arXiv subjects

Steven R. Furlanetto

Publications and source records attributed to Steven R. Furlanetto.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2022

Direct Optimal Mapping for 21cm Cosmology: A Demonstration with the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array

Motivated by the desire for wide-field images with well-defined statistical properties for 21cm cosmology, we implement an optimal mapping pipeline that computes a maximum likelihood estimator for the sky using the interferometric measurement equation. We demonstrate this direct optimal mapping with data from the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization (HERA) Phase I observations. After validating the pipeline with simulated data, we develop a maximum likelihood figure-of-merit for comparing four sky models at 166MHz with a bandwidth of 100kHz. The HERA data agree with the GLEAM catalogs to <10%. After subtracting the GLEAM point sources, the HERA data discriminate between the different continuum sky models, providing most support for the model of Byrne et al. 2021. We report the computation cost for mapping the HERA Phase I data and project the computation for the HERA 320-antenna data; both are feasible with a modern server. The algorithm is broadly applicable to other interferometers and is valid for wide-field and non-coplanar arrays.

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arXiv2022

Lyman-alpha Emitters in Ionized Bubbles: Constraining the Environment and Ionized Fraction

Lyman-alpha emitters (LAEs) are excellent probes of the reionization process, as they must be surrounded by large ionized bubbles in order to be visible during the reionization era. Large ionized regions are thought to correspond to over-dense regions and may be protoclusters, making them interesting test-beds for early massive structures. Close associations containing several LAEs are often assumed to mark over-dense, ionized bubbles. Here, we develop the first framework to quantify the ionization and density fields of high-z galaxy associations. We explore the interplay between (i) the large-scale density of a survey field, (ii) Poisson noise due to the small number density of bright sources at high redshifts (z~7), and (iii) the effects of the ionized fraction on the observation of LAEs. We use Bayesian statistics, a simple model of reionization, and a Monte-Carlo simulation to construct a more comprehensive method for calculating the large-scale density of LAE regions than previous works. We find that Poisson noise has a strong effect on the inferred density of a region and show how the ionized fraction can be inferred. We then apply our framework to the strongest association yet identified: Hu et al. (2021) found 14 LAEs in a volume of ~50,000 cMpc^3 inside the COSMOS field at z~7. We show that this is most likely a 2.5-sigma over-density inside of an ionized or nearly ionized bubble. We also show that this LAE association implies that the global ionized fraction is Q = 0.60 (+0.08,-0.09), within the context of a simple reionization model.

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arXiv2022

On the expected purity of photometric galaxy surveys targeting the Cosmic Dawn

Over the last three decades, photometric galaxy selection using the Lyman-break technique has transformed our understanding of the high-z Universe, providing large samples of galaxies at 3 < z < 8 with relatively small contamination. With the advent of the James Webb Space Telescope, the Lyman-break technique has now been extended to z ~ 17. However, the purity of the resulting samples has not been tested. Here we use a simple model, built on the robust foundation of the dark matter halo mass function, to show that the expected level of contamination rises dramatically at z > 10, especially for luminous galaxies, placing stringent requirements on the selection process. The most luminous sources at z > 12 are likely at least ten thousand times rarer than potential contaminants, so extensive spectroscopic followup campaigns may be required to identify a small number of target sources.

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arXiv2022

A joint measurement of galaxy luminosity functions and large-scale field densities during the Epoch of Reionization

One of the most exciting advances of the current generation of telescopes has been the detection of galaxies during the epoch of reionization, using deep fields that have pushed these instruments to their limits. It is essential to optimize our analyses of these fields in order to extract as much information as possible from them. In particular, standard methods of measuring the galaxy luminosity function discard information on large-scale dark matter density fluctuations, even though this large-scale structure drives galaxy formation and reionization during the Cosmic Dawn. Measuring these densities would provide a bedrock observable, connecting galaxy surveys to theoretical models of the reionization process and structure formation. Here, we use existing Hubble deep field data to simultaneously fit the universal luminosity function and measure large-scale densities for each Hubble deep field at $z =$ 6--8 by directly incorporating priors on the large-scale density field and galaxy bias. Our fit of the universal luminosity function is consistent with previous methods but differs in the details. For the first time, we measure the underlying densities of the survey fields, including the most over/under-dense Hubble fields. We show that the distribution of densities is consistent with current predictions for cosmic variance. This analysis on just 17 fields is a small sample of what will be possible with the James Webb Space Telescope, which will measure hundreds of fields at comparable (or better) depths and at higher redshifts.

