arXiv subjects

Sunil Gupta

Publications and source records attributed to Sunil Gupta.

100 records · Page 6Linked to original sources

arXiv2019

Accelerating Experimental Design by Incorporating Experimenter Hunches

Experimental design is a process of obtaining a product with target property via experimentation. Bayesian optimization offers a sample-efficient tool for experimental design when experiments are expensive. Often, expert experimenters have 'hunches' about the behavior of the experimental system, offering potentials to further improve the efficiency. In this paper, we consider per-variable monotonic trend in the underlying property that results in a unimodal trend in those variables for a target value optimization. For example, sweetness of a candy is monotonic to the sugar content. However, to obtain a target sweetness, the utility of the sugar content becomes a unimodal function, which peaks at the value giving the target sweetness and falls off both ways. In this paper, we propose a novel method to solve such problems that achieves two main objectives: a) the monotonicity information is used to the fullest extent possible, whilst ensuring that b) the convergence guarantee remains intact. This is achieved by a two-stage Gaussian process modeling, where the first stage uses the monotonicity trend to model the underlying property, and the second stage uses `virtual' samples, sampled from the first, to model the target value optimization function. The process is made theoretically consistent by adding appropriate adjustment factor in the posterior computation, necessitated because of using the `virtual' samples. The proposed method is evaluated through both simulations and real world experimental design problems of a) new short polymer fiber with the target length, and b) designing of a new three dimensional porous scaffolding with a target porosity. In all scenarios our method demonstrates faster convergence than the basic Bayesian optimization approach not using such `hunches'.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2019

Stable Bayesian Optimisation via Direct Stability Quantification

In this paper we consider the problem of finding stable maxima of expensive (to evaluate) functions. We are motivated by the optimisation of physical and industrial processes where, for some input ranges, small and unavoidable variations in inputs lead to unacceptably large variation in outputs. Our approach uses multiple gradient Gaussian Process models to estimate the probability that worst-case output variation for specified input perturbation exceeded the desired maxima, and these probabilities are then used to (a) guide the optimisation process toward solutions satisfying our stability criteria and (b) post-filter results to find the best stable solution. We exhibit our algorithm on synthetic and real-world problems and demonstrate that it is able to effectively find stable maxima.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2019

Fast Hyperparameter Tuning using Bayesian Optimization with Directional Derivatives

In this paper we develop a Bayesian optimization based hyperparameter tuning framework inspired by statistical learning theory for classifiers. We utilize two key facts from PAC learning theory; the generalization bound will be higher for a small subset of data compared to the whole, and the highest accuracy for a small subset of data can be achieved with a simple model. We initially tune the hyperparameters on a small subset of training data using Bayesian optimization. While tuning the hyperparameters on the whole training data, we leverage the insights from the learning theory to seek more complex models. We realize this by using directional derivative signs strategically placed in the hyperparameter search space to seek a more complex model than the one obtained with small data. We demonstrate the performance of our method on the tasks of tuning the hyperparameters of several machine learning algorithms.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2018

Practical Batch Bayesian Optimization for Less Expensive Functions

Bayesian optimization (BO) and its batch extensions are successful for optimizing expensive black-box functions. However, these traditional BO approaches are not yet ideal for optimizing less expensive functions when the computational cost of BO can dominate the cost of evaluating the blackbox function. Examples of these less expensive functions are cheap machine learning models, inexpensive physical experiment through simulators, and acquisition function optimization in Bayesian optimization. In this paper, we consider a batch BO setting for situations where function evaluations are less expensive. Our model is based on a new exploration strategy using geometric distance that provides an alternative way for exploration, selecting a point far from the observed locations. Using that intuition, we propose to use Sobol sequence to guide exploration that will get rid of running multiple global optimization steps as used in previous works. Based on the proposed distance exploration, we present an efficient batch BO approach. We demonstrate that our approach outperforms other baselines and global optimization methods when the function evaluations are less expensive.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2018

