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Suhail Dhawan

Publications and source records attributed to Suhail Dhawan.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Stress-testing the spatially flat Universe: nonparametric spatial curvature determination from DESI DR2

We present a nonparametric determination of spatial curvature using only late-time geometrical probes. Under a Gaussian Process smoothness prior, we jointly constrain the dimensionless expansion history and $Ω_K$, combining three Type Ia Supernovae (SNeIa) samples with either DESI DR2 line-of-sight baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) or cosmic chronometers (CC) data. From our baseline SNeIa+BAO analyses we find $Ω_K=0.219^{+0.110}_{-0.111}$, $Ω_K=0.330^{+0.098}_{-0.150}$ and $Ω_K=0.260^{+0.124}_{-0.127}$ for the PantheonPlus, DES Dovekie and Union3 SNeIa samples respectively. These nonparametric results mildly favour an open Universe, supporting recent hints in this direction, and improve on the sensitivity of a previous application of the method by up to a factor of $\sim 2.5$. We find consistent constraints combining SNeIa and CC, whereas restricting SNeIa data to the redshift range covered by BAO somewhat weakens the constraints and shifts the PantheonPlus central value to $Ω_K<0$. Our results depend only on late-time relative distances and expansion rates, making them insensitive to the absolute distance scale calibration, while relying neither on Cosmic Microwave Background data nor on a parametric dark energy model.

astro-ph.CO

Follow-up of SN 2025wny VI: The Rate and Detectable Population of Strongly Lensed SLSNe-I in ZTF

The Type I superluminous supernova (SLSN-I) SN 2025wny, multiply imaged by two foreground galaxies at $z_l = 0.375$, is the first confirmed strongly lensed SLSN and the highest-redshift ($z_s = 2.015$) multiply imaged supernova in a galaxy-scale configuration. We ask whether one discovery in seven years of Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) operations is consistent with expectations, and whether SN 2025wny is typical of the detectable population. We develop a forward simulation of strongly lensed SLSNe-I in ZTF, combining an empirically calibrated volumetric rate and luminosity function with a galaxy-scale deflector population, unresolved lensed light curves, and the actual ZTF observing history. We predict $0.037^{+0.022}_{-0.020}\,{\rm yr}^{-1}$, consistent with the rate of $0.14^{+0.31}_{-0.11}\,{\rm yr}^{-1}$ inferred from a single discovery in seven years of ZTF operations. Conditioning the simulation on discovery by ZTF corrects the magnifications and intrinsic luminosity of SN 2025wny for Malmquist- and magnification biases: the debiased peak bolometric luminosity, $\log_{10}(L_{\rm bol,int}/{\rm erg\,s^{-1}}) = 44.60^{+0.05}_{-0.10}$, places it at the $\sim$97th percentile of the assumed SLSNe-I luminosity function. SN 2025wny is typical of the detectable population in redshift, luminosity, and magnification, but its $4.9''$ image separation exceeds single-galaxy deflector expectations, implying our rates are conservative for wide-separation systems.

astro-ph.CO

Lightcurve Modelling of 2,205 ZTF DR2 Type~Ia Supernovae: Implications for SN Ia Physics and Cosmology

We fit the multi-band light curves of 2,205 Type Ia supernovae (SNe~Ia) from the Zwicky Transient Facility DR2 with a one-zone radioactive decay model with a phenomenological addition to include Fe recombination physics. We find a strong correlation between inferred nickel mass and SALT2 stretch, which our simplified modelling links to longer diffusion times in more massive ejecta, offering a physical basis for the brighter-slower relation. SNe~Ia in low-mass hosts ($\log_{10}(M_*/M_\odot) < 10$) produce $\approx 12\%$ more $^{56}$Ni than those in high-mass hosts, linking the host-galaxy mass step to ejecta properties and hinting at metallicity or age-dependent burning efficiencies. A pseudo-bolometric comparison provides lower limits on the nickel masses, highlighting their sensitivity to SED-level assumptions. Injection-and-recovery tests with realistic ZTF sampling and the same model recover the nickel scale but show significant sensitivity to distance and opacity assumptions; individual-event point estimates are therefore model-dependent. Accounting for selection biases and broad individual-event posteriors, hierarchical modelling of 902 SNe ($z \leq 0.06$) gives Gaussian population distributions with $μ_{\rm ej} = 1.26 \pm 0.01~M_\odot$ ($σ_{\rm ej} = 0.33 \pm 0.01~M_\odot$) and $μ_{\rm Ni} = 0.64 \pm 0.06~M_\odot$ ($σ_{\rm Ni} = 0.42 \pm 0.02~M_\odot$). This work provides a step towards physical characterization of the local SN~Ia population while quantifying diversity and environmental dependencies relevant to progenitor physics and precision cosmology.

