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Svyatoslav M. Novikov

Publications and source records attributed to Svyatoslav M. Novikov.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Parisian ruin of locally self-similar Gaussian processes

We derive exact tail asymptotics of the Parisian ruin probability for Gaussian risk models driven by locally self-similar Gaussian processes with a power-type deterministic trend. The considered setting includes non-stationary Gaussian processes whose local correlation structure is governed by a self-similar limiting process, extending classical fractional Brownian motion models. The asymptotic behaviour is shown to depend on the interplay between the local variance decay, the self-similarity index, and the trend exponent, leading to several distinct regimes. In each regime, the ruin probability admits an explicit asymptotic representation involving Parisian Pickands-type constants. The analysis relies on a uniform Pickands lemma allowing for families of limiting Gaussian fields, extending existing double-sum techniques and enabling the treatment of locally self-similar Gaussian risk models.

math.PR↗

Sojourns of locally self-similar Gaussian processes

Given a Gaussian risk process $R(t)=u+c(t)-X(t),t\ge 0$, the cumulative Parisian ruin probability on a finite time interval $[0,T]$ with respect to $L \geq 0$ is defined as the probability that the sojourn time that the risk process $R$ spends under the level 0 on this time interval $[0,T]$ exceeds $L$. In this contribution we derive exact asymptotic approximations of the cumulative Parisian ruin probability for a general class of Gaussian processes introduced in [9] assuming that $X$ is locally self-similar. We illustrate our findings with several examples. As a byproduct we show that Berman's constants can be defined alternatively by a self-similar Gaussian process which could be quite different to the fractional Brownian motion.

math.PR↗