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Stuart D. Bale

Publications and source records attributed to Stuart D. Bale.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

CMEs and SEPs During November-December 2020: A Challenge for Real-Time Space Weather Forecasting

Predictions of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and solar energetic particles (SEPs) are a central issue in space weather forecasting. In recent years, interest in space weather predictions has expanded to include impacts at other planets beyond Earth as well as spacecraft scattered throughout the heliosphere. In this sense, the scope of space weather science now encompasses the whole heliospheric system, and multi-point measurements of solar transients can provide useful insights and validations for prediction models. In this work, we aim to analyse the whole inner heliospheric context between two eruptive flares that took place in late 2020, i.e. the M4.4 flare of November 29 and the C7.4 flare of December 7. This period is especially interesting because the STEREO-A spacecraft was located ~60° east of the Sun-Earth line, giving us the opportunity to test the capabilities of "predictions at 360°" using remote-sensing observations from the Lagrange L1 and L5 points as input. We simulate the CMEs that were ejected during our period of interest and the SEPs accelerated by their shocks using the WSA-Enlil-SEPMOD modelling chain and four sets of input parameters, forming a "mini-ensemble". We validate our results using in-situ observations at six locations, including Earth and Mars. We find that, despite some limitations arising from the models' architecture and assumptions, CMEs and shock-accelerated SEPs can be reasonably studied and forecast in real time at least out to several tens of degrees away from the eruption site using the prediction tools employed here.

astro-ph.SR↗

Constraining Global Coronal Models with Multiple Independent Observables

Global coronal models seek to produce an accurate physical representation of the Sun's atmosphere which can be used, for example, to drive space weather models. Assessing their accuracy is a complex task and there are multiple observational pathways to provide constraints and tune model parameters. Here, we combine several such independent constraints, defining a model-agnostic framework for standardized comparison. We require models to predict the distribution of coronal holes at the photosphere, and neutral line topology at the model outer boundary. We compare these predictions to extreme ultraviolet (EUV) observations of coronal hole locations, white-light Carrington maps of the streamer belt and the magnetic sector structure measured \textit{in situ} by Parker Solar Probe and 1AU spacecraft. We study these metrics for Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) models as a function of source surface height and magnetogram choice, as well as comparing to the more physical Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) and the Magnetohydrodynamics Algorithm outside a Sphere (MAS) models. We find that simultaneous optimization of PFSS models to all three metrics is not currently possible, implying a trade-off between the quality of representation of coronal holes and streamer belt topology. WSA and MAS results show the additional physics they include addresses this by flattening the streamer belt while maintaining coronal hole sizes, with MAS also improving coronal hole representation relative to WSA. We conclude that this framework is highly useful for inter- and intra-model comparisons. Integral to the framework is the standardization of observables required of each model, evaluating different model aspects.

astro-ph.SR↗

Do cities have a unique magnetic pulse?

We present a comparative analysis of urban magnetic fields between two American cities: Berkeley (California) and Brooklyn Borough of New York City (New York). Our analysis uses data taken over a four-week period during which magnetic field data were continuously recorded using a fluxgate magnetometer of 70 pT/$\sqrt{\mathrm{Hz}}$ sensitivity. We identified significant differences in the magnetic signatures. In particular, we noticed that Berkeley reaches a near-zero magnetic field activity at night whereas magnetic activity in Brooklyn continues during nighttime. We also present auxiliary measurements acquired using magnetoresistive vector magnetometers (VMR), with sensitivity of 300 pT/$\sqrt{\mathrm{Hz}}$, and demonstrate how cross-correlation, and frequency-domain analysis, combined with data filtering can be used to extract urban magnetometry signals and study local anthropogenic activities. Finally, we discuss the potential of using magnetometer networks to characterize the global magnetic field of cities and give directions for future development.

eess.SP↗

The role of Alfvén wave dynamics on the large scale properties of the solar wind: comparing an MHD simulation with PSP E1 data