astro-ph.HE

Exploring the Impact of Systematic Bias in Type Ia Supernova Cosmology Across Diverse Dark Energy Parametrizations

We investigate the impact of instrumental and astrophysical systematics on dark energy (DE) constraints from Type Ia supernova (SN-Ia) observations. Using simulated datasets consistent with current SN-Ia measurements, we examine how photometric calibration, intergalactic dust, progenitor evolution in luminosity and light-curve stretch, intrinsic color scatter, and matter density mismatch affect the inferred DE equation of state (EoS) parameters $(w_0,w_a)$. We test the Generalised Scale Factor (GEN) parametrization against three time-evolving DE models: Chevallier-Polarski-Linder (CPL), Jassal-Bagla-Padmanabhan (JBP), and Logarithmic (LOG). Calibration and progenitor-related effects emerge as the dominant sources of bias. {In particular, a calibration offset of $ΔM_B=0.02$ can shift the inferred parameters by up to $Δw_0 \simeq -0.12$ and $Δw_a \simeq +0.60$ in JBP, while the corresponding shift in GEN is much smaller, with $Δw_0 \simeq -0.02$ and $Δw_a \simeq -0.04$. Progenitor-stretch evolution also induces substantial shifts, whereas intergalactic dust and color-scatter systematics produce only minor deviations for the fiducial amplitudes adopted here. Overall, JBP is the most sensitive to injected systematics, CPL and LOG show intermediate sensitivity, and GEN remains the most stable. We also quantify the deviation from the fiducial $Λ$CDM ($w_0=-1,\, w_a=0$) for the injected-systematic cases, and find that the second set of systematic injections supports the same qualitative hierarchy. These results highlight the need for sub-percent calibration precision and improved astrophysical modelling for robust DE inference from present and future SN-Ia cosmology experiments. More broadly, our results motivate model-independent tests of late-time physics, with phenomenological $(w_0,w_a)$ parametrizations used as summary statistics.

astro-ph.CO

Follow-up of SN 2025wny I: Space-based Observations of the First Multiply-imaged Superluminous Supernova

We present space-based follow-up observations of the superluminous Type I supernova (SLSN-I) SN 2025wny at redshift $z_{SN}=2.0151$, gravitationally lensed by two galaxies at redshifts $z_{G1}=0.3755$ and $z_{G2}=0.3766$ into five resolved images. SN 2025wny is the first strongly lensed SLSN discovered and the first galaxy-scale lensed supernova for which both photometric and spectroscopic time-delay measurements are feasible. As such, it opens a new observational window for precision cosmology and the study of stellar explosions near the epoch of peak cosmic star formation. Our follow-up observations comprise two epochs of Hubble Space Telescope (HST) imaging, together with near-infrared imaging and spectroscopy obtained with the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). From these data, we measure precise astrometry and multi-band photometry for the five resolved supernova images, the host galaxy, and the two deflecting galaxies. HST provides accurate relative image positions and rest-frame ultraviolet photometry, while JWST delivers complementary near-infrared imaging and spectroscopy probing the rest-frame optical at high signal-to-noise ratio. Together they yield a detailed characterization of both the lensing configuration and the supernova spectral energy distribution over a broad wavelength range. The data presented here provide the observational foundation for the accompanying analyses of the supernova properties, lens modeling, and time-delay cosmography, including the astrometric, photometric, and spectroscopic information required to measure $H_0$.

