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Subhash R. Lele

Publications and source records attributed to Subhash R. Lele.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Revisiting resource selection probability functions and single-visit methods: Clarification and extensions

Models accounting for imperfect detection are important. Single-visit methods have been proposed as an alternative to multiple-visits methods to relax the assumption of closed population. Knape and Korner-Nievergelt (2015) showed that under certain models of probability of detection single-visit methods are statistically non-identifiable leading to biased population estimates. There is a close relationship between estimation of the resource selection probability function (RSPF) using weighted distributions and single-visit methods for occupancy and abundance estimation. We explain the precise mathematical conditions needed for RSPF estimation as stated in Lele and Keim (2006). The identical conditions, that remained unstated in our papers on single-visit methodology, are needed for single-visit methodology to work. We show that the class of admissible models is quite broad and does not excessively restrict the application of the RSPF or the single-visit methodology. To complement the work by Knape and Korner-Nievergelt, we study the performance of multiple-visit methods under the scaled logistic detection function and a much wider set of situations. In general, under the scaled logistic detection function multiple-visits methods also lead to biased estimates. As a solution to this problem, we extend the single-visit methodology to a class of models that allows use of scaled probability function. We propose a Multinomial extension of single visit methodology that can be used to check whether the detection function satisfies the RSPF condition or not. Furthermore, we show that if the scaling factor depends on covariates, then it can also be estimated.

q-bio.QM

Is non-informative Bayesian analysis appropriate for wildlife management: survival of San Joaquin Kit Fox and declines in amphibian populations

Computational convenience has led to widespread use of Bayesian inference with vague or flat priors to analyze state-space models in ecology. Vague priors are claimed to be objective and to let the data speak. Neither of these claims is valid. Statisticians have criticized the use of vague priors from philosophical to computational to pragmatic reasons. Ecologists, however, dismiss such criticisms as empty philosophical wonderings with no practical implications. We illustrate that use of vague priors in population viability analysis and occupancy models can have significant impact on the analysis and can lead to strikingly different managerial decisions. Given the wide spread applicability of the hierarchical models and uncritical use of non-informative Bayesian analysis in ecology, researchers should be cautious about using the vague priors as a default choice in practical situations.

q-bio.QM