During Parker Solar Probe's first orbit, the solar wind plasma has been observed in situ closer than ever before, the perihelion on November 6th 2018 revealing a flow that is constantly permeated by large amplitude Alfvénic fluctuations. These include radial magnetic field reversals, or switchbacks, that seem to be a persistent feature of the young solar wind. The measurements also reveal a very strong, unexpected, azimuthal velocity component. In this work, we numerically model the solar corona during this first encounter, solving the MHD equations and accounting for Alfvén wave transport and dissipation. We find that the large scale plasma parameters are well reproduced, allowing the computation of the solar wind sources at Probe with confidence. We try to understand the dynamical nature of the solar wind to explain both the amplitude of the observed radial magnetic field and of the azimuthal velocities.

astro-ph.SR↗

Statistical analysis of intermittency and its association with proton heating in the near Sun environment

We use data from the first six encounters of Parker Solar Probe and employ the Partial Variance of Increments ($PVI$) method to study the statistical properties of coherent structures in the inner heliosphere with the aim of exploring physical connections between magnetic field intermittency and observable consequences such as plasma heating and turbulence dissipation. Our results support proton heating localized in the vicinity of, and strongly correlated with, magnetic structures characterized by $PVI \geq 1$. We show that on average, such events constitute $\approx 19\%$ of the dataset, though variations may occur depending on the plasma parameters. We show that the waiting time distribution ($WT$) of identified events is consistent across all six encounters following a power-law scaling at lower $WTs$. This result indicates that coherent structures are not evenly distributed in the solar wind but rather tend to be tightly correlated and form clusters. We observe that the strongest magnetic discontinuities, $PVI \geq 6$, usually associated with reconnection exhausts, are sites where magnetic energy is locally dissipated in proton heating and are associated with the most abrupt changes in proton temperature. However, due to the scarcity of such events, their relative contribution to energy dissipation is minor. Taking clustering effects into consideration, we show that smaller scale, more frequent structures with PVI between, $1\lesssim PVI \lesssim 6$, play the major role in magnetic energy dissipation. The number density of such events is strongly associated with the global solar wind temperature, with denser intervals being associated with higher $T_{p}$.

astro-ph.SR↗

Direct First PSP Observation of the Interaction of Two Successive Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections in November 2020

We investigate the effects of the evolutionary processes in the internal magnetic structure of two interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) detected in situ between 2020 November 29 and December 1 by Parker Solar Probe (PSP). The sources of the ICMEs were observed remotely at the Sun in EUV and subsequently tracked to their coronal counterparts in white light. This period is of particular interest to the community since it has been identified as the first widespread solar energetic particle event of Solar Cycle 25. The distribution of various solar and heliospheric-dedicated spacecraft throughout the inner heliosphere during PSP observations of these large-scale magnetic structures enables a comprehensive analysis of the internal evolution and topology of such structures. By assembling different models and techniques, we identify the signatures of interaction between the two consecutive ICMEs and the implications for their internal structure. We use multispacecraft observations in combination with a remote-sensing forward modeling technique, numerical propagation models, and in-situ reconstruction techniques. The outcome, from the full reconciliations, demonstrates that the two CMEs are interacting in the vicinity of PSP. Thus, we identify the in-situ observations based on the physical processes that are associated with the interaction and collision of both CMEs. We also expand the flux rope modeling and in-situ reconstruction technique to incorporate the aging and expansion effects in a distorted internal magnetic structure and explore the implications of both effects in the magnetic configuration of the ICMEs.

astro-ph.SR↗

Kinetic-scale current sheets in the solar wind at 1 AU: Scale-dependent properties and critical current density