astro-ph.CO

Follow-up of SN 2025wny II: Superluminous Supernova Physics at Cosmic Noon

SN 2025wny is a gravitationally lensed, hydrogen-poor superluminous supernova (SLSN-I) at z = 2.015. To date, it is the most extensively observed high-redshift core-collapse SN and has the most detailed rest-frame UV observations of any SLSN. We present densely sampled rest-frame UV-to-optical photometry and spectroscopy out to +80 d post-peak (rest frame) from several facilities, including JWST, Keck, VLT, Gemini, the Palomar 200-inch, the Fraunhofer Telescope at Wendelstein, and the Liverpool Telescope. Correcting for lensing magnification, SN 2025wny reaches a peak pseudo-bolometric luminosity of $L_{\rm peak}\gtrsim4\times10^{44}$ erg s$^{-1}$ over rest-frame 1500-4230 Å, placing it within the luminosity range of typical SLSNe-I. SN 2025wny exhibits several unusual features, including a continuum excess and sharp spectral features in the FUV from +20-60 d that coincide with an FUV light-curve plateau and higher inferred blackbody temperatures. SN 2025wny's spectra also show little to no UV line blanketing, no obvious O II absorption despite high temperatures, and evidence for C II, H$α$, and possible He I. Light-curve modeling suggests that SN 2025wny may require a hybrid or non-standard power source. This work provides some of the first detailed constraints on high-redshift SLSNe and establishes SN 2025wny as an essential spectral and photometric reference for identifying and interpreting high-redshift SLSNe discovered by Rubin and Roman.

astro-ph.CO

Follow-up of SN 2025wny III: Spectroscopic Time-delay Measurements of a Strongly Gravitationally Lensed Superluminous Supernova

We present spatially resolved spectra and infer the time-delays between the multiple images of the strongly gravitationally lensed superluminous supernova (SLSN) 2025wny at z=2.015. SN 2025wny is the first known spatially resolved strongly lensed SLSN and provides a unique opportunity to measure lensing delays through the temporal evolution of supernova spectra. We present a spectroscopic dataset spanning several months, including spatially resolved spectra of images A, B, C, D, and E. We identify and measure the wavelength evolution of spectral features using Gaussian-process modeling. The time delays are inferred by jointly fitting the temporal evolution of the spectral features, yielding $Δt_{AB}=-10.3 \pm 2.3$, $Δt_{AC}=0.1 \pm 3.6$, $Δt_{AD}=-65.7 \pm 3.5$, and $Δt_{AE}=3.7 \pm 8.8$ days (68% confidence intervals). These are the among most precise time-delay measurements obtained for a lensed supernova to date, whether from spectroscopic or photometric methods. The longest delay ($Δt_{AD}$) is particularly well constrained, with a ~5% precision. Combined with the lens model presented by Mörtsell et al. (2026), the spectroscopic time-delays give a Hubble constant $H_0 = 70.2^{+8.2}_{-6.1}$ km/s/Mpc. Our analysis demonstrates that spectroscopic evolution provides an independent and complementary route to time-delay measurements in lensed supernova systems, avoiding reliance on photometric light curves alone. As future surveys discover larger samples of lensed supernovae, spectroscopic time-delay measurements will provide an important avenue for precision cosmography.

astro-ph.CO

Follow-up of SN 2025wny IV: Photometric Time-delay Measurements of a Strongly Lensed Superluminous Supernova