Hybrid Generative-Discriminative Models for Inverse Materials Design

Discovering new physical products and processes often demands enormous experimentation and expensive simulation. To design a new product with certain target characteristics, an extensive search is performed in the design space by trying out a large number of design combinations before reaching to the target characteristics. However, forward searching for the target design becomes prohibitive when the target is itself moving or only partially understood. To address this bottleneck, we propose to use backward prediction by leveraging the rich data generated during earlier exploration and construct a machine learning framework to predict the design parameters for any target in a single step. This poses two technical challenges: the first caused due to one-to-many mapping when learning the inverse problem and the second caused due to an user specifying the target specifications only partially. To overcome the challenges, we formulate this problem as conditional density estimation under high-dimensional setting with incomplete input and multimodal output. We solve the problem through a deep hybrid generative-discriminative model, which is trained end-to-end to predict the optimum design.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2018

Covariance Function Pre-Training with m-Kernels for Accelerated Bayesian Optimisation

The paper presents a novel approach to direct covariance function learning for Bayesian optimisation, with particular emphasis on experimental design problems where an existing corpus of condensed knowledge is present. The method presented borrows techniques from reproducing kernel Banach space theory (specifically m-kernels) and leverages them to convert (or re-weight) existing covariance functions into new, problem-specific covariance functions. The key advantage of this approach is that rather than relying on the user to manually select (with some hyperparameter tuning and experimentation) an appropriate covariance function it constructs the covariance function to specifically match the problem at hand. The technique is demonstrated on two real-world problems - specifically alloy design and short-polymer fibre manufacturing - as well as a selected test function.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2018

Rapid Bayesian optimisation for synthesis of short polymer fiber materials

The discovery of processes for the synthesis of new materials involves many decisions about process design, operation, and material properties. Experimentation is crucial but as complexity increases, exploration of variables can become impractical using traditional combinatorial approaches. We describe an iterative method which uses machine learning to optimise process development, incorporating multiple qualitative and quantitative objectives. We demonstrate the method with a novel fluid processing platform for synthesis of short polymer fibers, and show how the synthesis process can be efficiently directed to achieve material and process objectives.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2018

High Dimensional Bayesian Optimization Using Dropout

Scaling Bayesian optimization to high dimensions is challenging task as the global optimization of high-dimensional acquisition function can be expensive and often infeasible. Existing methods depend either on limited active variables or the additive form of the objective function. We propose a new method for high-dimensional Bayesian optimization, that uses a dropout strategy to optimize only a subset of variables at each iteration. We derive theoretical bounds for the regret and show how it can inform the derivation of our algorithm. We demonstrate the efficacy of our algorithms for optimization on two benchmark functions and two real-world applications- training cascade classifiers and optimizing alloy composition.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2017

Budgeted Batch Bayesian Optimization With Unknown Batch Sizes

Parameter settings profoundly impact the performance of machine learning algorithms and laboratory experiments. The classical grid search or trial-error methods are exponentially expensive in large parameter spaces, and Bayesian optimization (BO) offers an elegant alternative for global optimization of black box functions. In situations where the black box function can be evaluated at multiple points simultaneously, batch Bayesian optimization is used. Current batch BO approaches are restrictive in that they fix the number of evaluations per batch, and this can be wasteful when the number of specified evaluations is larger than the number of real maxima in the underlying acquisition function. We present the Budgeted Batch Bayesian Optimization (B3O) for hyper-parameter tuning and experimental design - we identify the appropriate batch size for each iteration in an elegant way. To set the batch size flexible, we use the infinite Gaussian mixture model (IGMM) for automatically identifying the number of peaks in the underlying acquisition functions. We solve the intractability of estimating the IGMM directly from the acquisition function by formulating the batch generalized slice sampling to efficiently draw samples from the acquisition function. We perform extensive experiments for both synthetic functions and two real world applications - machine learning hyper-parameter tuning and experimental design for alloy hardening. We show empirically that the proposed B3O outperforms the existing fixed batch BO approaches in finding the optimum whilst requiring a fewer number of evaluations, thus saving cost and time.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2014

How are Forbush decreases related with IP magnetic field enhancements ?

Cosmic ray Forbush decreases (FDs) are usually thought to be due to Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the Sun and their associated shocks. When CMEs and their shocks reach the Earth, they cause magnetic field compressions. We seek to understand the relation between these magnetic field compressions and FDs at rigidities between 12 and 42 GV using data from the GRAPES-3 instrument at Ooty. We find that the shapes of the Forbush decrease profiles show a startling similarity to that of the magnetic field compression in the near-Earth IP medium. We seek to understand the implications of this interesting result.

astro-ph.SR↗