaxy mass-angular momentum distribution, also handled by dftools. The code provides uncertainties and covariances for the fitted model parameters and approximate Bayesian evidences. We use numerous mock surveys to illustrate and test the MML method, as well as to emphasise the necessity of accounting for observational uncertainties in MFs of modern galaxy surveys.

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arXiv2017

An Improved Statistical Point-Source Foreground Model for the Epoch of Reionization

We present a sophisticated statistical point-source foreground model for low-frequency radio Epoch of Reionization (EoR) experiments using the 21 cm neutral hydrogen emission line. Motivated by our understanding of the low-frequency radio sky, we enhance the realism of two model components compared with existing models: the source count distributions as a function of flux density and spatial position (source clustering), extending current formalisms for the foreground covariance of 2D power spectral modes in 21 cm EoR experiments. The former we generalise to an arbitrarily broken power-law, and the latter to an arbitrary isotropically-correlated field. This paper presents expressions for the modified covariance under these extensions, and shows that for a more realistic source spatial distribution, extra covariance arises in the EoR window which was previously unaccounted for. Failure to include this contribution can yield bias in the final power spectrum and under-estimate uncertainties, potentially leading to a false detection of signal. The extent of this effect is uncertain, owing to ignorance of physical model parameters, but we show that it is dependent on the relative abundance of faint sources, to the effect that our extension will become more important for future deep surveys. Finally, we show that under some parameter choices, ignoring source clustering can lead to false detections on large scales, due to both the induced bias and an artificial reduction in the estimated measurement uncertainty.

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arXiv2015

HALOGEN: A tool for fast generation of mock halo catalogues

We present a simple method of generating approximate synthetic halo catalogues: HALOGEN. This method uses a combination of $2^{nd}$-order Lagrangian Perturbation Theory (2LPT) in order to generate the large-scale matter distribution, analytical mass functions to generate halo masses, and a single-parameter stochastic model for halo bias to position haloes. HALOGEN represents a simplification of similar recently published methods. Our method is constrained to recover the 2-point function at intermediate ($10Mpc/h<r<50Mpc/h$) scales, which we show is successful to within 2 per cent. Larger scales ($\sim100Mpc/h$) are reproduced to within 15 per cent. We compare several other statistics (e.g. power spectrum, point distribution function, redshift space distortions) with results from N-Body simulations to determine the validity of our method for different purposes. One of the benefits of HALOGEN is its flexibility, and we demonstrate this by showing how it can be adapted to varying cosmologies and simulation specifications. A driving motivation for the development of such approximate schemes is the need to compute covariance matrices and study the systematic errors for large galaxy surveys, which requires thousands of simulated realisations. We discuss the applicability of our method in this context, and conclude that it is well suited to mass production of appropriate halo catalogues. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/savila/halogen

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