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arXiv2022

A galaxy-free phenomenological model for the 21-cm power spectrum during reionization

Upper limits from the current generation of interferometers targeting the 21-cm signal from high redshifts have recently begun to rule out physically realistic, though still extreme, models of the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). While inferring the detailed properties of the first galaxies is one of the most important motivations for measuring the high-$z$ 21-cm signal, they can also provide useful constraints on the properties of the intergalactic medium (IGM). Motivated by this, we build a simple, phenomenological model for the 21-cm power spectrum that works directly in terms of IGM properties, which bypasses the computationally expensive 3-D semi-numerical modeling generally employed in inference pipelines and avoids explicit assumptions about galaxy properties. The key simplifying assumptions are that (i) the ionization field is binary, and composed of spherical bubbles with an abundance described well by a parametric bubble size distribution, and (ii) that the spin temperature of the ``bulk'' IGM outside bubbles is uniform. Despite the simplicity of the model, the mean ionized fraction and spin temperature of the IGM recovered from mock 21-cm power spectra generated with \textsc{21cmfast} are generally in good agreement with the true input values. This suggests that it is possible to obtain comparable constraints on the IGM using models with very different assumptions, parameters, and priors. Our approach will thus be complementary to semi-numerical models as upper limits continue to improve in the coming years.

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arXiv2022

Automated Detection of Antenna Malfunctions in Large-N Interferometers: A Case Study with the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array

We present a framework for identifying and flagging malfunctioning antennas in large radio interferometers. We outline two distinct categories of metrics designed to detect outliers along known failure modes of large arrays: cross-correlation metrics, based on all antenna pairs, and auto-correlation metrics, based solely on individual antennas. We define and motivate the statistical framework for all metrics used, and present tailored visualizations that aid us in clearly identifying new and existing systematics. We implement these techniques using data from 105 antennas in the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) as a case study. Finally, we provide a detailed algorithm for implementing these metrics as flagging tools on real data sets.

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arXiv2022

Improved treatments of the ionizing photon mean free path in semi-numerical simulations of reionization

Efficient and accurate simulations of the reionization epoch are crucial to exploring the vast uncharted parameter space that will soon be constrained by measurements of the 21 cm power spectrum. One of these parameters, $R_{\rm max}$, is meant to characterize the absorption of photons by residual neutral gas inside of ionized regions, but has historically been implemented in a very simplistic fashion acting only as a maximum filtering scale. We leverage the correspondence between excursion set methods and the integrated flux from ionizing sources to define two physically-motivated prescriptions of the mean free path of ionizing photons that smoothly attenuate the contribution from distant sources. Implementation of these methods in semi-numerical reionization codes requires only modest additional computational effort due to the fact that spatial filtering is still performed on scales larger than the characteristic absorption distance. We find that our smoothly-defined mean free path prescriptions more effectively suppress large-scale structures in the ionization field in semi-numerical reionization simulations compared to the standard $R_{\rm max}$ approach, and the magnitude of the mean free path modulates the power spectrum in a much smoother manner. We show that this suppression of large-scale power is significant enough to be relevant for upcoming 21 cm power spectrum observations. Finally, we show that in our model the mean free path plays a larger role in regulating the reionization history than in models using $R_{\rm max}$.

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arXiv2021

Deep Realistic Extragalactic Model (DREaM) Galaxy Catalogs: Predictions for a Roman Ultra-Deep Field

In the next decade, deep galaxy surveys from telescopes such as the James Webb Space Telescope and Roman Space Telescope will provide transformational data sets that will greatly enhance the understanding of galaxy formation during the epoch of reionization (EoR). In this work, we present the Deep Realistic Extragalactic Model (DREaM) for creating synthetic galaxy catalogs. Our model combines dark matter simulations, subhalo abundance matching and empirical models, and includes galaxy positions, morphologies, and spectral energy distributions (SEDs). The resulting synthetic catalog extends to redshifts $z \sim 12 $, and galaxy masses $\log_{10}(M/M_{\odot}) = 5 $ covering an area of $1\, {\rm deg}^2$ on the sky. We use DREaM to explore the science returns of a $1\, {\rm deg}^2$ \emph{Roman} UDF, and to provide a resource for optimizing ultra-deep survey designs. We find that a \emph{Roman} UDF to $\sim 30\,m_{\rm AB}$ will potentially detect more than $10^6$ $M_{\rm UV}<-17$ galaxies, with more than $10^4$ at redshifts $z>7$, offering an unparalleled dataset for constraining galaxy properties during the EoR. Our synthetic catalogs and simulated images are made publicly available to provide the community with a tool to prepare for upcoming data.