We present photometric time-delay measurements of SN 2025wny, the first strongly lensed Type I superluminous supernova (SLSN-I), discovered at $z = 2.015$. Time-delay measurements from strongly lensed supernovae provide an independent probe of cosmology and the Hubble constant, $H_0$, without reliance on the local distance ladder. Using multi-facility imaging data, we performed scene-modelling photometry to deblend four of the lensed images (A-D) and construct $grizJ$-band light curves. We modelled the resolved light curves with Gaussian process regression using GausSN (Hayes et al. 2024) to infer relative time delays and magnifications between the lensed images. We found that a constant magnification model provides a suboptimal description of the data, motivating a time-dependent sigmoid magnification model to account for evolving relative magnification of image A. We measured time delays of $Δt_{AB} = -10.6^{+2.2}_{-2.5}$ days and $Δt_{AC} = 1.2^{+2.7}_{-2.6}$ days (68% credible intervals), consistent with independent spectroscopic measurements from Johansson et al. (2026). Combining the photometric time delays with the lens model of Mörtsell et al. (2026) gives $H_{0,\:\rm photo} = 80.5^{+26.4}_{-16.7}\;\rm km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}$, while including the spectroscopic time delays as well yields $H_{0,\:\rm comb} = 70.8^{+8.2}_{-6.1}\;{\rm km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}}$. Our results further demonstrate the potential of strongly lensed supernovae as independent probes of $H_0$.

astro-ph.CO

Follow-up of SN 2025wny V: Lens Modelling and Cosmography of a Strongly Lensed Superluminous Supernova at $z = 2.015$ using Space Data

We present a lensing and cosmographic analysis of the strongly lensed Type I superluminous supernova SN 2025wny at redshift $z=2.015$, multiply imaged by two foreground galaxies at $z=0.376$. Using imaging obtained with the Hubble Space Telescope and the James Webb Space Telescope, we model the lens system with two elliptical power-law mass distributions and an external shear component. In addition to the supernova image positions, the modelling incorporates the surface-brightness distribution of the lensed host galaxy. The inferred Einstein radii are $θ_{\rm E,1}\simeq 1.6$" and $θ_{\rm E,2}\simeq 0.7$ - $0.8$", with broadly consistent results across all filters. After accounting for microlensing by stars in the lens galaxies, the posterior distribution spans total magnifications of approximately $μ_{\rm tot}\sim 5$--$50$, with flux ratios of the multiple images consistent with observations. Combining the lens models with spectroscopically and photomerically measured time delays yields a filter-marginalized constraint of \[ H_0 = 66.7^{+7.6}_{-6.3}\; {\rm km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}}, \] for a fiducial model with isothermal mass profiles. Allowing the density slopes of the lens galaxies to vary over a broad range results in \[ H_0 = 70.8^{+8.2}_{-6.1}\; {\rm km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}}. \] These values are conditional on the adopted parameterization of the lens mass distribution, the assumed priors on the density slopes, and possible additional lensing contributions from the surrounding large-scale environment. We find that incorporating the currently available stellar kinematic measurements has only a modest effect on the inferred value of $H_0$. Future measurements of the lens-galaxy kinematics and a detailed characterization of the lens environment will further strengthen the utility of SN 2025wny as a cosmological probe.

astro-ph.CO

A Natural $\gtrsim 100\times$ Telescope: Discovery of the Strongly Lensed Type II SN 2025mkn at $z=1.37$

We present the discovery of SN 2025mkn, a gravitationally lensed Type II supernova. First detected as a blue transient in ZTF, 0.83$^{\prime\prime}$ from a $z=0.42$ elliptical galaxy, follow-up SNIFS/UH2.2m and LRIS/Keck spectra revealed absorption lines at $z=1.371$. Later JWST NIRCam imaging shows that the bright transient is a close pair of point sources separated by $\sim 0.07^{\prime\prime}$, and a 30 times fainter counterimage opposite the lens, for which NIRSpec reveals strong H$α$ emission also at $z=1.371$. The light curves and spectra are consistent with the Type II supernova source being magnified $\gtrsim 100$ times, with $\sim 250$ required to reconcile its luminosity with that of nearby events such as SN 2023ixf. Lens models are consistent with such high magnifications, and always show that the faint image arrived first (undetected in earlier ZTF imaging), consistent with the later spectral phase of this fainter image. A fourth image is also predicted and possibly detected in the NIRSpec data. Light-curve-based time-delay measurements are not possible due to the first image being the faintest; however, the resolved NIRSpec spectra offer a future opportunity for time-delay cosmography through supernova phase measurements.

astro-ph.CO

The Case for Space: Estimating Precise Time Delays from Ground- and Space-Based Observations of Lensed Supernovae with Glimpse