We present analysis of 17,043 proton kinetic-scale current sheets collected over 124 days of Wind spacecraft measurements in the solar wind at 11 Samples/s magnetic field resolution. The current sheets have thickness $λ$ from a few tens to one thousand kilometers with typical value around 100 km or from about 0.1 to 10$λ_{p}$ in terms of local proton inertial length $λ_{p}$. We found that the current density is larger for smaller scale current sheets, $J_0\approx 6\; {\rm nA/m^2} \cdot (λ/100\;{\rm km})^{-0.56}$ , but does not statistically exceed critical value $J_A$ corresponding to the drift between ions and electrons of local Alvén speed. The observed trend holds in normalized units, $J_0/J_{A}\approx 0.17\cdot (λ/λ_{p})^{-0.51}$. The current sheets are statistically force-free with magnetic shear angle correlated with current sheet spatial scale, $Δθ\approx 19^{\circ}\cdot (λ/λ_{p})^{0.5}$. The observed correlations are consistent with local turbulence being the source of proton kinetic-scale current sheets in the solar wind, while mechanisms limiting the current density remain to be understood.

physics.space-ph↗

Nonlinear Interactions in Spherically Polarized Alfvénic Turbulence

Turbulent magnetic field fluctuations observed in the solar wind often maintain a constant magnitude condition accompanied by spherically polarized velocity fluctuations; these signatures are characteristic of large-amplitude Alfvén waves. Nonlinear energy transfer in Alfvénic turbulence is typically considered in the small-amplitude limit where the constant magnitude condition may be neglected; in contrast, nonlinear energy transfer in the large-amplitude limit remains relatively unstudied. We develop a method to analyze finite-amplitude turbulence through studying fluctuations as constant magnitude rotations in the stationary wave (de Hoffmann-Teller) frame, which reveals that signatures of finite-amplitude effects exist deep into the MHD range. While the dominant fluctuations are consistent with spherically-polarized large-amplitude Alfvén waves, the subdominant mode is relatively compressible. Signatures of nonlinear interaction between the finite-amplitude spherically polarized mode with the subdominant population reveal highly aligned transverse components. In theoretical models of Alfvénic turbulence, alignment is thought to reduce nonlinearity; our observations require that alignment is sufficient to either reduce shear nonlinearity such that non-Alfvénic interactions may be responsible for energy transfer in spherically polarized states, or that counter-propagating fluctuations maintain anomalous coherence, which is a predicted signature of reflection-driven turbulence.

physics.plasm-ph↗

Exploring the Solar Wind from its Source on the Corona into the Inner Heliosphere during the First Solar Orbiter - Parker Solar Probe Quadrature

This Letter addresses the first Solar Orbiter (SO) -- Parker Solar Probe (PSP) quadrature, occurring on January 18, 2021, to investigate the evolution of solar wind from the extended corona to the inner heliosphere. Assuming ballistic propagation, the same plasma volume observed remotely in corona at altitudes between 3.5 and 6.3 solar radii above the solar limb with the Metis coronagraph on SO can be tracked to PSP, orbiting at 0.1 au, thus allowing the local properties of the solar wind to be linked to the coronal source region from where it originated. Thanks to the close approach of PSP to the Sun and the simultaneous Metis observation of the solar corona, the flow-aligned magnetic field and the bulk kinetic energy flux density can be empirically inferred along the coronal current sheet with an unprecedented accuracy, allowing in particular estimation of the Alfvén radius at 8.7 solar radii during the time of this event. This is thus the very first study of the same solar wind plasma as it expands from the sub-Alfvénic solar corona to just above the Alfvén surface.

astro-ph.SR↗

Flux conservation, radial scalings, Mach numbers, and critical distances in the solar wind: magnetohydrodynamics and Ulysses observations

One of the key challenges in solar and heliospheric physics is to understand the acceleration of the solar wind. As a super-sonic, super-Alfvénic plasma flow, the solar wind carries mass, momentum, energy, and angular momentum from the Sun into interplanetary space. We present a framework based on two-fluid magnetohydrodynamics to estimate the flux of these quantities based on spacecraft data independent of the heliocentric distance of the location of measurement. Applying this method to the Ulysses dataset allows us to study the dependence of these fluxes on heliolatitude and solar cycle. The use of scaling laws provides us with the heliolatitudinal dependence and the solar-cycle dependence of the scaled Alfvénic and sonic Mach numbers as well as the Alfvén and sonic critical radii. Moreover, we estimate the distance at which the local thermal pressure and the local energy density in the magnetic field balance. These results serve as predictions for observations with Parker Solar Probe, which currently explores the very inner heliosphere, and Solar Orbiter, which will measure the solar wind outside the plane of the ecliptic in the inner heliosphere during the course of the mission.

