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Susanna M. Weber

Publications and source records attributed to Susanna M. Weber.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Upper limit on the fraction of alien civilizations that develop communication technology

We re-examine the likelihood for alien civilizations to develop communication technology on the basis of the general assumption that life elsewhere could have a non-carbon chemical foundation. We particularized the discussion to a complex silicon-based biochemistry in a nitrogen solvent, and elaborate on the environment in which such a chemistry is feasible, and if so, on what scales. More concretely, we determine the region outside the habitable zone where such organisms can grow and flourish and after that we study how our findings impact the recently derived upper limit on the fraction of living intelligent species that develop communication technology $\langle ξ_{\rm biotec} \rangle$. We also compare this new restriction on $\langle ξ_{\rm biotec} \rangle$ with that resulting from the extension of the habitable zone to accommodate subsurface exolife, originating in planets with subsurface (water) oceans.

physics.pop-ph↗

Is there anybody out there?

The Fermi paradox is the discrepancy between the strong likelihood of alien intelligent life emerging (under a wide variety of assumptions) and the absence of any visible evidence for such emergence. We use this intriguing unlikeness to derive an upper limit on the fraction of living intelligent species that develop communication technology <ξ_{biotec}>. <...> indicates average over all the multiple manners civilizations can arise, grow, and develop such technology, starting at any time since the formation of our Galaxy in any location inside it. Following Drake, we factorize <ξ_{biotec}> as the product of the fractions in which: (i) life arises, (ii) intelligence develops, and (iii) communication technology is developed. In this approximation, the number of communicating intelligent civilizations that exist in the Galaxy at any given time is found to be N = <ζ_{astro}> <ξ_{biotec}> L_τ, where <ζ_{astro}> is the average production rate of potentially habitable rocky planets with a long-lasting (~ 4 Gyr) ecoshell and L_τ is the length of time that a typical civilization communicates. We estimate the production rate of exoplanets in the habitable zone and using recent determinations of the rate of gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) and their luminosity function, we calculate the probability that a life-threatening (lethal) GRB could make a planet inhospitable to life, yielding <ζ_{astro}> ~ 2 \times 10^{-3} yr^-1. Our current measurement of N =0 then implies <ζ_{biotec}> < 5 \times 10^{-3} at the 95\% C.L., where we have taken L_τ> 0.3 Myr such that c L_τ>> propagation distances of Galactic scales (~ 10 kpc), ensuring that any advanced civilization living in the Milky Way would be able to communicate with us.

astro-ph.HE↗