The delay in arrival time of the multiple images of gravitationally lensed supernovae (glSNe) can be related to the present-day expansion rate of the universe, $H_{0}$. Despite their rarity, Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (Rubin-LSST) is expected to discover tens of galaxy-scale glSNe per year, many of which will not be resolved due to their compact nature. Follow-up from ground- and space-based telescopes will be necessary to estimate time delays to sufficient precision for meaningful $H_{0}$ constraints. We present the Glimpse model (GausSN Light curve Inference of Magnifications and Phase Shifts, Extended) that estimates time delays with resolved and unresolved observations together for the first time, while simultaneously accounting for dust and microlensing effects. With this method, we explore best follow-up strategies for glSNe observed by Rubin-LSST. For unresolved systems on the dimmest end of detectability by Rubin-LSST, having peak i-band magnitudes of 22-24 mag, the time delays are measured to as low as 0.7 day uncertainty with 6-8 epochs of resolved space-based observations in each of 4-6 optical and NIR filters. For systems of similar brightness that are resolved by ground-based facilities, time delays are consistently constrained to 0.5-0.8 day precision with 6 epochs in 4 optical and NIR filters of space-based observations or 8 epochs in 4 optical filters of deep ground-based observations. This work improves on previous time-delay estimation methods and demonstrates that glSNe time delays of $\sim10-20$ days can be measured to sufficient precision for competitive $H_{0}$ estimates in the Rubin-LSST era.

astro-ph.IM

A spectroscopically confirmed, strongly lensed, metal-poor Type II supernova at z = 5.13

Observing supernovae (SNe) in the early Universe (z > 3) provides a window into how both galaxies and individual stars have evolved over cosmic time, yet a detailed study of high-redshift stars and SNe has remained difficult due to their extreme distances and cosmological redshifting. To overcome the former, searches for gravitationally lensed sources allow for the discovery of magnified SNe that appear as multiple images - further providing the opportunity for efficient follow-up. Here we present the discovery of "SN Eos": a strongly lensed, multiply-imaged, SN II at a spectroscopic redshift of z = 5.133 +/- 0.001. SN Eos exploded in a Lyman-α emitting galaxy when the Universe was only ~1 billion years old, shortly after it reionized and became transparent to ultraviolet radiation. A year prior to our discovery in JWST data, archival HST imaging of SN Eos reveals rest-frame far ultraviolet (~1,300Å) emission, indicative of shock breakout or interaction with circumstellar material in the first few (rest-frame) days after explosion. The JWST spectroscopy of SN Eos, now the farthest spectroscopically confirmed SN ever discovered, shows that SN Eos's progenitor star likely formed in a metal-poor environment (<= 0.1 Z_{\odot}), providing the first direct evidence of massive star formation in the metal-poor, early Universe. SN Eos would not have been detectable without the extreme lensing magnification of the system, highlighting the potential of such discoveries to eventually place constraints on the faint end of the cosmic star-formation rate density in the very early Universe.

astro-ph.HE

Characterising the Standardisation Properties of Type Ia Supernovae in the z band with Hierarchical Bayesian Modelling

Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) are standardisable candles: their peak magnitudes can be corrected for correlations between light curve properties and their luminosities to precisely estimate distances. Understanding SN Ia standardisation across wavelength improves methods for correcting SN Ia magnitudes. Using 150 SNe Ia from the Foundation Supernova Survey and Young Supernova Experiment, we present the first study focusing on SN Ia standardisation properties in the z band. Straddling the optical and near-infrared, SN Ia light in the z band is less sensitive to dust extinction and can be collected alongside the optical on CCDs. Pre-standardisation, SNe Ia exhibit less residual scatter in z-band peak magnitudes than in the g and r bands. SNe Ia peak z-band magnitudes still exhibit a significant dependence on light-curve shape. Post-standardisation, the z-band Hubble diagram has a total scatter of RMS $ = 0.195$ mag. We infer a z-band mass step of $γ_{z} = -0.105 \pm 0.031$ mag, which is consistent within $1σ$ of that estimated from gri data, assuming $R_{V} = 2.61$. When assuming different $R_{V}$ values for high and low mass host galaxies, the z-band and optical mass steps remain consistent within $1σ$. Based on current statistical precision, these results suggest dust reddening cannot fully explain the mass step. SNe Ia in the z band exhibit complementary standardisability properties to the optical that can improve distance estimates. Understanding these properties is important for the upcoming Vera Rubin Observatory and Nancy G. Roman Space Telescope, which will probe the rest-frame z band to redshifts 0.1 and 1.8.