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arXiv2021

A Framework for Simultaneously Measuring Field Densities and the High-z Luminosity Function

Cosmic variance from large-scale structure will be a major source of uncertainty for galaxy surveys at z > 6, but that same structure will also provide an opportunity to identify and study dense environments in the early Universe. Using a robust model for galaxy clustering, we directly incorporate large-scale densities into an inference framework that simultaneously measures the high-z (z > 6) UV luminosity function and the average matter density of each distinct volume in a survey. Through this framework, we forecast the performance of several major upcoming James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) galaxy surveys. We find that they can constrain field matter densities down to the theoretical limit imposed by Poisson noise and unambiguously identify over-dense (and under-dense) regions on transverse scales of tens of comoving Mpc. We also predict JWST will measure the luminosity function with a precision at z = 12 comparable to existing Hubble Space Telescope's constraints at z = 8 (and even better for the faint-end slope). We also find that wide-field surveys are especially important in distinguishing luminosity function models.

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arXiv2021

A Real Time Processing System for Big Data in Astronomy: Applications to HERA

As current- and next-generation astronomical instruments come online, they will generate an unprecedented deluge of data. Analyzing these data in real time presents unique conceptual and computational challenges, and their long-term storage and archiving is scientifically essential for generating reliable, reproducible results. We present here the real-time processing (RTP) system for the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA), a radio interferometer endeavoring to provide the first detection of the highly redshifted 21 cm signal from Cosmic Dawn and the Epoch of Reionization by an interferometer. The RTP system consists of analysis routines run on raw data shortly after they are acquired, such as calibration and detection of radio-frequency interference (RFI) events. RTP works closely with the Librarian, the HERA data storage and transfer manager which automatically ingests data and transfers copies to other clusters for post-processing analysis. Both the RTP system and the Librarian are public and open source software, which allows for them to be modified for use in other scientific collaborations. When fully constructed, HERA is projected to generate over 50 terabytes (TB) of data each night, and the RTP system enables the successful scientific analysis of these data.

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arXiv2021

Constraints on the End of Reionization from the Density Fields Surrounding Two Highly Opaque Quasar Sightlines

The observed large-scale scatter in Lyman $α$ opacity of the intergalactic medium at $z<6$ implies large fluctuations in the neutral hydrogen fraction that are unexpected long after reionization has ended. A number of models have emerged to explain these fluctuations that make testable predictions for the relationship between Ly$α$ opacity and density. We present selections of $z=5.7$ Ly$α$-emitting galaxies (LAEs) in the fields surrounding two highly opaque quasar sightlines with long Ly$α$ troughs. The fields lie towards the $z=6.0$ quasar ULAS J0148+0600, for which we re-analyze previously published results using improved photometric selection, and towards the $z=6.15$ quasar SDSS J1250+3130, for which results are presented here for the first time. In both fields, we report a deficit of LAEs within 20 $h^{-1}$ Mpc of the quasar. The association of highly opaque sightlines with galaxy underdensities in these two fields is consistent with models in which the scatter in Ly$α$ opacity is driven by large-scale fluctuations in the ionizing UV background, or by an ultra-late reionization that has not yet concluded at $z=5.7$.

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arXiv2021

Revealing the formation histories of the first stars with the cosmic near-infrared background

The cosmic near-infrared background (NIRB) offers a powerful integral probe of radiative processes at different cosmic epochs, including the pre-reionization era when metal-free, Population III (Pop III) stars first formed. While the radiation from metal-enriched, Population II (Pop II) stars likely dominates the contribution to the observed NIRB from the reionization era, Pop III stars -- if formed efficiently -- might leave characteristic imprints on the NIRB thanks to their strong Ly$α$ emission. Using a physically-motivated model of first star formation, we provide an analysis of the NIRB mean spectrum and anisotropy contributed by stellar populations at $z>5$. We find that in circumstances where massive Pop III stars persistently form in molecular cooling haloes at a rate of a few times $10^{-3}\,M_\odot \ \mathrm{yr}^{-1}$, before being suppressed towards the epoch of reionization (EoR) by the accumulated Lyman-Werner background, a unique spectral signature shows up redward of $1\,μ$m in the observed NIRB spectrum sourced by galaxies at $z>5$. While the detailed shape and amplitude of the spectral signature depend on various factors including the star formation histories, IMF, LyC escape fraction and so forth, the most interesting scenarios with efficient Pop III star formation are within the reach of forthcoming facilities such as the Spectro-Photometer for the History of the Universe, Epoch of Reionization and Ices Explorer (SPHEREx). As a result, new constraints on the abundance and formation history of Pop III stars at high redshifts will be available through precise measurements of the NIRB in the next few years.