astro-ph.SR↗

Precision Electron Measurements in the Solar Wind at 1 au from NASA's Wind Spacecraft

This work aims to characterize precisely and systematically the non-thermal characteristics of the electron Velocity Distribution Function (eVDF) in the solar wind at 1 au using data from the Wind spacecraft. We present a comprehensive statistical analysis of solar wind electrons at 1 au using the electron analyzers of the 3D-Plasma instrument on board Wind. This work uses a sophisticated algorithm developed to analyze and characterize separately the three populations - core, halo and strahl - of the eVDF up to 2 keV. The eVDF data are calibrated using independent electron parameters obtained from the quasi-thermal noise around the electron plasma frequency measured by the Thermal Noise Receiver. The code determines the respective set of total electron, core, halo and strahl parameters through non-linear least-square fits to the measured eVDF, taking properly into account spacecraft charging and other instrumental effects. We use four years, ~ 280000 independent measurements of core, halo and strahl parameters to investigate the statistical properties of these different populations in the solar wind. We discuss the distributions of their respective densities, drift velocities, temperature, and temperature anisotropies as functions of solar wind speed. We also show distributions with solar wind speed of the total density, temperature, temperature anisotropy and heat flux, as well as those of the proton temperature, proton-to-electron temperature ratio, proton and electron beta. Intercorrelations between some of these parameters are also discussed. The present dataset represents the largest, high-precision, collection of electron measurements in the pristine solar wind at 1~AU. It provides a new wealth of information on electron microphysics. Its large volume will enable future statistical studies of parameter combinations and their dependencies under different plasma conditions.

physics.space-ph↗

The Formation and Lifetime of Outflows in a Solar Active Region

Active regions are thought to be one contributor to the slow solar wind. Upflows in EUV coronal spectral lines are routinely osberved at their boundaries, and provide the most direct way for upflowing material to escape into the heliosphere. The mechanisms that form and drive these upflows, however, remain to be fully characterised. It is unclear how quickly they form, or how long they exist during their lifetimes. They could be initiated low in the atmosphere during magnetic flux emergence, or as a response to processes occuring high in the corona when the active region is fully developed. On 2019, March 31, a simple bipolar active region (AR 12737) emerged and upflows developed on each side. We used observations from Hinode, SDO, IRIS, and Parker Solar Probe (PSP) to investigate the formation and development of the upflows from the eastern side. We used the spectroscopic data to detect the upflow, and then used the imaging data to try to trace its signature back to earlier in the active region emergence phase. We find that the upflow forms quickly, low down in the atmosphere, and that its initiation appears associated with a small field-opening eruption and the onset of a radio noise storm detected by PSP. We also confirmed that the upflows existed for the vast majority of the time the active region was observed. These results suggest that the contribution to the solar wind occurs even when the region is small, and continues for most of its lifetime.

