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Sujit K Ghosh

Publications and source records attributed to Sujit K Ghosh.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Efficient and Fast Sampling from Arbitrary Probability Kernels using Sliced Gibbs Sampler

An Automated Sliced Gibbs framework is proposed for fully automated Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling from arbitrary finite dimensional probability kernels. The method targets unnormalized, non-smooth, heavy tailed, and highly multimodal densities. A Cauchy transformation based effective support estimator is combined with slice driven Gibbs updates. This construction removes the need for user specified truncation bounds, proposal scales, step-size tuning, or conditional optimization. Unlike existing slice samplers, ASG does not require manually chosen bracket widths or geometric insight into the support. All calibration is performed automatically within each Gibbs cycle. The resulting Markov chain preserves invariance and ergodicity. Automated support detection allows efficient movement across disconnected high density regions. The sampler adapts to sharp curvature and irregular geometry without gradient information. Extensive numerical experiments evaluate performance on complex kernels, including univariate Beta mixtures, multivariate Rosenbrock and Ackley benchmarks, and non-smooth kernels derived from generalized LASSO type loss functions. Across these challenging settings, ASG consistently achieves higher effective sample size per second and faster decorrelation than Random Walk Metropolis Hastings, adaptive Gibbs variants, and some recently proposed slice based methods. The framework provides a scalable and general-purpose solution for sampling from complicated probability kernels where existing algorithms require substantial tuning or exhibit slow mixing.

stat.ME

Predicting exoplanet mass from radius and incident flux: A Bayesian mixture model

The relationship between mass and radius (M-R relation) is the key for inferring the planetary compositions and thus valuable for the studies of formation and migration models. However, the M-R relation alone is not enough for planetary characterization due to the dependence of it on other confounding variables. This paper provides a non-trivial extension of the M-R relation by including the incident flux as an additional variable. By using Bayesian hierarchical modeling (BHM) that leverages the flexibility of finite mixture models, a probabilistic mass-radius-flux relationship (M-R-F relation) is obtained based on a sample of 319 exoplanets. We find that the flux has nonnegligible impact on the M-R relation, while such impact is strongest for hot-Jupiters. On the population level, the planets with higher level of flux tend to be denser, and high flux could trigger significant mass loss for plants with radii larger than $13R_{\oplus}$. As a result, failing to account for the flux in mass prediction would cause systematic over or under-estimation. With the recent advent of computing power, although a lot of complex statistical models can be fitted using Monte Carlo methods, it has largely remain illusive how to validate these complex models when the data are observed with large measurement errors. We present two novel methods to examine model assumptions, which can be used not only for the models we present in this paper but can also be adapted for other statistical models.

astro-ph.EP