astro-ph.CO

ZTF SN Ia DR2 follow-up: Characterization of subluminous Type Ia supernovae in the ZTF DR2 full sample

The Zwicky Transient Facility Data Release 2 (ZTF DR2) includes a total of 3,628 Type Ia supernovae (SNe~Ia), providing the largest and most complete sample of spectroscopically confirmed SNe~Ia at low redshift to date. In this paper, we present a photometric and spectroscopic analysis of 124 subluminous SNe~Ia, the largest sample of spectroscopically classified subluminous SNe~Ia observed with a single instrument, comprising 87 91bg-like, 12 86G-like, 18 04gs-like, and 7 02es-like events. We complement the published DR2 SALT2 light-curve parameters with new parameters obtained using template-based fits from SNooPy. Expansion velocities and pseudo-equivalent widths pEW of key spectral features are measured using Spextractor, and spectral averages are constructed for each subluminous subtype, binned by phase. We also analyze the host galaxy environments, both global and local, in terms of $g - z$ color, stellar mass, and directional light radius $d_{DLR}$. We find that all subluminous SNe~Ia (except the 02es-like subtype) are intrinsically red. This is evident by separating extrinsic from intrinsic color components. Since SALT2 is not trained on subluminous SNe~Ia, it compensates for their redder colors by inflating the $c$ parameter, thus extending the luminosity-width relation to negative values of x1. As expected, all subluminous SNe~Ia fall within the Cool region of the Branch et al. (2006) diagram, with the exception of 02es-like events, which show lower Si II 5972 pEW values. All subluminous subtypes tend to occur in more massive, redder host galaxies, and in the reddest local environments. Notably, 91bg- and 86G-like SNe~Ia explode at significantly larger normalized galactocentric distances. Finally, we identify the $pEW$ of the blended Ti II+Si II+Mg II absorption feature at 4300~A, along with s_BV, as robust and sufficient indicators for subclassifying subluminous SNe~Ia.

astro-ph.HE

Microlensing of lensed supernovae Zwicky & iPTF16geu: constraints on the lens galaxy mass slope and dark compact object fraction

To date, only two strongly lensed type Ia supernovae (SNIa) have been discovered with an isolated galaxy acting as the lens: iPTF16geu and SN Zwicky. The observed image fluxes for both lens systems were inconsistent with predictions from a smooth macro lens model. A potential explanation for the anomalous flux ratios is microlensing: additional (de)magnification caused by stars and other compact objects in the lens galaxy. In this work, we combine observations of iPTF16geu and SN Zwicky with simulated microlensing magnification maps, leveraging their standardizable candle properties to constrain the lens galaxy mass slope, $η$, and the fraction of dark compact objects, $f_{\rm dc}$. The resulting mass slopes are $η= 1.70 \pm 0.07$ for iPTF16geu and $η= 1.81 \pm 0.10$ for SN Zwicky. Our results indicate no evidence for a population of dark compact objects, placing upper limits at the $95\%$ confidence level of $f_{\rm dc} < 0.25$ for iPTF16geu and $f_{\rm dc} < 0.47$ for SN Zwicky (for compact objects with masses above $ 0.02 M_{\odot}$). Assuming a constant fraction of dark compact objects for both lensed SNe, we obtain $f_{\rm dc} < 0.19$. These results highlight the potential of strongly lensed SNIa to probe the innermost parts of lens galaxies and learn about compact matter.

astro-ph.GA

Discovery of SN 2025wny: a Strongly Gravitationally Lensed Superluminous Supernova at z = 2.01