astro-ph.SR↗

The solar-wind angular-momentum flux observed during Solar Orbiter's first orbit

Aims: We present the first measurements of the solar-wind angular-momentum (AM) flux recorded by the Solar Orbiter spacecraft. Our aim is the validation of these measurements to support future studies of the Sun's AM loss. Methods: We combine 60-minute averages of the proton bulk moments and the magnetic field measured by the Solar Wind Analyser (SWA) and the magnetometer (MAG) onboard Solar Orbiter. We calculate the AM flux per solid-angle element using data from the first orbit of the mission's cruise phase during 2020. We separate the contributions from protons and from magnetic stresses to the total AM flux. Results: The AM flux varies significantly over time. The particle contribution typically dominates over the magnetic-field contribution during our measurement interval. The total AM flux shows the largest variation and is typically anti-correlated with the radial solar-wind speed. We identify a compression region, potentially associated with a co-rotating interaction region or a coronal mass ejection, that leads to a significant localised increase in the AM flux, yet without a significant increase in the AM per unit mass. We repeat our analysis using the density estimate from the Radio and Plasma Waves (RPW) instrument. Using this independent method, we find a decrease in the peaks of positive AM flux but otherwise consistent results. Conclusions: Our results largely agree with previous measurements of the solar-wind AM flux in terms of amplitude, variability, and dependence on radial solar-wind bulk speed. Our analysis highlights the potential for future, more detailed, studies of the solar wind's AM and its other large-scale properties with data from Solar Orbiter. We emphasise the need to study the radial evolution and latitudinal dependence of the AM flux in combination with data from Parker Solar Probe and assets at heliocentric distances of 1 au and beyond.

physics.space-ph↗

Plasma Properties, Switchback Patches and Low $α$-Particle Abundance in Slow Alfvénic Coronal Hole Wind at 0.13 au

The Parker Solar Probe (PSP) mission presents a unique opportunity to study the near-Sun solar wind closer than any previous spacecraft. During its fourth and fifth solar encounters, PSP had the same orbital trajectory, meaning that solar wind was measured at the same latitudes and radial distances. We identify two streams measured at the same heliocentric distance ($\sim$0.13au) and latitude ($\sim$-3.5$^{\circ}$) across these encounters to reduce spatial evolution effects. By comparing the plasma of each stream, we confirm that they are not dominated by variable transient events, despite PSP's proximity to the heliospheric current sheet. Both streams are consistent with a previous slow Alfvénic solar wind study once radial effects are considered, and appear to originate at the Southern polar coronal hole boundary. We also show that the switchback properties are not distinctly different between these two streams. Low $α$-particle abundance ($\sim$ 0.6 %) is observed in the encounter 5 stream, suggesting that some physical mechanism must act on coronal hole boundary wind to cause $α$-particle depletion. Possible explanations for our observations are discussed, but it remains unclear whether the depletion occurs during the release or the acceleration of the wind. Using a flux tube argument, we note that an $α$-particle abundance of $\sim$ 0.6 % in this low velocity wind could correspond to an abundance of $\sim$ 0.9 % at 1 au. Finally, as the two streams roughly correspond to the spatial extent of a switchback patch, we suggest that patches are distinct features of coronal hole wind.

astro-ph.SR↗

Anisotropy of Solar-Wind Turbulence in the Inner Heliosphere at Kinetic Scales: PSP Observations

The anisotropy of solar wind turbulence is a critical issue in understanding the physics of energy transfer between scales and energy conversion between fields and particles in the heliosphere. Using the measurement of \emph{Parker Solar Probe} (\emph{PSP}), we present an observation of the anisotropy at kinetic scales in the slow, Alfvénic, solar wind in the inner heliosphere. \textbf{The magnetic compressibility behaves as expected for kinetic Alfvénic turbulence below the ion scale.} A steepened transition range is found between the inertial and kinetic ranges in all directions with respect to the local background magnetic field direction. The anisotropy of $k_\perp \gg k_\parallel$ is found evident in both transition and kinetic ranges, with the power anisotropy $P_\perp/P_\parallel > 10$ in the kinetic range leading over that in the transition range and being stronger than that at 1 au. The spectral index varies from $α_{t\parallel}=-5.7\pm 1.0$ to $α_{t\perp}=-3.7\pm 0.3$ in the transition range and $α_{k\parallel}=-3.12\pm 0.22$ to $α_{k\perp}=-2.57\pm 0.09$ in the kinetic range. The corresponding wavevector anisotropy has the scaling of $k_\parallel \sim k_\perp^{0.71\pm 0.17}$ in the transition range, and changes to $k_\parallel \sim k_\perp^{0.38\pm 0.09}$ in the kinetic range, consistent with the kinetic Alfvénic turbulence at sub-ion scales.