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arXiv2021

Bursty star formation during the Cosmic Dawn driven by delayed stellar feedback

In recent years, several analytic models have demonstrated that simple assumptions about halo growth and feedback-regulated star formation can match the (limited) existing observational data on galaxies at z>6. By extending such models, we demonstrate that imposing a time delay on stellar feedback (as inevitably occurs in the case of supernova explosions) induces burstiness in small galaxies. Although supernova progenitors have short lifetimes (~5-30 Myr), the delay exceeds the dynamical time of galaxies at such high redshifts. As a result, star formation proceeds unimpeded by feedback for several cycles and "overshoots" the expectations of feedback-regulated star formation models. We show that such overshoot is expected even in atomic cooling halos, with masses up to ~10^10.5 Msun at z>6. However, these burst cycles damp out quickly in massive galaxies, because large haloes are more resistant to feedback so retain a continuous gas supply. Bursts in small galaxies - largely beyond the reach of existing observations - induce a scatter in the luminosity of these haloes (of ~1 mag) and increase the time-averaged star formation efficiency by up to an order of magnitude. This kind of burstiness can have substantial effects on the earliest phases of star formation and reionization.

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arXiv2021

First Results from HERA Phase I: Upper Limits on the Epoch of Reionization 21 cm Power Spectrum

We report upper-limits on the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) 21 cm power spectrum at redshifts 7.9 and 10.4 with 18 nights of data ($\sim36$ hours of integration) from Phase I of the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA). The Phase I data show evidence for systematics that can be largely suppressed with systematic models down to a dynamic range of $\sim10^9$ with respect to the peak foreground power. This yields a 95% confidence upper limit on the 21 cm power spectrum of $Δ^2_{21} \le (30.76)^2\ {\rm mK}^2$ at $k=0.192\ h\ {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$ at $z=7.9$, and also $Δ^2_{21} \le (95.74)^2\ {\rm mK}^2$ at $k=0.256\ h\ {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$ at $z=10.4$. At $z=7.9$, these limits are the most sensitive to-date by over an order of magnitude. While we find evidence for residual systematics at low line-of-sight Fourier $k_\parallel$ modes, at high $k_\parallel$ modes we find our data to be largely consistent with thermal noise, an indicator that the system could benefit from deeper integrations. The observed systematics could be due to radio frequency interference, cable sub-reflections, or residual instrumental cross-coupling, and warrant further study. This analysis emphasizes algorithms that have minimal inherent signal loss, although we do perform a careful accounting in a companion paper of the small forms of loss or bias associated with the pipeline. Overall, these results are a promising first step in the development of a tuned, instrument-specific analysis pipeline for HERA, particularly as Phase II construction is completed en route to reaching the full sensitivity of the experiment.

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arXiv2021

The Detection of Ionized Carbon Emission at z~8

We present deep Keck/MOSFIRE $H$-band spectroscopic observations covering the [CIII],CIII]$λ\lambda1907,1909$ doublet for three $z\sim8$ galaxy candidates in the AEGIS field. Along with non-detections in two galaxies, we obtain one of the highest-redshift detections to-date of [CIII]$λ1907$ for the galaxy AEGIS-33376, finding $z_{\rm spec}=7.945\pm0.001$. We measure a [CIII]$λ$1907 flux of $2.24\pm0.71\times10^{-18} \mbox{ erg}\mbox{ s}^{-1} \mbox{ cm}^{-2}$, corresponding to a rest-frame equivalent width of $20.3\pm6.5 \unicode{x212B}$ for the single line. Given the not very constraining upper limit for CIII]$λ1909$ based on strong sky-line contamination, we assume a [CIII]$λ$1907/CIII]$λ1909$ doublet ratio of 1.5 and infer a total [CIII],CIII]$λ\lambda1907,1909$ equivalent width of $33.7\pm 10.8 \unicode{x212B}$. We repeat the same reductions and analysis on multiple subsets of our raw data divided on the basis of time and observing conditions, verifying that the [CIII]$λ1907$ emission is present for AEGIS-33376 throughout our observations. We also confirm that the significance of the [CIII]$λ1907$ detection in different subsets of our data tracks that of brighter emission features detected on the same multi-slit mask. These multiple tests suggest that the observed emission line is real and associated with the $z\sim 8$ target. The strong observed [CIII],CIII]$λ\lambda1907,1909$ in AEGIS-33376 likely indicates ISM conditions of low metallicity, high ionization parameter, and a hard ionizing spectrum, although AGN contributions are possible. This single detection represents a sizable increase in the current sample [CIII],CIII]$λ\lambda1907,1909$ detections at $z>7$, while $\textit{JWST}$ will provide the first statistical samples of such measurements at these redshifts.