We present the discovery of SN 2025wny (ZTF25abnjznp/GOTO25gtq) and spectroscopic classification of this event as the first gravitationally lensed Type I superluminous supernovae (SLSN-I). Deep ground-based follow-up observations resolves four images of the supernova with ~1.7" angular separation from the main lens galaxy, each coincident with the lensed images of a background galaxy seen in archival imaging of the field. Spectroscopy of the brightest point image shows narrow features matching absorption lines at a redshift of z = 2.011 and broad features matching those seen in superluminous SNe with Far-UV coverage. We infer a magnification factor of 20 to 50 for the brightest image in the system, based on photometric and spectroscopic comparisons to other SLSNe-I. SN 2025wny demonstrates that gravitationally-lensed SNe are in reach of ground-based facilities out to redshifts far higher than what has been previously assumed, and provide a unique window into studying distant supernovae, internal properties of dwarf galaxies, as well as for time-delay cosmography.

astro-ph.CO

The Local Distance Network: a community consensus report on the measurement of the Hubble constant at 1% precision

The direct, empirical determination of the local value of the Hubble constant (H0) has markedly advanced thanks to improved instrumentation, measurement techniques, and distance estimators. However, combining determinations from different estimators is non-trivial, due to correlated calibrations and different analysis methodologies. Using covariance weighting and leveraging the broad and comprehensive community of experts, we constructed a rigorous and transparent Distance Network (DN) to find a consensus value and uncertainty for the local H0. All critically reviewed the available data sets, spanning parallaxes, detached eclipsing binaries, masers, Cepheids, the TRGB, Miras, JAGB stars, SN Ia, Surface Brightness Fluctuations, SN II, the Fundamental Plane, and Tully-Fisher relations and voted for indicators to define a `baseline' DN and others to assess robustness and sensitivity of the results. We provide open-source software and data products to support full transparency and future extensions of this effort. Our conclusions: 1) Local H0 is robustly determined, with first-rank indicators internally consistent within their uncertainties; 2) A covariance-weighted combination yields an uncertainty of 1.1% (baseline) or 0.9% (all estimators); 3) The contribution from SNe Ia is consistent across four current compilations of optical magnitudes or using NIR-only magnitudes; 4) Removing either Cepheids or TRGB has minimal effect; 5) Replacing SNe Ia with galaxy-based indicators changes H0 by less than 0.1 km/s/Mpc, while doubling its uncertainty; 6) The baseline result is H0=73.50+/-0.81 km/s/Mpc. Compared to early Universe results, our result differs by 7.1sigma from flat ΛCDM with Planck+SPT+ACT and 5.0 sigma with BBN+BAO (DESI2). A networked approach is invaluable for enabling further progress in accuracy and precision without overreliance on any single method, sample or group.

astro-ph.CO

The impact of ultraviolet suppression on the rates and properties of strongly lensed Type IIn supernovae detected by LSST

Upcoming wide-field time-domain surveys, such as the Vera C. Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) are expected to discover up to two orders of magnitude more strongly lensed supernovae per year than have so far been observed. Of these, Type IIn supernovae have been predicted to be detected more frequently than any other supernova type, despite their small relative detection fraction amongst non-lensed supernovae. However, previous studies that predict a large population of lensed Type IIn supernova detections model their time evolving spectrum as a pure blackbody. In reality, there is a deficit in the UV flux of supernovae relative to the blackbody continuum due to line-blanketing from iron-group elements in the ejecta and scattering effects. In this work we quantify the effect of this UV suppression on the detection rates by LSST of a simulated population of strongly lensed Type IIn supernovae, relative to a pure blackbody model, using a mock LSST observing run. With a blackbody model, we predict to detect $\sim$70 lensed Type IIn supernova per year with LSST. By modelling a similar UV deficit to that seen in superluminous supernovae, we recover 60 - 80% of the detections obtained using a pure blackbody model, of which $\sim$10 detections per year are sufficiently bright ($m_\textrm{i} < 22.5$ mag) and detected early enough (> 5 observations before lightcurve peak) to enable high-cadence spectroscopic follow up.

astro-ph.HE