physics.space-ph↗

Evolution of large-amplitude Alfvén waves and generation of switchbacks in the expanding solar wind

Motivated by recent Parker Solar Probe (PSP) observations of "switchbacks" (abrupt, large-amplitude reversals in the radial magnetic field, which exhibit Alfvénic correlations) we examine the dynamics of large-amplitude Alfvén waves in the expanding solar wind. We develop an analytic model which makes several predictions: switchbacks should preferentially occur in regions where the solar wind plasma has undergone a greater expansion, the switchback fraction at radii comparable to PSP should be an increasing function of radius, and switchbacks should have their gradients preferentially perpendicular to the mean magnetic field direction. The expansion of the plasma generates small compressive components as part of the wave's nonlinear evolution: these are maximized when the normalized fluctuation amplitude is comparable to $\sinθ$, where $θ$ is the angle between the propagation direction and the mean magnetic field. These compressive components steepen the primary Alfvénic waveform, keeping the solution in a state of nearly constant magnetic field strength as its normalized amplitude $δB/B$ grows due to expansion. The small fluctuations in the magnetic-field-strength are minimized at a particular $θ$-dependent value of $β$, usually of order unity, and the density and magnetic-field-strength fluctuations can be correlated or anticorrelated depending on $β$ and $θ$. Example solutions of our dynamical equation are presented; some do indeed form magnetic-field reversals. Our predictions appear to match some previously unexplained phenomena in observations and numerical simulations, providing evidence that the observed switchbacks result from the nonlinear evolution of the initially small-amplitude Alfvén waves already known to be present at the coronal base.

physics.space-ph↗

Subproton-scale Intermittency in Near-Sun Solar Wind Turbulence Observed by the Parker Solar Probe

High time-resolution solar wind magnetic field data is employed to study statistics describing intermittency near the first perihelion (~35.6 Rs) of the Parker Solar Probe mission. A merged dataset employing two instruments on the FIELDS suite enables broadband estimation of higher order moments of magnetic field increments, with five orders established with reliable accuracy. The duration, cadence, and low noise level of the data permit evaluation of scale dependence of the observed intermittency from the inertial range to deep subproton scales. The results support multifractal scaling in the inertial range, and monofractal but non-Gaussian scaling in the subproton range, thus clarifying suggestions based on data near Earth that had remained ambiguous due to possible interference of the terrestrial foreshock. The physics of the transition to monofractality remains unclear but we suggest that it is due to a scale-invariant population of current sheets between ion and electron inertial scales; the previous suggestion of incoherent kinetic-scale wave activity is disfavored as it presumably leads to re-Gaussianization which is not observed.

physics.space-ph↗

Multiscale Solar Wind Turbulence Properties inside and near Switchbacks measured by Parker Solar Probe

Parker Solar Probe (PSP) routinely observes magnetic field deflections in the solar wind at distances less than 0.3 au from the Sun. These deflections are related to structures commonly called 'switchbacks' (SBs), whose origins and characteristic properties are currently debated. Here, we use a database of visually selected SB intervals - and regions of solar wind plasma measured just before and after each SB - to examine plasma parameters, turbulent spectra from inertial to dissipation scales, and intermittency effects in these intervals. We find that many features, such as perpendicular stochastic heating rates and turbulence spectral slopes are fairly similar inside and outside of SBs. However, important kinetic properties, such as the characteristic break scale between the inertial to dissipation ranges differ inside and outside these intervals, as does the level of intermittency, which is notably enhanced inside SBs and in their close proximity, most likely due to magnetic field and velocity shears observed at the edges. We conclude that the plasma inside and outside of a SB, in most of the observed cases, belongs to the same stream, and that the evolution of these structures is most likely regulated by kinetic processes, which dominate small scale structures at the SB edges.

astro-ph.SR↗