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arXiv2021

Effects of model incompleteness on the drift-scan calibration of radio telescopes

Precision calibration poses challenges to experiments probing the redshifted 21-cm signal of neutral hydrogen from the Cosmic Dawn and Epoch of Reionization (z~30-6). In both interferometric and global signal experiments, systematic calibration is the leading source of error. Though many aspects of calibration have been studied, the overlap between the two types of instruments has received less attention. We investigate the sky based calibration of total power measurements with a HERA dish and an EDGES style antenna to understand the role of auto-correlations in the calibration of an interferometer and the role of sky in calibrating a total power instrument. Using simulations we study various scenarios such as time variable gain, incomplete sky calibration model, and primary beam model. We find that temporal gain drifts, sky model incompleteness, and beam inaccuracies cause biases in the receiver gain amplitude and the receiver temperature estimates. In some cases, these biases mix spectral structure between beam and sky resulting in spectrally variable gain errors. Applying the calibration method to the HERA and EDGES data, we find good agreement with calibration via the more standard methods. Although instrumental gains are consistent with beam and sky errors similar in scale to those simulated, the receiver temperatures show significant deviations from expected values. While we show that it is possible to partially mitigate biases due to model inaccuracies by incorporating a time-dependent gain model in calibration, the resulting errors on calibration products are larger and more correlated. Completely addressing these biases will require more accurate sky and primary beam models.

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arXiv2021

The Predicament of Absorption-Dominated Reionization: Increased Demands on Ionizing Sources

The reionization epoch concludes when ionizing photons reach every corner of the Universe. Reionization has generally been assumed to be limited primarily by the rate at which galaxies produce ionizing photons, but the recent measurement of a surprisingly short ionizing photon mean free path of $0.75^{+0.65}_{-0.45}$ proper Mpc at $z = 6$ by Becker et al. (2021) suggests that absorption by residual neutral hydrogen in the otherwise ionized intergalactic medium may play a much larger role than previously expected. Here we show that consistency between this short mean free path and the coeval dark pixel fraction in the Ly$α$ forest requires a cumulative output of $6.1^{+11}_{-2.4}$ ionizing photons per baryon by reionization's end. This represents a dramatic increase in the ionizing photon budget over previous estimates, greatly exacerbating the tension with measurements of the ionizing output from galaxies at later times. Translating this constraint into the instantaneous ionizing production from galaxies in our model, we find $\log_{10}f_{\rm esc}ξ_{\rm ion}/\text{(erg/Hz)}^{-1} =25.02_{-0.21}^{+0.45}$ at $z\sim6$. Even with optimistic assumptions about the ionizing production efficiency of early stellar populations, and assuming the galaxy luminosity function extends to extremely faint sources ($M_{\text{UV}}\leq-11$), complete reionization requires the escape fraction of ionizing photons to exceed $20\%$ across the galaxy population. This is far larger than observed in any galaxy population at lower redshifts, requiring rapid evolution in galaxy properties after the first billion years of cosmic time. This tension cannot be completely relieved within existing observational constraints on the hydrogen neutral fraction and mean free path.

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arXiv2021

Validation of the HERA Phase I Epoch of Reionization 21 cm Power Spectrum Software Pipeline

We describe the validation of the HERA Phase I software pipeline by a series of modular tests, building up to an end-to-end simulation. The philosophy of this approach is to validate the software and algorithms used in the Phase I upper limit analysis on wholly synthetic data satisfying the assumptions of that analysis, not addressing whether the actual data meet these assumptions. We discuss the organization of this validation approach, the specific modular tests performed, and the construction of the end-to-end simulations. We explicitly discuss the limitations in scope of the current simulation effort. With mock visibility data generated from a known analytic power spectrum and a wide range of realistic instrumental effects and foregrounds, we demonstrate that the current pipeline produces power spectrum estimates that are consistent with known analytic inputs to within thermal noise levels (at the 2 sigma level) for k > 0.2 h/Mpc for both bands and fields considered. Our input spectrum is intentionally amplified to enable a strong `detection' at k ~0.2 h/Mpc -- at the level of ~25 sigma -- with foregrounds dominating on larger scales, and thermal noise dominating at smaller scales. Our pipeline is able to detect this amplified input signal after suppressing foregrounds with a dynamic range (foreground to noise ratio) of > 10^7. Our validation test suite uncovered several sources of scale-independent signal loss throughout the pipeline, whose amplitude is well-characterized and accounted for in the final estimates. We conclude with a discussion of the steps required for the next round of data analysis.

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